Decoupling of nonferrous metal consumption from economic growth in China

Nonferrous metal is an important basis material for the development of the national economy, and its consumption directly affects economic development. It has great significance in the effective utilization of nonferrous metals, development of an environment-friendly society, and investigation of the decoupling of nonferrous metal consumption and GDP growth. The decoupling indicators for nonferrous metal consumption and GDP growth (D _r) in China from 1995 to 2010 were calculated in this study, and the results were analyzed. A productive model based on BP neural network was established. Then, the decoupling indicators for nonferrous metal consumption and GDP growth in China for the period of 2011–2020 were predicted. For the period of 1995–2010, the annual average decoupling indicators were <1 for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, and nickel, except for tin, which was 0.21. The analysis showed that the decoupling of nonferrous metal consumption and GDP growth is in a less optimistic situation to copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, and nickel in China from 1995 to 2010. The annual average decoupling indicator for tin was 0.21, which indicates relative decoupling. For the period of 2011–2020, the predicted decoupling indicators for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin were between 0 and 1. This finding indicates the implementation of relative decoupling. However, the total consumption of nonferrous metals did not decouple from GDP growth.     

基于SD和CLUE-S模型的区域土地利用变化对土壤有机碳储量影响研究

土地利用/土地覆被变化改变土壤呼吸条件,进而对土壤有机碳储量变化产生影响,而土壤有机碳储量则是影响农业可持续发展和全球碳平衡领域的重要因素。以上海市崇明岛为例,运用系统动力学模型(System Dynamics Model)预测2020、2030年土地利用需求变化,结合CLUE-S模型(Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small region extent Model)得出各种用地类型的空间分布,并引用碳密度法估算三种发展幕景下土地利用变化对土壤有机碳储量的影响。结果表明:2030年三种发展幕景土壤有机碳储量分别为:低速发展幕景为3 093.03×106kg,惯性发展幕景为3 079.47×106kg,高速发展幕景为3 059.81×106kg;研究期内土壤有机碳储量呈现缓慢下降趋势,但人类活动对其扰动较小;SD和CLUE-S耦合模型可以从时间和空间两方面对土壤有机碳储量进行模拟,具有可行性;建议通过加强城镇用地集约利用、农田保护、林地建设来减少人为活动对土壤有机碳储量的影响。     

对苯二甲酸生产废水回用实验研究

采用高级氧化工艺对对苯二甲酸生产废水进行处理,系统考察了氧化剂投加量、废水pH等对处理效果的影响,得出了最佳工艺条件。经过处理的PTA废水,水质达到了车间用水的要求。本方法具有处理效果好、操作简单和环境友好等优点。     

模糊事故树在分析氯乙烯单体槽爆炸风险中的应用

在对氯乙烯单体槽爆炸事故构建事故树的基础上,根据现场设备实际运行状况的统计及依据专家经验所提供的模糊信息,运用模糊事故树理论,引入L-R型模糊数,应用其尖态型隶属函数,对氯乙烯单体槽进行了模糊可靠性分析,求出了氯乙烯单体槽爆炸事故的模糊概率可能性分布;并利用结构重要度系数近似值法对其进行结构重要度分析,运用对事故树底部事件进行排序分级的加权结构重要度分析法,确立了影响系统的最主要因素,为系统安全分析提供了新的方法和途径。     

Exploring the relationship between vegetation spectra and eco-geo-environmental conditions in karst region, Southwest China

Remote sensing of local environmental conditions is not accessible if substrates are covered with vegetation. This study explored the relationship between vegetation spectra and karst eco-geo-environmental conditions. Hyperspectral remote sensing techniques showed that there were significant differences between spectral features of vegetation mainly distributed in karst and non-karst regions, and combination of 1,300- to 2,500-nm reflectance and 400- to 680-nm first-derivative spectra could delineate karst and non-karst vegetation groups. Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) successfully assessed to what extent the variation of vegetation spectral features can be explained by associated eco-geo-environmental variables, and it was found that soil moisture and calcium carbonate contents had the most significant effects on vegetation spectral features in karst region. Our study indicates that vegetation spectra is tightly linked to eco-geo-environmental conditions and CCA is an effective means of studying the relationship between vegetation spectral features and eco-geo-environmental variables. Employing a combination of spectral and spatial analysis, it is anticipated that hyperspectral imagery can be used in interpreting or mapping eco-geo-environmental conditions covered with vegetation in karst region.     

斜拉桥支架法施工的自适应安全监测技术

介绍自适应控制的基本原理及其运用现状。根据斜拉桥的实际情况选用自适应控制形式,在主要部位埋设传感器和相关的测试仪器,明确监测时间并在实施中严格执行。依据实测结果对标高、应力、容重等参数按实际情况进行修正,得出施工过程中的受力状态,从而调整施工。算出主梁各节点理论施工预拱度变化曲线等数据并与实测值进行比较,反复修正。自适应法达到了仿真计算与实际施工过程保持一致的最佳施工控制效果。绥芬河斜拉桥的施工证明,自适应法是一种很适合斜拉桥支架施工安全监测的技术,值得推广应用。     

高墩大跨连续刚构桥施工期安全评价

针对高墩大跨连续刚构桥施工期结构概率失效的特性,提出了基于失效概率的安全评价方法.以徐水沟特大桥为工程背景,通过风险评定识别出施工最不利阶段--最大双悬臂时的主要风险因素即:节段特性模量的不确定性、梁体自重的不确定性以及预应力损失的不确定性.采用大型通用有限元程序ANSYS及蒙特卡洛法,计算徐水沟特大桥在最大悬臂时的失效概率,并确定施工期的目标可靠度.依据高墩大跨连续刚构桥施工期结构概率失效的评价结果,提出相应的风险控制措施.     

遂宁市大英县席家沟地区大气扩散参数研究

本文介绍了用平衡气球探测法研究遂宁市大英县席家沟地区大气扩散参数及结果,并与国标推荐值进行了比较。     

模拟退火算法在大气环境质量综合评价中的应用

为了建立一种对多项指标都能普遍使用的大气环境质量综合评价模式,利用模拟退火算法对幂函数加和型指数评价中参数进行优化,并用优化后的综合评价指数公式对大气环境进行综合评价。该公式应用于大量实例的分析评价结果与其他多种评价方法评价结果比较表明:该公式不受污染物种类和数目多少的限制,计算简便,具有可行性、实用性和通用性。     

QUAL2K模型在西苕溪干流梅溪段水质模拟中的应用

QUAL2K是一维稳态水质模型,由美国环保局开发并在QUAL2E模型的基础上发展起来的.采用QUAL2K模型对西苕溪干流梅溪段的水质进行了模拟和预测.针对西苕溪的具体情况,选用COD、氨氮和总磷作为模拟预测指标,用模型率定法并参考相关文献确定了COD降解系数Kc、氨氮降解系数Kn和总磷平衡系数Kp等水质参数,并对模拟结果进行了验证,结果表明预测值和实测值的相关性较好.