A computer simulation study of stochastic models to investigate the population dynamics of the screech owl (otus asio) under increased mortality

The work reported in this paper complements an earlier study in which deterministic models were used examine the effects of additional mortality imposed on a Screech Owl, Otus asio, population. Interest lay in the compensatory mechanisms that the owls might be able to adopt in their population dynamics to counteract the overall effect of the additional mortality imposed, in particular when only a part of the population is affected. Stochastic models are used here to address the same questions, and to give more detailed information about the likely behaviour of the owl population than the information an average sizes provided by the deterministic approach.     

Extending the Dewanji and Kalbfleisch model to incorporate marker data

The model of Dewanji and Kalbfleisch for the estimation of time to tumour onset from a serial-sacrifice experiment is extended to include a marker state prior to the onset of the tumour. There are two versions of the model, one where a tumour is allowed to develop without the onset of marker, the other where a tumour develops after the marker but in which the marker later becomes unobservable.     

垂直流人工湿地系统中水流规律的研究

对一种新型的垂直流人工湿地系统的水流特性进行了研究。考察了系统的运行状况及介质中滞留区的分布范围，并且运用化学工程中反应器理论，采用示踪剂试验的方法得到了垂直流人工湿地系统的停留时间分布与污水的实际停留时间。根据水流停留时间分布函数对系统实际液流流态进行了数学模拟，提出二级串联的理想完全混合反应器（CSTR）模型能够较好地模拟垂直流人工湿地系统中水流的流动形态。     

“Embedded” at hire? Predicting the voluntary and involuntary turnover of new employees

Embeddedness theory has been invoked to describe factors that constrain employee turnover, such as fit with the environment, interpersonal links, and potentially sacrificed benefits. In contrast with previous assumptions that embeddedness requires considerable time to develop on the job, we extend theory by demonstrating how biographical characteristics (i.e., biodata), assessed at or before the point of hire, are related to individual's propensity to be embedded, while also showing how such characteristics predict one's future turnover likelihood. Beyond voluntary turnover, we also build embeddedness‐based theoretical explanations for involuntary turnover (i.e., terminations). To test these ideas, we conducted two studies at and before employees' point of hire, respectively: Study 1 examined how assessed biodata items of new employees relate to established embeddedness measures, whereas Study 2 linked the same biodata items assessed during the application process to employees' future involuntary, avoidable voluntary, and unavoidable voluntary turnover. Study 1 results revealed various biodata items predicted embeddedness in two distinct samples. In Study 2, results showed that biodata predicted turnover forms in unique ways. Our study highlights the utility of point‐of‐hire embeddedness propensity as a means to explain organizational exit, thereby demonstrating how organizations can use embeddedness tenets for employee recruitment and selection purposes.     

Contextualizing leaders' interpretations of proactive followership

Although proactive followership behavior is often viewed as instrumental to group success, leaders do not always respond favorably to the actions of overly eager followers. Guided by a constructivist perspective, we investigated how interpretations of followership differ across the settings in which acts of leadership and followership emerge. In thematically analyzing data from semi‐structured interviews with leaders of high‐performing teams, we depict how the construal of follower behaviors relates to various contextual factors underscoring leader–follower interactions. Prototypical characteristics were described in relation to ideal followership (i.e., active independent thought, ability to process self‐related information accurately, collective orientation, and relational transparency). However, proactive followership behaviors were subject to the situational and relational demands that were salient during leader–follower interactions. Notably, the presence of third‐party observers, the demands of the task, stage in the decision‐making process, suitability of the targeted issue, and relational dynamics influenced which follower behaviors were viewed as appropriate from the leader's perspective. These findings provide insight into when leaders are more likely to endorse proactive followership, suggesting that proactive followership requires an awareness of how to calibrate one's actions in accordance with prevailing circumstances. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Practitioner insights as a means of setting a context for conservation

A key obstacle to conservation success is the tendency of conservation professionals to tackle each challenge individually rather than collectively and in context. We sought to prioritize barriers to conservation previously described in the conservation literature. We undertook an online survey of 154 practitioners from over 70 countries to ascertain the most important barriers to conservation they faced. We used statistical analyses to identify the key impediments to conservation success and to examine whether these were affected by organizational attributes. Twenty-one barriers were identified. The importance ascribed to those was influenced by continent of operation and organization size, but not by organization age or autonomy (from larger parent organizations). We found the most important barriers to consider when undertaking conservation action were wider issues (e.g., population growth, consumerism, favoring development, and industrial-scale activity), operating environment (e.g., lack of political will, ineffective law enforcement, weak governments, corruption, safety and security), community attributes (e.g., dynamics, conflicts, and education levels), and the way conservation is undertaken (overconfidence, lack of funding, and externally set agendas). However, we advise against applying a one-size-fits-all approach. We propose that conservationists account for the complex socioecological systems they operate in if they are to achieve success.     

西双版纳热带森林挥发性有机物的观测研究

2002年7月中旬利用异戊二烯通量测定系统对云南西双版纳热带森林异戊二烯的排放通量进行了连续测量,同时对光合有效辐射(PAR)、气温、湿度、风等参数进行了观测.结果表明,热带地区人工橡胶林区域湿季异戊二烯的排放有明显的日变化规律,中午前后为一天中的最大值,异戊二烯排放通量的日平均值在0.85～0.24mgC/(m²h)之间.对小时值和日平均值而言,异戊二烯的排放与PAR和气温的变化规律比较一致,但它对PAR比对气温更加敏感.不同的天气状况对异戊二烯的排放有非常明显的影响.橡胶林是一个单萜烯排放者,其单萜烯的排放速率明显依赖于PAR.橡胶林和热带雨林冠层上空异戊二烯和单萜烯的浓度也有明显的日变化规律,而且橡胶林区域的异戊二烯和单萜烯的浓度均明显高于热带雨林.     

垂直流人工湿地水力学特点对污水净化效果的影响

通过在污水中加入示踪剂,研究了人工湿地的水力学特点及其对污水净化效果的影响规律.结果表明,影响水力学各特点的主要原因是湿地植物根系所造成的物理学和生物学上的效应.水力学各特点与污水净化效果之间存在着密切关系:出水快、出水量大的系统具有较好的净化效果;除无植物系统外,停留时间较长的系统有较好的净化效果;容水体积大的系统净化效果也较好;水力负荷则主要通过影响其他各水力学特点而影响净化效果.结果表明,对水力学特点的优化将极大地促进污水净化效果的提高.     

A land use database and examples of biogenic isoprene emission estimates for the state of Texas, USA

Using data from a variety of sources, land use and vegetation in Texas were mapped with a spatial resolution of approximately 1 km. Over 600 classifications were used to characterize the land use and land cover throughout the state and field surveys were performed to assign leaf biomass densities, by species, to the land cover classifications. The total leaf biomass densities associated with these land use classifications ranged from 0 to 556 g/m², with the highest assigned total and oak leaf biomass densities located in central and eastern Texas. The land cover data were used as input to a biogenic emissions model, GLOBEIS2. Estimates of biogenic emissions of isoprene based on GLOBEIS2 and the new land cover data showed significant differences when compared to biogenic isoprene emissions estimated using previous land cover data and emission estimation procedures. For example, for one typical domain in eastern Texas, total daily isoprene emissions increased by 38% with the new modeling tools. These results may ultimately affect the way in which ozone and other photochemical pollutants are modeled and evaluated in the state of Texas.     

Experimental study on CO and CO2 emissions from spontaneous heating of coals at varying temperatures and O2 concentrations

Laboratory experiments were conducted to investigate carbon monoxide (CO) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from spontaneous heating of three U.S. coal samples in an isothermal oven at temperatures between 50 and 110 °C. The oxygen (O₂) concentration of an oxygen/nitrogen (N₂) mixture flowing through the coal sample was 3, 5, 10, 15, and 21%, respectively. The temperature at the center of the coal sample was continuously monitored, while the CO, CO₂, and O₂ concentrations of the exit gas were continuously measured. The results indicate that the CO and CO₂ concentrations and the CO/CO₂ ratio increased when the initial temperature was increased. As the inlet O₂ concentration increased, the CO and CO₂ concentrations increased, while the CO/CO₂ ratios tended to converge to the same value. The ratio of CO/CO₂ was found to be independent of coal properties, approaching a constant value of 0.2. The maximum CO production rate correlated well with the maximum coal temperature rise. The apparent order of reaction for coal oxidation was estimated to be between 0.52 and 0.72. The experimental results in this study could be used for early detection and evaluation of a spontaneous heating in underground coal mines.