大气污染总量控制规划智能决策支持系统的开发与研究

对大气污染总量控制规划智能决策支持系统的开发步骤和总体结构做了介绍。并描述了该系统中的知识库系统、模型库系统、数据库系统和图形库系统的设计思想,特别是对知识库的构造进行了较详细的叙述。还介绍了神经网络技术在该系统中的应用。指出大气污染总量控制规划智能决策支持系统将为大气污染总量控制提供更科学、更合理、更有效的规划方案。     

Public participation in NGO-oriented communities for disaster prevention and mitigation (N-CDPM) in the Longmen Shan fault area during the Wenchuan and Lushan earthquake periods

ABSTRACT

The Longmen Shan fault area in southwest China is one of the world’s most active earthquake zones. The epicenters of the two most recent earthquakes, the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (8.0?Ms) and the 2013 Lushan earthquake (7.0?Ms), both of which caused serious losses, were only 85?km apart. Community-based disaster risk reduction is the foundation of the disaster management system pyramid and is critical to the success of ‘sustainable hazard mitigation’. Based on multiple collaborative stakeholder perspectives, this paper examines public participation in an NGO-oriented Community for Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (N-CDPM) in the period between the two earthquakes as a multi-stage problem; N-CDPM establishment, normal operations, disaster testing, and continuous improvement. Multi-stage field research was conducted in the affected areas in the Longmen Shan fault area to examine the collaboration in each stage, after which the differences were compared across the four stages based on eight key indices; scales, core stakeholders, core network stability, mean number of lines, mean collaborative level, governments, and individual and public organization participation. The government participation, individual participation, and public organization participation are then discussed. This paper provides a novel research approach to CDPM in multiple earthquake regions and gives rich insights into the collaboration between the government and the public for N-CDPM.     

ISAPEC中知识自动获取的设计与实现

剖析了利用人工神经网络实现大气污染总量控制规划智能决策支持系统（ＩＳＡＰＥＣ）中知识自动获取的必要性，论述了ＩＳＡＰＥＣ中知识的自动获取的设计与实现过程，并用一实例进行了验证。结果表明用人工神经网络实现知识的自动获取与知识的人工获取相比既具有更高的时间效率，又能保证更高的质量。     

Multi-stakeholder collaboration in community post-disaster reconstruction: case study from the Longmen Shan Fault area in China

While multi-stakeholder collaboration is critical for effective community post-disaster reconstruction (CPDR), it is often very difficult in practice. The Longmen Shan Fault active seismic zone in China has experienced several recent earthquakes with the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and 2013 Lushan earthquake, both of which caused extensive and widespread damage to many communities, presenting unprecedented challenges for post-disaster reconstruction. This paper develops a multi-cycle field research method that involves three interconnected cycles: internet research, field visits, and extensive surveys: to examine multi-stakeholder collaboration for the CPDR following the Wenchuan earthquake. It was found that there were 12 types of active stakeholders engaged across four main areas: infrastructure rebuilding, psychological recovery, socio-economic rehabilitation, and ecological restoration. Specifically, local community participation and effective collaboration between the community and the external stakeholders were found to be the most crucial elements for successful reconstruction. Multi-stage field research after the Lushan earthquake verified that CPDR was effective and that multi-stakeholder collaboration had improved from the lessons learnt from the Wenchuan earthquake reconstruction experience. Some advantages and limitations of this research are also given.     

基于“三生”适宜性的县域土地利用冲突识别与分析

精准识别潜在土地利用冲突有利于预警权衡和协调冲突用地,有利于科学进行国土空间规划。以“三调”修正数据为基础,基于生产、生活、生态视角,构建高植被覆盖率县域生产、生活、生态即“三生”适宜性评价模型与土地利用冲突识别矩阵,并选取横峰县进行实证分析。结果表明:（1）横峰县“三生”适宜性用地的空间分布与面积构成差异显著,且存在明显的空间叠加特征,暗示着研究区土地利用存在冲突;（2）从潜在冲突识别的结果来看,土地利用适宜区、冲突激烈区、冲突中度区、冲突一般区及冲突微弱区面积占比分别为64.02%、9.66%、17.19%、1.66%、7.48%;（3）各个冲突类型区空间分布、表现形式的差异性决定了冲突和解的对策也需因地制宜。研究结果可为相关及类似县域的国土空间规划提供理论参考。     

南水北调中线水源区森林覆盖变化及其影响因子分析

以南水北调中线水源区1980、1990、2000年LANDSAT MSS/TM/ETM+ 遥感影像为主信息源,辅以DEM、植被分布图、土地利用图、气象数据及相关社会经济资料,对该区域20年来森林覆盖的动态变化和区域分异特征进行了研究。在此基础上,采用典范对应分析（CCA）研究了林地分布及其变化与环境因子间的关系。研究结果表明水源区1980年、1990年、2000年林地面积分别为67 631、61 635、65 051km²,斑块数依次为41 790、71 276、69 632个,平均斑块面积为1.62、0.86、0.93 km²,呈破碎化趋势;林地分布主要由海拔、降雨和坡度等因素决定,而林地变化的主要影响因子是海拔、坡度和人口。     

高岭石、针铁矿及其二元体对胡敏酸的吸附特性

研究了高岭石、针铁矿及其混合物(KGM)和复合物(KGC)的表面性质及吸附胡敏酸的特性.结果表明,4种物质的比表面积(SSA)表现为针铁矿KGCKGM高岭石,KGM的SSA接近两种纯物质的平均值,而KGC的SSA明显升高.高岭石、针铁矿、KGM和KGC的等电点(IEP)分别为3.2、7.9、6.1和6.7;初始p H=5.0时,其表面Zeta电位分别为-13.9、38.2、14.3和19.7 m V.4种样品对胡敏酸的动力学吸附过程适合用准二级动力学模型描述,表明化学吸附是主要作用机制.一、二位Langmuir模型可较好地拟合等温吸附数据(R~2为0.962~0.993),其中二位Langmuir模型对KGM和KGC吸附数据的拟合度R~2分别为0.989和0.993;Freundlich模型对等温吸附数据的拟合度较低,但两种二元体的拟合度高于两种纯物质.初始p H=5.0时,高岭石、针铁矿、KGM和KGC对胡敏酸的吸附容量(q_(max))分别为6.02、61.83、35.13和42.10 mg·g~(-1);两种二元体的q_(max)都高于两种纯物质q_(max)的平均值,其中KGC的q_(max)明显升高.热力学参数表明,4种样品对胡敏酸的吸附均属于吸热反应,其中高岭石的吸附为非自发过程,其余样品的吸附为自发过程.     

甲醛污染水的生物学效应

本实验研究甲醛污染的淡水和海水对细菌、植物和动物的生物学效应。甲醛的毒害作用是显著的。含0.036—0.36%甲醛的纯水能引起鼠伤寒沙门氏菌组氨酸缺陷型菌株TA100的回复突变,含0.036%、0.0036%、0.00036%甲醛的水溶液行短期(6h)处理紫露草花枝基部,24h休复后发现四分体细胞中微核率显著增高。含0.0018%、0.0036%、0.018%甲醛的水处理蚕豆根,引起根尖细胞中微核率明显增高。0.00018%甲醛的海水使马粪海胆幼虫在45min内死亡。0.0072%甲醛的海水使该幼虫在2min内死亡。0.0072%甲醛的海水能使贻贝担轮幼虫在5min内死亡。0.00018%甲醛的海水使贻贝幼虫在48h内死亡。0.000108%甲醛的海水使马粪海胆幼虫在72h内死亡。实验证明蚕豆根尖细胞和海胆幼虫是良好的监测淡水与海水污染的材料,甲醛能引起DNA中碱基对置换突变。甲醛在海水中产生增效效应。     

海水环境生物腐蚀污损与防护

以海水环境生物腐蚀污损与防护为中心,就国内外与其相关的报道进行综述分析,并提出建议。首先,分析污损生物的分布与特征,得出污损生物群落的组成和结构对海域、季节、水深、工程结构类型等的依赖性,突出海水环境生物腐蚀污损的复杂性。然后,解析生物附着污损对海水环境腐蚀速率的影响,突出附着生物是导致金属材料腐蚀速率增大的重要因子。再次,介绍海水环境生物腐蚀污损防护技术的现状,分析主要防护技术的优缺点,并展示其在不同行业的联用。最后,提出对海水环境生物腐蚀污损研究工作的建议,包括建立各海域的生物腐蚀污损数据库、大力研制发展绿色生物腐蚀污损控制技术、加强对海洋生物腐蚀污损基础性研究工作的投入、尽快建立海洋生物腐蚀评价标准和规范等。     

军用飞机机载设备环境实测技术研究

为解决装备可靠性试验、环境试验、新产品设计以及修订相应环境标准中缺乏装备环境应力实测数据的问题,通过技术论证和探索研究,开展了系列军用飞机机载设番环境的飞行实测工作,取得了实测机种典型任务剖面中的机载设备环境状态,掌握了有关设番舱的综合环境应力情况,从而为进一步编制飞机机载设备综合环境应力试验剖面提供了真实有效的实测数据依据。积累了飞机机载设备环境实测的经验,为我国军用飞机机载设备环境应力数据库的建设奠定了基础。