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41.
ERIC WIKRAMANAYAKE MEGHAN McKNIGHT § ERIC DINERSTEIN ANUP JOSHI† BHIM GURUNG† DAVID SMITH† 《Conservation biology》2004,18(3):839-844
Abstract: Wildlife populations in small, isolated reserves face genetic and demographic threats to their survival. To increase the probability of long-term persistence, biologists promote metapopulation management, in which breeding subpopulations are protected as source pools. Animals that disperse from the source pools increase the probability of persistence of the metapopulation across the greater landscape. We used a geographic information system (GIS)–based, cost-distance model to design a conservation landscape along the Himalayan foothills for managing a metapopulation of Asia's largest predator, the tiger ( Panthera tigris ). The model is based on data from 30 years of field research on tigers, recent satellite imagery, and a decade of buffer-zone restoration in this region. We used the model to (1) identify potential dispersal corridors for tigers; (2) identify strategic transit refuges; and (3) make recommendations for off-reserve land management and restoration to enhance the potential of corridors for tigers. This tool can aid the design of conservation landscapes for other endangered, wide-ranging species in human-dominated environments. 相似文献
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SHARON MCDONNELL RICHARD P. TROIANO NANCY BARKER ERIC NOJI W. GARY HLADY RICHARD HOPKINS 《Disasters》1995,19(4):338-347
Two three-stage cluster surveys were conducted in South Dade County, Florida, 14 months apart, to assess recovery following Hurricane Andrew. Response rates were 75 per cent and 84 per cent. Sources of assistance used in recovery from Hurricane Andrew differed according to race, per capita income, ethnicity, and education. Reports of improved living situation post-hurricane were not associated with receiving relief assistance, but reports of a worse situation were associated with loss of income, being exploited, or job loss. The number of households reporting problems with crime and community violence doubled between the two surveys. Disaster relief efforts had less impact on subjective long-term recovery than did job or income loss or housing repair difficulties. Existing sources of assistance were used more often than specific post-hurricane relief resources. The demographic make-up of a community may determine which are the most effective means to inform them after a disaster and what sources of assistance may be useful. 相似文献
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Hunting for Consensus: Reconciling Bushmeat Harvest, Conservation, and Development Policy in West and Central Africa 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
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ELISE F. GRANEK STEPHEN POLASKY CARRIE V. KAPPEL DENISE J. REED DAVID M. STOMS EVAMARIA W. KOCH CHRIS J. KENNEDY LORI A. CRAMER SALLY D. HACKER EDWARD B. BARBIER SHANKAR ASWANI MARY RUCKELSHAUS GERARDO M. E. PERILLO BRIAN R. SILLIMAN NYAWIRA MUTHIGA DAVID BAEL ERIC WOLANSKI 《Conservation biology》2010,24(1):207-216
Abstract: Ecosystem-based management is logistically and politically challenging because ecosystems are inherently complex and management decisions affect a multitude of groups. Coastal ecosystems, which lie at the interface between marine and terrestrial ecosystems and provide an array of ecosystem services to different groups, aptly illustrate these challenges. Successful ecosystem-based management of coastal ecosystems requires incorporating scientific information and the knowledge and views of interested parties into the decision-making process. Estimating the provision of ecosystem services under alternative management schemes offers a systematic way to incorporate biogeophysical and socioeconomic information and the views of individuals and groups in the policy and management process. Employing ecosystem services as a common language to improve the process of ecosystem-based management presents both benefits and difficulties. Benefits include a transparent method for assessing trade-offs associated with management alternatives, a common set of facts and common currency on which to base negotiations, and improved communication among groups with competing interests or differing worldviews. Yet challenges to this approach remain, including predicting how human interventions will affect ecosystems, how such changes will affect the provision of ecosystem services, and how changes in service provision will affect the welfare of different groups in society. In a case study from Puget Sound, Washington, we illustrate the potential of applying ecosystem services as a common language for ecosystem-based management. 相似文献
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Importance of Accounting for Detection Heterogeneity When Estimating Abundance: the Case of French Wolves 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
SARAH CUBAYNES ROGER PRADEL RÉMI CHOQUET CHRISTOPHE DUCHAMP JEAN‐MICHEL GAILLARD JEAN‐DOMINIQUE LEBRETON ERIC MARBOUTIN CHRISTIAN MIQUEL ANNE‐MARIE REBOULET CAROLE POILLOT PIERRE TABERLET OLIVIER GIMENEZ 《Conservation biology》2010,24(2):621-626
Abstract: Assessing conservation strategies requires reliable estimates of abundance. Because detecting all individuals is most often impossible in free‐ranging populations, estimation procedures have to account for a <1 detection probability. Capture–recapture methods allow biologists to cope with this issue of detectability. Nevertheless, capture–recapture models for open populations are built on the assumption that all individuals share the same detection probability, although detection heterogeneity among individuals has led to underestimating abundance of closed populations. We developed multievent capture–recapture models for an open population and proposed an associated estimator of population size that both account for individual detection heterogeneity (IDH). We considered a two‐class mixture model with weakly and highly detectable individuals to account for IDH. In a noninvasive capture–recapture study of wolves we based on genotypes identified in feces and hairs, we found a large underestimation of population size (27% on average) occurred when IDH was ignored. 相似文献
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ELIZABETH E. CRONE MARTHA M. ELLIS WILLIAM F. MORRIS AMANDA STANLEY TIMOTHY BELL PAULETTE BIERZYCHUDEK JOHAN EHRLÉN THOMAS N. KAYE TIFFANY M. KNIGHT PETER LESICA GERARD OOSTERMEIJER PEDRO F. QUINTANA‐ASCENCIO TAMARA TICKTIN TERESA VALVERDE JENNIFER L. WILLIAMS DANIEL F. DOAK RENGAIAN GANESAN KATHYRN MCEACHERN ANDREA S. THORPE ERIC S. MENGES 《Conservation biology》2013,27(5):968-978
Uncertainty associated with ecological forecasts has long been recognized, but forecast accuracy is rarely quantified. We evaluated how well data on 82 populations of 20 species of plants spanning 3 continents explained and predicted plant population dynamics. We parameterized stage‐based matrix models with demographic data from individually marked plants and determined how well these models forecast population sizes observed at least 5 years into the future. Simple demographic models forecasted population dynamics poorly; only 40% of observed population sizes fell within our forecasts’ 95% confidence limits. However, these models explained population dynamics during the years in which data were collected; observed changes in population size during the data‐collection period were strongly positively correlated with population growth rate. Thus, these models are at least a sound way to quantify population status. Poor forecasts were not associated with the number of individual plants or years of data. We tested whether vital rates were density dependent and found both positive and negative density dependence. However, density dependence was not associated with forecast error. Forecast error was significantly associated with environmental differences between the data collection and forecast periods. To forecast population fates, more detailed models, such as those that project how environments are likely to change and how these changes will affect population dynamics, may be needed. Such detailed models are not always feasible. Thus, it may be wiser to make risk‐averse decisions than to expect precise forecasts from models. Habilidad de los Modelos Matriciales para Explicar el Pasado y Predecir el Futuro de las Poblaciones de Plantas 相似文献
48.
ERIC J. WARD BRICE X. SEMMENS ELIZABETH E. HOLMES KEN C. BALCOMB III 《Conservation biology》2011,25(2):350-355
Abstract: Identifying how social organization shapes individual behavior, survival, and fecundity of animals that live in groups can inform conservation efforts and improve forecasts of population abundance, even when the mechanism responsible for group‐level differences is unknown. We constructed a hierarchical Bayesian model to quantify the relative variability in survival rates among different levels of social organization (matrilines and pods) of an endangered population of killer whales (Orcinus orca). Individual killer whales often participate in group activities such as prey sharing and cooperative hunting. The estimated age‐specific survival probabilities and survivorship curves differed considerably among pods and to a lesser extent among matrilines (within pods). Across all pods, males had lower life expectancy than females. Differences in survival between pods may be caused by a combination of factors that vary across the population's range, including reduced prey availability, contaminants in prey, and human activity. Our modeling approach could be applied to demographic rates for other species and for parameters other than survival, including reproduction, prey selection, movement, and detection probabilities. 相似文献