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21.
Alexander Lorenz Matthias G. W. Schmidt Elmar Kriegler Hermann Held 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2012,17(1-2):163-175
Several integrated assessment studies have concluded that future learning about the uncertainties involved in climate change has a considerable effect on welfare but only a small effect on optimal short-term emissions. In other words, learning is important but anticipation of learning is not. We confirm this result in the integrated assessment model “model of investment and technological development” for learning about climate sensitivity and climate damages. If learning about an irreversible threshold is included, though, we show that anticipation can become crucial both in terms of necessary adjustments of pre-learning emissions and resulting welfare gains. We specify conditions on the time of learning and the threshold characteristic, for which this is the case. They can be summarized as a narrow “anticipation window.” 相似文献
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K. Bruce Jones Daniel T. Heggem Timothy G. Wade Anne C. Neale Donald W. Ebert Maliha S. Nash Megan H. Mehaffey Karl A. Hermann Anthony R. Selle Scott Augustine Iris A. Goodman Joel Pedersen David Bolgrien J. Max Viger Dean Chiang Cindy J. Lin Yehong Zhong Joan Baker Rick D. Van Remortel 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2000,64(1):227-245
The Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (EMAP) is proposing an ambitious agenda to assess the status of streams and estuaries in a 12-State area of the western United States by the end of 2003. Additionally, EMAP is proposing to access landscape conditions as they relate to stream and estuary conditions across the west. The goal of this landscape project is to develop a landscape model that can be used to identify the relative risks of streams and estuaries to potential declines due to watershed-scale, landscape conditions across the west. To do so, requires an understanding of quantitative relationships between landscape composition and pattern metrics and parameters of stream and estuary conditions. This paper describes a strategic approach for evaluating the degree to which landscape composition and pattern influence stream and estuary condition, and the development and implementation of a spatially-distributed, landscape analysis approach. 相似文献
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Hermann Zabel 《Environmental Sciences Europe》2000,12(3):121-121
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