多模式集成方法在安徽地区PM2.5预报中的应用研究

分别采用算术平均、权重平均、多元线性回归和神经网络的集成方法,对3种空气质量模式在安徽地区2017年2月-2018年2月PM_2.5预报结果进行集成释用.结果表明：各模式和订正产品的预报值与实况值之间均能达到显著相关,相较于WRF-Chem,多元线性回归的均方根误差（RMSE）下降了21.7%,归一化平均偏差（NMB）下降了6%,且在16个地市中NMB均下降至-25%~25%之间;从不同时次的预报效果来看,在3个代表性城市（淮北、合肥和芜湖）,多元线性回归均能大幅度降低RMSE和NMB,但从时间和空间效果来看,其对于提升预报值与实况值之间的相关性方面,略差于权重平均的集成方法;多元线性回归方法对于重污染天气PM_2.5预报评分（TS）最高,为0.46.该方法能较为有效地提升不同模式的预报效果,可为重污染天气预报预警提供参考.     

低渗透介质中轻非水相流体迁移转化规律

本文利用COMSOL软件建立轻非水相流体（LNAPL）纵向迁移转化模型,采用有限单元法进行求解,预测污染物分布规律,并利用局部分析法进行参数敏感性分析.结果表明,大部分LNAPL会在水面以上聚集形成高的质量分布峰值区域,少部分克服毛细压力向下迁移,在自由相迁移范围内,其溶解相浓度达到或接近饱和溶解度;当顶部污染源消失后,降水会使最大饱和度和浓度出现的深度逐渐下移;多孔介质中的低渗透镜体会使污染物垂向入渗受阻,在其表面聚积形成污染池;渗透系数是控制LNAPL纵向迁移速度及饱和度分布的关键参数.     

新冠期间河北省典型钢铁企业大气污染影响

基于国家气象局气象预报数据,建立了基于AERMOD的钢铁企业污染预报模型,模拟了新冠疫情管控期（2020年2~3月）及解封后期（2020年4~10月）河北省某钢铁企业对大气污染的影响,并结合空气质量实测数据进行模型验证.结果显示,不利风向条件下,该钢铁厂大气污染物排放对当地3个国控站点SO₂、NO_x和PM₁₀的平均浓度贡献占比,在疫情管控期分别为20.19%~33.81%,17.49%~23.46%和2.02%~2.69%,在解封后期分别为13.43%~21.01%,11.09%~20.92%和1.20%~2.22%.由于疫情管控期受其他人为源干扰较少,该钢铁厂SO₂、NO_x和PM₁₀的预报值和三个国控站点实际监测值的相关系数,在新冠疫情管控期（在单个站点中,最高分别为0.43、0.48和0.29）高于解封后期（最高分别为0.42、0.39和0.07）.     

Aging of PVDF and PES ultrafiltration membranes by sodium hypochlorite: Effect of solution pH

Sodium hypochlorite (NaClO) is a commonly applied cleaning agent for ultrafiltration membranes in water and wastewater treatment. Long-term exposure to NaClO might change the properties and performance of polymeric membranes, and ultimately shorten membrane lifespan. Active species in NaClO solution vary with solution pH, and the aging effects can change depending on the membrane material. In this study, the aging of polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF) and polyethersulfone (PES) membranes by NaClO at pH 3–11 was investigated by examining variations in chemical composition, surface charge, surface morphology, mechanical strength, permeability, and retention ability. Polyvinyl pyrrolidone (PVP), which was blended in both membranes, was oxidized and dislodged due to NaClO aging at all investigated pH values, but the oxidation products and dislodgement ratio of PVP varied with solution pH. For the PVDF membrane, NaClO aging at pH 3–11 caused a moderate increase in permeability and decreased retention due to the oxidation and release of PVP. The tensile strength decreased only at pH 11 because of the defluorination of PVDF molecules. For the PES membrane, NaClO aging at all investigated pH resulted in chain scission of PES molecules, which was favored at pH 7 and 9, potentially due to the formation of free radicals. Therefore, a decrease in tensile strength and retention ability, as well as an increase in permeability, occurred in the PES membrane for NaClO aging at pH 3–11. Overall, the results can provide a basis for selecting chemical cleaning conditions for PVDF and PES membranes.     

Spatiotemporal variations of ambient air pollutants and meteorological influences over typical urban agglomerations in China during the COVID-19 lockdown

To investigate the air quality change during the COVID-19 pandemic, we analyzed spatiotemporal variations of six criteria pollutants in nine typical urban agglomerations in China using ground-based data and examined meteorological influences through correlation analysis and backward trajectory analysis under different responses. Concentrations of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂, SO₂ and CO in urban agglomerations respectively decreased by 18%–45% (30%–62%), 17%–53% (22%–39%), 47%-64% (14%–41%), 9%–34% (0%–53%) and 16%-52% (23%–56%) during Lockdown (Post-lockdown) period relative to Pre-lockdown period. PM_2.5 pollution events occurred during Lockdown in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebe (BTH) and Middle and South Liaoning (MSL), and daily O₃ concentration rose to grade Ⅱ standard in Post-lockdown period. Distinct from the nationwide slump of NO₂ during Lockdown period, a rebound (～40%) in Post-lockdown period was observed in Cheng-Yu (CY), Yangtze River Middle-Reach (YRMR), Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and Pearl River Delta (PRD). With slightly higher wind speed compared with 2019, the reduction of PM_2.5 (51%–62%) in Post-lockdown period is more than 2019 (15%–46%) in HC (Harbin-Changchun), MSL, BTH, CP (Central Plain) and SP (Shandong-Peninsula), suggesting lockdown measures are effective to PM_2.5 alleviation. Although O₃ concentrations generally increased during the lockdown, its increment rate declined compared with 2019 under similar sunlight duration and temperature. Additionally, unlike HC, MSL and BTH, which suffered from additional (> 30%) air masses from surrounding areas after the lockdown, the polluted air masses reaching YRD and PRD mostly originated from the long-distance transport, highlighting the importance of joint regional governance.     

安全技术说明书在油田化学助剂危害因素识别中存在问题探讨

以3种化学助剂的化学品安全技术说明书(SDS)信息与气相色谱-质谱联用仪定性分析结果为对比,探讨了油田化学助剂安全技术说明书在完整性、真实性、准确性等方面存在的问题,建议完善SDS审核与监督机制,在识别有害因素时根据SDS、定性定量检测结果、生产工艺及原辅材料分析等内容做出综合判断,使用化学助剂时核实SDS准确性及化学助剂安全性,以采取正确的防控措施。     

分子模拟方法在爆炸反应机理方面的应用进展

针对爆炸过程反应机理异常复杂,实验检测手段对其认识匮乏的现状,综述了量子化学、反应分子动力学等分子模拟方法的特点及研究进展,分析了分子模拟技术在燃爆机理研究中的应用进展,包括量子化学方法对于燃料热解/燃烧、瓦斯等可燃体系爆炸过程的微观基元反应步骤、反应能垒及热力学参数的计算,以及反应分子动力学(ReaxFF MD)在含能材料、可燃混合气等复杂爆炸体系获取可能的反应路径及中间自由基变化的应用。对分子模拟方法在爆炸领域研究的应用提出了建议及展望,指出ReaxFF MD和密度泛函理论(DFT)相结合是一种研究复杂爆炸体系微观反应机理极具潜力的方法,借助先进的分析检测手段对模拟方法的验证及修正,能获取更准确、全面的微观反应动力学模型。     

以福州为示范的城市空气质量实时精细化模拟与预报

本研究在已有空气质量站点的基础上,采用多功能、高效、小巧的传感设备进行监测加密,利用大数据的分析机理与空气质量模型的城市计算技术,以海峡西岸城市群中的福州市为示范,建设城市空气质量实时精细化模拟与预报系统。实时分析城市细粒度(1km×1km)的空气质量,有效提高了城市不同地理位置污染物浓度差异性的分辨率,同时对城市空气污染的发展趋势提出预测,为精细化分析污染成因提供基础数据,从而为环境管理提供决策辅助支持、市民出行提供帮助与指导。     

生态文明下的环境法制

生态文明建设的进程受到诸多因素的制约,如生态环境意识、环境立法、行政执法和司法缺陷、法律政策等,同时生态文明建设中面临诸多的难题,如公众参与、生态补偿、环境责任及环境纠纷等,应通过完善立法、执法及司法建设,以及完善公众参与机制、生态补偿机制、环境公益诉讼制度等保障机制来解决这些问题。本文首先通过比较分析生态文明与环境法制的关系,结合我国生态法制建设困境,提出了完善生态文明建设的一系列的环境法治保障措施,即从立法、执法、司法角度,从而实现科学发展观,构建和谐社会,最终实现环境—社会—经济协调发展的任务。