Land use as a mitigation strategy for the water-quality impacts of global warming: a scenario analysis on two watersheds in the Ohio River Basin

This study uses an integrative approach to study the water-quality impacts of future global climate and land-use changes. In this study, changing land-use types was used as a mitigation strategy to reduce the adverse impacts of global climate change on water resources. The climate scenarios were based on projections made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the United Kingdom Hadley Centre's climate model (HadCM2). The Thornthwaite water-balance model was coupled with a land-use model (L-THIA) to investigate the hydrologic effects of future climate and land-use changes in the Ohio River Basin. The land-use model is based on the Soil Conservation Service's curve-number method. It uses the curve number, an index of land use and soil type, to calculate runoff volume and depth. The ArcView programming language, Avenue, was used to integrate the two models into a geographic information system (GIS). An output of the water-balance model, daily precipitation values adjusted for potential evapotranspiration, served as one of the inputs into the land-use model. Two watersheds were used in the present study: one containing the city of Cincinnati on the main stem of the Ohio River, and one containing the city of Columbus on a tributary of the Ohio River. These cities represent two major metropolitan areas in the Ohio River Basin with different land uses experiencing different rates of population growth. The projected hypothetical land-use changes were based on linear extrapolations of current population data. Results of the analyses indicate that conversion from agricultural land use to low-density residential land use may decrease the amount of surface runoff. The land-use practices which generate the least amount of runoff are forest, low-density residential, and agriculture; whereas high-density residential and commercial land-use types produce the highest runoff. The hydrologic soil type present was also an important factor in determining the amount of runoff and non-point-source pollution. A runoff-depth matrix and total nitrogen matrix were created for Cincinnati and Columbus to describe possible land-use mitigation measures in response to global climate change. The differences in Cincinnati and Columbus were due to differences in geographic location, air temperature, and total runoff. The results of this study may be useful to planners and policy makers for defining the possible impacts of future global climate and land-use changes on water resources.     

以监测预报工作为导向推进数字化监测教学

地震预测的发展方向,是从协同的观点,多层面地统筹考虑地震监测体系的建设,实现基础研究与实际地震预测工作的结合.本文从如何利用原有监测资料、连续前兆监测数据处理系统的建立、前兆监测体系数据报送体系等地震监测工作环节,分析地震监测教学如何与监测工作方向相一致,并对教学改革如何结合台站技术人员更新提出了几点看法.     

安太堡露天煤矿排土场刺槐生长状况研究

安太堡露天煤矿1993～1998年土地复垦试验结果表明,在排土场逆境条件下,刺槐可以正常生长.坡度、坡向、地表物质组成和植物配置模式是影响其生长的主要因子.在阳向坡、避风处生长良好.黄土母质有利于1年生刺槐的生长,岩土混排则更有利于2年生以上刺槐的生长.刺槐与草混交抑制刺槐生长.     

花键轴冷挤压成形工艺及模具设计

花键轴是机械中广泛使用的重要零件之一。制造工艺复杂,外观质量、尺寸精度、综合机械性能等要求高。采用冷挤压成形,可使成本降低、提高质量、使用可靠。此文对花键轴成形工艺,模具设计作了详细探讨。     

政和—大埔断裂带基本特征及其演化模式

政和—大埔断裂带经历多期复杂的构造变形变质作用,不同地段的时空演化特征有所差异,总体上可划分为四个演化阶段。即:①前加里东期(?)—加里东期韧性剪切变形变质作用(D_1),发生于中、下地壳,是顺层剪切(固态流变)的结果,为纯韧性变形,②印支期韧性剪切变形变质作用(D_2)——政和—大埔断裂的形成,以平移型剪切为主,形成S——C糜棱岩,为半韧性变形环境;③印支末期—燕山早期逆冲—推覆作用(D_3),为多层次逆冲推覆,东部所谓的“天窗”部分为这一时期逆冲岩片的残留体,随着早燕山期花岗岩的侵入逐渐过渡到伸展拆离环境,同时西部推覆体后缘出现拉张,形成有限的火山岩盆地,为半脆性—脆性变形环境;④燕山期(—喜山期)伸展—拆离作用(D_4),在相对年轻的拆离断层之下出露变质核杂岩(如稻香组和熊山岩体),并形成裂陷盆地堆积(梨山组),东部部分“天窗”属这类成因,形成环境跨度大,为半韧性→半脆性→脆性。     

Vacuum energy in a Friedmann-Lemaître cosmos

The Science of Nature -