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81.
Keigo Akimoto Fuminori Sano Takashi Homma Kenichi Wada Miyuki Nagashima Junichiro Oda 《Sustainability Science》2012,7(2):157-168
This study focuses on analyses of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions, from the perspective of interrelationships among
time points and countries, in order to seek effective reductions. We assessed GHG emission reduction potentials and costs
in 2020 and 2030 by country and sector, using a GHG emission reduction-assessment model of high resolution regarding region
and technology, and of high consistency with intertemporal, interregional, and intersectoral relationships. Global GHG emission
reduction potentials relative to baseline emissions in 2020 are 8.4, 14.7, and 18.9 GtCO2eq. at costs below 20, 50, and 100 $/tCO2eq., corresponding to +19, −2, and −7 %, respectively, relative to 2005. The emission reduction potential for 2030 is greater
than that for 2020, mainly because many energy supply and energy-intensive technologies have long lifetimes and more of the
current key facilities will be extant in 2020 than in 2030. The emission reduction potentials in 2030 are 12.6, 22.0, and
26.6 GtCO2eq. at costs below 20, 50, and 100 $/tCO2eq., corresponding to +19, −2, and −7 %, respectively, relative to 2005. The emission reduction potential for 2030 is greater
than that for 2020, mainly because many energy supply and energy-intensive technologies have long lifetimes and more of the
current key facilities will be extant in 2020 than in 2030. The emission reduction potentials in 2030 are 12.6, 22.0, and
26.6 GtCO2eq. at costs below 20, 50, and 100 /tCO2eq., corresponding to +33, +8, and −3 %, respectively, relative to 2005. Global emission reduction potentials at a cost below
50 $/tCO2eq. for nuclear power and carbon capture and storage are 2.3 and 2.2 GtCO2eq., respectively, relative to baseline emissions in 2030. Longer-term perspectives on GHG emission reductions toward 2030
will yield more cost-effective reduction scenarios for 2020 as well. 相似文献
82.
The influence of anthropogenic activities,especially artificial dykes,on the coastal wetland landscape is now considered as a serious problem to the coastal ecosystem.It is important and necessary to analyze changes of coastal landscape pattern under the influence of artificial dykes for the protection and management of coastal wetland.Our study aimed to reveal the quantitative characteristics of the coastal wetland landscape and its spatial-temporal dynamics under the influence of artificial dykes in the Yellow River delta(YRD).It was analyzed by the methods of the statistical analysis of landscape structure,five selected landscape indices and the changes of spatial centroids of three typical wetland types,including reed marshes,tidal fiats and aquaculture-salt fields.The results showed that:(1)Reduction of wetland area,especially the degradation of natural wetlands,had been the principal problem since the dykes were constructed in the YRD.The dykes created conditions for the development of artificial wetlands.However,the new born artificial wetlands were still less than the vanished natural wetlands.(2)Compared with the open area,the building of artificial dykes significantly speeded up the changes of landscape patterns and the aggravation of the landscape fragmentation in the closed area.(3)The changes of area-weighted centroids of three typical wetland landscapes were greatly affected by dykes,and the movement of the centroid of the aquaculture-salt field was very sensitive to the dykes constructed in the corresponding period. 相似文献
83.
Abstract Land-use change is an important aspect of global environment change. It is, in a sense, the direct result of human activities influencing our physical environment. This paper analyzed the land- use change in Northeast China during 1985–2000 based on Landsat TM images. It divides Northeast China into five land-use zones based on the dynamic degree model of land-use: woodland/grassland-arable land conversion zone, dry land-paddy field conversion zone; urban expansion zone, interlocked zone of farming and pasturing and reclamation and abandon zone. The findings include the obvious increase of cropland area, paddy field and dry land increased by 75 and 276 thousand hm2 respectively; urban areas expanded rapidly, areas of town and rural residence increased by 76.8 thousand hm2; areas of forests and grassland decreased sharply with the amounts of 1399 and 1521 thousand hm2 respectively; areas of water body and unused land increased by 148 and 514 thousand hm2 respectively. This paper also discusses the driving forces in each land-use dynamic zone and finds that some key biophysical factors affect conspicuously the conversion of different land-use types. The relation between land-use conversion and DEM, accumulated temperature (≤10°C) and precipitation was analyzed and represented. The land-use changes In Northeast China resulted from the changing macro social and economic factors and local physical elements. Rapid population growth and management changes can explain the shaping of woodland/grassland-cropland conversion zone. The conversion from dry land to paddy field in the dry land-paddy field conversion zone, apart from the change of physical elements promoting the expansion of paddy field, results from two reasons: one is that the implementation of market economy in China has given farmers the right to decide what and how they plant their crops, the other factor is originated partially from the change of the dietary habit along with the social and economic development. The conversion from paddy field to dry land is caused primarily by the shortfall of irrigation water, which in turn is caused by poor water allocation managed by local governments. The shaping of the reclamation and abandon zone is partially due to the lack of environment protection consciousness among pioneer settlers. The reason for the conversion from grassland to cropland is the relatively higher profits of farming than that of pasturing in the interlocked zone of farming and pasturing. In Northeast China, the rapid expansion of built-up areas results from two factors: the existence of a small number of towns and the huge potential for expansion of the existing towns and cities. The urban land expanded mainly in areas with a gentle topographic relief and low population density. 相似文献
84.
Renewable energy sources are mainly used in the electrical sector. Electricity is not a storable commodity. Hence, it is necessary
to produce the requested quantity and distribute it through the system in such a way as to ensure that electricity supply
and demand are always evenly balanced. This constraint is actually the main problem related to the penetration of new renewables (wind and photovoltaic power)
in the context of complex energy systems. The paper analyzes some aspects in connection with the problem of new renewable
energy penetration. The case of Italian scenario is considered as a meaningful reference due to the characteristic size and
the complexity of the same. The various energy scenarios are evaluated with the aid of a multipurpose software taking into
account the interconnections between the different energetic uses. In particular, it is shown how the penetration of new renewable
energies is limited at an upper level by technological considerations and it will be more sustainable if an integration of
the various energy use (thermal, mobility and electrical) field will be considered. 相似文献
85.
Colin Thor West 《Environment, Development and Sustainability》2011,13(1):217-235
The Arctic is a region of the world experiencing extremely rapid climatic and social change. Indigenous communities have faced
similar challenges for millennia and have historically demonstrated remarkable resilience to socioecological perturbations.
In contemporary contexts, however, it appears that the pace and extent of change is overwhelming the adaptive capacities of
many indigenous communities. Scholars recently completed a survey of living conditions spanning the circumpolar Arctic to
quantitatively document the impacts of social and ecological stress across regions. The database they created is called the
Survey of Living Conditions in the Arctic or SLiCA. This article explores the utility of using this dataset to compare livelihood
systems across three sub-regions of Alaska and four sub-regions within the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug of the Russian Federation.
The results point out that livelihood systems in Chukotka have a substantially lower level of sustainability than in Northwest
Alaska due to the high prevalence of vulnerable households. 相似文献
86.
Julius H. Kotir 《Environment, Development and Sustainability》2011,13(3):587-605
Sub-Saharan Africa has been portrayed as the most vulnerable region to the impacts of global climate change because of its
reliance on agriculture which is highly sensitive to weather and climate variables such as temperature, precipitation, and
light and extreme events and low capacity for adaptation. This article reviews evidence on the scope and nature of the climate
change challenge; and assesses the impact of climate change on agriculture and food security in Sub-Saharan Africa. From the
review, it is apparent that the climate in Africa is already exhibiting significant changes, evident by changes in average
temperature, change in amount of rainfall and patterns and the prevalence of frequency and intensity of weather extremes.
The review also revealed that although uncertainties exist with regards to the magnitude of impacts, climate will negatively
affect agricultural production in Sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, as result of current and expected climate change, the
area suitable for agriculture, the length of growing seasons and yield potential, particularly along the margins of semi-arid
and arid areas, are expected to decrease. These impacts will affect all components of food security: food availability, food accessibility, food utilisation and food stability and hence increase the risk of hunger in the region. The review thus confirms the general consensus that Sub-Saharan Africa
is the most vulnerable region to climate change. It suggests that, policymakers and development agencies should focus on formulating
and implementing policies and programmes that promote farm level adaptation strategies currently being practiced by farmers
across the region. 相似文献
87.
Kuldeep Ojha 《Environment, Development and Sustainability》2011,13(1):203-215
Many Indian cities are facing serious problems in managing solid wastes with rise in population and urbanization. This article assesses the existing state of municipal solid waste management (MSWM) in northern India with the aim of identifying the major obstacles to its efficiency and the prospects for improvisation of the solid waste management system in the region. The existing solid waste management system in the region is found to be highly inefficient. Primary and secondary collection, transportation and open dumping are the only activities practiced that too in a non-technical manner. Many cities in region face serious problems in managing solid wastes. The annual waste generation increases in proportion to the rises in population and urbanization. This paper systematically assesses the obstacles in the existing solid waste management system in the urban areas of region and also tries to assess the potentials for its improvisation. 相似文献
88.
Chang-Qing Ke Dong Zhang Fu-Qiang Wang Shu-Xing Chen Christance Schmullius Wolfgang-Martin Boerner Hui Wang 《Regional Environmental Change》2011,11(1):161-173
Coastal zones provide habitat cores and corridors that maintain the diversity of entire landscapes, and they can form the
cornerstone elements of regional conservation strategies. Natural environmental driving factors and excessive anthropogenic
activities play important roles in coastal wetland change. Many studies have used remote sensing images to map and assess
coastal wetland change on local or regional scales. This paper aims to provide insight into coastal wetland change in the
Yancheng National Nature Reserve (YNNR) using remote sensing technology and landscape metrics analysis. The results reveal
that grass flat and reed areas have significantly decreased, whereas agriculture fields, aquaculture ponds and built-up areas
have continuously increased from 1988 to 2006. The spatial pattern of the coastal landscape has become fragmented and heterogeneous
under great pressure from rapid economic development and population growth. The wetland changes have important impacts on
natural habitat of the red-crowned cranes. The results of this study provide basic information that is required for developing
measures toward a sustainable management and conservation of the YNNR. 相似文献
89.
Rapid land-use change arising from incentives for afforestation has created tensions in rural communities previously dominated
by agricultural enterprises. This paper reports on an innovative experiment with social learning that incorporated participatory
modelling to resolve community concerns in a case study of plantation forestry in the Upper Clarence catchment of north-eastern
NSW Australia. The development of a diagnostic framework helped identify socioeconomic and environmental issues within the
community for investigation by a self-selected participatory advisory committee (PAC) representing a diversity of views. Implementation
of a social learning exercise offered empathetic and intellectual engagement among PAC members that maintained interest, built
confidence, and improved problem-solving capacity while fostering group ownership over decision making. A shared understanding
of dynamic landscape problems helped empower participants to collaboratively develop solutions for improved management and
operational practices, and cooperate to explore further options for plantation industry development under existing policy
guidelines which are presented in this paper. As a result of frank discussions between diverse stakeholders in a mutually
respectful learning environment that combined local, scientific and expert knowledge, concerns dissipated and participants
developed a more favourable view of plantation forestry activity. 相似文献
90.
Recent changes in flood preparedness of private households and businesses in Germany 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Heidi Kreibich Isabel Seifert Annegret H. Thieken Eric Lindquist Klaus Wagner Bruno Merz 《Regional Environmental Change》2011,11(1):59-71
Using the focusing event framework, a comprehensive analysis of private households’ and businesses’ preparedness was undertaken in the aftermath of the 2002 and 2006 flood events on the Elbe River in Germany. In August 2002, preparedness of households (n = 235) and businesses (n = 103) was low: 30% of the households and 54% of the businesses took no precautionary measures before the flood event. Many undertaken emergency measures were ineffective, since only 26% of all households knew how to react when the flood warning came, and only 9% of businesses had an emergency plan in place. Due to this extreme flood, double-loop learning occurred in many households and businesses, so that many did implement precautionary measures. The distribution of adopted precautionary measures for households fits well to Preisendörfer’s low-cost hypothesis, but does not apply for businesses. Only 10% of the households (n = 112), but still 29% of the businesses (n = 41) were unprepared before the flood in 2006. Significant improvement in flood preparedness activities is still necessary. Particularly for businesses, regulatory programs and programs encouraging proactive behaviour should be implemented. The focusing event framework proofed to be a useful tool for a differentiated analysis of the responses to and learning due to a disaster also in the commercial and private sector. 相似文献