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Model-based scenarios of water use in two semi-arid Brazilian states   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Sustainability-oriented water management calls for scenarios of future water use. Model-based qualitative-quantitative scenarios combine the development of story lines and the quantification of driving forces with the application of a water use model. In order to support regional planning in two semi-arid Brazilian states suffering from water scarcity, the water use model NoWUM was applied to derive two reference scenarios of municipality-specific sectorial water uses (irrigation, livestock, household, industry and tourism), and to assess the impact of certain interventions. Until 2025, the extension of irrigation accounts for almost 80% of the additional water withdrawals and for an even higher fraction of consumptive use in both scenarios. Domestic and industrial use increases in regions with high immigration, but water use intensities can be controlled by appropriate water pricing. A significant improvement of the developed scenarios is only possible if better data on water use and its driving forces become available. Electronic Publication  相似文献   
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The ascidian branchial basket is functionally responsible for pumping water through the animal. Within Ascidiacea the branchial basket and the stigmata are morphologically variable and these features are important taxonomical characters. However, the functional significance of this morphological variation has not been studied in great detail. Here, we have measured filtration rates in seven ascidians: Clavelina lepadiformis (Order Aplousobranchiata); Ciona intestinalis, Corella parallelogramma, Ascidia virginea (Order Phlebobranchiata); Boltenia echinata, Molgula manhattensis, Pyura tessellata (Order Stolidobranchiata) and compared these rates with the morphological characteristics of the branchial basket and the stigmata. Filtration rates were measured in the laboratory and determined from an exponential reduction in algal cell (Rhodomonas sp.) concentration as a function of time. The branchial baskets of the experimental ascidians were dissected free and photographs were taken of the entire basket and of the stigmata. It was found that filtration rates in the investigated ascidians are determined primarily by the area of the branchial basket and the length of the ciliary band lining the stigmatal openings, and that the form of the stigmatal opening has no impact on filtration rates.  相似文献   
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In this paper railway accident investigation reports issued by the national accident investigation boards in three Scandinavian countries during a 2-year period have been systematically studied. Content analysis of attributed causes in these reports reveals a considerable emphasis on physical processes, actor activities and equipment (the microlevel). Much less attention is paid to organisational factors (the mesolevel) and conditions related to regulators, associations and government (the macrolevel). This means that lessons will primarily be learned about aspects at the lower of these levels. Interviews show that the factors emphasised in investigation reports typically reflect the competences and experiences of the investigators, i.e. they are inclined to focus on areas of their own expertise. Since failures at the microlevel in many cases merely are symptoms of trouble at higher levels, it is argued that competence among investigators that supplements entirely technical or operational backgrounds are necessary for enabling deeper understanding of the factors leading to accidents. One possible way for achieving this is the creation of multi-modal investigation boards that provide a number of potential advantages, such as increased access to specialist competences that are shared between different sectors. Although a multi-modal approach to some degree has been adopted in all three countries, interviews reveal that these positive effects do not emerge automatically. It can therefore be concluded that multi-modal investigation boards offer a number of possible advantages, but only when these synergies are fully exploited can they provide a potential for more effective learning from accidents.  相似文献   
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On the German island Norderney rabbit grazing effects on vegetation, soil and microclimate were investigated with exclosures in different dune vegetation. Differences in species composition between grazed and ungrazed plots increased with grazing activity. A decline in growth height resulted in higher light availability and temperature on the grazed sites. One of the most visible effects was the decline in flowering plants. Most grazing effects varied between habitat types. Grey dunes were distinctly affected by rabbit grazing. In relation to the habitat type, life forms were differently affected: in closed vegetation, rabbit activities further open patches, resulting in more therophytes. In contrast, in open vegetation rabbit activities were too strong and following sand dynamics too high for many therophytes. In general, grazing diversified habitats, slightly supported the total species-richness, and enhanced the heterogeneity of species composition. Highest species-richness in total and of herbs was reached at intermediate levels of grazing pressure. The study is in line that highest species-diversity will be found at intermediate levels of disturbance and environmental stress and that grazing effects vary with the habitat type.  相似文献   
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