Bayesian analysis under ordered functions of parameters

Ordered parameter problems arise in a wide variety of real world situations and are dealt with extensively in the literature. Traditional frequentist methods for dealing with these problems are rather complicated theoretically, especially when sample sizes are small. Bayesian methods are not widely used because high dimensional numerical integration is often required. However, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods provide alternatives to such numerical integration and also deal with ordered parameter problems in a straightforward manner. Little is known about the situation where functions of parameters are ordered. Such problems may seem to be of little practical concern initially, but one can readily see their importance in situations where ordering is placed on the means and variances of several normal or Gamma populations. For the Gamma distribution we will present real examples where we will analyze monthly precipitation data from San Francisco, California and Oakland Mills, Iowa. For the San Francisco data we will simultaneously order both monthly precipitation means and variances. For the Iowa data we will place ordering on seasonal average while still estimating monthly means. Our results show that we would obtain sharper, more accurate inference when order restrictions are employed.     

海洋酸化与重金属、有机污染物和人工纳米颗粒的联合毒性效应研究进展

由于大量人类活动的影响,大气CO_2浓度持续增加,其中约1/3被海洋吸收,导致表层海水pH值降低和碳酸盐平衡体系波动,即"海洋酸化"现象。污染物的海洋环境效应一直是全球环境科学领域研究的热点。在实际环境中,海洋酸化往往与污染物共同存在并作用于海洋生态系统,且海洋酸化极有可能改变污染物的海洋环境行为从而影响其毒性效应。但现有研究大多针对海洋酸化或者污染物单独作用下的毒性效应展开,对海洋酸化与污染物的联合毒性效应的研究不足、亟待加强。为此,综述了近年来海洋酸化与典型污染物(重金属、有机污染物)及新型污染物(人工纳米颗粒)的相关文献,重点阐述了海洋酸化对污染物环境行为的影响和海洋酸化与污染物对海洋生物的联合毒性效应,指出当前的研究不足,并对未来的研究方向进行了展望。     

一起桥式起重机伤亡事故的原因及预防措施

本文介绍了一起桥式起重机伤亡事故的经过、发生事故的原因,认为是设备存在严重隐患和管理不完善。提出了预防起重机械事故的措施。     

平纹滤布除尘性能的研究

从织物的结构来分析过滤的机理,推导出颗粒通过滤布的理论计算式,并用实际滤布作试验来验证该计算式的可靠性。     

应变仪用于桥式起重机主梁强度检测

桥式起重机的主梁强度可以采用静态应变仪测试,通过一个实例介绍了该方法的测试过程及数据处理技术。     

长江口湿地资源生物的可持续利用

长江口湿地是我国一块重要的滨海湿地,蕴含了丰富的自然资源,这些自然资源为当地乃至更广领域的经济发展都作出了重要的贡献。本文主要探讨该湿地生态系统中六种具有代表性资源生物的利用现状。这六种资源生物是中华绒螯蟹苗、日本鳗鲡苗、缢蛏、河蚬、芦苇和海三棱草。它们在维持河口生态系统的稳定性和连续性上具有其他许多生物所不可替代的作用。目前由于种种原因,这些资源的持续发展已受到了一定的威胁,造成它们资源现存量下降的主要原因是过度捕捞、受污严重及围垦滩涂等一些因素。如何正确利用和保护这些资源已是一项急待解决的问题,针对这些问题为可持续利用它们提出了一些相应的对策和建议。     

地面运动转动分量的合成方法

假设近场地面运动由体波产生（忽略面波的影响）,根据弹性半空间的平面谐波理论,提出了利用平动分量加速度记录合成地面转动加速时程的方法。该方法考虑了由于实际介质的不均匀性而产生的地震波频散现象。     

气相色谱法测定大气中烯烃的研究

采用硅胶－ＡｇＮＯ３富集样品,热解吸进样,气相色谱法分析大气中的烃一,富集过程在常温下进行。当富集样品０．１Ｌ时,乙烯,丙烯,丁二烯的最小检有度分别为０．０００６ｍｇ／ｍ＾３,０．００１ｍｇ／ｍ＾３、０．００４ｍｇ／ｍ＾３,相对标准偏差小于６％,加标回收率９７％－１０９％。     

Review of studies on environmental impacts of recreation and tourism in Australia

The paper provides a review of available information on the impact of recreation and tourism on environments, particularly on vegetation and soil, in Australia, with an emphasis on forests. Efforts have been made to compare the current research and development situation in Australia with some overseas countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom. While many documents reveal that Australia has been experiencing an increasingly high level of recreation and tourism use in its environments, only limited studies of environmental impacts of recreation and tourism have been published. Compared with other developed countries, particularly the United Kingdom and the United States, Australia lags behind in undertaking research in this area. The results of these limited studies and some observations indicate that the most common recreational and tourist activities (such as bush walking, camping, horse-riding) can, if not well managed, adversely affect the values of Australian natural and semi-natural resources. Overall, they can affect the vegetation and other recreational sites physically and biologically. Physical effects include track formation, soil loss and/or compaction and an increase in fire frequency. Littering and water pollution are also seen as impacts associated with bush walking and camping. Biological effects include causing damage to vegetation, increasing risk of myrtle wilt disease and the spread of the soil pathogen,Phytophthora cinnamomi, as well as assisting weed dispersal. Based on the information reviewed, the authors suggest the following areas as priorities for future research into the environmental impact of recreation and tourism in Australia: determine the type of natural features that attract recreation use; determine the quantitative relationship between the impact and the level of recreation and tourism use for different activities within major vegetation habitats; ascertain site carrying capacity or environment thresholds for major vegetation habitats and recreation activities; and determine the impacts of recreation and tourism for major regions and major vegetation habitats where there have been considerable nature-based recreation and tourism activities.1998 Academic Press     

Rapid ecotoxicological assessment of heavy metal combined polluted soil using canonical analysis

IntroductionElevatedconcentrationofheavymetalssuchascopperandcadmiumexistinmanyagriculturalsoilsfromminingactivities(Chen ,2 0 0 0 ;Dudka ,1 997;Lambert,1 997)andfrommanagementpracticesincludingirrigationwithsewageandutilizationofsewagesludge(Clapp ,1 994) .Onceheavymetalsenteredintosoils,regardlessthesources,theywouldnotonlybeaccumulatedbyorganisms,butalsocirculateinthefoodchain (Uhlig ,2 0 0 0 ;Barcan ,1 998) .Furthermore ,theirramificationwouldberetainedinsoilecosystemwithtoxicconcentrati…