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991.
Mohamed Galal Eltarabily Abdelazim M. Negm Chihiro Yoshimura Jiro Takemura 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2018,23(3):289-308
Different scenarios of recharge and discharge were assessed for sustainable management of groundwater in Quaternary aquifer east of Nile Delta. MODFLOW was utilized to investigate the effect of land use change and damming construction in the upstream of the Nile River on the current and short-term groundwater management strategies. The interpretive transient simulation was performed between 2004 and 2016 after steady-state calibration in 2004, and transient state from 2004 to 2013 with different irrigation recharges associated with land use change in this period. Sensitivity analysis was performed for hydraulic conductivities, recharge, and conductance parameters. The predictive transient simulation was run till 2023 under three scenarios of increasing pumping rates by 15, 30, and 50% for agriculture expansion and specified head reduction of Port Said Canal by 0.2, 0.4, and 0.6 m associated with the reduction of Nile water levels after Grand Ethiopian Residence Dam, GERD operation in 2017. Results from the in- and out-flow budgets showed that groundwater aquifer is stable at the current rate of pumping till 2023. Groundwater heads decreased by 0.2 and 0.42 m in the southern section, and a slight increase in the northern part was noticed for the first and second scenarios, respectively. When additional pumping stress is applied (50% increase), groundwater head dropped by 0.66 m, and the storage is no longer able to maintain the aquifer capacity after 2020 (worst-case scenario). 相似文献
992.
Fernandes CE Das A Nath BN Faria DG Loka Bharathi PA 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2012,184(5):2677-2689
We investigated the influence on bacterial community and biochemical variables through mechanical disturbance of sediment-akin
to small-scale mining in Kalbadevi beach, Ratnagiri, a placer-rich beach ecosystem which is a potential mining site. Changes
were investigated by comparing three periods, namely phase I before disturbance, phase II just after disturbance, and phase
III 24 h after disturbance as the bacterial generation time is ≤7 h. Cores from dune, berm, high-, mid-, and low-tide were
examined for changes in distribution of total bacterial abundance, total direct viability (counts under aerobic and anaerobic
conditions), culturability and biochemical parameters up to 40 cm depth. Results showed that bacterial abundance decreased
by an order from 106 cells g − 1 sediment, while, viability reduced marginally. Culturability on different-strength nutrient broth increased by 155% during
phase II. Changes in sedimentary proteins, carbohydrates, and lipids were marked at berm and dune and masked at other levels
by tidal influence. Sedimentary ATP reduced drastically. During phase III, Pearson’s correlation between these variables evolved
from non-significant to significant level. Thus, simulated disturbance had a mixed effect on bacterial and biochemical variables
of the sediments. It had a negative impact on bacterial abundance, viability and ATP but positive impact on culturability.
Viability, culturability, and ATP could act as important indicators reflecting the disturbance in the system at short time
intervals. Culturability, which improved by an order, could perhaps be a fraction that contributes to restoration of the system
at bacterial level. This baseline information about the potential mining site could help in developing rational approach towards
sustainable harnessing of resources with minimum damage to the ecosystem. 相似文献
993.
Water blending is modelled as a combination of a linear program and a stochastic dynamic program. Optimal policies are found
for linear and integer-linear formulations using both an expected monetary value and conditional value-at-risk criterion.
The sensitivity of these solutions to the discretisation over volume and over time is investigated. 相似文献
994.
Rui Guo Wenya Zhang Shiwei Ai Liang Ren Yingmei Zhang 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2017,189(6):293
Oxidative stress (OS) and fluctuating asymmetry (FA) as risk markers for environmental stress are widely used to predict changes in the health and fitness of many animals exposed to pollutants. However, from the perspective of protecting declining amphibians, it remains to be verified which one would be a reliable indicator for amphibians exposed to long-term heavy metal pollution under natural conditions. In this study, the OS and FA of Bufo raddei exposed to natural heavy metal pollution were analyzed to determine which marker is more accurate for indicating heavy metal-induced stress. Three years of data were collected during the breeding season of B. raddei from Baiyin (BY), which has been mainly contaminated with Cu, Zn, Pb, and Cd compounds for a long period, and from Liujiaxia (LJX), which is a relatively unpolluted area. Unexpectedly, although significant accumulation of the four heavy metals was found in the kidney and liver of B. raddei from BY, the levels of superoxide dismutase, glutathione peroxidase, and malondialdehyde in these two organs were found to be irregular, with low repeatability in both BY and LJX. However, significant differences in the levels of FA were observed in B. raddei populations from these two areas over the past 3 years (P < 0.01). The degrees of FA in B. raddei populations from BY and LJX were assessed as degree 4 and 1, respectively. In short, this study suggested that FA was a more reliable and effective indicator than OS to monitor and predict long-term environmental stress on anuran amphibians. 相似文献
995.
Ans M. Mouton Andy P. Dedecker Sovan Lek Peter L. M. Goethals 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2010,15(1):65-79
This study aimed to compare different methods to analyse the contribution of individual river characteristics to predict the
abundance of Asellus (Crustacea, Isopoda). Six methods which provide the relative contribution and/or the contribution profile of the input variables
of artificial neural network models were therefore compared: (1) the ‘partial derivatives’ method; (2) the ‘weights’ method;
(3) the ‘perturb’ method; (4) the ‘profile’ method; (5) the ‘classical stepwise’ method; (6) the ‘improved stepwise’ method.
Consequently, the key variables which affect the habitat preferences of Asellus could be identified. To evaluate the performance of the artificial neural network model, the model predictions were compared
with the results of a multiple linear regression analysis. The dataset consisted of 179 samples, collected over a 3-year period
in the Zwalm catchment in Flanders, Belgium. Twenty-four environmental variables as well as the log-transformed abundance
of Asellus were used in this study. The different contribution methods seemed to give similar results concerning the order of importance
of the input variables. Nevertheless, their diverse computation led to differences in sensitivity and stability of the methods
and the derived outcomes on the habitat preferences. From an ecological point of view, the environmental variables describing
the stream type (width, depth, stream order and distance to mouth) were the most significant variables for Asellus in the Zwalm catchment during the period 2000–2002 for all applied methods. Indirectly, one can conclude that the water quality
is not the limiting factor for the survival of Asellus in the Zwalm catchment. 相似文献
996.
Jacek Żeliński Dorota Kaleta Jolanta Telenga-Kopyczyńska 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2017,22(1):17-26
This paper addresses an empirical method of assessment of the height of a virtual point source. In order to achieve such assessment, three planes defining the location of a virtual point source in a space are created and formulas describing the geometry of observer’s sight and plume orientation are used. Data for calculations are obtained on a basis of plume photographs. The final position of a virtual emission point is described by a set of its coordinates in the Cartesian coordinate system. Presented method may be applied as a means to verify and validate the existing formulas describing the rise of plume above the stack exit or as a tool enabling acquisition of information for the sake of creating new formulas of this type. The calculation of the location of a virtual point source ascribed to the point emission from the roof of the bank of coke oven is presented and illustrated with photographs which reveal position of plume, adequate planes, axes and characteristic objects. 相似文献
997.
Ilijević K Gržetić I Živadinov I Popović A 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2012,184(5):2805-2828
Seasonal spatial and temporal changes of selected eco-chemical parameters in section of the Danube River flowing through Serbia
were analyzed. Data for electrical conductivity (EC), dry and suspended matter, residue on ignition, chemical oxygen demand
(COD), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD-5), ultraviolet extinction, dissolved oxygen (DO), oxygen saturation, pH, nitrates,
total phosphorus, and nitrogen were collected between 1992 and 2006. The use of monthly medians combined with linear regression
and two-sided t test has been proven to be the best approach for resolving trends from natural variability of investigated parameters and
for determining trend significance. Patterns of temporal changes between different months were examined. It was also determined
that spatial trends of some parameters oscillate in predictable manner, increasing in one part of the year and declining in
the other. Regression slope coefficients, an excellent indicator for determining when the water quality is changing the most
along the course of the Danube, reach their maximum during summer for temperature (t), electric conductivity, nitrates, and total N, while in the same season suspended matter, COD, BOD-5, DO, and oxygen saturation
coefficients reach their minimum. Correlations for used data sets of selected parameters were analyzed for better understanding
of their behavior and mutual relations. It was observed that as Danube flows through Serbia, its general eco-chemical status
either stagnates or improves, but the rate of river self-purification often depends on the season of the year. 相似文献
998.
Sari Uusheimo Tiina Tulonen Lauri Arvola Hanna Arola Jarmo Linjama Timo Huttula 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2017,189(7):357
Compared with sporadic conventional water sampling, continuous water-quality monitoring with optical sensors has improved our understanding of freshwater dynamics. The basic principle in photometric measurements is the incident light at a given wavelength that is either reflected, scattered, or transmitted in the body of water. Here, we discuss the transmittance measurements. The amount of transmittance is inversely proportional to the concentration of the substance measured. However, the transmittance is subject to interference, because it can be affected by factors other than the substance targeted in the water. In this study, interference with the UV/Vis sensor nitrate plus nitrite measurements caused by organic carbon was evaluated. Total or dissolved organic carbon as well as nitrate plus nitrite concentrations were measured in various boreal waters with two UV/Vis sensors (5-mm and 35-mm pathlengths), using conventional laboratory analysis results as references. Organic carbon increased the sensor nitrate plus nitrite results, not only in waters with high organic carbon concentrations, but also at the lower concentrations (< 10 mg C L?1) typical of boreal stream, river, and lake waters. Our results demonstrated that local calibration with multiple linear regression, including both nitrate plus nitrite and dissolved organic carbon, can correct the error caused by organic carbon. However, high-frequency optical sensors continue to be excellent tools for environmental monitoring when they are properly calibrated for the local water matrix. 相似文献
999.
The paper presents two aspects concerned with the mercury air emission inventory from coal-fired public power and energy plants: an uncertainty analysis, using Monte Carlo simulation (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 44(247), 335–341 1949) and the monthly distributions applying the Denton-Cholette approach (Dagum & Cholette 2006). The analysis determines uncertainty about the estimates mercury air emission from 1990 to 2012 including the development of air pollution control (APC) technologies in the Polish public power and energy sector, also the monthly distributions in comparison with previously obtained results (H?awiczka 2008). The uncertainty of mercury (Hg) content in fuel is 31.6% for hard coal and 42.4% for brown coal. The confidence interval for the estimated emission changed from [kg] (16,082.2; 16,242.2) in 1990 to (10,525.9;10,671.1) in 2012. However, the Denton-Cholette approach overestimates the emissions for the warmer periods of the year, but it could, however, in our view, be applied to attain the monthly distributions. 相似文献
1000.
P. Richitt V. Webb R. Schonbrod J. Behar 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》1982,2(1-2):171-196
In order to estimate risk to human populations from environmental pollutants, it is necessary to have sound data on the concentrations of chemicals of concern in the affected media and knowledge of exposures of critical population subgroups to these chemicals. The Southeast Ohio Study is developing systematic and scientifically defensible methods for obtaining data on environmental concentrations in various media in the vicinity of critical receptors. This paper describes the study, discusses the technical approaches and gives some preliminary results. 相似文献