A Note on Comparison of Statistical and Analytical Results for Calculating Oxides of Nitrogen Concentrations

A question often asked about analytical diffusion models is “How do the analytical results for calculating pollution concentrations compare with those obtained by statistical techniques?” Miller and Holzworth (1967) have developed a simple analytical diffusion model that yields relative pollution concentrations, x/Q, as a function of afternoon mixing depth, mean transport wind speed, and city size. This analytical model may also be used in reverse to determine apparent afternoon source strengths from observed afternoon pollution concentrations. The apparent source strengths may then be used with the model on independent data to estimate pollution concentrations. It is the purpose of this note to compare results of calculating average afternoon concentrations of oxides of nitrogen (NO_x) by use of the Miller-Holzworth model with those obtained from statistical regression equations.     

Interactions of Environmental Factors on the Sensitivity of Plants to Air Pollution

Before potential damage to vegetation can be adequately forecast, even after an air pollution alert has been placed in effect, a clear understanding of the interactions of environment on plant sensitivity must be ascertained. This involves detailed study of single factors and then multiple factors using the phytotoxicants in question. Factors studied or suggested include light (quality, intensity, and duration), temperature, carbon dioxide concentration, humidity, wind, soil moisture, soil aeration, nutrient levels, and soil texture. This paper presents a review of the work relating plant injury to specific air pollutants as conditioned by several environmental conditions supported by research on the interactions of ozone with these environmental conditions.     

Ozone Dosage Response of Ponderosa Pine Seedlings

Photochemical oxidant injury to ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Laws) is a severe problem in the southern California mountains. Three-year-old ponderosa pines fumigated in controlled environment chambers with ozone at 0.15, 0.30, or 0.45 ppm had apparent photosynthesis rates reduced by 10, 70, and 85%, respectively, after 30 days exposure. A fumigation with 0.30 ppm ozone for 33 days depressed the cold perchloric acid extracted polysaccharides of both current and one-year-old needles by 40%. The 80% ethanol soluble sugar concentration of current year, ozone-injured needles increased 16% and that of the one-year-old needles decreased slightly. Both carbohydrate fractions of control trees in carbon-filtered air increased moderately. Higher, endogenous concentrations of ascorbic acid in needles did not protect the tissue from ozone injury. Apparent photosynthesis rate was a sensitive index for ozone dosage response. Needle carbohydrate depletion probably induces premature abscission.     

The Removal of Particulate Matter from Fluid Bed Catalytic Cracking Unit Stack Gases

The application of a high-efficiency centrifugal type of separator to fluid bed catalytic cracking units is described in which most of the catalyst particles often lost to the atmosphere are concentrated into a small part of the stack gas (2%). A further separation can then be made on this small stream by an auxiliary separator which further concentrates the catalyst particle into 0.1% of the initia stream. Performance of the main and auxiliary separators are such as to reduce the loss of catalyst particles in the stack gas from 800 ppm to less than 60 ppm in a typical unit. Large amounts of power can be recovered by application of expander turbines to catalytic cracking plants employing this system of separation.     

Sulfur Dioxide Removal and Recovery from Pulp Mill Power Plants

The use of soda ash liquor to scrub SO₂ rich power plant flue gases was studied using an Airetron pilot scrubber with a maximum capacity of 3000 cfm. The relative effects of the major operating variables— temperature, soda ash concentration, and the gas/liquid flow ratio—on the absorption phenomenon were determined. Orthogonal factorial experiments were used to derive a response function relating mass transfer values to operating variables. The economics of a full scale NSSC installation are discussed.     

A Program Analysis

A comprehensive analysis of inspection maintenance programs is proposed. Effectiveness, costs to the state and to the individual, distribution of cost and benefits, and political and administrative feasibility are examined. Effectiveness is probably the most difficult aspect to project because of changes in design and consequences of maintenance repair on performance. However, using sensitivity analysis, substantial reductions in hydrocarbons and carbon monoxide are foreseen, along with a slight increase in NO_x emissions.

The cost to the state to administer the program is estimated to be between $2.00 and $2.50 per vehicle, which could be covered by the inspection fee. The other direct costs for the driver, lost time, travel, and repairs, may be offset by fuel and tuneup savings which could amount to as much as 50% of the repair bill. Analysis of distribution costs and indirect social consequences cannot be completed until additional information about the effect of income on maintenance is generated. Politically the program is feasible but depends on public support which in turn is sensitive to direct repair costs. Administratively the program suffers greatly if private repair facilities do not have enough adequately trained mechanics.

It is concluded that the benefits of an inspection program do not convincingly outweigh the high costs, possible adverse social impacts, and public opposition and that other alternatives should be examined.     

The Effect of Fuel Composition on Atmospheric Aerosol Due to Auto Exhaust

Aerosols attributable to automobile exhaust can be classified as two types—primary aerosol (initially present in the exhaust) and secondary aerosol (generated photochemically from hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides in the exhaust). In this study, investigation was made of possible effects of motor-fuel composition on the formation of these aerosols. Secondary aerosol, of principal interest in this work, was produced by irradiating auto exhaust in Battelle-Columbus’ 610 ft³ environmental chamber. A limited number of determinations of primary aerosol in diluted auto exhaust was made at the exit of a 36 ft dilution runnel. Determination of both primary and secondary aerosol was based on light-scattering measurements.

Exhaust was generated with seven full-boiling motor gasolines, both leaded and nonleaded, in a 1967 Chevrolet which was not equipped with exhaust-emission control devices. Changes in fuel composition produced a maximum factor of three difference in light scattering due to primary aerosol. Aerosol yields, for consecutive driving cycles on the same fuel, vary considerably; as a result, ranking the fuels on the basis of average primary aerosol yield was not very meaningful. In addition to fuel composition, the more important independent variables are initial SO₂ concentration, relative humidity and initial hydrocarbon concentration. Statistical analysis of the data indicates that the seven test fuels can be divided into two arbitrary groups with regard to secondary aerosol-forming potential. The fuels in the lower light-scattering group had aromatic contents of 15 and 21%, while those in the higher light-scattering group had aromatic contents of 25, 48, and 55%. Although the fuels can be grouped on the basis of a compositional factor, the grouping of fuels with aromatic content ranging from 25 to 55% indicates that this compositional factor cannot be equated simply with aromatic content. In an associated study of the aerosol-forming potential of individual hydrocarbons prominent in auto exhaust, it was observed that aromatics produce substantially more photochemical aerosol than olefins and paraffins. However, experiments with binar/hydrocarbon mixtures containing aromatjcs, as well as in these exhaust experiments, a strong dependence of aerosol yield on the aromatic components is is not observed. Thus, the data indicate that the dependence of secondary aerosol formation on fuel factors is a complex one and cannot be predicted solely on the basis of a sirigle hydrocarbon component reactivity scale.

The two types of automobile aerosol did not have the same dependence on fuel, composition. The variation in total light scattering attributable to primary plus secondary aerosol was less than that due to either component alone. It therefore was concluded that the light scattering due to automobile exhaust emissions in these experiments was not significantly affected by changing fuel composition.     

An Air Pollution Incident Due to a Stationary Front

In January 1971, the New York City area experienced a period of high pollution in which concentrations exceeded the present criteria for Stage I of the New York City Alert-Warning System. The incident was unusual because the high concentrations were associated with a weak frontal system which moved back and forth over the area and not with a stagnating anticyclone. Concentrations of pollutants were found to be closely related to the movement of the frontal system as well as to changes in wind speed and stability. Climatological criteria for identifying-periods of potential high air pollution and the criteria for mixing heights, transport wind speed and ventilation factors necessary for the issuance of an official advisory from the National Meteorological Center were not met during this incident. Therefore, some re-evaluation and redefinition of these criteria are recommended.     

Honorary Memberships

Honorary Memberships are conferred by the Air Pollution Control Association on persons of widely recognized eminence in some part of the field of air pollution control or who have rendered especially meritorious service to the Association. Honorary Memberships were awarded this year to Dr. Leonard Greenburg and Mr. Milton Reizenstein, both past presidents of APCA.