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81.
This study examines the dependency between physical and anthropogenic systems in arable farming. The dynamic simulation model, which has its methodological origins in the modeling traditions of environmental systems analysis and microsimulation, reproduces the mutual links between the physical flows (e.g. energy, materials, emissions, and products), the farmer as a decision-making agent, and structural conditions influencing the farm. In running the model, the intention is to answer the question: What are the impacts on profitability and the environment (i.e. greenhouse gas effects, eutrophication, acidification, and energy use) of variations in prices, subsidies, the farmer's environmental values, and the farmer's skill in making production allocation choices? The results of the model simulations indicate, for example, that in terms of economic performance, a farmer can choose between two relatively sustainable strategies--either to specialize in organic production (thereby benefiting from higher subsidies and output prices), or to focus on conventional cultivation and use of pesticides and fertilizers (thereby benefiting from large yields). Regarding environmental impacts, there was no clear-cut divide between organic and conventional farming due to difficulties in allocating the use of manure. This finding is essentially related to the choice of system boundary, which is thoroughly discussed in the paper. 相似文献
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83.
Environmental policy making is a challenging task. Often the scope of an issue is not fully comprehended, and its future impact is even less well understood. Global warming is one of these environmental issues. The issue is made more complex because, first, there is a question of whether it is a problem at all and, second, unilateral policy making by one nation may not be sufficient or even significant to tackle the problem globally. This article outlines the scientific factors that contribute to global warming and discusses the uncertainties involved. The authors then discuss the ramifications of taking action (policy making) and failing to act (doing nothing) against the background of global warming, greenhouse gases, and cost-benefit analysis. The article concludes by reporting the results of a multidisciplinary panel of experts composed of scientists, economists, and policy analysts who commented on various policy options. 相似文献
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86.
Edwin T. Engman William J. Gburek Leslie H. Parmele James B. Urban 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1971,7(3):495-505
ABSTRACT The problems encountered in estimating scale parameters in interdisciplinary watershed research are discussed. Meteorology, hydrology, geology and water quality are discussed with respect to their individual strengths and weaknesses when applied to different scale problems. Areas where incompatibilities exist are pointed out and suggestions are made for effecting compromise. A watershed scale of roughly a hundred acres may be the scale at which all disciplines can effect optimum interaction. 相似文献
87.
In a predator–prey system where both intervenients come from the same taxon, one can expect a strong selection on behavioural
and morphological traits involved in prey capture. For example, in specialised snake-eating snakes, the predator is unaffetced
by the venom of the prey. We predicted that similar adaptations should have evolved in spider-eating (araneophagous) spiders.
We investigated potential and actual prey of two Palpimanus spiders (P. gibbulus, P. orientalis) to support the prediction that these are araneophagous predators. Specific behavioural adaptations were investigated using
a high-speed camera during staged encounters with prey, while morphological adaptations were investigated using electron microscopy.
Both Palpimanus species captured a wide assortment of spider species from various guilds but also a few insect species. Analysis of the potential
prey suggested that Palpimanus is a retreat-invading predator that actively searches for spiders that hide in a retreat. Behavioural capture adaptations
include a slow, stealthy approach to the prey followed by a very fast attack. Morphological capture adaptations include scopulae
on forelegs used in grabbing prey body parts, stout forelegs to hold the prey firmly, and an extremely thick cuticle all over
the body preventing injury from a counter bite of the prey. Palpimanus overwhelmed prey that was more than 200% larger than itself. In trials with another araneophagous spider, Cyrba algerina (Salticidae), Palpimanus captured C. algerina in more than 90% of cases independent of the size ratio between the spiders. Evidence indicates that both Palpimanus species possesses remarkable adaptations that increase its efficiency in capturing spider prey. 相似文献
88.
Malenica N Simon S Besendorfer V Maletić E Kontić JK Pejić I 《Die Naturwissenschaften》2011,98(9):763-772
Reconstruction of the grapevine cultivation history has advanced tremendously during the last decade. Identification of grapevine
cultivars by using microsatellite DNA markers has mostly become a routine. The parentage of several renowned grapevine cultivars,
like Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay, has been elucidated. However, the assembly of a complete grapevine genealogy is not
yet possible because missing links might no longer be in cultivation or are even extinct. This problem could be overcome by
analyzing ancient DNA from grapevine herbarium specimens and other historical remnants of once cultivated varieties. Here,
we present the first successful genotyping of a grapevine herbarium specimen and the identification of the corresponding grapevine
cultivar. Using a set of nine grapevine microsatellite markers, in combination with a whole genome amplification procedure,
we found the 90-year-old Tribidrag herbarium specimen to display the same microsatellite profile as the popular American cultivar Zinfandel. This work, together
with information from several historical documents, provides a new clue of Zinfandel cultivation in Croatia as early as the
beginning of fifteenth century, under the native name Tribidrag. Moreover, it emphasizes substantial information potential of existing grapevine and other herbarium collections worldwide. 相似文献
89.
利用误差反相传播神经(BP)网络对河北省近海沉积物中的铅、镉、锌、汞、砷5种重金属元素的污染水平进行分析,利用自组织特征映射(SOFM)网络对上述重金属元素分布特征进行分类,通过分类与污染水平量化值的结合,进行综合评价。SOFM把52个沉积物样品分别划分为3、4、6类和9类。对比各种分类,分为3类的物理意义较明确。每个类别分别对应高中低不同的污染物浓度水平,差异显著、分类方式比较合理。通过此种分类可以判断河北省近海的沉积物重金属污染在不同海域存在一定的差别,整体上是离海岸越远,沉积物的重金属污染水平越高,距海岸较近的海域内,沉积物的重金属污染水平较低,但渤海湾内的重金属污染水平高于其他海域。 相似文献
90.
Bruce L. Rhoads David Wilson Michael Urban Edwin E. Herricks 《Environmental management》1999,24(3):297-308
The authors' personal experience in watershed planning and decision making in the agricultural Midwest is described to illustrate
how: (1) formalization of the process of community-based management is not sufficient to guarantee that local people will
meaningfully consider scientific information and opinion when making decisions about watersheds, and (2) genuine social interaction
between scientists and nonscientists requires a considerable investment of time and energy on the part of the scientist to
develop personal relationships with nonscientists based on trust and mutual exchange of information. This experience provides
the basis for developing a general conceptual model of the interaction between scientists and nonscientists in community-based
watershed management in the agricultural Midwest.
An important aspect of integrating science effectively into community-based decision making is the need to revise existing
concepts to accommodate place-based contexts. Stream naturalization is introduced as an alternative to stream restoration
and rehabilitation, which are viewed as inappropriate management strategies in human-dominated environments. Stream naturalization
seeks to establish sustainable, morphologically and hydraulically varied, yet dynamically stable fluvial systems that are
capable of supporting healthy, biologically diverse aquatic ecosystems. This general goal is consistent with the types of
stream-management practices emerging from community-based decision making in human-dominated, agricultural landscapes. Further
research on the linkages between geomorphological and ecological dynamics of human-modified agricultural streams over multiple
spatial and temporal scales is needed to provide a sound scientific framework for stream naturalization. 相似文献