Inverse calculation approaches for source determination in hazardous chemical releases

Source determination is vital in decision making and emergency planning involving hazardous chemical releases. This work was concentrated on inverse calculation approaches for source determination as well as current trends and future perspectives. In this paper, these different approaches are reviewed by dividing them into two categories: probability modeling methods and optimization modeling methods. The traits of these approaches are comparatively analyzed. Then it is shown how these approaches behave when applied to practical cases, and their feasibility, applicability, stability, and limitation in determining the location and strength are presented. It is argued that when experimenting with potential terrorist attacks involving hazardous chemical releases, observation points should be around the main line of the downwind direction when the source is known; while the uniform distribution of observation points is an efficient solution for unknown incidents. Probability modeling methods are demonstrated to be insufficient during emergency responses due to their lacking of enough prior information of unknown parameters, while optimization modeling methods are efficient and become a new trend in source determination. Findings reflect an urgent need for the development of high-accuracy detectors and further research of data transmission techniques in order to ensure the validity of these approaches.     

中国居民膳食结构升级、国际贸易与粮食安全

目前,中国居民膳食消费水平与结构正在由温饱型向全面小康型转变,形式上表现为由“粮菜型”向“粮肉菜果”多元型和由传统家庭烹饪型向现代便捷型转变。膳食消费结构和水平的改变将影响未来中国的粮食消费量。以中国台湾居民的膳食消费发展规律判断,目前中国大陆居民的膳食消费水平距离富裕水平下的稳定状态整体差距超过50%,肉禽类差距超过一倍。而2018年中国粮食表观自给率已经下降到了85%,大豆自给率仅为15%,虚拟耕地自给率仅为72.6%。在食物消费达到富裕稳定态时,中国不仅需要进口大量的蛋白饲料,还可能需要进口相当数量的能量饲料。基本结论为：仅仅依靠中国本土的农业生产资源已难以维持全面小康水平下的本土农产品需求,发展到富裕水平短缺将会更甚,依赖国际市场是必然需求。从维护生态环境的角度讲,在农产品进口贸易上可多考虑进口动物性产品,适当放开粮食类产品进口数量,自己生产水果、蔬菜等类的农产品。     

中国生猪耗粮系数时空演变特征

当代中国,生猪饲料粮的生产与消费已经逐渐成为影响我国粮食安全保障的重要问题。耗粮系数是合理测算饲料粮需求量的核心,厘清其时空演变特征对准确测算饲料粮数量具有重要意义。通过着重测算2000—2018年中国不同规模饲养生猪耗粮系数,探讨其时空演变特征及可能原因,得到以下主要结论：（1）近年来我国生猪耗粮系数呈现出明显的上升趋势,由2000年的2.39上升至2018年的2.76,年均增长0.023。（2）不同规模饲养生猪耗粮系数的差距逐渐缩小,主要受到饲养过程中使用的精饲料占比变化趋同的影响。（3）大规模饲养生猪的粮食转化效率和时间效率均高于其他规模。（4）散养生猪的耗粮系数在空间上呈现“南北高,中部低”,其他规模则呈现“北高南低,中部高东西低”的格局。从提高粮食利用效率的角度,我国生猪养殖宜继续推动大规模饲养。     

Techno-economic characteristics of wastewater treatment plants retrofitted from the conventional activated sludge process to the membrane bioreactor process

• Retrofitting from CAS to MBR increased effluent quality and environmental benefits. • Retrofitting from CAS to MBR increased energy consumption but not operating cost. • Retrofitting from CAS to MBR increased the net profit and cost efficiency. • The advantage of MBR is related to the adopted effluent standard. • The techno-economy of MBR improves with stricter effluent standards. While a growing number of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) are being retrofitted from the conventional activated sludge (CAS) process to the membrane bioreactor (MBR) process, the debate on the techno-economy of MBR vs. CAS has continued and calls for a thorough assessment based on techno-economic valuation. In this study, we analyzed the operating data of 20 large-scale WWTPs (capacity≥10000 m³/d) and compared their techno-economy before and after the retrofitting from CAS to MBR. Through cost-benefit analysis, we evaluated the net profit by subtracting the operating cost from the environmental benefit (estimated by the shadow price of pollutant removal and water reclamation). After the retrofitting, the removal rate of pollutants increased (e.g., from 89.0% to 93.3% on average for NH₃-N), the average energy consumption increased from 0.40 to 0.57 kWh/m³, but the operating cost did not increase significantly. The average marginal environmental benefit increased remarkably (from 0.47 to 0.66 CNY/g for NH₃-N removal), leading to an increase in the average net profit from 19.4 to 24.4 CNY/m³. We further scored the technical efficiencies via data envelopment analysis based on non-radial directional distance functions. After the retrofitting, the relative cost efficiency increased from 0.70 to 0.73 (the theoretical maximum is 1), while the relative energy efficiency did not change significantly. The techno-economy is closely related to the effluent standard adopted, particularly when truncating the extra benefit of pollutant removal beyond the standard in economic modeling. The modeling results suggested that MBR is more profitable than CAS given stricter effluent standards.     

Testing the efficacy of camera-trap sampling designs for monitoring giant pandas in a heterogeneous landscape

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - The use of camera traps is prevalent in the ecological study of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca). The reliability of camera-trap surveying...     

南方丘陵区土壤重金属含量、来源及潜在生态风险评价

为了探究南方丘陵区土壤重金属污染特征及生态风险状况,选择南方某省丘陵区作为研究区,利用2017年采集的60个点位的土壤样品,采用单因子污染指数（P_i）、内梅罗综合污染指数（P_综）和潜在生态风险指数（RI）评估As、Cd、Cr、Cu、Hg、Ni、Pb和Zn这8种重金属含量特征和潜在生态风险程度,并利用正定矩阵因子分解模型（PMF）解析其污染来源.结果表明：①研究区8种重金属元素的含量均有超标,内梅罗综合污染指数显示,研究区呈现轻度、中度和重度污染所占的比例分别为63%、8%和2%,无污染和轻微污染的样点占27%,因此基本处于轻度污染;②综合潜在生态风险指数表明,土壤重金属RI为39.58~224.15,低等和中等生态风险的样点所占的比例为73.33%和25%,而重度生态风险的样点所占比例为1.67%,该样点生态风险程度虽然最高,但重金属含量低于该省土壤元素背景值;③通过PMF模型得到6个污染源：自然源、农业活动源、铜矿采选和交通运输组成的混合源、工业活动源、交通源和生活垃圾排放源,贡献率依次为24.8%、17.7%、17.7%、17.6%、12.0%和10.2%.     

北京山前典型细粒子污染过程的气象条件分析

可吸入颗粒物(PM₁₀)是近年来北京地区冬季首要污染物,其中细粒子(PM_2.5)污染受到广泛关注,由于该地区具有山前地区的地形和气象条件,使其细粒子污染更具区域代表性.对2007年12月北京出现的4次细粒子污染过程及气象条件进行了分析,结果表明:细粒子山前累积/清除时间,ρ(PM_2.5)峰值均与气象条件相关;12月23─26日的3 d连续累积,使26日的ρ(PM_2.5)日均值达到313.4 μg/m3,是国家ρ(PM₁₀₎二级标准〔环境空气质量标准(GB3095─1996)〕(150 μg/m3)的2.1倍,超过世界卫生组织ρ(PM_2.5)日均指导值(25 μg/m3)的11倍;持续的偏南风和边界层底层局地性环流,使得京津冀南部区域细粒子以日均96.7 μg/m3的高值累积在北京山前地区,造成了12月23—31日具有代表性的北京冬季严重细粒子污染.      

不同处理方法去除有机质对沉积物吸附有机农药和非离子表面活性剂的影响

四种不同的方法去除沉积物有机质,采用振荡平衡法研究了有机农药、非离子表面活性剂在沉积物上的吸附行为及非离子表面活性剂对有机农药吸附的影响.结果表明,经HCl处理后,沉积物有机碳含量增加,而经Na4 P2O7,NaOH和H2O2处理后沉积物有机碳含量均降低;甲基对硫磷、西维因的吸附取决于沉积物有机碳的分配作用,与矿物质无关;沉积物矿物组分的表面作用和微孔性作用使得高极性有机农药克百威在低有机碳含量沉积物七的吸附量增加;Tween-80使甲基对硫磷在未处理和HCl处理的沉积物上的吸附量减少,在NaOH处理和H2O2处理的沉积物上的吸附量增加.     

火灾扑救模拟演练DIS系统框架的研究

论述了分布式交互仿真 (DistributedInteractiveSimulation ,简称DIS)技术在火灾扑救模拟演练中的应用 ,给出其系统框架 ;详细描述了该DIS系统中的白方系统、蓝方系统和红方系统的具体组成功能部分 ;提出了实现这些功能的软件平台。最后给出了研究DIS在火灾扑救演练应用中的结论 ;指出未来的发展方向 ,强调了实际应用中可能出现的技术难点     

饮用水消毒副产物研究状况

本文介绍了饮用水中消毒副产物的研究状况。其中重点介绍了饮用水的消毒方式及四类消毒副产物的产生、浓度、存在形态及影响因素等。简单介绍了饮用水中消毒副产物的采集、前处理方法及污染控制对策等