鄱阳湖流域水文效应对气候变化的响应

以鄱阳湖流域为研究区,以地表 地下耦合的分布式水文模型WATLAC为模拟工具,探讨流域水资源对气候变化的响应。水文模型以2000～2008年为模拟期,以流域河道日径流量来率定（2000～2005年）与验证模型（2006～2008年）并取得了满意的模拟效果。基于此,假定未来气候变化情景方案,通过径流量、土壤蒸发量和基流量来探讨气候变化对流域水资源的影响。结果表明,径流量与基流量对降雨变化有着较强的敏感性,而土壤蒸发量对温度变化的敏感性较强。在降雨一定条件下,水文变量均与气温变化近似呈线性关系;在气温情景一定条件下,水文变量均与降雨变化呈非线性关系。随着降水的减少,气温对径流、土壤蒸发和基流的影响也随之减弱;气温对上述变量的显著影响主要表现在降水增加的情况下。相同的气温变化情景下,降水增加比降水减少对径流量的影响更加显著,降水减少比降水增加对土壤蒸发量与基流量的影响更加显著,表明降水变化对水文变量有着不同程度和方向的影响作用     

Economic Globalization and Industrial Pollution

Abstract

In order to study the relationship between economic globalization and industrial pollution, this paper developed the theoretical framework and used simultaneous equations. The result shows that economic globalization has influences on the industrial pollution mainly by the direct effect of scale, structure and technology as well as the indirect effect of income and policy. Considering all the factors, economic globalization, especially foreign direct investment (FDI), will reduce industrial pollution, in which technology spillover effect plays an important role.     

An International Comparative Analysis on China’s Economic Growth and the Convergence in Energy Intensity Gap and Its Economic Mechanism

Abstract

In this paper, the authors have empirically analyzed the convergence in per capita GDP gap and the convergence in the variation of energy intensity with respect to the change of per capita GDP between China and eight developed countries. Then, the authors run a regression on the impact of decisive factors of economic growth on energy intensity and its change, so as to find out the economic mechanism of energy intensity gap changing with respect to the variation of economic growth. This study concludes that: First, there is a convergence in per capita GDP gap between China and the eight developed countries. With the convergence in per capita GDP gap, the energy intensity gap between China and eight different countries also converge, and the convergence rate of the latter is faster than that of the former, i.e. if the per capita GDP gap between China and the eight developed countries decreases by 1%, the energy intensity gap between them will correspondingly decrease by 1.552%. Second, the energy intensity decreases with the improvement of industrial structure, the rising of energy prices, the advances of technology, and the expansion of investment in fixed assets, and it slightly increases with the increase of FDI. Third, the energy intensity gap between China and eight developed countries narrows with the lessening of the difference in fixed assets investment, energy prices, and technological progress between China and eight developed countries, yet increases with the narrowing of the difference in FDI, and has no significant correlation with the difference in industrial structure. Fourth, the narrowing of difference in per capita GDP between China and the eight developed countries can result in the lessening of energy intensity gap, whose economic mechanism is that the decisive factors, such as difference in investment, technology, and the competition mechanism of prices, which can determine the difference in economic growth, can significantly affect the energy intensity gap.     

四湖流域水环境污染现状空间分布和污染源分析

四湖流域水环境恶化已影响到当地生产和群众生活,亟待对四湖流域的水环境污染现状进行调查与评估。于2010年春季在四湖流域的主要湖泊以及四湖总干渠进行了水质现场监测和水样采集,共采集了84个样点,每个样点测定了12项水质指标,并对测定结果中四湖流域总氮、总磷、高锰酸钾指数等水质指标的空间分布进行了分析。分析结果表明:四湖流域的两个主要湖泊,长湖和洪湖均受到不同程度的污染,长湖为重度污染,洪湖为轻度污染,从长湖流入总干渠中的水质多为中性或略偏碱性,总磷、总氮含量超标几倍到几十倍,在靠近长湖的总干渠上游段为重度污染,靠近洪湖的总干渠下游段为轻度污染。各水质指标浓度总体趋势上,长湖的要大于总干渠,总干渠的大于西干渠,西干渠的大于洪湖。     

Global Trend of Low-carbon Economy and China's Responses

Based on the analysis on the global economic crisis,climate change crisis and their mutual underlying reasons,the authors believe that low-carbon economy has become an inevitable choice to break through the dual crises,coordinate the economic development,and protect the global climate.The global trend of low-carbon economy finds expression in Green Recovery currently,while,in a long run,it will give rise to a new pattern of world competition in politics,economy,technology,trade and finance.The impact of the...     

机动车排放检测和维修制度实施效果分析

实施检测和维修制度是机动车污染控制的重要措施 ,机动车排放检测是检测和维修制度的主要内容 .本研究利用累积分布曲线 ,通过双怠速检测排放限值对各类型高排放车辆的识别率 ,从检测数据、现行标准、上线合格率 3个角度对北京市检测和维修制度的排放限值制定、组织形式和实施效果进行分析 ,提出各受检物排放限值的匹配原则 .     

估算放射性核素在近海底泥中沉积量的近似方法

放射性核素在近海底泥中的分布规律研究是探讨沿海核设施及核电站低放废液排入附近海域后对环境影响的一个重要方面。由于实际海域条件的复杂性，如何估算放射性核素在底泥中的含量是一个至今没有搞清的课题，应用一种保守简单有效的估算方法，以一个简化实例探讨了该方法的应用。     

废旧塑料回收利用技术

从我国废塑料回收利用的现状出发 ,分析了今后我国废塑料回收利用技术的发展趋势和应采取的措施 ,指出了废塑料回收利用的重要性。     

大气中氨对农作物的影响

本文利用实验结论，阐述了大气中对农作物生长的影响及表现症状，分析了大气中不同浓度氨对农作物不同生长期的影响，对受氨污染地区农作物的种植选择及农业损失鉴定具有参考价值。     

柴油车排气微粒后处理器的研究

通过同种典型微粒过滤器的比选试验,表明高效袋式消烟器微粒捕集效率最高.其结构简单,成本低,耐热性好,因此具有很好的推广价值.如果应用在公路隧道中,能降低隧道内能见度的影响,具有较大的开发前景.