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781.
China’s large population and deteriorating environment have created great concern related to the sustainability of food production, especially since details related to this topic remain poorly studied. Thus, an integrated analysis of both crop yield and cultivated area is essential for gaining a better understanding of cereal grain production in China and for making corresponding policies designed to achieve food security. In this study, we adopt trend analysis of both provincial yield and cultivated area to assess the subsequent provincial-level cereal production sustainability between 1980 and 2011 with the goal of providing a better understanding of regional agricultural development. The results indicate that while maize shows the most promise for yield improvement, rice and wheat production is experiencing substantial yield stagnation among most provinces across mainland China. In addition, the trends in spatial patterns are prominently different from those of yields. The sizes of the main rice- and wheat-growing areas in China have declined greatly, suggesting that the related production of these cereals should attract more attention from land management planners and farmers. Specifically, the south-eastern coastal provinces have largely failed to sustain both crop yield and area, while the north-eastern provinces have witnessed thriving agricultural production during the last three decades. Moreover, we find that cereal production in China is significantly affected by governmental policies related to the agricultural sector. Thus, this analysis of food production in China will help policymakers to better understand how the potential implications of food security in China may be applicable to countries worldwide. 相似文献
782.
The Mann–Kendall (MK) test is a popular test for monotonic trend when the observations are independent, but its null distribution properties under independence do not apply to the situation where the observations are dependent. We provide block and sieve bootstrap methods for approximating the null distribution of MK in such a situation. In the case of the block bootstrap, when the observations follow a weakly dependent β mixing process, such an approximation is based on the determination that MK and its block bootstrap counterpart are asymptotically normal. In addition, we note that sieve methods are applicable to a statistic that is asymptotically equivalent to MK. Simulations are conducted to compare the significance levels achieved by both block and sieve bootstrap methods for various models. An effective procedure is proposed for testing for trend when the form of the underlying process is unknown. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
783.
We study optimal sample designs for prediction with estimated parameters. Recent advances in the infill asymptotic theory provide a deeper understanding of the finite sample behavior of prediction and estimation. By incorporating these known asymptotic results, we modify some existing design criteria for estimation of covariance function and best linear unbiased prediction. These modified criteria could significantly reduce the computation time necessary for finding an optimal design. We illustrate our approach through both a real experiment in agriculture and simulation. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
784.
The spatial distribution information of clay layer occurrence depth (CLOD), particularly the spatial distribution maps of occurrence of clay layers at depths less than a certain threshold, in alluvial soils is crucial to designing appropriate plans and measures for precision agriculture and environmental management in alluvial plains. Markov chain geostatistics (MCG), which was proposed recently for simulating categorical spatial variables, can objectively decrease spatial uncertainty and consequently increase prediction accuracy in simulated results by using nonlinear estimators and incorporating various interclass relationships. In this paper, a MCG method was suggested to simulate the CLOD in a meso‐scale alluvial soil area by encoding the continuous variable with several threshold values into binary variables (for single thresholds) or a multi‐class variable (for all thresholds being considered together). Related optimal prediction maps, realization maps, and occurrence probability maps for all of these indicator‐coded variables were generated. The simulated results displayed the spatial distribution characteristics of CLOD within different soil depths in the study area, which are not only helpful to understanding the spatial heterogeneity of clay layers in alluvial soils but also providing valuable quantitative information for precision agricultural management and environmental study. The study indicated that MCG could be a powerful method for simulating discretized continuous spatial variables. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
785.
Yingqi Zhang 《Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology》2011,1(2):175-179
For geological CO2 storage site selection, it is desirable to reduce the number of candidate sites through a screening process before detailed site characterization is performed. Screening generally involves defi ning a number of criteria which then need to be evaluated for each site. The importance of each criterion to the fi nal evaluation will generally be different. Weights refl ecting the relative importance of these criteria can be provided by experts. To evaluate a site, each criterion must be evaluated and scored, and then aggregated, taking into account the importance of the criteria. We propose the use of the Choquet integral for aggregating the scores. The Choquet integral considers the interactions among criteria, i.e. whether they are independent, complementary to each other, or partially repetitive. We also evaluate the Shapley index, which demonstrates how the importance of a given piece of information may change if it is considered by itself or together with other available information. An illustrative example demonstrates how the Choquet integral properly accounts for the presence of redundancy in two site‐evaluation criteria, making the screening process more defensible than the standard weighted‐average approach. © 2011 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 相似文献
786.
A sampled data set can often be classified into several groups, say K, defined by covariates. While within each group it is usually reasonable to assume that the observations are homogeneous, group effects are frequently far from being negligible. Suppose it is of interest to compare two treatments non-parametrically. A rank test is naturally called for within each group. However, the group effects, in location as well as in scale, prevent the rank test from being carried out with pooled data across the groups. A suitable way to compare treatments is to combine the K independent rank tests, one from each group. The key to such a combining procedure is a good weighting scheme which typically is a function of the sample sizes and sample dispersion. In order to use the combined statistic for testing, the weights need to be consistent so that inferences can be made based on the asymptotic null distribution of the combined test statistic. However, when there are censored observations, non-parametric consistent estimators of dispersion parameters are usually nonexistent because of the lack of tail information. Zhang offered a method of accommodating the consistency problem through estimating the ratios of group dispersion parameters. The consistency of the weights are supported by the consistency of the quantile estimation based on Kaplan–Meier estimators. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, of statistical interest, it is to illustrate the application of the general method proposed by Zhang with some well water contamination data. Second, of environmental interest, it is shown that application of fertilizer increases the level of nitrate contamination in water from shallow wells. 相似文献
787.
研究纳米硫化镉(Nano-Cd S)材料对肺癌细胞系A549的毒性及氧化损伤作用。培养A549细胞,经传代后接种于6孔板中,每孔2 m L完全培养基,接种次日进行染毒。用直径20~30 nm、长度80~100 nm的Nano-Cd S进行染毒,染毒浓度分别为0、5、10、20、40和80 mg·L~(-1)。染毒24 h后用MTT检测细胞存活率,以存活率在80%左右的浓度为后续实验染毒浓度。应用流式细胞技术,用荧光探针法检测A549细胞的活性氧(reactive oxygen species,ROS)含量,PI-Annexin-V法检测细胞凋亡情况;用试剂盒检测细胞中超氧化物岐化酶(superoxide dismutase,SOD)和过氧化氢酶(catalase,CAT)活性以及丙二醛(malondialdehyde,MDA)含量,判断细胞氧化损伤情况。不同浓度Nano-Cd S处理细胞24 h之后,细胞存活率随剂量的增加而下降,浓度为10、20、40和80μg·L~(-1)时,存活率分别为(88.71%±0.80%)、(81.93%±3.06%)、(75.23%±1.13%)和(70.66%±5.63%),且各组间差异均具有统计学意义(P0.05)。以浓度为10和20 mg·L~(-1)的Nano-Cd S染毒24 h后,胞内ROS含量和细胞凋亡率随染毒剂量的增加而增加(P0.05);浓度为10 mg·L~(-1)时,细胞凋亡率为(6.26%±0.44%)。与对照相比,各染毒组SOD和CAT活性和MDA含量升高,20 mg·L~(-1)染毒组SOD和CAT活性和MDA含量高于10 mg·L~(-1)染毒组(P0.05)。研究表明,纳米硫化镉能引起A549细胞的氧化损伤和细胞凋亡,具有明显的细胞毒性。 相似文献
788.
In this work, Bi2XO6 (X = W, Mo) are synthesized at different temperatures. The results of tests find the optimal temperatures of Bi2WO6 and Bi2MoO6 are 180 and 160°C (BW-180, BM-160). Then, BW-180 and BM-160 are further compounded with different contents of CuS. The results of photoelectrochemical (PEC) tests show that CuS can improve the PEC performance of semiconductor materials, and it has better performance when CuS mass fraction is 5%. These maybe the photoelectron potentials generated by CuS/Bi2XO6 (X = Mo, W) heterojunction reduce the combination of photogenerated electrons and holes. When the PEC sensor based on 5%-CuS/BW-180 detects Cr(VI), it has a linear range of 1–80 μmol/L with detection limit of 0.95 μmol/L, while the PEC sensor based on 5%-CuS/BM-160 detects Cr(VI) has a linear range of 0.5–230 μmol/L and a detection limit of 0.12 μmol/L. Thus, 5%-CuS/Bi2XO6 has potential application in hexavalent chromium detection. 相似文献
789.
An indirect CO2 mineral sequestration involving two separated steps with acetic acid as a recycling medium provides a promising method for CO2 sequestration as well as the minimum CO2 emission for calcium carbonate production. In such an indirect route, the calcium carbonate production in the second gas‐liquid reactive crystallization step has been challenged by low carbonation efficiency. This paper describes significant enhancement of the second step by coupling reactive crystallization and solvent extraction with the introduction of the organic solvent, tributyl phosphate (TBP), to the process. Based on the reaction mechanism of this enhanced carbonation process, many influencing factors including stirring speed, phase ratio, reaction time, reaction temperature, CO2 partial pressure, and the composition of the initial aqueous solution, were studied. Given the operating conditions of 60 min reaction time, 500 rpm stirring speed, organic‐to‐aqueous phase volume ratio of 1, 80 °C reaction temperature, 4.0 MPa CO2 partial pressure, and initial pH of 7, the obtained crystallization conversion in the second step was found to increase from 20% to above 50%, with the incorporation of TBP and the addition of magnesium acetate. 相似文献
790.
Rainwater contains substantial bacteria and rain is an efficient pathway for the dissemination of bacteria from the atmosphere to land and water surfaces.However,quantitative information on rainwater bacteria is very limited due to the lack of a reliable method.In this study,the epifluorescence microscopy enumeration with the LIVE/DEAD BacLight Bacterial Viability Kit stain was verified to quantify the abundance of viable and non-viable bacterial cells in rainwater,with the 4',6-diamidino-2-phenylindole(DAPI) stain for the reference of total cell counts.Results showed that the total counts of bacterial cells by LIVE/DEAD BacLight staining were consistent with those by DAPI staining,and the average detection efficiency was(109 ± 29)%.The ratio of cell count with glutaraldehyde fixation to that without fixation was(106 ± 5)%on average.The bacterial concentration in negative control was usually an order of magnitude lower than that in rainwater samples.However,in case of small precipitation,the abundance in negative control could be more than that in rainwater samples.These results indicate that the enumeration with LIVE/DEAD BacLight bacterial viability assay coupled with glutaraldehyde fixation and careful negative control investigation is an approach applicable to the measurement of the concentration and viability of bacterial cells in rainwater. 相似文献