家用电器工频电磁辐射水平分析

对电磁波的产生机理以及对人体的危害进行了分析阐述，对人们日常生活中的家用电器电磁辐射水平进行了调查测量，分析了不同家用电器的电磁辐射水平，并有针对性提出了一些科学有效的防护措施。     

中国风电产业链的垂直结构研究

大力发展风电产业有利于降低碳排放,对于保持经济社会可持续发展具有重要意义.跟其他的产业一样,产业组织结构是影响风电产业发展速度的决定因素之一.产业组织理论认为,产业的垂直结构影响着产业资源的配置效率、产业利润的分配和下游企业的定价.本研究回答两个问题:①风电制造企业市场集中度与风电场的利润率之间的关系;②它们之间的关系还受到哪些因素的影响.本文从中国风电产业链的垂直结构入手,分析了风电设备制造市场的市场集中程度对风电场利润的影响.理论模型的推导结果表明风电设备制造企业的市场集中度和风电场的利润率之间呈负相关关系,且影响程度随风电场对风电设备需求弹性的降低而加强.因此,本文认为政府可以通过给予风电设备制造企业税收优惠、在风电制造业中实施必要的反垄断措施和制定并实施中国风电产业标准等措施,吸引新的企业进入风电设备制造市场,降低设备制造市场的市场集中度,增加风电场对特定风电设备的需求弹性.从而提高风电场的利润,加快风电产业的健康发展.     

江苏农村地区能源消费与可持续发展

江苏是中国经济发展较为迅速的省份 ,为了研究农村地区经济发展过程中能源消费的变化规律 ,本文在大量调查数据分析的基础上 ,对江苏农村地区乡镇工业、农村生活和农业生产能源消费水平和结构及其发展变化进行了研究 ,提出了农村地区能源问题的可持续发展战略     

Modeling population effects of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill on a long-lived species

The 2010 Deepwater Horizon (DWH) oil spill exposed common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) in Barataria Bay, Louisiana to heavy oiling that caused increased mortality and chronic disease and impaired reproduction in surviving dolphins. We conducted photographic surveys and veterinary assessments in the decade following the spill. We assigned a prognostic score (good, fair, guarded, poor, or grave) for each dolphin to provide a single integrated indicator of overall health, and we examined temporal trends in prognostic scores. We used expert elicitation to quantify the implications of trends for the proportion of the dolphins that would recover within their lifetime. We integrated expert elicitation, along with other new information, in a population dynamics model to predict the effects of observed health trends on demography. We compared the resulting population trajectory with that predicted under baseline (no spill) conditions. Disease conditions persisted and have recently worsened in dolphins that were presumably exposed to DWH oil: 78% of those assessed in 2018 had a guarded, poor, or grave prognosis. Dolphins born after the spill were in better health. We estimated that the population declined by 45% (95% CI 14–74) relative to baseline and will take 35 years (95% CI 18–67) to recover to 95% of baseline numbers. The sum of annual differences between baseline and injured population sizes (i.e., the lost cetacean years) was 30,993 (95% CI 6607–94,148). The population is currently at a minimum point in its recovery trajectory and is vulnerable to emerging threats, including planned ecosystem restoration efforts that are likely to be detrimental to the dolphins’ survival. Our modeling framework demonstrates an approach for integrating different sources and types of data, highlights the utility of expert elicitation for indeterminable input parameters, and emphasizes the importance of considering and monitoring long-term health of long-lived species subject to environmental disasters. Article impact statement: Oil spills can have long-term consequences for the health of long-lived species; thus, effective restoration and monitoring are needed.     

Global invasive potential of 10 parasitic witchweeds and related Orobanchaceae

The plant family Orobanchaceae includes many parasitic weeds that are also impressive invaders and aggressive crop pests with several specialized features (e.g. microscopic seeds, parasitic habits). Although they have provoked several large-scale eradication and control efforts, no global evaluation of their invasive potential is as yet available. We use tools from ecological niche modeling in combination with occurrence records from herbarium specimens to evaluate the global invasive potential of each of 10 species in this assemblage, representing several of the worst global invaders. The invasive potential of these species is considerable, with all tropical and subtropical countries, and most temperate countries, vulnerable to invasions by one or more of them.     

船运液态二氧化碳储罐爆炸事故的原因分析

在分析船运液态二氧化碳储罐爆炸事故的基础上,近似计算了其物理爆炸的能量,并采用TNT当量计算方法,分别估算了事故的人员死亡区域、重伤区域、轻伤区域的半径和建筑物毁灭性破坏区域的半径;同时根据事故容器设计参数的验算,指出由于对事故容器归属低温压力容器和低温低应力压力容器的错误划分造成制造材料选用的错误,以及违规使用,从而导致了事故的发生;并针对事故的原因,提出了应引起的反思。     

煤中微量元素的环境效应

以华北某电厂燃煤为例,探讨了煤中微量元素的环境效应评价方法。通过电感耦合等离子体原子发射光谱(ICP-AES)等方法测定了电厂循环流化床炉原煤、飞灰、底灰中F,Pb,Hg,等11种微量元素的含量,通过淋滤实验测得了原煤及底灰中Pb、Hg、Cr等7种微量元素的淋出率,并测定了煤堆附近土壤中Cd、Hg、Cr等6种微量元素的含量,计算出了煤中微量元素对大气、水和土壤环境的污染因子。结果表明,燃煤中元素F、Hg、Se、Cl挥发性较强,燃煤中微量元素对大气环境的综合污染因子达3.5,属重污染。元素Hg、As的淋出率较高,原煤和底灰中微量元素对水环境的综合污染因子分别为0.71和0.88,污染程度属微污染。土壤对Cd、Hg、Pb等元素的富集程度很高,煤中微量元素对土壤环境的综合污染因子为0.98,属微污染。     

爆炸性气体在连续拐弯管道中传播特性的实验研究

针对复杂燃气管网燃气爆炸致灾严重,传播规律复杂的问题,利用实验室加工成的连续拐弯管道,模拟研究了复杂燃气管网爆炸性气体通过连续拐弯管道时的火焰传播速度、爆炸波超压变化情况。研究结果表明,当整个管道内充满瓦斯气体时,通过连续拐弯后,火焰传播速度和爆炸波超压值产生显著变化,在连续拐弯管道拐弯处为一扰动源,诱导附加湍流,气流湍流度增大,管道拐弯增加了燃烧区的湍流度,火焰燃烧产生加速度,加速燃烧产生更大能量以推动加速传播。研究结果对指导现场如何防治复杂燃气管网气体爆炸,减轻爆炸的威力具有重要作用。