20 Years on lessons learned from Piper Alpha. The evolution of concurrent and inherently safe design

It has now been well over 20 years since the North Sea Piper Alpha disaster in 1988. There have been many lessons learned; some documented others just etched in memory. The event chronicled many significant changes in the offshore industry. The emanating point for most sweeping changes has been the Cullen Report and the UK North Sea industry. This paper reviews some of the critical lessons and identifies many ‘secondary’ finer points that constitute important learnings. The paper looks at major changes instigated by step changes in safety criticality. It is argued that the ‘second tier’ modes of failure such as corrosion, materials degradation, environmental cracking, erosion, plant ergonomics, etc. need to be better examined. These mechanisms are dangerous threats to the integrity of deep subsea assets, and it is noted that such root causes of failure as witnessed or predicted have yet to be fully appraised. The authors’ use wide experiences and case histories to highlight such concerns, offering rational fit-for-purpose solutions. The industry disconnections between, urgency to build, knowledge transfer, and management of change, are refocused. Powerful advances in risk-based mechanical, process, materials, and corrosion engineering are emphasized and the use of key performance indicators (KPIs) are reasoned for best life-cycle integrity. To keep up with the pace of growth in the deepwater sector, methods of concurrent and inherently safe design have evolved in a world where the practicalities and costs of modification, repair and retrofit are extremely difficult. Hence getting it right at the outset is paramount. Thus the drive for purposeful investment, at design is more justifiable, than the traditional practice of postponing costs (and problems) to operations. In this way the ominous ‘gray’ zone between the two cost centers is better bridged for reasons of safety and commercial advantage.     

高速铁路对沿线地区可达性的影响研究——以皖北地区为例

区域交通可达性的改变是高速铁路对区域发展的最直接影响。在GIS技术的支持下,以皖北地区为实证研究对象,利用日常可达性、加权平均时间等指标分析了在有无高铁两种情景下皖北地区的可达性空间格局变化。结果表明：高铁开通后,皖北区域内部可达性和区域外部可达性均获得了较大提升,但区外可达性的改善要优于区内可达性;皖北整体可达性空间格局没有因高铁发生大的改变,可达性空间分布呈现的区域交通主干道指向性特征在高铁通车后更为明显;可达性改善的地区分布并不均匀,不同地区可达性受惠程度不一,皖北整体以及各城市内部的可达性均衡性程度都在降低,两极分化趋势在加剧     

Radiological hazards of Narghile (hookah, shisha, goza) smoking: activity concentrations and dose assessment

Narghile (hookah, shisha, goza, "water-pipe") smoking has become fashionable worldwide. Its tobacco pastes, known as moassel and jurak, are not standardized and generally contain about 30-50% (sometimes more) tobacco, molasses/juice of sugarcane, various spices and dried fruits (particularly in jurak) and, in the case of moassel, glycerol and flavoring essences. Tobacco contains minute amounts of radiotoxic elements such as (210)Pb, (210)Po and uranium, which are inhaled via smoking. Only very few data have been published on the concentrations of natural radionuclides in narghile tobacco mixtures. Consequently, the aim of this study was to draw first conclusions on the potential hazards of radioactivity in moassel tobacco in relation to narghile smoking. The results indicate the existence of a wide range in the radioactivity contents where the average (range) activity concentrations of (238)U, (234)Th (226)Ra, (210)Pb, (210)Po, (232)Th and (40)K, in Bq/kg dry weight were 55 (19-93), 11 (3-23), 3 (1.2-8), 14 (3-29), 13 (7-32), 7 (4-10) and 719 (437-1044)Bq/kg dry weight, respectively. The average concentrations of natural radionuclides in moassel tobacco pastes are comparable to their concentration in Greek cigarettes and tobacco leaves, and lower than that of Brazilian tobacco leaves. The distribution pattern of these radionuclides after smoking, between smoke, ash and filter, is unknown, except for (210)Po during cigarette smoking and from one existing study during moassel smoking. Radiological dose assessment due to intake of natural radionuclides was calculated and the possible radio-toxicity of the measured radionuclides is briefly discussed.     

Estimating uncertainties in the life cycle assessment of composting household biowaste and urban green waste in Germany

Life cycle assessment (LCA) of waste treatment processes is often associated with considerable uncertainties. The aim of this study is to estimate the total uncertainty in the modelled composting system and the influence of material and process parameters on the uncertainty. Four composting combinations with fresh (FC) and mature substrate compost (MSC) from partially enclosed (PEC) and open composting (OC) were investigated. Perturbation analysis was used to determine the effect of parameters on the result and Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the total uncertainty. This study showed that the production of MSC using PEC had the lowest overall impacts across all impact categories except ozone depletion. Results of the Monte Carlo simulation showed that comparing composting options was challenging. The sensitivity ratios obtained from the perturbation analysis showed that the process parameter percentage of carbon fraction degraded was the most influential for FC. In MSC, the moisture content in the input material and the substitution factor used for peat were the most influential. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrated the overall uncertainty of the model and its relevance when comparing results between combinations. The perturbation analysis identified the parameters that required more accurate data to reduce the uncertainty in the model.

Graphical abstract

     

中国生态保护政策的县域经济效应——来自国家重点生态功能区的证据

为保障生态产品供给，中国设立了限制开发的国家重点生态功能区，建立了生态保护转移支付制度.本文首次在县域层面构建2002~2017年县级面板数据，运用倾向得分匹配法构造政策组的“反事实”情形，基于双重差分法评估重点生态功能区政策的县域经济效应.结果表明，该政策提高了县域财力、长期来看一定程度改善了产业结构；以标准财政缺口为主的资金分配机制弱化了县域经济发展激励，资金补助不能完全抵消限制开发对县域经济带来的负向影响；固定资产投资和内资企业受影响较大.随着投入资金累积、生态产品价值的转化，该负向效应随时间而减弱、经济促增效应逐渐显现.政策效应在不同生态功能和经济区位间表现出明显的异质性.建议持续增加生态转移支付资金、将生态产品供给数量和质量作为资金分配依据，考虑按生态功能类型设计差异化政策，更好激励县域生态产品高水平供给与经济价值实现的双赢，促进区域均衡发展.