恐怖袭击风险减缓实例分析

为避免被安全机构监视和追踪 ,恐怖组织常常利用网络结构的优势 ,通过对被动支持者的渗透 ,以突然出现的聚集群方式发动恐怖袭击。军队、警察等传统的反恐工具在试图压制这种多源性恐怖活动时将面临更大挑战。以“东突”问题为例 ,应用物理学的渗透概念模拟特定区域恐怖袭击威胁的形成机理 ,从理论上分析了采取非破坏性手段减缓恐怖袭击风险的可行性。     

城市公共场所人群拥挤踩踏事故分析

城市公共场所人群高度聚集、流动性大,紧急状态时常发生群死群伤的拥挤踩踏事故,造成大量人员伤亡和恶劣的社会影响。笔者首先提出拥挤踩踏事故分析的一般方法,并用群集指数来表征人群高度聚集这一参量;通过对近年来国内外人群拥挤踩踏事故的分析,认为该类事故以人群高度聚集为条件,由公众造成又危害公众,具有诱因众多、发生突然、难以控制等特点;强调事故预防和控制重点是建立事故应急机制,加强人群的管理和疏导等;同时从公共场所的性能优化设计、人群素质和群集密度、人群管理控制以及信息交流等方面分析其事故原因及提出相应对策,对预防此类事故发生,减少群集伤亡有重要意义。     

高层建筑火灾风险的概率模糊综合评价方法

火灾风险评价是减小和控制高层建筑火灾的基本手段。目前 ,高层建筑火灾风险的评价方法很多 ,但是很少有将概率方法与模糊评价方法相结合进行火灾风险评价的。笔者基于对高层建筑火灾风险因素的综合分析 ,建立了高层建筑火灾风险的概率模糊综合评价模型 ,并以具体的工程实例 ,论述了该数学模型在高层建筑火灾风险评价中的应用 ,目的在于为高层建筑火灾风险评价方法的研究提供一种新的尝试 ,为采取合理的火灾防治技术措施在理论上、方法上提供有益的指导。     

48 m环形加热炉系统的事故研究与分析

通过环形加热炉系统的事故类型研究分类与汇总，以及火灾爆炸事故和CO中毒事故的定性定量分析，使现场操作维修人员在安全生产管理中，能够准确地抓住环形加热炉系统事故隐患的关键所在，进而更加科学合理地控制好设备的正常运行，保障安全生产。     

铜矿酸性废水氧化钙中和处理装置的改造

介绍了用氧化钙二次中和沉淀法处理铜矿酸性废水的工艺流程、主要设备和处理效果。针对矿山不断开采带来的废水水质变化和处理装置存在的新问题 ,对工艺路线、斜板沉淀池、石灰消和机等进行了改造。改造后的运行结果表明 ,出水水质达到GB8978— 1996二级排放标准 ,节约运行费用 15万元 /a ,沉淀池大修期从 4a延长到 6a ,减少石灰用量 8% ,增加废水处理量 1.5× 10 5m3 /a。     

高速公路丙烷罐车爆炸事故的后果分析

本文针对公路丙烷罐车爆炸事故的实例,对事故发生的原因进行了分析.分析结果认为,事故属于沸腾液体扩展蒸汽爆炸(BLEVE),事故对人员和财产危害包括3个方面:火球热辐射、爆炸冲击波超压和抛射碎片.本文介绍了这3种危害的数学模型和方法,并针对事故实例进行了分析和计算.结果表明,在事故发生现场100m范围内的热辐射可致人死亡或造成三度烧伤;冲击波超压在80m范围外会使玻璃破碎,但无人员伤亡;抛射碎片在334 m的范围内都可能对人体造成伤害.由此,可以得出火球热辐射是事故中最主要危害的结论.     

Observation of black carbon aerosol in Beijing, 2003

The objective of this study was to determine the black carbon concentration in Beijing in 2003. The aerosol properties were measured using an Aethalometer and a tapered element oscillating microbalance (TEOM) on the roof of the Physics Building of Peking University (39.99° N, 116.31° E) from July to August 2003 and from November 2003 to January 2004. The average black carbon (BC) concentrations in the summer and winter were 8.80 and 11.4 μg/m³, respectively. During winter, two different cyclone cut offs were installed at the inlet of an aethalometer. The BC mass concentration in TSP, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5 were obtained. The results indicated that in winter aerosol, 90% of BC exited in PM₁₀ and 82.6% of BC exited in PM_2.5. The BC in PM₁₀ accounted for 5.11% of the PM₁₀ mass.     

三阶段论：人类社会演化规律初探

本文在剖析人与自然界中的生命力系统的双螺旋进化过程及其相关主形态演化趋势的基础上，提出人类社会由生存、发展到可持续发展的“三阶段”演化学说，并依据“三种生产论”分析和评价了生存与发展阶段的特征和规律，探讨了可持续发展的内涵及其演化阶段的基本特征与行为准则     

A study of the atmospheric VOCs of Mount Tai in June 2006

Intensive field investigations were conducted at the summit of Mount Tai in June 2006 to understand the effects of the local and regional sources on atmospheric volatile organic compounds (VOCs) distributions. A total of 60 samples were collected and determined by quantitative analytical methods. The concentrations of the total VOCs (TVOCs) observed in the air of Mount Tai were 6.95 ± 5.71 ppb. Aromatic hydrocarbons provided the largest contribution to TVOCs, followed by alkanes and halocarbons. High levels of halocarbons accounted for 20% of TVOCs due to emission from a PVC plant located at the foot of Mount Tai. Alkenes and cycloalkanes contributed little to the total VOCs. The day-and-night differences and day-to-day variations in the concentrations of four selected species were investigated and the effects of several factors such as meteorological parameters, sources and transport characteristics on them were discussed in details. A back trajectory analysis showed that relatively higher levels of VOCs were related to long-range transport of pollutants from polluted areas. The vertical motions of air masses also had a large impact on the variations of the levels of VOCs. The result of the variability–lifetime relationships of VOCs, which is used to estimate the remoteness of the sampling location, showed that Mount Tai represents intermediate conditions between remote sites and sites in the vicinity of sources.