Medical aspects of volcanic disasters: An outline of the hazards and emergency response measures

The health and safety hazards posed by volcanic eruptions are outlined with special reference to experience gained from the eruptions of Mount St. Helens in 1980. The ability of volcanologists to predict the timing and the impact on local communities of an impending eruption are limited, some recent devastating eruptions having occurred without apparent warning. With the expansion of world populations into hazardous volcanic areas there is a growing need to develop appropriate emergency response measures. This paper describes the main preventive public and occupational health measures that are now a necessary part in dealing with volcanic emergencies.     

Michigan's graduated driver licensing program: evaluation of the first four years

INTRODUCTION: To evaluate the four-year outcome of Michigan's graduated driver licensing (GDL) program, motor-vehicle crash data for 16-year-old drivers in 1996 (pre-GDL), and 1998-2001 (post-GDL) were analyzed. METHOD: Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals for several crash types were computed, and pre-post-GDL population-based crash rates were compared. Reductions in crash risks among 16-year-olds previously found in 1998 and 1999 were generally maintained in 2000 and 2001. RESULTS: Reductions in crash risk among 16-year-olds from 1996 to 2001 were 29% for all, 44% for fatal, 38% each for nonfatal-injury and fatal-plus-nonfatal-injury, 32% for day, 31% for evening, 59% for night, 32% for single-vehicle, and 28% for multi-vehicle crashes. Even after adjusting for more general population-wide changes among drivers 25 years and older that might have contributed to changes in 16-year-old crash risk, reductions remained impressive (19% for all crashes in 2001). IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: As one approach to reducing teenage motor-vehicle morbidity and mortality, GDL remains promising.     

Biochemical and Genetic Characterization of an Extracellular Poly(3-Hydroxybutyrate) Depolymerase from Acidovorax Sp. Strain TP4

To determine the properties of enzymes from bacteria that degrade polypropiolactone (PPL), we isolated 13 PPL-degrading bacteria from pond water, river water, and soil. Nine of these strains were identified as Acidovorax sp., three as Variovorax paradoxus, and one as Sphingomonas paucimobilis. All the isolates also degraded poly(3-hydroxybutyrate) (PHB). A PPL-degrading enzyme was purified to electrophoretical homogeneity from one of these bacteria, designated Acidovorax sp. TP4. The purified enzyme also degraded PHB. The molecular weight of the enzyme was estimated as about 50,000. The enzyme activity was inhibited by diisopropylfluorophosphate, dithiothreitol, and Triton X-100. The structural gene of the depolymerase was cloned in Escherichia coli. The nucleotide sequence of the cloned DNA fragment contained an open reading frame (1476 bp) specifying a protein with a deduced molecular weight of 50,961 (491 amino acids). The deduced overall sequence was very similar to that of a PHB depolymerase of Comamonas acidovorans YM1609. From these results it was concluded that the isolated PPL-degrading enzyme belongs to the class of PHB depolymerases. A conserved amino acid sequence, Gly-X₁-Ser-X₂-Gly (lipase box), was found at the N-terminal side of the amino acid sequence. Site-directed mutagenesis of the TP4 enzyme confirmed that ²⁰Ser in the lipase box was essential for the enzyme activity. This is the first report of the isolation a PHB depolymerase from Acidovorax.     

ON THE MISMATCH BETWEEN DATA AND MODELS OF HYDROLOGIC AND WATER RESOURCE SYSTEMS1

ABSTRACT: Many difficulties exist in the matching of models with data. This paper identifies elements of this problem and discusses considerations involved in model evaluation. The well known multivariate linear regression model is used to illustrate the distinctions between accuracy and precision and between estimation and prediction (because the model is commonly misused.) No amount of additional data will improve the accuracy of a poor model. A high R², while indicative of a good matching between the observed data and model estimates, is a poor criterion for judging adequacy of the model to make good predictions of future events. Model evaluation also includes the problem of introducing secondary data and proxy variables into a model. Secondary data frequently enter, for example, the mass, energy and water budget equations because of difficulties in measuring the primary variables. Proxy variables arise because of a desire to collapse a vector of incomparable values, say, of water quality into a single number. Review of the above issues indicates that model evaluation is a multi-criterion problem, often imbedded in a larger framework where models are intended to meet multiple objectives. The mismatch of models and data has increasing legal and social consequences.     

Mechanical Properties and Lipase-Catalyzed Biodegradation of α-Methyl, ε-Caprolactone/ ε-Caprolactone Copolymers Obtained by Chemical Modification of Poly(ε-caprolactone)

Novel (-caprolactone)-based copolymers of different compositions were synthesized by allowing methyl iodide to react with the polycarbanion that resulted from the action of lithium diisopropylamide on poly(-caprolactone) in THF at –70°C under argon atmosphere. The copolymers were characterized by various techniques, namely ¹H nuclear magnetic resonance, size exclusion chromatography, differential scanning calorimetry, x-ray diffraction and viscoelasticimetry. They were submitted to hydrolytic and lipase-catalyzed enzymatic degradation in comparison with genuine PCL. The Young modulus depended on the degree of methylation. In contrast, loss angle and glass transition temperature did not depend on this parameter. It is shown that the lipase-catalyzed degradation of methylated PCL is much slower than in the case of genuine PCL.     

Seasonal variations of heavy metals in central Greenland snow deposited from 1991 to 1995

To better assess the seasonality in the fallout of heavy metals to central Greenland, a continuous series of 68 snow samples has been collected at a remote site in the Summit area from a 2.7 m pit using ultraclean sampling procedures. This covers a continuous four year time period from spring 1991 to spring 1995. Co, Cu, Zn, Mo, Rh, Pd, Ag, Cd, Sb, Pt, Pb, Bi and U were determined using ultrasensitive inductively coupled plasma sector field mass spectrometry under clean room conditions. In addition we also determined Al by graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometry and Na+, Ca2+, SO4(2-), MSA and oxalate by ion chromatography, species that will assist in the interpretation of the trace metal data. The data show pronounced inter- and intra-annual variations, with large differences in the amplitude of these variations for the element studied, with few clear seasonality patterns. Generally, high concentrations are observed in the spring snow layers, while much lower concentrations are typical of summer snow layers. Significant correlations are observed between Co, Cu, Zn, Ag and Sb, while Pt, Pd and Rh show no correlation with the other metals. Crustal enrichment factors show that while the crustal dust contribution is probably important for some metals for part of the year (spring), anthropogenic inputs are as important in many instances. Pronounced intra-annual variations are observed for some metals, in particular Pt. The variations observed for this metal parallel fairly closely changes in Russian Pt production, which points to emissions from smelters in the Russian Arctic as likely sources for Pt.     

Influence of climatic conditions and soil type on 99TcO4- uptake by rye grass

Climatic changes over the long term will modify significantly the biosphere, with glaciation events probably taking place in the next 100 000 years. This is important to safety assessments of nuclear waste disposal facilities that contain high-level and long-lived waste.The soils will evolve toward new situations, and their properties will be consequently modified (e.g. an increase of soil organic matter may be expected in a cooler climate). These changes in soil properties would affect the mobility and the soil-to-plant transfer of radionuclides such as (99)Tc. This study aimed at simulating the cooling of climatic conditions for soils representative of a Jurassic limestone plateau, and the effect on transfer parameters of (99)TcO(4)(-) in the soil-plant systems was investigated. The cooler conditions were simulated by increasing elevation, a surrogate for climate change. Soils were sampled in similar geological background and topography at different elevations in the north east of France (Lorraine and Jura). Soil/solution distribution coefficients (K(d)) of (99)TcO(4)(-) were measured on soil samples in short-term batch experiments with 1:10 soil:solution ratio. Rye grass was grown on the soils spiked with (99)TcO(4)(-) at temperature regimes adapted to each soil. Also, two different temperature regimes (cold and temperate) were applied to one soil to test the effect of plant physiology and evapotranspiration on (99)TcO(4)(-) uptake. K(d) values did not show significant differences among soils in aerobic conditions, and were not significantly different from 0. During plant culture, reduction of (99)Tc was never totally achieved in soils, including in a peaty OM soil. Concentration ratios (CR) were calculated on a dry weight basis and ranged from 20 to 370. CR were always higher in high temperature regimes than in cold temperatures. They were also inversely correlated with soil organic matter (OM) content. A decrease of CR values from 5 to 10-fold was observed with increasing soil OM. Results suggested that the water holding capacity, in which (99)Tc is diluted, the nitrification potential of the soils and the evapotranspiration of plants (efficiency of uptake of soluble (99)TcO(4)(-)) were strongly involved in these differences.     

On-road driving evaluations: a potential tool for helping older adults drive safely longer

PROBLEM: This paper explores the potential use of on-road driving evaluations as a tool for helping older adults extend their safe driving years. METHOD: Three separate research activities were carried out. The first was a national telephone survey of current and former older drivers. The results of this survey provide information relevant to the potential market for on-road driving evaluations. The second was a series of focus groups with potential stakeholders in the process: driver educators, occupational therapists, and physicians. These groups explored the feasibility and requirements of offering on-road driving evaluations to the wider public. Supplemental data were also collected from a mail survey of driving schools nationwide. RESULTS: Based on the results of these efforts, a number of recommendations are presented for expanding the availability of on-road driving evaluations, specifically to help older adults make more responsible decisions about continuing or stopping driving, and more generally to help them drive safely longer.     

HISTORICAL EVOLUTION OF FLOODING DAMAGE ON A USA/QUEBEC RIVER BASIN1

ABSTRACT: There is a general belief in the public eye that extreme events such as floods are becoming more and more common. This paper explores this hypothesis by examining the historical evolution of annual expected flooding damage on the Chateauguay River Basin, located at the border between the United States and the province of Quebec, Canada. A database of basin land use was constructed for the years 1930 and 1995 to assess anthropogenic changes and their impact on the basin's hydrology. The progressive modification of the likelihood of a flooding event over the same period was then investigated using homogeneity and statistical tests on available hydrometric data. The evolution of the annual expected flooding damage was then evaluated using a coupled hydrologic/hydraulic simulator linked to a damage analysis model. The simulator and model were used to estimate flooding damage over a wide range of flooding return periods, for conditions prevailing in 1963 and 1995. Results of the analysis reveal the absence of any increasing or decreasing trend in the historical occurrence of flooding events. However, a general increase in the annual expected flooding damage was observed for all studied river sections. This increase is linked to an historical increase in damages for a given flooding event, and is the result of unbridled construction and development within the flood zone. To assess for future trends, this study also examined the potential impacts linked to the anticipated global warming. Results indicate that a significant increase in seasonal flooding events and annual expected flooding damage is possible over the next century. In fact, what is now considered a 100‐year flooding event for the summer/fall season could become a ten‐year event by the end of this century. This shows that potential future impacts linked to climate change should be considered now by engineers, land planners, and decision makers. This is especially critical if a design return period is part of the decision making process.     

HYDRAULIC GEOMETRY RELATIONSHIPS FOR URBAN STREAMS THROUGHOUT THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA1

ABSTRACT: Hydraulic geometry relationships, or regional curves, relate bankfull stream channel dimensions to watershed drainage area. Hydraulic geometry relationships for streams throughout North Carolina vary with hydrology, soils, and extent of development within a watershed. An urban curve that is the focus of this study shows the bankfull features of streams in urban and suburban watersheds throughout the North Carolina Piedmont. Seventeen streams were surveyed in watersheds that had greater than 10 percent impervious cover. The watersheds had been developed long enough for the streams to redevelop bankfull features, and they had no major impoundments. The drainage areas for the streams ranged from 0.4 to 110.3 square kilometers. Cross‐sectional and longitudinal surveys were conducted to determine the channel dimension, pattern, and profile of each stream and power functions were fitted to the data. Comparisons were made with regional curves developed previously for the rural Piedmont, and enlargement ratios were produced. These enlargement ratios indicated a substantial increase in the hydraulic geometry for the urban streams in comparison to the rural streams. A comparison of flood frequency indicates a slight decrease in the bankfull discharge return interval for the gaged urban streams as compared to the gaged rural streams. The study data were collected by North Carolina State University (NCSU), the University of North Carolina at Charlotte (UNC), and Charlotte Storm Water Services. Urban regional curves are useful tools for applying natural channel design in developed watersheds. They do not, however, replace the need for field calibration and verification of bankfull stream channel dimensions.