Measuring natural resource scarcity: Theory and practice

Concern over the implications of natural resource availability for economic well-being has been among the most long-lived policy issues involving economists. Scarcity and Growth by Barnett and Morse has remained the most influential evaluation of these issues. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the Barnett-Morse methodology. Using the results from comparative static and dynamic models three scarcity indexes are evaluated for their consistency in signaling changes in the availability of natural resources. In addition, the paper reports a reconsideration of the movements in the relative prices of extractive outputs to 1973. This analysis indicates that the empirical evidence alone is not sufficient to arrive at a conclusion as to whether there is increasing scarcity of natural resources.     

Land clearance not dieback continues to drive tree loss in a Tasmanian rural landscape

Tree cover has declined markedly since European settlement in the agricultural areas of Australia due to land clearing and natural and stress-induced senescence of remnant trees combined with widespread regeneration failure. These decreases in tree cover have seldom been quantified on a landscape scale, but are important in understanding losses in carbon storage and biodiversity across large areas of the continent. We used historical aerial photography and satellite imagery to study changes in tree canopy cover in the southern Tasmanian Midlands, one of the oldest agricultural regions in Australia. Tree cover at 1,000 random sites was assessed from imagery captured on four occasions between 1947 and 2010. Tree cover was stable between 1947 and the 1970s, but decreased from 33 % in the 1970s to 21 % in 2010. The decrease appeared driven by transition from some cover to no cover, rather than from more cover to less cover, because sites with tree cover in 2010 showed little net change during the study period. Statistical modelling showed soils derived from igneous rocks lost more cover than did the less fertile sedimentary soils, and contrary to the expectations, if drought was the cause of cover loss, sun-exposed north-facing sites did not lose more cover than south-facing ones. We argue that these temporal and spatial patterns of tree cover change are consistent with tree clearing rather than loss of remnant isolated trees due to drought-induced dieback.     

Diethylaminoethyl-cellulose clean-up of a large volume naphthenic acid extract

The Athabasca oil sands of Alberta, Canada contain an estimated 174 billion barrels of bitumen. During oil sands refining processes, an extraction tailings mixture is produced that has been reported as toxic to aquatic organisms and is therefore collected in settling ponds on site. Investigation into the toxicity of these tailings pond waters has identified naphthenic acids (NAs) and their sodium salts as the major toxic components, and a multi-year study has been initiated to identify the principal toxic components within NA mixtures. Future toxicity studies require a large volume of a NA mixture, however, a well-defined bulk extraction technique is not available. This study investigated the use of a weak anion exchanger, diethylaminoethyl-cellulose (DEAE-cellulose), to remove humic-like material present after collecting the organic acid fraction of oil sands tailings pond water. The NA extraction and clean-up procedure proved to be a fast and efficient method to process large volumes of tailings pond water, providing an extraction efficiency of 41.2%. The resulting concentrated NA solution had a composition that differed somewhat from oil sands fresh tailings, with a reduction in the abundance of lower molecular weight NAs being the most significant difference. This reduction was mainly due to the initial acidification of tailings pond water. The DEAE-cellulose treatment had only a minor effect on the NA concentration, no noticeable effect on the NA fingerprint, and no significant effect on the mixture toxicity towards Vibrio fischeri.     

Black carbon and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon emissions from vehicles in the United States-Mexico border region: pilot study

The investigators developed a system to measure black carbon (BC) and particle-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) emission factors during roadside sampling in four cities along the United States-Mexico border, Calexico/Mexicali and El Paso/Juarez. The measurement system included a photoacoustic analyzer for BC, a photoelectric aerosol sensor for particle-bound PAHs, and a carbon dioxide (CO2) analyzer. When a vehicle with measurable emissions passed the system probe, corresponding BC, PAH, and CO2 peaks were evident, and a fuel-based emission factor was estimated. A picture of each vehicle was also recorded with a digital camera. The advantage of this system, compared with other roadside methods, is the direct measurement of particulate matter components and limited interference from roadside dust. The study revealed some interesting trends: Mexican buses and all medium-duty trucks were more frequently identified as high emitters of BC and PAH than heavy-duty trucks or passenger vehicles. In addition, because of the high daily mileage of buses, they are good candidates for additional study. Mexican trucks and buses had higher average emission factors compared with U.S. trucks and buses, but the differences were not statistically significant. Few passenger vehicles had measurable BC and PAH emissions, although the highest emission factor came from an older model passenger vehicle licensed in Baja California.     

Water striders (family Gerridae): mercury sentinels in small freshwater ecosystems

To circumvent some of the previous limitations associated with contaminant-monitoring programs, we tested the suitability of the water strider (Hemiptera: Gerridae) as a mercury sentinel by comparing total mercury concentrations in water striders and brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) from a variety of stream sites in New Brunswick, Canada. There was a strong association between the two variables across sites (r(2)=0.81, P<0.001) in systems where both atmospheric deposition and a point source (an abandoned gold mine) were likely contributing to ambient mercury levels. In a small stream draining the gold mine tailings pile, water striders had mercury concentrations an order of magnitude higher than those from reference locations. Temporal variation at three southern New Brunswick stream sites was non-significant. These results suggest that water strider mercury levels accurately quantify food chain entry of the element. The use of sentinel species holds great potential for expanding contaminant-monitoring programs.     

Prevalence and characteristics of road traffic injuries among young drivers in Oman, 2009–2011

Objectives: Studies from different parts of the world have indicated that the impact of road traffic incidents disproportionally affects young adults. Few known studies have been forthcoming from Arabian Gulf countries. Within Oman, a high proportion of the population is under the age of 20. Coupled with the drastic increase in motorization in recent years, there is a need to understand the state of road safety among young people in Oman. The current research aimed to explore the prevalence and characteristics of road traffic injuries among young drivers aged 17–25 years.

Methods: Crash data from 2009 to 2011 were extracted from the Directorate General of Traffic, Royal Oman Police (ROP) database in Oman. The data were analyzed to explore the impact of road crashes on young people (17–25 years), the characteristics of young driver crashes, and how these differ from older drivers and to identify key predictors of fatalities in young driver crashes.

Results: Overall, young people were overrepresented in injuries and fatalities within the sample time period. Though it is true that many young people in crashes were driving at the time, it was also evident that young people were often victims in a crash caused by someone else. Thus, to reduce the impact of road crashes on young people, there is a need to generally address road safety within Oman. When young drivers were involved in crashes they were predominantly male. The types of crashes these drivers have can be broadly attributed to risk taking and inexperience. Speeding and nighttime driving were the key risk factors for fatalities.

Conclusion: The results highlight the need to address young driver safety in Oman. From these findings, the introduction of a graduated driver licensing system with nighttime driving restrictions could significantly improve young driver safety.     

Reproductive enhancement by helpers and an experimental inquiry into its mechanism in the bicolored wren

Summary As part of continuing studies of sociality in the wren genus Campylorhynchus we have been studying the bicolored wren — a facultatively cooperative breeder — for the past 6 years in the central Venezuelan savanna. Reproductive groups have ranged in size from 2 to 5. In one of our study populations, only about 15% of the groups contained helpers, and nearly all these contained only a single male helper (Fig. 2). In an adjacent population, the majority of groups contained helpers, and more than half of these contained several helpers of either sex. Territory size is, on average, much smaller in the latter population. In these populations the presence of a single helper is associated with a three-fold increase in reproductive success (Table 1). Additional helpers are not associated with further reproductive enhancement. Enhancement is chiefly due to an increased proportion of nest starts that eventually produce independent juveniles. This reproductive enhancement is not merely an epiphenomenon resulting from the presence of helpers on territories which are superior for other reasons, such as greater resource availability or the quality of particular parents. It is also not a function of the mean or variance in nestling feeding rate. Predator exclusion experiments, in which certan nests were artificially protected from terrestrial predators, suggested that the mechanism of reproductive enhancement was heightened effectiveness of nest defense. Helpers are usually nondispersers from the parental territory, and have always been found to be close relative of the nestlings that they assist in rearing.     

Cooperation in breeding by nonreproductive wrens: kinship,reciprocity, and demography

Summary Stripe-backed wrens (Campylorhynchus nuchalis) often live as adults in large groups on permanent, communally defended territories. Nonbreeding adults cooperate in rearing the young of a single breeding pair; this aid substantially increases the reproductive success of the breeders. In a 6-year study in Venezuela of a completely colorbanded population of 25–30 groups, most adults participated in breeding only as helpers and priority to breeding status was strictly age-determined. Detailed behavioral observations at breeding nests with nestlings showed that, in a sample of 100, helpers nearly always contributed as much to the care of young as breeders. Further, aid-giving does not vary systematically with relatedness of ycung to helpers or with probability of future reciprocation by young. Young being raised are most often at least half siblings of helpers, but seldom return aid to adults that helped raise them. Even adopted helpers collaborate fully. Patterns of demography and dispersal show slow turnover of breeders, delayed reproduction, and a viscous population structure.Application of Hamilton's condition for selection for aid-giving reveals that most individuals in this population can maximize inclusive fitness in the first 2 years by helping instead of breeding. Variation in helping effort and in age of first breeding is related to variation in natal group size and competition resulting from variable demographic neighborhoods in different years or in different parts of the population. Because reciprocation in the form of specific alliance formation among nonreproductives is uncommon, nonspecific reciprocity between cohorts and kin selection account well for the observed pattern of age-dependence in first breeding. Nondiscriminating helping in this population is associated with stable monogamous pair boncs, stable territory boundaries and group membership, strict seniortiy for breeding position, high viscosity and consistent effectiveness of aid. Under these circumstances, very simple behavioral rules amounting to nearly automatic helping seem sufficient to confer critical inclusive fitness gain on helpers.