Ecologically based policy evaluation: application to ungulate management in New Zealand

Introduced ungulates, e.g., deer and Himalayan tahr, are variously considered as both pests and resources in New Zealand. Much ecological research has occurred into these species and into the ecosystems in which they live. Concurrently, much has been done to develop ‘management’ plans for these species. We reviewed ecological research relevant to these ungulates and developed ecologically relevant criteria to assess the extent to which these have been considered in these plans. Nine criteria were developed within four thematic areas: ecological principles, objectives and outcomes, adaptive management, and use of science information. Four planning documents were then evaluated. All four poorly or at best marginally considered fundamental ecological principles: only the Himalayan thar control plan scored well in terms of having objectives and outcomes that were clearly ecologically based; the thar plan was very strong in terms of its commitment to implementing adaptive management; and, in terms of using the best available science both the thar plan and the deer issues and options paper scored well. Overall, ecological science and principles have not played major roles in the development of some of these plans, probably because ultimately they reflect political choices that are difficult to support with the available ecological research.     

Project Specific Monitoring and Verification: State of the Art and Challenges

Adequate monitoring of carbon sequestered by forestry activities is essential to the future of forestry as a climate change mitigation option. A wide range of approaches has been taken to monitor changes in forest carbon attributable to project activities. This paper describes simple, least-cost/least-precision methods, remote sensing, periodic carbon inventories, and traditional research methods. Periodic carbon inventories are the preferred approach because they are cost-effective, provide measurements with known levels of precision, and allow the monitoring of other values such as biodiversity and commercial timber volumes. Verification of monitoring estimates is discussed as an auditing process designed to evaluate reported carbon sequestration values. The limitations of remote sensing for biomass determination and the potential for changes in monitoring approaches due to improvements in technology are briefly reviewed.     

Mosaicism or pseudomosaicism: The problem of hypermodal cells in amniotic fluid cell culture

A series of 2029 consecutive amniotic fluid specimens studied for prenatal genetic diagnosis were reviewed and reassessed so as to evaluate the frequency and clinical significance of hypermodal cells in amniotic fluid cell cultures. Hypermodal cells were defined as those with more than 46 chromosomes, and were characterized by an additional structurally normal or structurally abnormal chromosome. Of 2029 specimens, 47 (2.31 per cent) contained a total of 167 hypermodal cells. True fetal mosaicism was detected in three cases (0.14 per cent). All had hypermodal cells in more than one culture flask or colony which contained the same aberrant chromosome complement. In all but one case the babies were normal when only one cell was hypermodal, or when several cells were hypermodal but present in only one colony or one culture vessel. One case had an extra No. 20 chromosome in one cell. Although the child had multiple anomalies, they were not characteristic of trisomy 20, and subsequent chromosomal study on the baby postnatally revealed a 46,XX karyotype. The in situ coverslip technique is recommended as the preferred method for prenatal diagnosis, and it is useful as an aid in differentiating true mosaicism from pseudomosaicism.     

Prenatal detection of chromosomal mosaicism

A significant problem associated with cytogenetic prenatal diagnosis is distinguishing between true and pseudomosaicism. This becomes a diagnostic dilemma when fetal mosaicism corresponds with a known clinical entity. True mosaicism reportedly occurs with a frequency of 0·2 per cent and pseudomosaicism in 0·7 per cent to 2·7 per cent of cases. In the past 12 months, our laboratory has completed 522 fetal karyotypes. Nine cases were found to demonstrate mosaicism, 4 true mosaics (0·8 per cent) and 6 pseudomosaics (1·1 per cent). One case demonstrated both true and pseudomosaicism. In all cases of true mosaicism, the pregnancy was continued and karyotypes completed at birth. Our results demonstrate a danger of rigid adherence to the criteria for true and pseudomosaicism in the examination of amniotic fluids. It is suggested that the criteria established for true and pseudomosaicism may not be valid when an aberrant cell line is found in a single flask and when that aberrant cell line is compatible with a known clinical entity due to a chromosome anomaly.     

Estimation of ambient PM2.5 concentrations in Maryland and verification by measured values

In 1997, Maryland had no available ambient Federal Reference Method data on particulate matter less than 2.5 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM23), but did have annual ambient data for PM smaller than 10 microm (PM10) at 24 sites. The PM10 data were analyzed in conjunction with local annual and seasonal zip-code-level emission inventories and with speciated PM2.5 data from four nearby monitors in the IMPROVE network (located in the national parks, wildlife refuges, and wilderness areas) in an effort to estimate annual average and seasonal high PM2.5 concentrations at the 24 PM10 monitor sites operating from 1992 to 1996. All seasonal high concentrations were estimated to be below the 24-hr PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) at the sites operating in Maryland between 1992 and 1996. The estimates also indicated that 12 monitor sites might exceed the 3-year annual average PM2.5 NAAQS of 15 microg/m3, but Maryland's air quality shows signs that it has been improving since 1992. The estimates also were compared with actual measurements after the PM2.5 monitor network was installed. The estimates were adequate for describing the chemical composition of the PM2.5, forecasting compliance status with the 24-hr and annual standards, and determining the spatial variations in PM2.5 across central Maryland.     

Persulfate oxidation for in situ remediation of TCE. II. Activated by chelated ferrous ion

In situ chemical oxidation (ISCO) is a technique used to remediate contaminated soil and groundwater systems. It has been postulated that sodium persulfate (Na2S2O8) can be activated by transition metal ions such as ferrous ion (Fe2+) to produce a powerful oxidant known as the sulfate free radical (SO4-*) with a redox potential of 2.6 V, which can potentially destroy organic contaminants. In this laboratory study persulfate oxidation of dissolved trichloroethylene (TCE) was investigated in aqueous and soil slurry systems under a variety of experimental conditions. A chelating agent (i.e., citric acid) was used in attempt to manipulate the quantity of ferrous ion in solution by providing an appropriate chelate/Fe2+ molar ratio. In an aqueous system a chelate/Fe2+ molar ratio of 1/5 (e.g., S2O8(2)-/chelate/Fe2+/TCE ratio of 20/2/10/1) was found to be the lowest acceptable ratio to maintain sufficient quantities of Fe2+ activator in solution resulting in nearly complete TCE destruction after only 20 min. The availability of Fe2+ appeared to be controlled by adjusting the molar ratio of chelate/Fe2+. In general, high levels of chelated ferrous ion concentrations resulted in faster TCE degradation and more persulfate decomposition. However, if initial ferrous ion contents are relatively low, sufficient quantities of chelate must be provided to ensure the chelation of a greater percentage of the limited ferrous ion present. Citric acid chelated ferrous ion appeared effective for TCE degradation within soil slurries but required longer reaction times. Additionally, the use of citric acid without the addition of supplemental Fe2+ in soil slurries, where the citric acid apparently extracted native metals from the soil, appeared to be somewhat effective at enhancing persulfate oxidation of TCE over extended reaction times. A comparison of different chelating agents revealed that citric acid was the most effective.     

Analysis of snake tissue and snake eggs for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin via fused silica GC combined with atmospheric pressure ionization MS

Several snake tissue samples and one set of snake eggs were collected and analyzed for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-$\text{p}$-dioxin. The isomer-specific analysis was performed using fused silica GC combined with atmospheric pressure ionization MS. The results ranged from a low of 38 parts-per-trillion (ppt) to high levels over 500 ppt.     

The dual functions of sea urchin gonads are reflected in the temporal variations of their biochemistry

Fatty acid analyses are emerging as a powerful technique to probe trophic interactions between organisms. In this paper, the application of both this procedure and gonad index (GI) determination on two populations (intertidal and subtidal) of the echinoid Psammechinus miliaris is reported. The investigation spanned the 3-month spawning period of Scottish west coast populations. In both populations a progressive decrease in the GI was found, coupled with an increasing maturity stage (from mature to spent). Sexual maturation and decrease in GI was synchronous between the two populations. In conjunction, there were distinct changes in gonad biochemistry. Differences in the fatty acid composition of the gonad reflected the changes in sexual maturation. Mature males and females had significant differences in the fatty acid composition of their gonads, whereas post-spawned individuals showed no gender differences. Male urchins had higher levels of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) compared to females, and there was a dramatic reduction in the fatty acids 22:6(n−3) and 20:5(n−3) with increasing maturity stage. Using multivariate statistical techniques, these changes in the fatty acid composition of the sea urchin gonad were linked to habitat related diet differences combined with gender differences. These changes in the fatty acid signatures clearly reflect the dual function of the gonad as both a nutrient store and a reproductive organ.     

Simultaneous estimation of jointly dependent recreation participation function

The purpose of this paper is to develop and estimate a simultaneous model of recreation participation. The logic of the model is that participation in one activity (for example, boating) is influenced by and influences participation in other activities (for example, fishing). For the empirical part of our paper we have used the simultaneous logit model developed by P. Schmidt and R. P. Strauss (Econometrics43, 745–755, 1975). For the application, we have applied the simultaneous logit model to participation in summer recreational activities in Rhode Island. Our results show that simultaneous equation models tend to forecast better, but that the specification bias from excluding the endogenous variables tends to be small.