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21.
Ton Snelder Anthony Lehmann Nicolas Lamouroux John Leathwick Karin Allenbach 《Environmental management》2010,45(5):939-952
Ecological regionalizations define geographic regions exhibiting relative homogeneity in ecological (i.e., environmental and
biotic) characteristics. Multivariate clustering methods have been used to define ecological regions based on subjectively
chosen environmental variables. We developed and tested three procedures for defining ecological regions based on spatial
modeling of a multivariate target pattern that is represented by compositional dissimilarities between locations (e.g., taxonomic
dissimilarities). The procedures use a “training dataset” representing the target pattern and models this as a function of
environmental variables. The model is then extrapolated to the entire domain of interest. Environmental data for our analysis
were drawn from a 400 m grid covering all of Switzerland and consisted of 12 variables describing climate, topography and
lithology. Our target patterns comprised land cover composition of each grid cell that was derived from interpretation of
aerial photographs. For Regionalization 1 we used conventional cluster analysis of the environmental variables to define 60
hierarchically organized levels comprising from 5 to 300 regions. Regionalization 1 provided a base-case for comparison with
the model-based regionalizations. Regionalization 2, 3 and 4 also comprised 60 hierarchically organized levels and were derived
by modeling land cover composition for 4000 randomly selected “training” cells. Regionalization 2 was based on cluster analysis
of environmental variables that were transformed based on a Generalized Dissimilarity Model (GDM). Regionalization 3 and 4
were defined by clustering the training cells based on their land cover composition followed by predictive modeling of the
distribution of the land cover clusters using Classification and Regression Tree (CART) and Random Forest (RF) models. Independent
test data (i.e. not used to train the models) were used to test the discrimination of land cover composition at all hierarchical
levels of the regionalizations using the classification strength (CS) statistic.
CS for all the model-based regionalizations was significantly higher than for Regionalization 1. Regionalization 3 and 4 performed
significantly better than Regionalization 2 at finer hierarchical levels (many regions) and Regionalization 4 performed significantly
better than Regionalization 3 for coarse levels of detail (few regions). Compositional modeling can significantly increase
the performance of numerically defined ecological regionalizations. CART and RF-based models appear to produce stronger regionalizations
because discriminating variables are able to change at each hierarchic level. 相似文献
22.
Martin Lehmann Per Christensen Mikkel Thrane Tine Herreborg Jørgensen 《Journal of Cleaner Production》2009,17(12):1067-1074
With an outset in ‘sustainability’ defined as a continuous process requiring balance between (the emergence of) problems and our ability and capability to solve them using four distinct capitals available, i.e. natural, production, human and intellectual, and social capital, a model of universities as factories is used. The model suggests that the most notable products of a university being graduates, and knowledge in the form of books, journal articles etc., i.e. human and intellectual capital. As a consequence, these are also the most important impacts from a university. Using the case of Aalborg University, Denmark, the linkages (actual, potential and missing) between academic work in research and education and sustainability initiatives are explored. The focus is both on the university's core activities as a provider of research and education and on the university's activities as an organisation, i.e. its own operation and its accounting for this. It is suggested that systematic engagement activities could benefit both the university's ability to manage internal university processes (by learning from its peers) and its ability to produce the right graduates and knowledge. As a consequence, the main societal benefit would be the ability to better cope with emerging problems endangering the sustainable development of our societies. It is concluded that Aalborg University with its long tradition for project-based and problem-oriented learning in fact has every opportunity to be able to lead by example and become the link to sustainability. 相似文献
23.
The spatial configuration of metapopulations (numbers, sizes, and localization of patches) affects their ability to resist demographic extinction and genetic drift, but sometimes with opposite effects. Small and isolated patches, for instance, contribute marginally to demography but may play a large role in genetics by maintaining a sizeable amount of genetic variance among demes. In source-sink systems, similarly, connectivity may be beneficial in terms of effective size, but detrimental in terms of survival, by lowering the reproductive value of source populations. How to reconcile these opposite effects? Here we propose an analytical framework that integrates fixation time (ability to resist genetic drift) and extinction time (ability to resist demographic extinction) into a single index of resistance, measuring the ability of a metapopulation to maintain its demo-genetic integrity. We then illustrate with numerical examples how conflicting demands may be resolved. 相似文献
24.
Meeting lateness is pervasive and potentially highly consequential for individuals, groups, and organizations. In Study 1, we first examined base rates of lateness to meetings in an employee sample and found that meeting lateness is negatively related to both meeting satisfaction and effectiveness. We then conducted 2 lab studies to better understand the nature of this negative relationship between meeting lateness and meeting outcomes. In Study 2, we manipulated meeting lateness using a confederate and showed that participants' anticipated meeting satisfaction and effectiveness were significantly lower when meetings started late. In Study 3, participants holding actual group meetings were randomly and blindly assigned to either a 10 min late, 5 min late, or a control condition (n = 16 groups in each condition). We found significant differences concerning participants' perceived meeting satisfaction and meeting effectiveness, as well as objective group performance outcomes (number, quality, and feasibility of ideas produced in the meeting). We also identified differences in negative socioemotional group interaction behaviors depending on meeting lateness. In concert, our findings establish meeting lateness as an important organizational phenomenon and provide important conceptual and empirical implications for meeting research and practice. 相似文献
25.
Ton Snelder Anthony Lehmann Nicolas Lamouroux John Leathwick Karin Allenbach 《Environmental management》2009,44(4):658-670
Numerical clustering has frequently been used to define hierarchically organized ecological regionalizations, but there has
been little robust evaluation of their performance (i.e., the degree to which regions discriminate areas with similar ecological
character). In this study we investigated the effect of the weighting and treatment of input variables on the performance
of regionalizations defined by agglomerative clustering across a range of hierarchical levels. For this purpose, we developed
three ecological regionalizations of Switzerland of increasing complexity using agglomerative clustering. Environmental data
for our analysis were drawn from a 400 m grid and consisted of estimates of 11 environmental variables for each grid cell
describing climate, topography and lithology. Regionalization 1 was defined from the environmental variables which were given
equal weights. We used the same variables in Regionalization 2 but weighted and transformed them on the basis of a dissimilarity
model that was fitted to land cover composition data derived for a random sample of cells from interpretation of aerial photographs.
Regionalization 3 was a further two-stage development of Regionalization 2 where specific classifications, also weighted and
transformed using dissimilarity models, were applied to 25 small scale “sub-domains” defined by Regionalization 2. Performance
was assessed in terms of the discrimination of land cover composition for an independent set of sites using classification
strength (CS), which measured the similarity of land cover composition within classes and the dissimilarity between classes.
Regionalization 2 performed significantly better than Regionalization 1, but the largest gains in performance, compared to
Regionalization 1, occurred at coarse hierarchical levels (i.e., CS did not increase significantly beyond the 25-region level).
Regionalization 3 performed better than Regionalization 2 beyond the 25-region level and CS values continued to increase to
the 95-region level. The results show that the performance of regionalizations defined by agglomerative clustering are sensitive
to variable weighting and transformation. We conclude that large gains in performance can be achieved by training classifications
using dissimilarity models. However, these gains are restricted to a narrow range of hierarchical levels because agglomerative
clustering is unable to represent the variation in importance of variables at different spatial scales. We suggest that further
advances in the numerical definition of hierarchically organized ecological regionalizations will be possible with techniques
developed in the field of statistical modeling of the distribution of community composition. 相似文献
26.
Spermatophore characteristics in bushcrickets vary with parasitism and remating interval 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Male bushcrickets provide females with a nuptial gift, a spermatophore, which is transferred to females at mating. The spermatophore
consists of a gelatinous mass, the spermatophylax, and the sperm-containing ampulla. Male spermatophore size is positively
correlated with insemination rate and female refractory period and therefore with male reproductive success. In this study,
we examined spermatophylax weight, ampulla weight and sperm number in males of Poecilimon mariannae parasitized by the acoustically orienting fly Therobia leonidei. We show that in parasitized males, spermatophylax weight decreases with the level of parasitism. In line with the hypothesis
that parasitism is a cost to reproduction, we found that spermatophylax weight was reduced at remating. In contrast, the replenishment
of the spermatophylax in unparasitized males was complete after 2 days and was increased no further after 3 days. Both sperm
number and ampulla weight showed an increase over time since last mating and sperm production was estimated at a constant
rate of 500,000 per day in all individuals, regardless of parasitism. The allocation of investment in components of the spermatophore
varies greatly with parasitism and remating. Both factors had rather independent effects on spermatophore constitution, revealing
functional constraints acting on spermatophore characteristics in bushcrickets, which are important for understanding the
selection pressures working on its components.
Received: 13 September 1999 / Received in revised form: 4 February 2000 / Accepted: 13 March 2000 相似文献
27.
S. Witkowski W. Ochsenfeld F. L. Boschke P. Toschek J. Brandmüller H. Sackmann D. Demus K. Cammann G. Koch H. Schmidbaur C. H. Krauch G. Snatzke L. Jaenicke K. Dose F. Haurowitz T. Kreuzer O. Hoffmann-Ostenhof G. May W. Lehmann J. Rëtey W. Bühler H. Bösenberg D. Gröger Alan Charig E. Jäger H. Brücher P. Kornmann 《Die Naturwissenschaften》1971,58(2):103-108
28.
A one-dimensional transport model for simulating water flow and solute transport in homogeneous–heterogeneous, saturated–unsaturated porous media is presented. The model is composed of a combination of accurate numerical algorithms for solving the nonlinear Richard's and advection–dispersion equations (ADE). The mixed form of Richard's equation is solved using a standard finite element method (FEM) with primary variable switching. The transport equation is solved using operator splitting, with the discontinuous finite element method (DFE) for discretization of the advective term. A slope limiting procedure for DFE avoids numerical instabilities but creates very limited numerical dispersion for high Peclet numbers. An implicit finite differences scheme (FD) is used for the dispersive term.The unsaturated flow and transport model (Wamos-T) is applied to a variety of rigorous problems including transient flow, heterogeneous medium and abrupt variations of velocity in magnitude and direction due to time-varying boundary conditions. It produces accurate and mass-conservative solutions for a very large range of grid Peclet numbers. The Wamos-T model is a good and robust alternative for the simulation of mass transport in unsaturated domain. 相似文献
29.
The Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has had relatively little success in Africa due to a number of factors. Increases in agricultural soil carbon have strong benefits for soil health as well as potential for carbon sequestration, but such projects are currently excluded from the CDM and other offset mechanisms. Small-scale biochar systems with net emission reductions may hold a key for Africa to engage with the international offset mechanisms and open the door to soil carbon sequestration projects. 相似文献
30.
Enrique Morán-Tejeda Sixto Herrera J. Ignacio López-Moreno Jesús Revuelto Anthony Lehmann Martin Beniston 《Regional Environmental Change》2013,13(4):873-885
Snow cover in Spanish mountains is crucial for ensuring water availability in spring and summer months, for the success of winter tourism or for the maintenance of biodiversity in mountain ecosystems. A changing climate may affect the volume of snow cover even in high mountains, where weather conditions are usually favorable for snow accumulation. In this paper, we aim to investigate the evolution (1970–2007) of combined precipitation–temperature modes in the Spanish mountains, and the sensitivity of the snowpack to their occurrence. The climatic database “Spain02” and snow thickness data for Spanish mountains were used for this purpose. Results showed that the frequency of dry-warm and wet-warm days has increased over time in all mountain ranges, while the frequency of the “cold” modes has decreased. The thickness of the snowpack in the Pyrenees has also decreased and its evolution is negatively correlated with the frequency of dry-warm days, and positively correlated with the frequency of dry-cold and wet-cold days. This work constitutes the first approach that relates the evolution of climatic conditions favorable or unfavorable for snow accumulation and the evolution of the snowpack in Spanish mountains. 相似文献