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201.
/ This paper assesses the changing role of dynamic modeling for understanding and managing complex ecological economic systems. It discusses new modeling tools for problem scoping and consensus building among a broad range of stakeholders and describes four case studies in which dynamic modeling has been used to collect and organize data, synthesize knowledge, and build consensus about the management of complex systems. The case studies range from industrial systems (mining, smelting, and refining of iron and steel in the United States) to ecosystems (Louisiana coastal wetlands, and Fynbos ecosystems in South Africa) to linked ecological economic systems (Maryland's Patuxent River basin in the United States). They illustrate uses of dynamic modeling to include stakeholders in all stages of consensus building, ranging from initial problem scoping to model development. The resultant models are the first stage in a three-stage modeling process that includes research and management models as the later stages.KEY WORDS: Dynamic modeling; Scoping; Consensus building; Environmental management; Ecosystem management; Policy making; Graphical programming languages 相似文献
202.
Peter Kuschk Ulrich Stottmeister Yong-Jun Liu Arndt Wiessner Matthias K¨astner Roland-Arno M¨uller 《环境科学学报(英文版)》2010,22(2):192-197
Coke plant effluents with high contents of organic compounds are mainly treated by biological aerobic fermentation after physical pre-treatment.In this study,a brown coal condensate wastewater from a low temperature coking process was fermented under methanogenic conditions in discontinuous experiments.By this fermentation,acetate,propionate,and the main polyphenolic compounds(catechol,resorcinol and hydroquinone) were degraded to a level below the detection limit.The COD was reduced by 72% with a residual ... 相似文献
203.
Uta Berger Marion Glaser Boris Koch Gesche Krause Rubén Lara Ulrich Saint-Paul Dirk Schories Matthias Wolff 《Journal of Coastal Conservation》1999,5(2):125-134
The main objective of the MADAM project (Mangrove Dynamics and Management) is to generate the scientific basis enabling the
sustainable stewardship of the resources of the Caeté mangrove estuary in Northeast Brazil in the sense of integrated coastal
(zone) management. To achieve this, it is necessary to acquire in-depth knowledge of natural processes as well as of the relevant
institutional, cultural, economic, social and political dynamics. Causal linkages within the ecosystem, as well as between
ecosystem, economy and society, are analysed and explained via dynamic and trophic modelling. Scenario construction is intended
to forecast the effects of acute or chronic interference on utilized resources, and to answer wider, management-related questions
(e.g. restoration of destroyed areas, utilization potential for aquaculture). This paper describes the project strategy as
developed and modified in the context of research results from the initial 2-yr project phase. It is argued that a continuous
discussion process is essential to assess the validity of the strategies formulated at the beginning of a medium-time project,
particularly if the project is of interdisciplinary nature. 相似文献
204.
Large males dominate: ecology,social organization,and mating system of wild cavies,the ancestors of the guinea pig 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Matthias Asher Tanja Lippmann Jörg T. Epplen Cornelia Kraus Fritz Trillmich Norbert Sachser 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2008,62(9):1509-1521
Ecological factors differently affect male and female animals and thereby importantly influence their life history and reproductive
strategies. Caviomorph rodents are found in a wide range of habitats in South America and different social and mating systems
have evolved in closely related species. This permits to study the impact of ecological factors on social evolution. In this
study, we investigated the social organization and the mating system of the wild cavy (Cavia aperea), the ancestor of the domestic guinea pig, in its natural habitat in Uruguay. Based on our laboratory investigations, we
expected a polygynous system with large males controlling access to females. Results from radiotelemetry and direct observations
showed that females occupied small stable home ranges which were largely overlapped by that of one large male, resulting in
a social organization of small harems. In some cases, small satellite males were associated with harems and intermediate-sized
roaming males were occasionally observed on the study site. However, microsatellite analyses revealed that offspring were
exclusively sired by large males of the same or neighboring harems, with a moderate degree of multiple paternity (13–27%).
Thus, the mating system of C. aperea can be described as polygynous and contrasts with the promiscuous organization described for other species of cavies (Cavia magna, Galea musteloides and Microcavia australis) living under different ecological conditions. Our findings stress the strong impact of environmental factors on social evolution
in Caviomorphs as resource distribution determines female space use and, thereby, the ability of males to monopolize females.
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. 相似文献
205.
Anna Von Roenne Franz Von Roenne Sarah Kollie Yaya Swaray Egbert Sondorp Matthias Borchert 《Disasters》2010,34(1):16-29
The need to involve refugees in their own reproductive health (RH) services has long been recognised, but there is a lack of published examples describing how this can be achieved collaboratively between refugee initiatives, UNHCR, bilateral development organisations and international relief agencies. This paper outlines the work, outputs and lessons learnt of the Reproductive Health Group (RHG), an organisation of Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugee midwives and laywomen providing RH services to fellow refugees in Guinea's Forest Region between 1996 and 2000. Working as part of the Guinean health system, RHG midwives and community facilitators helped make the RH services in their region the most effective in Guinea at the time. Looking at RHG's achievements, the challenges it faced and partly overcame, it is argued that refugee organisations can plan and implement RH services for refugees where UNHCR and its international partners ensure that they receive funding and technical assistance. 相似文献
206.
Annekatrin Dreyer Volker Matthias Ingo Weinberg Ralf Ebinghaus 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2010,158(5):1221-9909
Twenty precipitation samples were taken concurrently with air samples at a northern German monitoring site over a period of 7 months in 2007 and 2008. Thirty four poly- and perfluorinated compounds (PFC) were determined in rain water samples by solid phase extraction and HPLC-MS/MS analysis. Seventeen compounds were detected in rain water with ΣPFC concentrations ranging from 1.6 ng L−1 to 48.6 ng L−1. Perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) and perfluorobutanate (PFBA) were the compounds that were usually observed in highest concentrations. Calculated ΣPFC deposition rates were between 2 and 91 ng m−2 d−1. These findings indicate that particle phase PFC are deposited from the atmosphere by precipitation. A relationship between PFC wet deposition and air concentration may be established via precipitation amounts. Trajectory analysis revealed that PFC concentration and deposition estimates in precipitation can only be explained if a detailed air mass history is considered. 相似文献
207.
Schlumpf M Kypke K Wittassek M Angerer J Mascher H Mascher D Vökt C Birchler M Lichtensteiger W 《Chemosphere》2010,81(10):1171-1183
In order to assess potential risks of exposure to environmental chemicals, more information on concomitant exposure to different chemicals is needed. We present data on chemicals in human milk of a cohort study (2004, 2005, 2006) of 54 mother/child pairs, where for the first time, cosmetic UV filters, synthetic musks, parabens and phthalate metabolites were analyzed in the same sample along with persistent organochlor pollutants (POPs), i.e., organochlor pesticides and metabolites, polybrominated diphenylethers and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). The two groups of chemicals exhibited different exposure patterns. Six out of seven PCB congeners and a majority of pesticides were present in all milk samples, with significant correlations between certain PCB congener and pesticide levels, whereas the cosmetic-derived compounds, UV filters, parabens and synthetic musks, exhibited a more variable exposure pattern with inter-individual differences. UV filters were present in 85.2% of milk samples, in the range of PCB levels. Comparison with a questionnaire revealed a significant correlation between use of products containing UV filters and their presence in milk for two frequently used and detected UV filters, 4-methylbenzylidene camphor and octocrylene, and for the whole group of UV filters. Concentrations of PCBs and organochlor pesticides were within ranges seen in Western and Southern European countries. For several POPs, mean and/or maximum daily intake calculated from individual concentrations was above recent US EPA reference dose values. Our data emphasize the need for analyses of complex mixtures to obtain more information on inter-individual and temporal variability of human exposure to different types of chemicals. 相似文献
208.
Hung NT Ketzel M Jensen SS Oanh NT 《Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association (1995)》2010,60(11):1315-1326
In many metropolitan areas, traffic is the main source of air pollution. The high concentrations of pollutants in streets have the potential to affect human health. Therefore, estimation of air pollution at the street level is required for health impact assessment. This task has been carried out in many developed countries by a combination of air quality measurements and modeling. This study focuses on how to apply a dispersion model to cities in the developing world, where model input data and data from air quality monitoring stations are limited or of varying quality. This research uses the operational street pollution model (OSPM) developed by the National Environmental Research Institute in Denmark for a case study in Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam. OSPM predictions from five streets were evaluated against air pollution measurements of nitrogen oxides (NO(x)), sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and benzene (BNZ) that were available from previous studies. Hourly measurements and passive sample measurements collected over 3-week periods were compared with model outputs, applying emission factors from previous studies. In addition, so-called "backward calculations" were performed to adapt the emission factors for Hanoi conditions. The average fleet emission factors estimated can be used for emission calculations at other streets in Hanoi and in other locations in Southeast Asia with similar vehicle types. This study also emphasizes the need to further eliminate uncertainties in input data for the street-scale air pollution modeling in Vietnam, namely by providing reliable emission factors and hourly air pollution measurements of high quality. 相似文献
209.
Matthias Demuzere Nicole P.M. van Lipzig 《Atmospheric environment (Oxford, England : 1994)》2010,44(10):1356-1366
Using the synoptic-regression based approach developed in Part I of this research, this study estimates future maximum 8 hourly mean O3 levels (m8hO3) using three future SRES (Special Report on Emission) scenarios for a rural background area situated in The Netherlands. The statistical downscaling tool was used to downscale the Atmospheric–Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model (AOGCM) ECHAM5-MPI/OM for the present-day 20 Century (20C) control run (1991–2000) and the future SRES scenarios A2, A1B and B1 for two periods (2051–2060 and 2091–2100). First, the statistical downscaling tool is evaluated in terms of downscaled m8hO3 levels for the present-day climate, using a long record of observed m8hO3 concentrations. It was found that a bias correction is needed and this bias correction is then further used to estimate future m8hO3 concentrations. Under the various SRES scenarios, the overall mean m8hO3 increases with 2.5–6.5 and 6.1–10.9 μg m?3, for the 2051–2060 and 2091–2100 period respectively, which is about 20% of the present-day 10-year average. This effect is enhanced when considering the summer season only, with a range of increase between the different future scenarios of 5.4–12.5 μg m?3 and 13.4–26 μg m?3 (for 2051–2060 and 2091–2100 respectively) against a present-day summer average of 73.5 μg m?3. An increase in maximum temperature and shortwave radiation, associated with a decrease in cloud cover under the various future scenarios are the main drivers of ozone increase. A comparison with August 2003 shows the physical plausibility of our results and reflects that the extreme summer of 2003 might show a close resemblance to future European summers in terms of m8hO3 and meteorological characteristics. 相似文献
210.
In order to characterize the effect of vegetation on performance of constructed wetlands (CWs) treating low and high chlorinated hydrocarbon, two pilot-scale horizontal subsurface flow (HSSF) CWs (planted with Phragmites australis and unplanted) treating sulphate rich groundwater contaminated with MCB (monochlorobenzene, as a low chlorinated hydrocarbon), (about 10 mg L−1), and PCE (perchloroethylene, as a high chlorinated hydrocarbon), (about 2 mg L−1), were examined. With mean MCB inflow load of 299 mg m−2 d−1, the removal rate was 58 and 208 mg m−2 d−1 in the unplanted and planted wetland, respectively, after 4 m from the inlet. PCE was almost completely removed in both wetlands with mean inflow load of 49 mg m−2 d−1. However, toxic metabolites cis-1,2-DCE (dichloroethene) and VC (vinyl chloride) accumulated in the unplanted wetland; up to 70% and 25% of PCE was dechlorinated to cis-1,2-DCE and VC after 4 m from the inlet, respectively. Because of high sulphate concentration (around 850 mg L−1) in the groundwater, the plant derived organic carbon caused sulphide formation (up to 15 mg L−1) in the planted wetland, which impaired the MCB removal but not statistically significant. The results showed significant enhancement of vegetation on the removal of the low chlorinated hydrocarbon MCB, which is probably due to the fact that aerobic MCB degraders are benefited from the oxygen released by plant roots. Vegetation also stimulated completely dechlorination of PCE due to plant derived organic carbon, which is potentially to provide electron donor for dechlorination process. The plant derived organic carbon also stimulated dissimilatory sulphate reduction, which subsequently have negative effect on MCB removal. 相似文献