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991.
Serge Guillas Anna Bakare Jeremy Morley Richard Simons 《Journal of Coastal Conservation》2011,15(3):337-351
There is a need for decadal predictions of the seabed evolution, for example to inform resurvey strategies when maintaining
navigation channels. The understanding of the physical processes involved in morphological evolution, and the viability of
process models to accurately model evolution over these time scales, are currently limited. As a result, statistical approaches
are used to supply long-term forecasts. In this paper, we introduce a novel statistical approach for this problem: the autoregressive
Hilbertian model (ARH). This model naturally assesses the time evolution of spatially-distributed measurements. We apply the
technique to a coastal area in the East Anglian coast over the period 1846 to 2002, and compare with two other statistical
methods used recently for seabed prediction: the autoregressive model and the EOF model. We evaluate the performance of the
three methods by comparing observations and predictions for 2002. The ARH model enables a reduction of 10% of the root mean
squared errors. Finally, we compute the variability in the predictions related to time sampling using the jackknife, a method
that uses subsamples to quantify uncertainties. 相似文献
992.
The Turks and Caicos Islands are currently in the midst of an economic revolution from a marine-based provisional economy to a tourism economy. East Bay, South Caicos, is currently under construction with plans for a 160-unit condominium complex. Included in the project plan is removal of seagrass beds in front of the development to make a sandy beach for tourists. The aims of this study were to (i) describe the bathymetry and benthic habitat coverage of East Bay before dredging takes place and (ii) perform an economic valuation on the turtle grass beds that will be dredged using ecosystem valuation and emergy analysis techniques. The bathymetry survey revealed shallow waters (<1.5 m) until the reef drop off (~650 m offshore). Benthic habitat exhibits zonation following the general progression: sand plain, algal plain, seagrass, coral rubble and seagrass, rock and turf algae, and reef flat. Ecosystem services valued the proposed dredging area at USD $28,807 per year, compared to emergy analysis, which valued the proposed dredging site at USD $32,060 per year. The baselines presented in the study may facilitate a quantitative assessment of dredging impacts on turtle grass once dredging is complete and an economical cost-benefit-analysis of the dredging project to see whether the economic gains outweigh the ecological costs of dredging in front of the East Bay development. 相似文献
993.
994.
James A. R. Marshall 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2011,65(3):503-512
Reconciling the evolution of altruism with Darwinian natural selection is frequently presented as a fundamental problem in
biology. In addition to an exponentially increasing literature on specific mechanisms that can permit altruism to evolve,
there has been a recent trend to establish general principles to explain altruism in populations undergoing natural selection.
This paper reviews and extends one approach to understanding the ultimate causes underlying the evolution of altruism and
mechanisms that can realise them, based on the Price equation. From the Price equation, we can see that such ultimate causes
equate to the different ways in which the frequency of an altruistic allele in a population can increase. Under this approach,
the ultimate causes underlying the evolution of altruism, given some positive fitness costs and benefits, are positive assortment
of altruistic alleles with the altruistic behaviour of others, positive deviations from additive fitness effects when multiple
altruists interact or bias in the inheritance of altruistic traits. In some cases, one cause can be interpreted in terms of
another. The ultimate causes thus identified can be realised by a number of different mechanisms, and to demonstrate its general
applicability, I use the Price equation approach to analyse a number of classical mechanisms known to support the evolution
of altruism (or cooperation): repeated interaction, ‘greenbeard’ traits, games played on graphs and payoff synergism. I also
briefly comment on other important points for the evolution of altruism, such as the ongoing debate over the predominant status
of inclusive fitness as the best way to understand its evolution. I conclude by arguing that analysing the evolution of altruism
in terms of its ultimate causes is the logical way to approach the problem and that, despite some of its technical limitations,
the Price equation approach is a particularly powerful way of doing so. 相似文献
995.
Recent studies have revealed the importance of self-consistency in evolutionary models, particularly in the context of male–female
interactions. This has been largely ignored in models of the ancestral divergence of the sexes, i.e., the evolution of anisogamy.
Here, we model the evolution of anisogamy in a Fisher-consistent context, explicitly taking into account the number of interacting
individuals in a typical reproductive group. We reveal an interaction between the number of adult individuals in the local
mating group and the selection pressures responsible for the divergence of the sexes. The same underlying model can produce
anisogamy in two different ways. Gamete competition can lead to anisogamy when it is relatively easy for gametes to find each
other, but when this is more difficult and gamete competition is absent, gamete limitation can provide another route for anisogamy
to evolve. In line with earlier models, organismal complexity favors anisogamy. We argue that the early contributions of Kalmus
and Scudo, largely dismissed as group selectionist, are valid under certain conditions. Linking their work with the contributions
of Parker helps to explain why precisely males keep producing more sperm than can ever lead to offspring: sperm could evolve
to provision zygotes but this brings little profit for the effort required, because sperm would have to be equipped with provisioning
ability before it is known which sperm will make it to the fertilization stage. This insight creates a logical link between
paternal care under uncertain paternity (where again investment is selected against when some investment never brings about
genetic benefits) and gamete size evolution. 相似文献
996.
Across animal taxa, exclusive female offspring care has evolved repeatedly from biparental care, suggesting that the latter
becomes evolutionarily unstable under certain conditions. Both the attributes of a species and the environment it experiences
can help to predict shifts from one particular care mode to another. Nevertheless, factors inducing differences in care strategies
among closely related species, or seasonal variation within species, have been subject to surprisingly little empirical testing.
Here, we report the results of a field-based study that examined both among and within species variation in mate desertion
in five species of closely related Nicaraguan cichlid fish in the genera Amphilophus and Amatitlania. The results show a link between female body size and male involvement in offspring care. Specifically, the larger the species
the less often males were found to provide extended care. Furthermore, we found that solitary females became more common towards
the end of the breeding season. We discuss the implications of this finding in the context of previous theoretical and empirical
contributions regarding the frequency of offspring desertion by males. 相似文献
997.
A probabilistic water quality index for river water quality assessment: a case study 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Nikoo MR Kerachian R Malakpour-Estalaki S Bashi-Azghadi SN Azimi-Ghadikolaee MM 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2011,181(1-4):465-478
Available water quality indices have some limitations such as incorporating a limited number of water quality variables and providing deterministic outputs. This paper presents a hybrid probabilistic water quality index by utilizing fuzzy inference systems (FIS), Bayesian networks (BNs), and probabilistic neural networks (PNNs). The outputs of two traditional water quality indices, namely the indices proposed by the National Sanitation Foundation and the Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment, are selected as inputs of the FIS. The FIS is trained based on the opinions of several water quality experts. Then the trained FIS is used in a Monte Carlo analysis to provide the required input-output data for training both the BN and PNN. The trained BN and PNN can be used for probabilistic water quality assessment using water quality monitoring data. The efficiency and applicability of the proposed methodology is evaluated using water quality data obtained from water quality monitoring system of the Jajrood River in Iran. 相似文献
998.
Subbiah Seenivasan NarayananNair Muraleedharan 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2011,176(1-4):365-371
Tea is considered as a ‘health beverage’ due its antioxidant properties and resultant beneficial effects on human health. Such a beverage should be free from toxic elements such as pesticide residues and heavy metals. A large scale survey of teas produced in the tea factories of south India had been carried out for a period of three years from 2006 to 2008 and 912 tea samples were analysed for the residues of certain pesticides such as dicofol, ethion, quinalphos, hexaconazole, fenpropathrin, fenvalerate and propargite which are used for pest and disease control in tea in this part of the country. The analytical data proved that only less than 0.5 percentage of tea samples had residues of these pesticides. However, residues of pesticides were below their maximum limits in tea, stipulated by the European Union, Codex Alimentarius Commission of FAO/WHO and Prevention of Food Adulteration Act of Govt. of India. 相似文献
999.
Mohammad Zubair Alam Shamim Ahmad Abdul Malik 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2011,178(1-4):281-291
In the present study, a total of 198 bacteria were isolated, 88 from the tannery effluents and 110 from agricultural soil irrigated with the tannery effluents. Tannery effluents and soils were analyzed for metal concentrations by atomic absorption spectrophotometer. The tannery effluents and soil samples were found to be contaminated with chromium, nickel, zinc, copper, and cadmium. All isolates were tested for their resistance against Cr6?+?, Cr3?+?, Ni2?+?, Zn2?+?, Cu2?+?, Cd2?+?, and Hg2?+?. From the total of 198 isolates, maximum bacterial isolates were found to be resistant to Cr6?+? 178 (89.9%) followed by Cr3?+? 146 (73.7%), Cd2?+? 86 (43.4%), Zn2?+? 83 (41.9%), Ni2?+? 61 (30.8%), and Cu2?+? 51 (25.6%). However, most of the isolates were sensitive to Hg2?+?. Among the isolates from tannery effluents, 97.8% were resistant to Cr6?+? and 64.8% were resistant to Cr3?+?. Most of the soil isolates were resistant against Cr6?+? (83.6%) and Cr3?+? (81.8%). All isolates were categorized into Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria. In a total of 114 Gram-positive isolates, 91.2% were resistant to Cr6?+? followed by 73.7% to Cr3?+?, 42.1% to Zn2?+?, 40.4% to Cd2?+?, and 32.5% to Ni2?+?. Among Gram-negative isolates, 88.1% were found showing resistance to Cr6?+?, 75.0% to Cr3?+?, and 47.6% were resistant to Cd2?+?. Majority of these metal-resistant isolates were surprisingly found sensitive to the ten commonly used antibiotics. Out of 198 isolates, 114 were found sensitive to all antibiotics whereas only two isolates were resistant to maximum eight antibiotics at a time. Forty-one and 40 isolates which constitute 20.7% and 20.2% were resistant to methicilin and amoxicillin, respectively. 相似文献
1000.
Drinking water quality assessment in Southern Sindh (Pakistan) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mehrunisa Memon Mohammed Saleh Soomro Mohammad Saleem Akhtar Kazi Suleman Memon 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2011,177(1-4):39-50
The southern Sindh province of Pakistan adjoins the Arabian Sea coast where drinking water quality is deteriorating due to dumping of industrial and urban waste and use of agrochemicals and yet has limited fresh water resources. The study assessed the drinking water quality of canal, shallow pumps, dug wells, and water supply schemes from the administrative districts of Thatta, Badin, and Thar by measuring physical, chemical, and biological (total coliform) quality parameters. All four water bodies (dug wells, shallow pumps canal water, and water supply schemes) exceeded WHO MPL for turbidity (24%, 28%, 96%, 69%), coliform (96%, 77%, 92%, 81%), and electrical conductivity (100%, 99%, 44%, 63%), respectively. However, the turbidity was lower in underground water, i.e., 24% and 28% in dug wells and shallow pumps as compared to open water, i.e., 96% and 69% in canal and water supply schemes, respectively. In dug wells and shallow pumps, limits for TDS, alkalinity, hardness, and sodium exceeded, respectively, by 63% and 33%; 59% and 70%, 40% and 27%, and 78% and 26%. Sodium was major problem in dug wells and shallow pumps of district Thar and considerable percent in shallow pumps of Badin. Iron was major problem in all water bodies of district Badin ranging from 50% to 69% and to some extent in open waters of Thatta. Other parameters as pH, copper, manganese, zinc, and phosphorus were within standard permissible limits of World Health Organization. Some common diseases found in the study area were gastroenteritis, diarrhea and vomiting, kidney, and skin problems. 相似文献