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利用信息扩散模式对安徽及华东地区地震的风险分析 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8
本文利用信息扩散模式,分别从年地震频次和年最大震级两个方面对安徽及华东地区的地震风险进行评估.结果显示:安徽地区ML≥3.0地震,年频次4次以上,约两年一遇;年发生ML≥3.9地震,则3年可能遇一次.而华东地区ML≥4.0地震,年频次4次以上,大约3年一遇;年发生ML≥4.9的地震,则可能2年遇一次. 相似文献
474.
旅游灾害事件成灾模型的建立及解析 总被引:6,自引:2,他引:6
在我国旅游业蓬勃发展的今天,旅游灾害事件频发已引起了相关部门的高度重视和全社会的关注.根据灾害学原理和对旅游灾害事件成灾机制的研究,建立旅游灾害事件成灾模型,将在成功防范和减轻旅游灾害事件的损失方面发挥巨大作用.该模型主要就旅游灾害事件的基础条件、旅游灾害的诱发因素、旅游灾害的承灾体、旅游灾害损失类型、以及防灾减灾有效措施等方面的问题进行了分析和探讨. 相似文献
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An interdisciplinary review of current and future approaches to improving human–predator relations
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S. Pooley M. Barua W. Beinart A. Dickman G. Holmes J. Lorimer A.J. Loveridge D.W. Macdonald G. Marvin S. Redpath C. Sillero‐Zubiri A. Zimmermann E.J. Milner‐Gulland 《Conservation biology》2017,31(3):513-523
In a world of shrinking habitats and increasing competition for natural resources, potentially dangerous predators bring the challenges of coexisting with wildlife sharply into focus. Through interdisciplinary collaboration among authors trained in the humanities, social sciences, and natural sciences, we reviewed current approaches to mitigating adverse human–predator encounters and devised a vision for future approaches to understanding and mitigating such encounters. Limitations to current approaches to mitigation include too much focus on negative impacts; oversimplified equating of levels of damage with levels of conflict; and unsuccessful technical fixes resulting from failure to engage locals, address hidden costs, or understand cultural (nonscientific) explanations of the causality of attacks. An emerging interdisciplinary literature suggests that to better frame and successfully mitigate negative human–predator relations conservation professionals need to consider dispensing with conflict as the dominant framework for thinking about human–predator encounters; work out what conflicts are really about (they may be human–human conflicts); unravel the historical contexts of particular conflicts; and explore different cultural ways of thinking about animals. The idea of cosmopolitan natures may help conservation professionals think more clearly about human–predator relations in both local and global context. These new perspectives for future research practice include a recommendation for focused interdisciplinary research and the use of new approaches, including human‐animal geography, multispecies ethnography, and approaches from the environmental humanities notably environmental history. Managers should think carefully about how they engage with local cultural beliefs about wildlife, work with all parties to agree on what constitutes good evidence, develop processes and methods to mitigate conflicts, and decide how to monitor and evaluate these. Demand for immediate solutions that benefit both conservation and development favors dispute resolution and technical fixes, which obscures important underlying drivers of conflicts. If these drivers are not considered, well‐intentioned efforts focused on human–wildlife conflicts will fail. 相似文献
477.
高层建筑竖井火灾中影响因素众多,并且各因素对高层楼梯井火灾中重要现象、关键数值等的影响大小不一,使得此类火灾中的实验或理论研究成本较高。通过建立全局敏感性分析平台,定量考察了高层楼梯井结构所涉及因素的影响大小,并能够方便地筛选掉对所考察量影响较小的因素,以降低实验或计算成本。使用数值模拟方法,通过CFD软件对包含阶梯几何框架的高层楼梯井结构火灾进行了共计60次工况计算。并且根据计算结果,使用全局参数敏感性分析方法,得出建筑尺寸、热释放速率、环境参数对高层楼梯井内烟气湍流特性及输运特性的敏感性排序。结果表明,火源热释放速率对各输出参数的影响均占38%以上。 相似文献
478.
Chukwujindu M. A. Iwegbue Godwin E. Nwajei Jude E. Ogala Chukwudumebi L. Overah 《Environmental geochemistry and health》2010,32(5):415-430
The concentrations of trace metals (Cd, Pb, Cu, Cr, Fe, Ni, Zn and Co) were studied in soil profiles of eight municipal waste
dump sites in Warri metropolis. The results indicate that concentrations of trace metals varied widely among the different
dumpsites and decreased with depths in a studied soil profile. The accumulation pattern for the heavy metals in the soil profiles
follows the order: Fe > Pb > Mn > Co > Cr > Zn > Ni > Cu > Cd. The concentrations of metals found in these sites was below
the Canadian remediation criteria for land for agricultural, residential and commercial/industrial purposes except for the
cadmium levels in some sites that exceeded criterion values for agricultural and residential. In such sites, remedial actions
are required before any form of chosen development can take place. The levels of heavy metals found in these dump sites were
higher than that of the control site. The examined metals showed no significant correlation with soil physicochemical properties
at the surface horizon, which is suggestive evidence that these metals arise from anthropogenic input. 相似文献
479.
Demetres Briassoulis Cyril Dejean Pietro Picuno 《Journal of Polymers and the Environment》2010,18(3):364-383
The critical review of norms and standards and corresponding tests to determine the compostability of biodegradable plastics,
possibly applicable also to biodegradable agricultural plastics, shows that many norms concerning testing and labelling of
compostable plastics have been established at the international level. Some of them are about plastic materials, some others
are about products like packaging. The media and conditions of testing cover mainly the conditions designed for industrial
composting facilities, and only a few concern home composting conditions. Considering that the end of life management of biodegradable
agricultural plastic products will be done at the farm to reduce the management of the waste and also its cost, only a few
of these norms are considered to be suitable for adaptation to cover also biodegradable agricultural plastic products. The
biodegradability validation criteria under composting conditions, such as the threshold percentage of biodegradation and disintegration,
the time and temperature, and the ecotoxicity, are presented for the main norms and standard testing methods. Based on these
different norms and their content, a list of specs and technical requirements that could be adapted to meet farm composting
conditions for agricultural compostable plastics is proposed. These requirements may be used as criteria for the establishment
of a new integrative norm for agricultural compostable plastics. 相似文献
480.
1IntroductionAs a many-volcano-distributed country,China is covered with many volcanoes and lava rocks.A-mong the one-thousand-or-so volcanoes,Changbai Mountain Volcano,Wudalianchi Volcano,Tengchong Volcano and Ashikule Volcano of West Kunlun are the mostlatentcatastrophic erup-tive active volcanoes.In recent years,the activity of the earth' s crust in some volcanic areas isobviously becoming increasing violent.Butfew scholars have monitored and evaluated volcano inChina.So building VDI… 相似文献