Dietary and environmental estrogens and antiestrogens and their possible role in human disease

Recent reports have suggested that dietary and environmental estrogens such as organochlorine pollutants may play a role in the increased incidence of breast cancer in women and disorders of the male reproductive tract. For example, elevated levels of DDE and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCB) have been measured in women with breast cancer. However, it should also be noted that numerous environmental and dietary compounds have also been characterized as antiestrogenic and as inhibitors of mammary cancer cell growthin vitro and/orin vivo. Some of these compounds include 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and related compounds, polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH), other naturally-occurring TCDD receptor agonists, retinoids, phorbol esters, terpenes, fatty acids, and polysaccharides. Thus, it is possible that dietary and environmental estrogens and antiestrogens may be contra-active, and these interactions must be considered in the overall risk assessment of the potential adverse human and environmental health impacts of these chemicals.     

Qualitative and quantitative cancer risk assessment of 2, 3, 7, 8-tetrachloro-dibenzo-p-dioxin (2, 3, 7, 8-TCDD)

The carcinogenicity of 2,3,7,8-TCDD at multiple organ sites in animals has been well established by several cancer bioassays. Results of two of the most notable of these, the Kociba et al. (1978) rat feeding study and the National Toxicology Program (1980) gavage study in rats and mice showed hepatocellular carcinomas in two strains of female rats and male and female mice. Other tumor sites included carcinomas of the lung, tongue, hard palate and nasal turbinates, thyroid, and subcutaneous tissue. The evidence for carcinogenicity of 2,3,7,8-TCDD in animals is regarded as “sufficient” using the classification system of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC).

Two Swedish epidemiologic case-control studies (Hardell and Sandstrom, 1979; Eriksson et al. 1979, 1981) reported a significant five- to sevenfold excess risk of soft-tissue sarcomas (STS) from occupational exposure to chlorinated phenoxyacetic acid herbicides and/or chlorophenols. Additionally, several small cohort studies collectively exhibited an unusual cluster of STS, significantly increased over combined expected incidence. Problems with these studies do not appear to be sufficient to discount this excess risk. The human evidence alone for the carcinogenicity of 2,3,7,8-TCDD is “inadequate” using the IARC classification. However, for 2,3,7,8-TCDD in combination with chlorinated phenoxyacetic acid herbicides and/or chlorophenols, the human evidence is considered to be “limited.” The overall evidence for carcinogenicity considering both animal and human studies would place 2,3,7,8-TCDD alone in the IARC category 2B, meaning that the substance is probably carcinogenic in humans. The overall weight of evidence for 2,3,7,8-TCDD in combination with chlorinated phenoxyacetic acid herbicides and/or chlorophenols is regarded as IARC category 2A, also meaning that they are probably carcinogenic for humans.

Using current EPA methodology for quantitatively estimating cancer risks, several animal data sets have been analyzed. Comparing the results, the upper-limit incremental unit risk estimate is 1.6 × 10⁻² for a lifetime exposure of 1 ng/kg/day. This estimate is derived from a lifetime feeding study (Kociba et al., 1978) in which 2,3,7,8-TCDD induced tumors of the liver, lungs, hard palate, and nasal turbinates in female rats. Incremental unit cancer risks are also extrapolated for lifetime 2,3,7,8-TCDD exposures in water and air. Based on continuous lifetime exposure to 1 ng/L 2,3,7,8-TCDD in drinking water, the upper-limit estimate of extra cancer risk per individual is 4.5 × 10⁻³. For lifetime exposure to 1 pg 2,3,7,8-TCDD/m³ in the ambient air, the upper-limit individual risk is 3.3 × 10⁻⁵.     

Population History, Genetic Variability, and Horn Growth in Bighorn Sheep

Bighorn sheep ( Ovis canadensis ) are restricted in distribution and numbers relative to presettlement conditions. Some populations have alledgedly suffered losses of fitness resulting from small, insular populations and a breeding system that reduces effective population size. Large horns in rams, which confer breeding superiority, are absent from some populations, and this absence may result in part from loss of genetic variability. We investigated the relationship among allozyme variability, population history, and horn growth in bighorn sheep from the Rocky Mountains. Heterozygosity was higher for bighorn sheep than has been reported for Dall sheep ( O. dalli ). Heterozygosity and allelic variability were marginally related to effective population size for the proceeding 15 years. Horn growth was significantly higher in more heterozygous than in less heterozygous rams for years 6, 7, and 8 of life. By the end of year 8, more heterozygous rams had 13% higher horn volumes than less heterozygous rams. Most hunting of bighorn sheep involves selective removal of large-horned rams, which we hypothesize may reduce genetic variability of these populations and contribute to losses in fitness.     

The strategic use of innovation to influence regulatory standards

This paper investigates the welfare consequences of strategic behavior by firms to affect the amount of environmental regulation they face. Environmental regulation often attempts to force an industry to develop cleaner technology, but the regulator may have no means to commit to a specific standard. This lack of regulatory commitment induces firms to choose innovation strategically. It is well-known that firms have incentives to suppress innovation to induce the regulator to ratchet down the standard, and this strategic behavior lowers welfare. This paper explores a countervailing incentive. In oligopoly settings, firms have heightened incentives to innovate so as to increase regulation and raise rivals costs. In equilibrium, the incentive to raise rivals cost can mitigate the welfare loss arising from no regulatory commitment. Also, a regulator who is unable to commit ex ante to the stringency of a regulatory standard can induce more clean technology than a regulator with a commitment mechanism.     

The stability of trophic mass-balance models of marine ecosystems: a comparative analysis

Dynamic simulations of 18

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mass-balance marine trophic models are used to explore the stability of systems when briefly impacted by a fishery on the key ‘wasp–waist' populations occurring at intermediate trophic levels. The results are related to different ecosystem goal functions previously identified as representative of three attributes of ecosystems development: community complexity, homeostasis and energetics. System recovery time, the time required for all functional groups to returns to baseline level, and here used as a measure of model stability, was inversely correlated to Finn's Cycling Index, i.e. to the fraction of ecosystem throughput that is recycled, and to the mean length of trophic pathways in the systems. Systems with higher capacity to recycle detritus are systems with a higher ability to recover from perturbations. The results are in agreement with the E.P. Odum's theory of ecosystem development, where recycling is interpreted as a chief positive feedback mechanism that contributes to stability in the mature systems by preventing overshoots and destructive oscillations due to external impacts.     

Variable sex ratio among colonies of ants

Summary Small colonies of ants often produce mostly male alates, while large colonies produce mostly female alates. I present a simple model consistent with this pattern in which males that compete for mates are related (Local Mate Competition). The model explains the observed trend even when relatedness among competing males is low, so that there is only a negligible effect on the predicted sex allocation ratio in the population. The reverse trend is expected when there is competition among related females for a limited resource, such as nest sites (Local Resource Competition); small broods are predicted to be mostly female and large broods are predicted to be mostly male.     

Zero-inflated models with application to spatial count data

Count data arises in many contexts. Here our concern is with spatial count data which exhibit an excessive number of zeros. Using the class of zero-inflated count models provides a flexible way to address this problem. Available covariate information suggests formulation of such modeling within a regression framework. We employ zero-inflated Poisson regression models. Spatial association is introduced through suitable random effects yielding a hierarchical model. We propose fitting this model within a Bayesian framework considering issues of posterior propriety, informative prior specification and well-behaved simulation based model fitting. Finally, we illustrate the model fitting with a data set involving counts of isopod nest burrows for 1649 pixels over a portion of the Negev desert in Israel.     

Antennal responses of the western pine beetle, <Emphasis Type="Italic">Dendroctonus brevicomis</Emphasis> (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), to stem volatiles of its primary host, <Emphasis Type="Italic">Pinus ponderosa</Emphasis>, and nine sympatric nonhost angiosperms and conifers

Summary. Stem volatile extracts from ten trees that are sympatric with the western pine beetle, Dendroctonus brevicomis LeConte (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) were assayed by gas chromatographic-electroantennographic detection analysis (GC-EAD). The extracts were from the primary host, ponderosa pine, Pinus ponderosa Dougl. ex Laws. (Pinaceae); two nonhost angiosperms, California black oak, Quercus kelloggii Newb. (Fagaceae), and quaking aspen, Populus tremuloides Michx. (Salicaceae); and seven nonhost conifers, white fir, Abies concolor (Gord. & Glend.) Lindl. ex Hildebr. (Pinaceae), incense cedar, Calocedrus decurrens (Torr.) Florin (Cupressaceae), Sierra lodgepole pine, P. contorta murrayana Grev. & Balf. (Pinaceae), Jeffrey pine, P. jeffreyi Grev. & Balf. (Pinaceae), sugar pine, P. lambertiana Dougl. (Pinaceae), Douglas-fir, Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco (Pinaceae), and mountain hemlock, Tsuga mertensiana (Bong.) Carr. (Pinaceae). Sixty-four compounds were identified from the ten trees, 42 of which elicited antennal responses in D. brevicomis, usually in both sexes. In addition, several synthetic compounds, including a number of the antennally-active compounds from the extracted trees and some bark beetle pheromone components, elicited antennal responses in a manner similar to that observed with the extracts. Of the antennally-active compounds known to be present in trees sympatric with D. brevicomis, only geraniol was unique to its host. Four antennally-active compounds were found in the host and in other conifers; five compounds were found only in nonhost conifers; eight compounds were found in either or both of the nonhost angiosperms; eight compounds were found in either or both of the angiosperms and in nonhost conifers, but not in the host; and 19 were found in both the host and in angiosperms and/or nonhost conifers. Several bark beetle pheromone components were found in the stem volatile extracts. Conophthorin was identified from both nonhost angiosperms; exo-brevicomin was identified in A. concolor; verbenone was identified from a number of nonhost conifers; and chalcogran was identified from P. tremuloides. The number of nonhost volatile chemicals that D. brevicomis encounters and is capable of detecting, and the diversity of sources from which they emanate, highlight the complexity of the olfactory environment in which D. brevicomis forages. This provides a basis for further work related to chemically-mediated aspects of foraging in this insect and perhaps other coniferophagous bark beetles, and highlights the need to consider foraging context in the design and implementation of semiochemical-based management tactics for tree protection.     

Syndromes identified in fetuses with prenatally diagnosed cephaloceles

An evaluation of all fetuses from our institution with prenatally diagnosed cephaloceles was conducted to determine the frequency and spectrum of genetic syndromes associated with this abnormality. Review of the sonographic images, postnatal autopsy or pathology reports, delivery room records, paediatric neurosurgical findings, radiographs, and cytogenetic data were collected. Fifteen postnatally confirmed cases of prenatally diagnosed cephaloceles and two misdiagnosed cases were identified. Thirteen were midline occipital lesions, one was frontoparietal, and one was frontoethmoidal. Excluding microcephaly, hydrocephaly, and distortion of intracranial anatomy, 9 of 15 (60 per cent) had other associated anomalies, including two fetuses with aneuploidy. The prenatal diagnosis of a cephalocele should initiate a thorough search for other abnormalities. In this series, there were three multifactorial, two chromosomal, two sporadic, and two autosomal recessive syndromes identified. An accurate diagnosis is critical in determining the prognosis and providing appropriate genetic counselling.