Evaluating the impact of HIA on urban reconstruction decision-making. Who manages whose risks?

Practitioners and academic researchers increasingly look to evaluation of health impact assessment (HIA) to improve its practice, its efficiency and its legitimacy. Evaluation is also used to account to policy-makers, who express doubts that the benefits of HIA justify its costs. Until recently evaluation of HIA focused on instrument design and procedures but now the focus needs to shift to analysis of the interaction of HIA and decision-making. Multiple case studies have been applied to identify the conditions in which HIA produces the desired benefits. These studies used analytical concepts derived from the literature on evaluation, knowledge utilization, science of sociology and knowledge management.This paper describes a case study in which the strategic motives of the decision-makers affected the impact of an HIA. This HIA comprised of a quantitative environmental model ‘City & Environment’ that was used to assess environmental health impacts of an urban reconstruction plan in a Dutch city. The evaluation of the HIA shows that the decision to follow the recommendations of the HIA was part of a damage control strategy. The more HIA goals deviate from the policy problem and the less HIA is embedded in institutional procedures, then the more HIA impact will be subject to strategic decision-making behaviour. Appropriate cognitive and social strategies are needed to avoid ‘negative learning’ in those the HIA seeks to influence.     

Monitoring DNA damage in wood small-reed (Calamagrostis epigejos) plants growing in a sediment reservoir with substrates from uranium mining

For most plant species growing in polluted areas genotoxicity assays are not available. We have studied the possibility of using the alkaline protocol of the Comet assay as a method for detecting induced DNA damage in a grass Calamagrostis epigejos, growing wild in highly polluted areas. To calibrate the Comet assay for C. epigejos, two model mutagens were applied: the monofunctional alkylating agent ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS) and gamma-rays. With increasing concentrations of EMS (0 to 10 mM, 18 h treatment at 26 degrees C) applied on excised leaves, the DNA damage, as expressed by the tail moment (TM) values, increased from 4.7 +/- 0.9 to 60.8 +/- 2.7 microns. After gamma irradiation (0 to 30 Gy) the TM value increased from 4.2 +/- 0.2 to 48.1 +/- 1.7 microns. A 24 to 72 h recovery of leaves after EMS treatment in an EMS-free medium did not result in a significant change in the induced EMS damage. By contrast, a 24 h recovery after gamma-irradiation led to a complete repair of DNA damage measurable by the Comet assay. We have measured the DNA damage in nuclei of leaves of C. epigejos plants growing in the area of a sediment reservoir with substrates from uranium mining, where the ore was exploited through leaching with sulfuric acid. The average specific activity of natural radionuclides measured in the substrate was for 226Ra = 11,818 Bq kg-1, for 232Th = 66 Bq kg-1 and for 40K = 75 Bq kg-1. No significant increase in the DNA damage in plants growing on the sediment substrate above the DNA damage in control plants was detected by the Comet assay.     

Recruitment,growth, and diel vertical migration of Euphausia pacifica in a temperate fjord

The pelagic crustacean Euphausia pacifica Hansen was sampled with a multiple-sample 1.0 m² Tucker trawl and a multiple-sample 1.0 m² vertical net in Dabob Bay, Washington on 17 dates between May 1985 and October 1987. Size (stage) structure and abundance of the population were determined for each date, while vertical distribution and diel migration were determined for 13 dates. Although internannual variability in both timing and magnitude of events occurred, consistent patterns were discernable. The population produced a large pulse of larvae (2 to 5 mm) in late spring of each year, apparently in response to the vernal phytoplankton bloom. Much lower abundances of larvae occurred during summer and autumn of each year, and larvae were completely absent during winter. Recruitment to the juvenile (6 to 9 mm) and adult (10 mm) stages was strongest during the summer, with abundances of these individuals peaking in summer and autumn. Individual growth rates, determined by modal progression analysis, were calculated for E. pacifica. Rates ranged from zero for some adult cohorts during the winter to 0.12 mm d^-1 for larvae during spring. The latter are among the highest ever reported for this species in the field. The vertical distributions and diel vertical migrations (DVM) of E. pacifica varied seasonally and between size (stage) classes. At night, all size classes were distributed in the surface layer (upper 25 m) irrespective of season or year. During the day, the larger/older stages were always distributed at middepths (50 to 125 m). In contrast, the daytime distribution of the larvae was more variable, being concentrated at the surface during spring and early summer of 1985, and at increasing depths later in the summer and autumn of 1985 and again in spring of 1986. This resulted in invariant DVM in the juveniles and adults, but variable DVM in the larvae, the latter of which is hypothesized to be a response to variable abundances of zooplanktivorous fish.     

Substitution between biofuels and fossil fuels: Is there a green paradox?

We show that (i) subsidies for renewable energy policies with the intention of encouraging substitution away from fossil fuels may accentuate climate change damages by hastening fossil fuel extraction, and that (ii) the opposite result holds under some specified conditions. We focus on the case of subsidies for renewable resources produced under increasing marginal costs, and assume that both the renewable resources and the fossil fuels are currently in use. Such subsidies have a direct effect and an indirect effect working in opposite directions. The direct effect is the reduction in demand for fossil fuels at any given price. The indirect effect is the reduction in the current equilibrium price for fossil fuels, which tends to increase the amount of fossil fuels demanded. Whether the sum of the two effects will actually result in an earlier or later date of exhaustion of the stock of fossil fuels depends on the curvature of the demand curve for energy and of the supply curve for the renewable substitute.