The Outcome of Northern Fur Seal Harvesting: The Results of Calibration of Mathematical Models Based on Observation Data (the Example of Tyulenii Island Population)

Tendencies in the dynamics of harvested northern fur seal (Callorhinus ursinus) population on the Tyulenii Island have been analyzed in detail. The results show that retardation of reproduction (decrease in the numbers of pups) and decline in the survival of young females (up to 3 years of age) by the late 1980s resulted in a reduction of the total number of females and a significant increase in the proportion of older females. This tendency changed during the later observation period (after 1988–1989) due to increase in the survival of young females: the female population has gradually recovered, with the proportion of young females increasing at the expense of old females (aged over 10 years). The age composition of males has also changed: the proportion of young animals has decreased, while that of large mature males (bulls) has increased. Moreover, the number of bulls continues to increase and has already exceeded the level that formerly provided for the well-being of the population. This, a paradoxical situation has arisen: the numbers of females and bulls are increasing, whereas pup production remains at a low level.

     

多粘类芽孢杆菌GA1所产絮凝剂的絮凝性能研究及机理探讨

采用正交絮凝、粒度检测及电镜扫描考察了多粘类芽孢杆菌GA1所产絮凝剂（MBFGA1）对高岭土溶液、土壤悬浊液、洗煤废水及垃圾渗滤液4种废水的絮凝性能,并利用蒽酮试验和红外光谱对絮凝剂成分进行了初步鉴定.在正交絮凝实验获得的最佳絮凝条件下,絮凝剂对高岭土溶液、土壤悬浊液、洗煤废水和垃圾渗滤液的絮凝率分别高达99.53%、99.50%、98.2%和75.60%,絮体沉降速度分别为0.03 m/s、0.025 m/s、0.025 m/s和0.005 m/s;土壤悬浊液中颗粒絮凝后平均粒径增大且大于10　μm,其余３种废水中颗粒平均粒径减小且小于10　μm;电镜扫描结果显示,絮凝前后废水颗粒的形态均从棱角分明转变为包埋的无棱角;EDTA、HCl以及尿素检验发现4种颗粒与絮凝剂分子间靠离子键结合;蒽酮反应及红外光谱结果显示该絮凝剂为含有较多羟基及羧基等官能团的多糖大分子.实验结果表明絮凝剂对高颗粒物浓度废水有很好的处理效果,其絮凝机理主要是吸附架桥作用.     

储氢温度对加氢站泄漏爆炸事故的影响研究∗

通过降低氢气的温度,可以实现更高密度的氢气储存,进而有效提升存储及运输的效率。为探究储氢温度对加氢站泄漏爆炸事故的影响规律,利用FLACS 软件对加氢站内长管拖车在不同储氢温度条件下（50、100、200 与300 K）发生泄漏后的氢气扩散和爆炸事故进行分析。研究结果表明：随着储氢温度的降低,高压氢气射流撞击防爆墙后可燃气云达到稳定的时间、扩散范围和冻伤区域均逐渐增大,而最大爆炸超压和爆炸危险距离则呈现出先增大后减小的趋势;储氢温度为50 K 时的轻微冻伤距离比储氢温度100 K 和200 K 时分别增加了近1 倍和7 倍,严重冻伤距离也最大;储氢温度为100 K 时泄漏气云爆炸产生的超压峰值比常温氢气爆炸提高了近3 倍,危险区域也最大;储氢温度为200 K 时,达到爆炸超压峰值的时间最快,储氢温度为50 K 时最慢。     

施用不同磷肥对植烟土壤中磷的淋失和有效磷的影响

采用土柱淋溶模拟试验和室内培养试验,研究不同磷肥施入土壤后磷的淋失和有效磷的变化.结果表明,在施磷量为35 mg/kg条件下,整个淋洗期间,钙镁磷肥、磷酸二氢钙、磷酸一氧铵、磷酸二氢铵、磷酸二氢钾5种肥料磷的淋失率很低;各处理从上而下各层土壤的Olsen-P质量比略有增加.施磷量为60 mg/kg、110 mg/kg、170mg/kg、230 mg/kg时.潮砂田肥料磷的淋失率分别为0.26%、0.74%、2.12%和3.17%;灰泥田肥料磷的淋失率分别为0.79%、1.31%、1.60%和1.94%.钙镁磷肥施人各种土壤后,随着培养时间的延长,土壤有效磷质量比逐渐增加,80 d后达到峰值并趋于稳定;磷酸二氢钾、磷酸二氧铵、磷酸一氢铵和磷酸二氢钙施人上壤后,土壤有效磷质量比逐渐降低,至培育60 d后.变化趋于平缓.不同土壤类型对磷的吸附固定率从大到小为潮砂田、灰泥田.     

TRMM和GPM卫星降水数据在中国三大流域的降尺度对比研究

以中国三大流域为研究区域,分别针对TRMM 3B43和GPM IMERG降水数据,构建基于归一化植被指数(NDVI)和数字高程模型(DEM)数据的地理加权回归(GWR)模型,以2014年夏季(6～8月)数据为例,得到了三大流域1 km分辨率的降尺度降水数据,并进一步通过气象站点数据对降尺度结果进行验证.研究表明:(1) GPM原始数据整体精度优于TRMM数据,两种数据在黄河流域的精度评价指标优于长江流域与珠江流域;(2)经降尺度计算,两种数据空间分辨率得到了显著提高,且表现出更多降水变化的细节与趋势,但精度指标对原始数据依赖性大,导致提升并不显著;(3)当联合使用NDVI及DEM作为GWR降尺度模型的辅助变量时,两种降尺度结果的差异值在长江流域与珠江流域的高海拔地区中更为显著;(4)黄河流域中,使用不同辅助变量下的降尺度结果在空间分布上总体相似.TRMM数据使用地形作为单独辅助变量的降尺度结果最佳,而GPM数据不同辅助变量下降尺度结果差异并不明显.     

基于AHP和DEA模型的农业生态效率评价——以无锡市为例

农业面源污染已成为我国重要环境污染源之一,但由于农业面源污染具有分散、面广、周期长、随机性等特点,在评价上存在较大难度。根据生态效率理论,结合农业生产的特点,建立了综合考虑经济效益和环境影响的农业生态效率评价指标体系,并以江苏省无锡市为例,选取该市1998~2008年农业生产和面源污染相关数据,运用偏好锥的数据包络分析模型（DEA）对其农业生态效率进行了评价分析。结果显示：1998~2008年,无锡市农业生态效率呈现先下降后上升的趋势,近三年累计上升幅度达22%。表明近年来无锡市农业面源污染治理成效显著,农业可持续发展水平显著提高。提出的农业生态效率评价体系和方法为进一步推进农业面源污染治理工作提供了依据     

Management of an Agroecosystem

Agroecosystems (AESs) are autotrophic ecosystems managed by man. The goal of the management is to obtain the maximum possible amount of high-quality agricultural products while preserving agricultural resources, primarily the soils and biodiversity. The main components of the management of AES structures and functions, including primary and secondary biological production, the ratio between the energy flows in the plant–man and plant–livestock–man food chains, the efficiency of energy transfer in the plant–livestock link, and conservation of agricultural resources, are considered.     

基于HJ卫星混合像元分解法的湖北省四湖地区夏收作物种植信息提取

混合像元是造成中低空间分辨率遥感数据计算机解译不准确的主要原因,通过收集2013年四湖地区夏收作物生长期内的不用生育时期的三景HJ卫星CCD数据,生成一个15波段的“类高光谱”数据;在采用阀门技术结合夏收作物NDVI指数变化特点,提取所有夏收作物（小麦与油菜）在四湖地区的空间分布的基础上,成功运用改进的逐步回归法计算出小麦与油菜在混合像元中的丰度值,高精度地取得了四湖地区小麦、油菜种植区的空间分布;将部分结果与同期资源三号卫星融合数据作为标准进行比较,证明基于改进的逐步回归法计算混合像元的丰度值是比较准确的,为运用HJ卫星CCD数据高精度提取农作物种植信息提供了一种可行的方法     

Changes in the structure and phytomass of tree stands at the upper limit of their growth in the Southern Urals

Relationships between stem diameter and phytomass of trees and their parts (single- and multistemmed growth forms) have been studied at different altitudinal levels of the present-day upper treeline ecotone on the Iremel’ Massif, the Southern Urals. The time course of changes in the structure and phytomass of birch–spruce stands during the past centuries has been reconstructed. It is shown that the expansion of forests to the mountains in this period has occurred against the background of rise in summer and winter temperatures and increase in the amount of solid precipitation in the Southern Urals.