面向可持续发展的技术创新:从技术预见到战略选择

本文研究了技术预见、关键技术选择和技术创新之间的关系,从方法学、科学技术观的角度分析了技术预见、关键技术选择在技术创新战略中的地位和作用,提出技术预见和关键技术选择是制订和实施技术创新战略的重要手段和基础,应当成为国家创新体系的重要组成部分。建立面向可持续发展的技术创新体系,对落实全面、协调、可持续的科学发展观,实现社会和谐发展具有战略意义。本文分析了传统的技术创新与可持续发展的差异,提出适应当今经济社会发展方向的技术创新应追求经济、社会和环境效益的统一。本文还探讨了在我国开展技术预见和关键技术选择的方法和应遵循的原则,提出应从战略视角把握关键技术选择,进一步指出在技术预见的基础上促进面向可持续发展的技术创新体系建设对实现我国可持续发展战略目标具有重大意义。     

Effects of plant density on the photosynthetic and chloroplast characteristics of maize under high-yielding conditions

The Science of Nature - Knowledge on animal personality has provided new insights into evolutionary biology and animal ecology, as behavioural types have been shown to affect fitness. Animal...     

中国城镇化态势分析和可持续城镇化政策建议

在阐述今后15年中国城镇化面临的就业和收入差距、资源和环境、区域发展、政府管治等四大挑战之后，分析了到2020年中国城镇化水平年均增长0．6、0.8、1．0和1．2个百分点的4种态势。如按1978—2002年城镇年均提供636万人就业考虑，到2020年中国城镇化水平年均增长不宜超过0．7个百分点；如果考虑到2005年上半年城镇安排595万人就业，则城镇化水平年均增长1．2个百分点也是可行的。但是，对于所有4种态势，土地短缺都是一个棘手的问题。最后就可持续城镇化提出的政策建议包括：①引导农村富余劳动力向城镇有序转移；②贯彻落实大中小城市和小城镇协调发展的方针；③高效利用和节约资源，保护生态环境；④统筹城乡规划，加强对经济区发展的引导；⑤贯彻落实工业反哺农业，城市支持农村的方针；⑥建立多元化的城镇基础设施投资体制，大力吸引民间和国际资本；⑦全面推进城镇管理体制创新，制定公众参与政策；⑧坚持按城镇化的客观规律办事，控制地方政府的城镇化热情。     

Strategic Environmental Assessment： A New Tool for Ecological Urbanization of Coastal Cities in China

Recently, there has been growing concerns about environmental issues related to urbanization in China. The intense natural resources utilization and increasing population has brought great pressure, especially in coastal areas, consequently affecting the sustainable development of coastal cities. In 2002, Environmental Impact Assessment Act （EIA Act） was enacted in China. Environmental impact assessment targeted at planning, one level of strategic environmental assessment （SEA）, thus became a legislative requirement. This paper considers SEA to be one of the important approaches not only to control coastal pollution, but also to conserve coastal ecosystems and finally to achieve sustainable development during urbanization, thus it will be a set an example for other areas of China. The experience of SEA in Xiamen, a coastal city in southeast China, illustrates the potentials of SEA. This paper first briefly introduces the concept and potentials of SEA, then compares two SEA cases and a project EIA case in Xiamen, and finally identifies the key characteristics of SEA.     

Three-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model for TMDL development of Lake Fuxian, China

Lake Fuxian is the largest deep freshwater lake in China. Although its average water quality meets Class I of the China National Water Quality Standard (CNWQS), i.e., GB3838-2002, monitoring data indicate that the water quality approaches the Class II threshold in some areas. Thus it is urgent to reduce the watershed load through the total maximum daily load (TMDL) program. A three-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model was developed for Lake Fuxian, simulating flow circulation and pollutant fate and transport. The model development process consists of several steps, including grid generation, initial and boundary condition configurations, and model calibration processes. The model accurately reproduced the observed water surface elevation, spatiotemporal variations in temperature, and total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and chemical oxygen demand (COD) concentrations, suggesting a reasonable numerical representation of the prototype system for further TMDL analyses. The TMDL was calculated using two interpretations of the water quality standards for Class I of the CNWQS based on the maximum instantaneous surface and annual average surface water concentrations. Analysis of the first scenario indicated that the TN, TP and COD loads should be reduced by 66%, 68% and 57%, respectively. Water quality was the highest priority; however, local economic development and cost feasibility for load reduction can pose significant issues. In the second interpretation, the model results showed that, under the existing conditions, the average water quality meets the Class I standard and therefore load reduction is unnecessary. Future studies are needed to conduct risk and cost assessments for realistic decision-making.     

邻菲罗啉对蒙脱石吸附镍离子性能影响

利用镍离子能与邻菲罗啉反应生成螯合物的性质,研究了加与未加邻菲罗啉条件下,蒙脱石对金属镍离子的吸附行为,考察了镍离子浓度、吸附时间、温度和溶液pH值等因素对吸附性能的影响.结果表明:加入邻菲罗啉后,蒙脱石对镍的螯合离子的吸附量明显增大;吸附平衡时间约为120min;蒙脱石对[Ni(phen)n]2+的吸附性基本不受pH值的影响.动力学研究表明该吸附过程符合准二级反应动力学模型,吸附量随温度升高而增大.二级动力学参数证明加入邻菲罗啉可显著提高蒙脱石对Ni2+的吸附性.蒙脱石对简单Ni2+的吸附符合Langmuir的单层吸附等温式;而蒙脱石对镍的螯合离子的吸附则符合Freundlich等温式.蒙脱石对Ni2+和[Ni(phen)n]2+的吸附均为自发、吸热和更无序的;XRD及FTIR研究表明,蒙脱石对[Ni(phen)n]2+的吸附以层间的物理吸附为主.     

基于响应曲面法袋式除尘器清灰性能的数值研究

利用计算流体动力学（CFD）方法,采用二维、可压缩、非稳态流动数学模型,对袋式除尘器脉冲喷吹过程中滤袋内的清灰流场进行了数值模拟,比较了滤袋壁面压力峰值的模拟值和试验值.同时,利用该模型,基于响应曲面法并使用统计软件MinitabV15研究了喷嘴直径、喷吹高度、文丘里管喉管直径、文丘里管及布袋长度对袋式除尘器清灰性能的影响,并得出了这5个影响因子的二次多项式预测模型.结果表明,滤袋表面压力峰值的模拟值与试验值变化趋势基本上是一致的,误差在10%左右,从而验证了本文数值计算模型的可靠性.在上述5个影响因素中,喷嘴直径（d）、文丘里管喉管直径（de）及布袋长度（L）对清灰性能影响显著,其中,清灰性能随着喷嘴直径和文丘里管喉管直径的增大而提高,随着布袋长度的增大先提高后降低.在本文所研究的尺寸范围内,当d=20mm、de=60mm及L=3360mm时,清灰效果分别达到最优.所得结论有助于进一步改善袋式除尘器的清灰性能.     

五羰基铁对正辛硫醇中硫的脱除研究

由于能源化石类燃料中均包含不同含量的硫化物,随着人类对这些能源的不断利用,引发的环境污染等问题日趋严重。利用五羰基铁(Fe(CO)5)分解条件温和可控,产物无杂质,分解后的Fe0可以与硫原子原位键合等特点。文章尝试采用Fe(CO)5作为脱硫剂在温和条件下进行脱除正辛硫醇的研究。实验结果表明:随着压强(101~5 067 kPa)、Fe(CO)5加入量(50~250μL)、时间(1~6 h)和温度(0~180℃)的不同,Fe(CO)5脱硫效率具有明显差异,在此基础上得到最佳脱硫条件及最高脱除效率:常压、Fe(CO)5加入量200μL(1.4 mmol)、t=2h和T=140℃时,达到最高硫容3 450 mg/L。分别采用IR、XPS手段对脱硫反应机理进行了探索。IR结果表明:在1 084 cm-1处为硫氧峰,在797 cm-1归属为铁氧峰。XPS结果表明:167.8 eV处可能为S4+,711.6 eV处可能为Fe3+。因此,正辛硫醇脱除的可能机理为巯基断裂,并在空气中与氧结合,最终形成S4+,而Fe(CO)5的Fe经过脱硫之后,在空气中不稳定,最终被氧化成Fe3+。     

放射源在线监控系统设计与应用

为了防止在使用放射源时发生脱落、丢失、超标使用、私自转移等情况,最大限度避免辐射安全事故,有必要设计建立放射源在线监控系统,对放射源放射性指标(辐射剂量率)及所处位置(经纬度)实行连续的自动监测。并通过各级监管平台设置放射源超标、异动等报警程序,全面提升放射源科学监管水平。     

工业园区TVOC和恶臭的电子鼻检测技术研究

根据工业园区中TVOC和恶臭可能存在的主要气体组分,筛选传感器阵列,构建用于检测工业园区内TVOC和恶臭的电子鼻系统.本研究设计了TVOC污染指数（TPI）和恶臭污染指数（OPI）及基于电子鼻的现场检测方法.在此基础上,结合嘉兴市乍浦港区内化工园区污染情况分析,选择6个检测点进行现场检测,各传感器响应值经PCA分析,提取了2个主成分即可将8个传感器分为2类：TVOC型（S1）和恶臭型（S2～S8）.将现场采集的气体样品用GC/MS进行定性分析,各采样点TVOC物质积分面积百分比在10%以上的累积起来大多都占总面积的90%以上,而恶臭类物质则大多都在10%以下.结果表明：①选用合适的传感器阵列,结合PCA分析,可以初步反映工业园区内TVOC和恶臭的污染情况;②结合电子鼻测得的污染指数与GC/MS定性分析结果,可以大体得出工业园区TVOC和恶臭总体污染情况及各种污染物分布情况;③电子鼻和GIS技术综合应用到工业园区TVOC和恶臭的检测,能初步用于评估工业园区空间污染情况.