Assessment of vulnerability is an important step in building long-term resilience in the forestry sector. The objective of this paper is to present a methodological approach to assess inherent vulnerability of forests at landscape level. The approach involves use of vulnerability indicators, the pairwise comparison method, and geographic information system (GIS) tools. We apply this approach to assess the inherent vulnerability of forests of the Western Ghats Karnataka (WGK) landscape, which is a part of the Western Ghats biodiversity hotspot in India. Four vulnerability indicators, namely biological richness, disturbance index, canopy cover, and slope, are selected. We find that forests in 30, 36, 19, and 15 % grid points in this region show low, medium, high, and very high inherent vulnerability, respectively. The forest showing high and very high inherent vulnerability are mostly dry deciduous forests and plantations located largely on the eastern side of the landscape. We also find that canopy cover is one of the key indicators that determine the inherent vulnerability of forests, and natural forests are inherently less vulnerable than man-made plantations. Spatial assessment of inherent vulnerability of forests at landscape level is particularly useful for developing strategies to build resilience to current stressors and climate change in future. 相似文献
We investigate the role of domestic allowance allocation and global emissions constraints for the carbon-market impacts of
linking the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) internationally. Employing a quantitative simulation model of the global carbon
market, we find that the economic benefits from connecting the European ETS to emerging non-EU schemes strongly depend on
the regional allowance allocation of the linking participants: In a world of moderate carbon constraints, an economically
efficient regional allowance allocation induces a much stronger fall in total compliance costs than a sub-optimal (i.e. too
high) domestic allocation of emissions permits. However, a more efficient (i.e. stricter) allocation shifts abatement efforts
and compliance costs to energy-intensive industries which are covered by the domestic ETS. We further find that committing
to ambitious global emissions reduction targets (compatible with stabilizing CO2 concentrations at 450 ppm) induces much stronger regional abatement efforts and substantially higher compliance costs for
the abating regions. In such an ambitious climate policy regime, an efficient domestic allocation of allowances is even more
important from an economic perspective: Here, linking emissions trading schemes diminishes the associated compliance costs
on the largest scale.
The existence of sex is one of the major unsolved problems in biology. We use computer simulations to model conditions in
which sex may first become established. We develop an individual-based population model and show that a hypothetical facultative
sex gene can fix, provided that the initial cost is low. It is demonstrated that the equilibrium fitness in the population
increases with increasing population size and decreasing mutation rate. The probability of the establishment of the sex gene
is found not to be directly related to the fitness difference between the asexual and sexual populations. This change in fitness
on changing the parameters of the model is investigated. 相似文献
For a successful enhancement of mechanical properties of metal matrix nanocomposites, a homogeneous nanoparticle dispersion and distribution in the solidified metal is required. Mechanical mixing can be used for initial break-up of agglomerates, and its study can be simplified with dimensional analysis. Using this technique, mixing time and vortex height were assessed while varying fluid properties, impeller angle, and angular speed. Three relevant dimensionless numbers were recognized: the Reynolds (Re), Froude and Galilei (Ga) numbers. Based on blade and impeller shaft angles, a modified Froude number (Fr*) was defined. These parameters were calculated experimentally, varying angular speed from 200 to 1000 rpm for three different impeller angles: 0°, 15° and 30°. This procedure was performed with three fluids: water, and two aqueous glycerin solutions (25% and 50% by volume). Digital images were taken and processed to measure vortex height. Mixing time was measured for water at 0° impeller angle, angular speed ranging from 200 to 1200 rpm. Results showed an optimal dimensionless mixing time with respect to Re. A linear relationship was found between dimensionless vortex height and Fr*. The first had a second order polynomial relationship with the product ReFr*, regardless of impeller angle. This relationship, together with the Ga, specific for each fluid, allows scaling the results to other fluids such as molten pure aluminum. This study allows experimenting in simpler systems that involve transparent fluids, room temperature and low cost, to then elaborate a prediction of vortex height in fluids where measurements are difficult and costly, such as molten metals. 相似文献
Objective: The present study investigated the relationships between safety climate and driving behavior and crash involvement.
Methods: A total of 339 company-employed truck drivers completed a questionnaire that measured their perceptions of safety climate, crash record, speed choice, and aberrant driving behaviors (errors, lapses, and violations).
Results: Although there was no direct relationship between the drivers' perceptions of safety climate and crash involvement, safety climate was a significant predictor of engagement in risky driving behaviors, which were in turn predictive of crash involvement.
Conclusions: This research shows that safety climate may offer an important starting point for interventions aimed at reducing risky driving behavior and thus fewer vehicle collisions. 相似文献