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111.
112.
自然灾害变动的集成预测模型及其应用 总被引:7,自引:2,他引:7
本文提出了以非线性回归拟合发展趋势、正弦函数逼近周期变动和马尔可夫链刻划随机扰动的集成预测模型,并应用于山东省农业自然灾害成灾面积的变动规律模拟,得到了较好的预测效果。理论和实践表明,集成预测模型优于传统的单模型预测,为预测具有复杂机制的自然灾害演变提供了一种新方法。 相似文献
113.
亭子口库区水质汞的污染特征及建库后水体中汞的预测 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
亭子口水利枢纽位于喜陵江平流苍溪县城以上,15km处。本文根据嘉陵江广元段水质监测资料,分析库区地面水体中汞的现状污染特征,并运用沉积物的负指数方程预测库区建坝后水体中汞的浓度。 相似文献
114.
The diagram constructed for selection of sampling methods indicates that, for a systematic error, E ≤ 13%, grab sampling (GS) may be used to characterize effluents with variation coefficient of flow ≤ 120% and of contaminant concentrations ≤ 10%. For the whole studied range of variation coefficient of contaminant concentrations (2–82%), time-proportional compositing (TC) method may be applied with E ≤ 10% for effluents characterized by variation coefficients in flow < 90%. The more complicated flow-proportional compositing (FC) method is required only for effluents with larger variation coefficients or to produce more precise results. The diagram constructed for selection of sampling frequencies indicates that sequential sampling at intervals of approximately 60 min may be applied with E ≤ 10% for effluents characterized by variation coefficients ≤ 30%. Practical application of the diagrams, constructed using normal series, was checked against monitoring data from two pulp and paper mills in Vietnam. The two diagrams provided results on sampling methods and frequencies in good agreement with those obtained from actual monitoring data with percentages of agreement cases of 80 and 75%, respectively. The approach was applied in design of a monitoring program at the Bai Bang integrated pulp and paper mill in Vietnam. 相似文献
115.
Characteristics of large cooking oil pool fires and their extinguishment by water mist 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Z. Liu D. Carpenter A.K. Kim 《Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries》2006,19(6):516-526
Large cooking oil pool fires, occurring in industrial oil cookers, present a severe hazard to food processing plants due to their size and the large amount of hot oil involved. This paper reports a series of full-scale fire experiments conducted in a large industrial oil cooker mock-up. The characteristics of large cooking oil pool fires and the effect of oil depth and hood position in the oil cooker on fire growth were studied. The use of water mist for extinguishing large oil pool fires and their extinguishing performance under different discharge pressure and with different types of water mist systems were investigated. Experimental results showed that the cooking oil underwent a substantial expansion in volume during heating. The fires developed quickly once the oil auto-ignited. The fire growth rate was affected by the oil depth in the pan and the hood position in the oil cooker. The water mist fire suppression systems effectively extinguished large cooking oil fires and prevented them from re-igniting. Their extinguishing performance was determined by the type of water mist system, discharge pressure and hood position in the oil cooker. 相似文献
116.
Current status and research on E-waste issues in Asia 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
Atsushi Terazono Shinsuke Murakami Naoya Abe Bulent Inanc Yuichi Moriguchi Shin-ichi Sakai Michikazu Kojima Aya Yoshida Jinhui Li Jianxin Yang Ming H. Wong Amit Jain In-Suk Kim Genandrialine L. Peralta Chun-Chao Lin Thumrongrut Mungcharoen Eric Williams 《Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management》2006,8(1):1-12
Rapid economic growth in Asia and the increasing transboundary movement of secondary resources will increasingly require both
3R endeavors (reduce, reuse, recycle) in each country and appropriate control of international material cycles. Recently,
managing electrical and electronic waste (E-waste) has become an important target for domestic and international material
cycles from the viewpoints of environmental preservation and resource utilization efficiency. To understand the current status
of E-waste issues in the context of international material cycles and to discuss the future tasks related to achieving 3R
in the region, we organized the National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) E-waste Workshop in December 2004. This
article reviews past studies on E-waste and briefly describes the topics presented and discussions held at the workshop. The
topics at the workshop included E-waste generation, recycling systems, international trade, and environmental impacts. In
addition, we discussed various issues such as terminology, current environmental concerns, and possible solutions. Transboundary
shipments of E-waste should be conducted taking into consideration the concept of sustainable development. The direction of
future research and possible collaborations are also discussed. 相似文献
117.
李勇 《再生资源与循环经济》2006,(2)
冰箱产品从其制造到废弃是一个庞大的产业领域,如何以较经济的方式实现废旧冰箱的可拆卸性与可回收性以及冰箱的绿色设计已经成为当今国际社会关注的热点.针对废旧冰箱的拆卸与回收的经济性、再生程序以及绿色冰箱的设计等方面进行了分析. 相似文献
118.
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120.
探讨了列车牵引力学条件下的铁路列车安全操纵问题 ,开发了一套可用于不同运行条件下的列车安全操纵仿真软件。重点介绍了系统的主体结构、功能模块以及列车安全操纵的计算模型 ,详细描述了在一个时间步长内如何确定列车的工况、手柄位以及停车制动的仿真算法 ,并在实际线路上对电力机车进行了实例分析。系统计算速度快 ,人工干预方便 ,效果良好 ,可以满足现场的实际需求。 相似文献