基于ASD-KDE算法的超短期风电出力区间预测

为提高含风电场电网经济调度能力并降低电力系统规划决策的保守性,提出了基于原子稀疏分解-核密度( atom sparse decomposition-kernel density estimation, ASD-KDE)算法的超短期风电出力区间预测模型。该模型应用ASD计算出较为精确的点预测值,并采用粒子群优化正交匹配追踪算法提高原子分解过程的预测实时性。同时针对风电序列不同区域所具有的线性及非平稳特性,构建了衰减线性原子库及Gabor原子库,以期达到自适应分解的效果。再通过对原子分量和残余分量分别进行自预测和BP( back propagation) 神经网络预测,获得点预测值。在此基础上,通过对历史风电数据不同区间的划分,构建一维核密度估计模型,逐步滚动获取预测值的置信区间,从而降低了环境变化对预测结果的影响。实际风电场算例验证了所提方法的自适应性、快速性及有效性。     

纳米氧化锌的制备及其光催化活性研究

以硫酸锌和尿素为原料,采用均相沉淀法制备纳米ZnO颗粒,并用TEM,IR,TGA,XRD等测试手段对其进行了表征。以紫外灯为光源,以纳米ZnO为光催化剂,氧化水溶液中的甲基橙。研究了催化剂的用量、光照时间、空气流量、光源性质对甲基橙降解的影响及ZnO粉体掺杂Ag^ 对其活性的影响。实验结果表明,掺杂Ag^ 后的纳米ZnO光催化效能大大提高。     

Photocatalytic degradation of organic dyes by Er<Superscript>3+</Superscript>:YAlO<Subscript>3</Subscript>/TiO<Subscript>2</Subscript> composite under solar light

In this work, Er³⁺:YAlO₃/TiO₂ composite was synthesized by a ultrasonic dispersion and liquid boil method. The Er³⁺:YAlO₃/TiO₂ composite and pure TiO₂ powder were characterized by XRD. The degradation of different organic dyes was used to evaluate the photocatalytic activity of the Er³⁺:YAlO₃/TiO₂ composite. It is found that the photocatalytic activity of Er³⁺:YAlO₃/TiO₂ composite is much higher than that for the similar system with only TiO₂. Moreover, this Er³⁺:YAlO₃/TiO₂ composite provides a new way to take advantage of TiO₂ in sewage treatment aspects using solar light.     

西藏当雄拉屋矿区污染土壤微生物及其活性研究

通过现场采样及室内培养分析,研究了西藏当雄拉屋矿区污染土壤微生物区系组成、主要生理类群及其活性。结果表明：矿区土壤受重金属Cu、Zn、Pb、Cd不同程度污染,矿区污染土壤几种重金属质量分数比非矿区土壤有明显的增加。矿区土壤微生物区系组成和各生理类群发生了明显变化,土壤细菌、真菌、放线菌以及各生理类群数量均显著降低,且3大微生物以及各生理类群对矿区污染的敏感性大小分别表现为放线菌〉细菌〉真菌,硝化细菌〉氨化细菌〉纤维分解菌。矿区土壤酶活性较低,对照土壤的各种酶活性最高,而矿区土壤基础呼吸和代谢商则受到刺激明显提高,其中土壤脱氢酶的活性变化最大,作为矿区重金属污染的指标更灵敏。可见,土壤中微生物区系组成及参与物质转化的生理类群种类、数量及土壤酶活和微生物活性在一定程度上可反映该矿区污染生境的重金属污染特征及其生态功能的演变规律。     

苯急性暴露对Sprague-Dawley大鼠全基因组DNA甲基化的影响

现有文献表明,DNA甲基化异常与肿瘤的发生密切相关,其中全基因组DNA甲基化水平的改变已经被认为是癌症发生的生物标志物;同时,大量遗传毒理学实验证明苯可以引起DNA突变和断裂,然而苯暴露引起全基因组DNA甲基化异常的现象,目前鲜有文献报道。为了揭示苯引起全基因组DNA甲基化变化的致毒机制,本实验中,Sprague-Dawley（SD）雄性大鼠经口灌胃急性暴露于以500 mg.kg-1（以体质量计）的苯中,在暴露6、12、24、30 h后采集SD雄性大鼠体内血液、肝脏、肾脏和肺,利用高效液相色谱分析方法检测全基因组DNA甲基化水平。结果表明,SD雄性大鼠血液和肝脏的全基因组DNA甲基化水平显著下降,而在肾脏和肺中没有显著地变化,表现出组织特异性。本实验率先报道了苯的暴露可以引起全基因组DNA甲基化水平的异常,从表观遗传学的角度解释了苯影响人体健康的机制。     

ISO14000与可持续发展的关系

ISO14000是国际标准化组织制定的环境管理系列标准，已成为环境管理的热点，本文分析了ISO14000的基本要求，通过分析ISO14000与可持续发展的关系，指出如何通过ISO14000的推广，有效促进可持续发展进程。     

Relationship between fluorine in drinking water and dental health of residents in some large cities in China

In this project, the relationship between fluorine content in drinking water and dental health of residents in some large cities in China was evaluated. The concentration of fluorine in tap water and in urine of local subjects of 28 cities and 4 high fluorine villages in China shows a strong positive correlation (r(2)=0.96, S.E.=0.9881). Our studies indicate that drinking water is the most important source of fluorine intake for Chinese people, and in more than 90% of urban cities, fluorine concentrations in drinking water are below levels recommended by the WHO (approximately 0.5-1.0 mg/l). A 1995 investigation by The National Committee on Oral Health of China (NCOH) shows the relationship between average number of decayed, missing and filled teeth (DMFT) of urban residents and fluorine concentration in drinking water to be negatively correlated but not forming a good linear relationship. Our results, together with the previous study, suggest that: (1) dental caries of the study population can be reduced by drinking water fluoridation and that (2) other factors such as economic level, weather, lifestyle, food habits, living condition, etc., of a city can also affect the incidence of dental caries that cannot be predicted by fluoridation alone. Research on the relation between index of fluorosis (IF) and the fluorine concentration in drinking water for the four high fluorine villages showed that the recommended concentration of fluorine in drinking water can protect from dental fluorosis.     

新疆环境与资源保护的跨世纪战略设想

本文分析了未来5年和15年新疆环境与资源保护的严峻形势，提出了世纪之交新疆环境与资源保护的战略思想和基本思路。     

Phosalone applied to cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.): its deposition and persistence on foliages, soils and final residues in seeds

Phosalone, O,O-diethyl-S-(6-chloro-1,3-benzoxazol-2(3H)-onyl)methyl phosphorodithioate, was field-applied by ground equipment to cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) at the rates of 1050 and 2100 g a.i./ha, respectively, to determine its dissipation on leaves and soils and the residues in seeds at harvest. The insecticide concentrations on cotton leaves and soils were measured periodically for 14 days following its application. It was found that the half lives of the insecticide on cotton leaves at the dosages of 1050 and 2100 g a.i./ha were 6.8 and 6.3 days, respectively. And the half lives on soils for the 2 dosages were 7 and 5.8 days, respectively. The residues remaining in soils at harvest time were 0.072 and 0.121 mg/kg 14 days post-application and the residues in cotton seeds were relatively low (less than 0.02-0.12 mg/kg).     

区域可持续发展的理论与方法

本文运用系统科学的思维方法对区域可持续发展的研究对象——区域PRED系统的概念、特征、演化机制进行了剖析,并采用计算机辅助决策支持系统的手段对区域可持续发展的调探与决策制定方法进行了探索,在我国区域可持续发展研究的理论框架、可操作的研究方法等问题上提出一种新的研究思路。