国外应急管理体系的发展现状及经验启示

叙述了应急管理的基本概念,分析了国外应急管理体系的发展现状。从19个方面完整描述了值得我国借鉴的国外应急管理体系建设经验及启示。最后得出,应从长计议,奋力开拓,全面开创我国政府应急管理体系的新局面,加快我国应急管理体系的建设。     

Optimal model averaging by data perturbation for spatial noisy data

Geostatistical models play an important role in spatial data analysis, in which model selection is inevitable. Model selection methods, such as AIC and BIC, are popular for selecting appropriate models. In recent years, some model averaging methods, such as smoothed AIC and smoothed BIC, are also applied to spatial data models. However, the corresponding averaging estimators are outperformed by optimal model averaging estimators (Hansen in Econometrica 75:1175–1189, 2007) for the ordinary linear models. Therefore, this paper focuses on the optimal model averaging method for geostatistical models. We propose a weight choice criterion for the model averaging estimator on the basis of the generalized degrees of freedom and data perturbation technique. We further theoretically prove the resultant estimator is asymptotically optimal in terms of the mean squared error, and numerically demonstrate its satisfactory performance. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a mercury data set.     

铁-锰-碳微电解法处理对苯二酚废水

在传统铁-碳微电解填料(简称铁-碳填料)中加入锰粉进行改性,制备了规整化铁-锰-碳改性微电解填料(简称铁-锰-碳填料),并采用该填料处理质量浓度为1 000 mg/L的模拟对苯二酚废水。实验结果表明:在铁-锰-碳填料投加量25.0 g/L、反应时间4.0 h、锰粉质量分数9%、初始废水pH为3的最佳工艺条件下,对苯二酚去除率达95.55%;与铁-碳填料相比,铁-锰-碳填料可大幅提高对苯二酚的去除率,且对废水pH的适应范围较宽;采用铁-锰-碳填料处理对苯二酚废水的过程中,废水pH大体呈现先上升后下降的趋势;由降解中间产物可推断对苯二酚首先被氧化为对苯醌,然后逐渐降解为有机酸。     

纳米FeVO_4的制备及其可见光下降解甲苯的性能

以Fe(NO3)3或FeCl3作为铁源,采用水热法制备了纳米FeVO4光催化剂,通过XRD、SEM、DRS等手段表征了所合成FeVO4的物相、表面形貌及光学性质,研究了其可见光下光催化降解甲苯的性能。表征结果显示:FeVO4平均晶粒尺寸约为75 nm,为棒状;FeVO4在可见光区域(λ400 nm)表现出较高的吸光性,其吸光区域可红移至约600 nm;以FeCl3为铁源,水热反应3 h制备的FeVO4的禁带宽度为2.1 e V;以Fe(NO3)3为铁源制备的FeVO4的比表面积(74.70 m2/g)大于以FeCl3为铁源制备的FeVO4的比表面积(67.72 m2/g)。在初始甲苯质量浓度为494 mg/L、FeVO4为光催化剂、反应4 h的条件下,甲苯降解率达62%。甲苯降解最终产物为CO2和H2O。     

钙基吸附剂捕集生物质燃气中的二氧化碳

生物质热解燃气中CO2的捕集,是提高燃气热值和实现碳减排的关键问题之一。为利用生物质热解燃气温度偏高的特点,拟通过化学吸附方法,捕集燃气中高浓度的CO2。为此,利用不同钙基前驱物制备了系列钙基固体吸附剂,系列钙基固体吸附剂对CO2的单次吸附和循环吸附实验结果表明,含钙和镁氧化物混合物的吸附剂具有较稳定的循环吸附特性以及较大的吸附负荷。孔结构特性分析表明,适宜于CO2吸附的有效孔径范围可能为小于4 nm。因此,可以通过对天然白云石的改性获得合适孔径的钙镁基固体吸附剂,达到有效捕集生物质燃气中CO2的目的。     

UASBB-两段接触氧化处理规模化猪场废水的中试研究

研究了中试上流式厌氧污泥床生物膜反应器(UASBB)-两段生物接触氧化(BCO)处理规模化猪场废水工艺。结果表明,经过227 d运行,UASBB中成功地实现了同步厌氧氨氧化甲烷化反硝化;两段BCO经45 d成功地挂膜,并控制一段BCO池DO 1.4~1.8 mg/L,实现短程硝化积累NO-2-N;耦合UASBB和两段BCO,回流一段BCO的NO-2-N,确定最佳外回流比为300%;COD负荷达2.81 kg/(m3·d),中试系统对规模化猪场二级沼液、一级沼液、原水COD的去除率分别为94.7%、93%和96.9%,TN负荷达0.487 kg/(m3·d),去除率分别为84.1%、82.8%和84.7%,NH+4-N负荷达0.293 kg/(m3·d),去除率分别为92%、92.9%和88.5%;出水水质符合《畜禽养殖业污染物排放标准》(GB 18596-2001)。     

The joint effects of sulfonamides and their potentiator on Photobacterium phosphoreum: differences between the acute and chronic mixture toxicity mechanisms

Organisms are typically exposed to mixtures of chemicals over long periods of time; thus, chronic mixture toxicity analysis is the best way to perform risk assessment in regards to organisms. However, most studies focus on the acute mixture toxicity. To investigate the difference between chronic mixture toxicity and acute mixture toxicity, Photobacterium phosphoreum were exposed to chronic (24 h exposure) and acute (15 min exposure) toxicity of single sulfonamide (SA) and their potentiator (trimethoprim, TMP), both individually and mixtures (SA with TMP). A comparison of chronic vs. acute mixture toxicity revealed the presence of an interesting phenomenon, that is, that the joint effects vary with the duration of exposure; the acute mixture toxicity was antagonistic, whereas the chronic mixture toxicity was synergistic. Based on the approach of Quantitative Structure Activity Relationships (QSARs) and molecular docking, this phenomenon was proved to be caused by the presence of two points of dissimilarity between the acute and chronic mixture toxicity mechanism: (1) the receptor protein of SAs in acute toxicity was Luc, while in chronic toxicity it was Dhps, and (2) there is a difference between actual concentration of binding-Luc in acute toxicity and individual binding-Dhps in chronic toxicity. This deep insight into the difference between chronic and acute mixture toxicity will benefit environmental science, medical science, and other disciplines. The existence of these differences poses a challenge for the assessment of routine combinations in medicine, risk assessment, and mixture pollutant control, in which, previously, only a synergistic effect has been observed between SA and their potentiator.     

Development and Application of Urban High Temporal-Spatial Resolution Vehicle Emission Inventory Model and Decision Support System

This paper reports on the development and application of an urban high temporal-spatial resolution vehicle emission inventory model and decision support system based on the current situation in China and actual vehicle emission control requirements. The system incorporates a user-friendly modular architecture that integrates a vehicle emission model and a decision support platform and includes scenario analysis and visualisation capabilities. A bottom-up approach based on localised emission factors and actual on-road driving condition has been adopted to develop the system. As a case study of application and evaluation, an emission reduction effect analysis of the supposed low-emission zone (LEZ) policy in Beijing (2012) was conducted. According to the simulated results in the forms of tables, histograms and grid maps, the establishment of this LEZ had a definite effect on the emission reduction of various types of air pollutants, especially carbon monoxide and hydrocarbon. In the system, the simulation methodology for identifying environmental benefits brought by the LEZ policy could be used to assess other similar environmental policies. Through flexible modification of configuration values or input data variables, the efficacy of separate or joint policies could be quantifiably evaluated and graphically displayed.     

基于GIS的宁波市应急救援物资信息系统初步研究

分析了全国应急救援物资情况,然后基于宁波市只有纸质记载的这种现状,对应急物资进行分类整理,抽象出概念模型。同时运用GIS的基本理论设计出宁波市应急救援物资信息系统框架,并就框架的各个子系统进行详细的深化,为系统的实现打下了基础。