Klima-Biomonitoring: Nachweis des Klimawandels und dessen Folgen für die belebte Umwelt

Hintergrund und ZielEs wird vorgeschlagen, Biomonitoring-Verfahren zu verwenden, um Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf die belebte Umwelt zu erkennen, zu bewerten und zu dokumentieren, weil ? es mit dieser Methode gelingt, klimainduzierte Veränderungen in besonders empfindlichen Gebieten in Deutschland mit ihren Lebensräumen, Lebensgemeinschaften und Arten darzustellen, ? es bezüglich Zuwanderung und Ausbreitung neuer Schädlinge und Krankheitserreger für Mensch, Tier und Pflanze nach bzw. in Deutschland relevante Informationen liefern kann, ? damit der Politik zur Bewertung der Auswirkungen des Klimawandels wichtige Informationen, Handreichungen und Entscheidungsgrundlagen zur Verfügung gestellt werden können und ? auf dieser Grundlage geeignete Anpassungsmaßnahmen eingeleitet und auf ihre Wirksamkeit geprüft werden können, wie beispielsweise in der Deutschen Anpassungsstrategie (BMU 2009) beschrieben. Für Biomonitoring-Verfahren, die geeignet sind, Auswirkungen des Klimawandels anzuzeigen, wird der Begriff Klima-Biomonitoring vorgeschlagen Diese Verfahren sollten aus verschiedenen Gründen (u.?a. abgestimmte Methodik und gleiche Datenbasis, Kostenersparnis) unter Beteiligung aller Bundesländer umgesetzt werden. Bioindikation ist bereits heute ein unverzichtbares Verfahren, frühzeitig Veränderungen in der belebten Umwelt zu erkennen und somit Hinweise auf besondere Gefahren zu liefern (Frühwarnsystem). Für das Klima-Biomonitoring werden vorzugsweise bestehende Monitoringsysteme mit ihren bereits erhobenen Daten ausgewertet und mitgenutzt. Material und Methoden Das Klima-Biomonitoring greift auf bereits eingeführte und bewährte Methoden der Bioindikation von Umweltveränderungen zurück. Bestehende Methoden werden im Hinblick auf die besonderen, durch den Klimawandel bedingten Anforderungen ergänzt, angepasst und weiterentwickelt. Auf der Grundlage einer Auswertung relevanter laufender Bundes- und Länderprogramme werden wesentliche Wirkungen des Klimawandels identifiziert, die datenliefernden Programme zugeordnet und Auswertungen vorgeschlagen. Zusätzlich werden Datenquellen beschrieben, deren Nutzung weitergehende Betrachtungen ermöglichen. ErgebnisseIn einer Übersichtstabelle werden Monitoring-Programme auf Bundes- und Länderebene systematisiert und hinsichtlich ihrer Bedeutung für die Bewertung von Klimafolgen auf die belebte Umwelt dargestellt. Eine Übersicht über Datenquellen sowie eine Darstellung erster Erkenntnisse aus der Auswertung vorliegender Daten belegen die Relevanz des vorgeschlagenen Verfahrens. Der erkennbare Forschungs- und Entwicklungsbedarf wird umrissen und Vorschläge für eine Optimierung des Daten- und Methodenaustausches benannt. Beispiele zur Anwendung und Vertiefung der Thematik sowie Anregungen zur Weiterentwicklung der Methodik und zum Schließen von Kenntnislücken werden in Folgepublikationen aufgezeigt. DiskussionAuf der Basis des Klima-Biomonitorings kann das Ausmaß der durch den Klimawandel bereits eingetretenen Veränderungen beschrieben sowie Szenarien und Prognosen zu den Auswirkungen von Klimaveränderungen erstellt werden. Weiterhin ist es möglich, die sekundären Wirkungen des Klimawandels, insbesondere die Auswirkungen der Maßnahmen zur Anpassung an den Wandel, mithilfe der Bioindikation auf ihre Wirksamkeit zu prüfen. Für einige Klima-Bioindikatoren ist der kausale Zusammenhang zwischen Klimawandel und Reaktion bereits belegt (zum Beispiel die Frühjahrsphasen in der Pflanzenphänologie), in anderen Fällen müssen noch Methoden zur Unterscheidung zwischen Klimawirkungen und anderen Wirkfaktoren entwickelt werden. Die Erkenntnisse aus dem Klima-Biomonitoring sollen Grundlage für entsprechende Handlungen sein, sodass geeignete Anpassungsstrategien und gleichzeitig Maßnahmen zur Vermeidung oder zur Verminderung der Effekte eingeleitet werden können. Zugleich sollen eine angemessene Politikberatung, eine Information der Öffentlichkeit und die Erfüllung entsprechender Berichtspflichten erfolgen. Schlussfolgerungen:Klima-Biomonitoring ist eine geeignete Methode, um klimainduzierte Veränderungen in besonders empfindlichen Gebieten in Deutschland mit ihren Lebensräumen, Lebensgemeinschaften und Arten darzustellen. Erste Auswertungen zeigen, dass bereits Wirkungen des Klimawandels auf die belebte Umwelt nachweisbar sind. Hierbei liefert die Pflanzenphänologie seit vielen Jahren wertvolle Hintergrunddaten. Eine Verschneidung dieser Hintergrunddaten mit Daten aus anderen geeigneten Monitoring-Programmen und weiteren Informationen (zum Beispiel Geobasisdaten) ermöglicht es, diese Erkenntnisse zu ergänzen. Damit ist die Ermittlung und Bewertung von klimainduzierten Wirkungen auch im Bereich der Ausbreitung von Krankheitsüberträgern und -erregern und anderer Phänomene sowie der Bewertung von Maßnahmen möglich. Empfehlungen und PerspektivenEine abgestimmte Anwendung der Methodik in allen Bundesländern und beim Bund, eine Verbesserung des Daten- und Methodenaustausches, die Identifikation, Erschließung und Nutzung weiterer Datenquellen, die Weiterentwicklung der Methodik und eine Publikation weiterer Erkenntnisse werden empfohlen. Es ist davon auszugehen, dass sich das Klima-Biomonitoring wegen seiner Vorteile als Methode zur Erhebung von Klimafolgen für die belebte Umwelt auch international etablieren wird.     

Physical Effects of New Devices for Bricklayers

Bricklaying is a physically demanding job. Bricklayers frequently flex their trunk to pick up bricks and mortar and position these in a wall. The experienced workload is highest working with bricks at 0 to 50 cm from the floor. In this study the effects of 2 devices that have proven to be feasible in practice are evaluated.

The 50 cm raise due to the 2 devices is experienced as comfortable, the estimated lumbar compression force was reduced, and observations indicate likewise. It is discussed that the field experiments have many drawbacks. Nevertheless, based on this study in combination with other literature the improvements could be recommended.     

Contrasting stories on overcoming governance challenges: the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive in the Netherlands

The European Union Water Framework Directive (WFD) has provided the European Member States with a range of interacting governance challenges. This article studies three of these (the need for new administrative arrangements, public participation, and the enforced strict time frame). It questions how these interacting governance challenges were addressed in implementing the WFD in the Netherlands – a particularly interesting country since the European Commission assesses its implementation process in relatively positive terms, while an in-depth study reported on in this article tells a contrasting story. Based on this study, the article concludes that especially the interaction effects between the governance challenges may help us to better understand the outcome of the WFD-implementation process, and to provide more suitable advice as to how to improve the implementation process in future rounds.     

Meeting Heterogeneity in Consumer Demand for Animal Welfare: A Reflection on Existing Knowledge and Implications for the Meat Sector

The legitimacy of the dominant intensive meat production system with respect to the issue of animal welfare is increasingly being questioned by stakeholders across the meat supply chain. The current meat supply is highly undifferentiated, catering only for the extremes of morality concerns (i.e., conventional vs. organic meat products). However, a latent need for compromise products has been identified. That is, consumer differences exist regarding the trade-offs they make between different aspects associated with meat consumption. The heterogeneity in consumer demand could function as a starting point for market segmentation, targeting and positioning regarding animal welfare concepts that are differentiated in terms of animal welfare and price levels. Despite this, stakeholders in the meat supply chain seem to be trapped in the dominant business model focused on low cost prices. This paper aims to identify conflicting interests that stakeholders in the meat supply chain experience in order to increase understanding of why heterogeneous consumer preferences are not met by a more differentiated supply of meat products produced at different levels of animal welfare standards. In addition, characteristics of the supply chain that contribute to the existence of high exit barriers and difficulty to shift to more animal-friendly production systems are identified. Following the analysis of conflicting interests among stakeholders and factors that contribute to difficulty to transform the existing dominant regime, different routes are discussed that may help and motivate stakeholders to overcome these barriers and stimulate the creation of new markets.     

Some Perspectives on the Risks and Benefits of Biological Control of Invasive Alien Plants in the Management of Natural Ecosystems

Globally, invasions by alien plants are rapidly increasing in extent and severity, leading to large-scale ecosystem degradation. Weed biological control offers opportunities to arrest or even reverse these trends and, although it is not always effective or appropriate as a management strategy, this practice has an excellent record of safety and many notable successes over two centuries. In recent years, growing concerns about the potential for unintended, non-target damage by biological control agents, and fears about other unpredictable effects on ecosystems, have created an increasingly demanding risk-averse regulatory environment. This development may be counter-productive because it tends to overemphasize potential problems and ignores or underestimates the benefits of weed biological control; it offers no viable alternatives; and it overlooks the inherent risks of a decision not to use biological control. The restoration of badly degraded ecosystems to a former pristine condition is not a realistic objective, but the protection of un-invaded or partial restoration of invaded ecosystems can be achieved safely, at low cost and sustainably through the informed and responsible application of biological control. This practice should therefore be given due consideration when management of invasive alien plants is being planned. This discussion paper provides a perspective on the risks and benefits of classical weed biological control, and it is aimed at assisting environmental managers in their deliberations on whether or not to use this strategy in preference, or as a supplement to other alien invasive plant control practices.     

Increasing land pressure in East Africa: The changing role of cassava and consequences for sustainability of farming systems

Increasing land pressure during the past three to four decades has transformed farming systems in the mid-altitude zone of East Africa. Traditional millet-, cotton-, sugarcane- and/or banana-based farming systems with an important fallow and/or grazing component have evolved into continuously cultivated cassava or cassava/maize-based systems. Within three to four decades, cassava cultivation increased from 1–11 to 16–55% of cropped fields in our six study sites. Declining soil fertility, and not labour or food shortage, was apparently the primary trigger for this transformation. The land use changes have increased nutrient offtakes and reduced nutrient recycling rates. Cassava and maize now account for 50–90% of nutrient removal. Whereas single-season fallows were the most important source of nutrient recycling on cropped fields in the past, currently cassava litterfall and maize stover contribute roughly 70% of nutrient recycling, with 50–70% of N, P and K recycled in cassava litterfall. This may explain why many farmers reason that cassava ‘rests’ the soil. With increasing land use pressure farmers progressively use cassava as an ‘imitation fallow’ throughout their farm. Farmers increasingly target cassava to poor fertility fields characterized by low pH and available P. High cassava intensities are nonetheless maintained on more fertile fields, probably to guarantee regeneration of soil fertility on all fields. Once cassava is targeted to poor fertility soils, farmers have run out of low-input management options and need to intensify management to maintain system productivity. As cassava is now used by more farmers and on a larger acreage than fallowing in the studied farming systems, cassava cropping could perhaps serve as an excellent entry point to strengthen system sustainability.     

Biofuel development, food security and the use of marginal land in China

With concerns of energy shortages, China, like the United States, European Union, and other countries, is promoting the development of biofuels. However, China also faces high future demand for food and feed, and so its bioenergy program must try to strike a balance between food and fuel. The goals of this paper are to provide an overview of China's current bioethanol program, identify the potential for using marginal lands for feedstock production, and measure the likely impacts of China's bioethanol development on the nation's future food self-sufficiency. Our results indicate that the potential to use marginal land for bioethanol feedstock production is limited. Applying a modeling approach based on highly disaggregated data by region, our analysis shows that the target of 10 million t of bioethanol by 2020 seems to be a prudent target, causing no major disturbances in China's food security. But the expansion of bioethanol may increase environmental pressures due to the higher levels of fertilizer use. This study shows also that if China were able to cultivate 45% of its required bioethanol feedstock on new marginal land, it would further limit negative effects of the bioethanol program on the domestic and international economy, but at the expense of having to apply another 750 thousand t of fertilizer.     

Tasmanian landowner preferences for conservation incentive programs: a latent class approach

An empirical model of landowners' conservation incentive program choice is developed in which information about landowners' socio-economic and property characteristics and their attitudes, is combined with incentive program attributes. In a Choice survey landowners were presented with the choice of two incentive programs modelled as 'bundles of attributes' mimicking a voluntary choice scenario. Landowner behaviour and decision and the type of conditions and regulations they preferred were analyzed. Based on choice survey data, landowner heterogeneity was accounted for using a latent class approach to estimate the preference parameters. Three latent classes of landowners with different attitudes to the role and outcome of establishing conservation reserves on private land were identified: multi-objective owners; environment owners; and production owners. Only a small proportion of landowners, mostly environment owners, would voluntarily join a program. Although compensation funding contributed to voluntary program choice for multi-objective owners and environment owners, welfare losses were around 4000 AUD per hectare, which is less than the average agricultural land value in Tasmania. Landowners for whom compensation funding contributed to voluntary program choice were also most likely to set aside land for conservation without payment. This raises the possibility that the government's compensation expenditure could potentially be either reduced or re-allocated to landowners who will not voluntarily take conservation action. Increasing participation in conservation incentive programs and minimizing the welfare losses associated with meeting conservation targets may be best achieved by offering programs that allow flexibility in terms of legal arrangements and other program attributes.