Implications of Conceptual Channel Representation on SWAT Streamflow and Sediment Modeling

Hydrologic modeling outputs are influenced by how a watershed system is represented. Channel routing is a typical example of the mathematical conceptualization of watershed landscape and processes in hydrologic modeling. We investigated the sensitivity of accuracy, equifinality, and uncertainty of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) modeling to channel dimensions to demonstrate how a conceptual representation of a watershed system affects streamflow and sediment modeling. Results showed the amount of uncertainty and equifinality strongly responded to channel dimensions. On the other hand, the model performance did not significantly vary with the changes in the channel representation due to the degree of freedom allowed by the conceptual nature of hydrologic modeling in the parameter calibration. Such findings demonstrated good modeling performance statistics do not necessarily mean small output uncertainty, and partial improvements in the watershed representation may neither increase modeling accuracy nor reduce uncertainty. We also showed the equifinality and uncertainty of hydrologic modeling are case‐dependent rather than specific to models or regions, suggesting great caution should be used when attempting to transfer uncertainty analysis results to other modeling studies, especially for ungauged watersheds. Editor's note: This paper is part of the featured series on SWAT Applications for Emerging Hydrologic and Water Quality Challenges. See the February 2017 issue for the introduction and background to the series.     

Evaluation of Existing and Modified Wetland Equations in the SWAT Model

The ability to accurately simulate flow and nutrient removal in treatment wetlands within an agricultural, watershed‐scale model is needed to develop effective plans for meeting nutrient reduction goals associated with protection of drinking water supplies and reduction of the Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone. The objectives of this study were to incorporate new equations for wetland hydrology and nutrient removal in Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), compare model performance using original and improved equations, and evaluate the ramifications of errors in watershed and tile drain simulation on prediction of NO₃‐N dynamics in wetlands. The modified equations produced Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency values of 0.88 to 0.99 for daily NO₃‐N load predictions, and percent bias values generally less than 6%. However, statistical improvement over the original equations was marginal and both old and new equations provided accurate simulations. The new equations reduce the model's dependence on detailed monitoring data and hydrologic calibration. Additionally, the modified equations increase SWAT's versatility by incorporating a weir equation and an irreducible nutrient concentration and temperature coefficient. Model improvements enhance the utility of SWAT for simulating flow and nutrients in wetlands and other impoundments, although performance is limited by the accuracy of inflow and NO₃‐N predictions from the contributing watershed. Editor's note : This paper is part of the featured series on SWAT Applications for Emerging Hydrologic and Water Quality Challenges. See the February 2017 issue for the introduction and background to the series.     

Carbon dioxide emission tallies for 210 U.S. coal-fired power plants: A comparison of two accounting methods

Annual CO₂ emission tallies for 210 coal-fired power plants during 2009 were more accurately calculated from fuel consumption records reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) than measurements from Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems (CEMS) reported by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Results from these accounting methods for individual plants vary by ± 10.8%. Although the differences systematically vary with the method used to certify flue-gas flow instruments in CEMS, additional sources of CEMS measurement error remain to be identified. Limitations of the EIA fuel consumption data are also discussed. Consideration of weighing, sample collection, laboratory analysis, emission factor, and stock adjustment errors showed that the minimum error for CO₂ emissions calculated from the fuel consumption data ranged from ± 1.3% to ± 7.2% with a plant average of ± 1.6%. This error might be reduced by 50% if the carbon content of coal delivered to U.S. power plants were reported.

Implications:

Potentially, this study might inform efforts to regulate CO₂ emissions (such as CO₂ performance standards or taxes) and more immediately, the U.S. Greenhouse Gas Reporting Rule where large coal-fired power plants currently use CEMS to measure CO₂ emissions. Moreover, if, as suggested here, the flue-gas flow measurement limits the accuracy of CO₂ emission tallies from CEMS, then the accuracy of other emission tallies from CEMS (such as SO₂, NO_x, and Hg) would be similarly affected. Consequently, improved flue gas flow measurements are needed to increase the reliability of emission measurements from CEMS.     

Contribution of Nitrate and Carbonaceous Species to PM2.5 Observed in Canadian Cities

ABSTRACT

At a variety of Canadian monitoring sites, carbonaceous compounds were estimated to account for an average of 50% of fine particle mass. These estimates were determined by subtracting the total fine particle mass associated with inorganic compounds from the total fine mass determined gravimetrically. This approach, which yields an upper limit estimate of the total amount of carbon-related mass was necessary since particulate carbon was not measured in the Canadian National Air Pollution Surveillance (NAPS) network. In this paper, total carbon estimates are evaluated against organic and elemental carbon measurements at locations in the Greater Vancouver area and Toronto. In addition, particle nitrate measurements at seven Canadian locations are used to determine the importance of nitrate relative to total mass and to examine the sampling artifacts due to the loss of particle nitrate from Teflon filters used in the NAPS di-chotomous samplers.

Measurements of organic and elemental carbon indicated that the total carbon estimation approach provides representative estimates of the average contribution by carbonaceous material to the total fine and coarse mass. The average total carbon among all Vancouver area measurements (N = 225) was 4.28 μg m^-3, while the estimated value was 4.34 μg m^-3. There was a larger discrepancy between Toronto total carbon measurements (12.1 μg m^-3) and estimates (8.8 μg m^-3), which is attributed in part to sampling of particles above 10 mm in diameter. However, the R² relating the measurements and estimates was about 0.71 for both areas. Linear regression slopes of 0.98 for Vancouver and 0.78 for Toronto (nonsignificant intercepts) indicate little bias in the Vancouver estimates, but a tendency for underestimation as the observed total carbon concentration increased in Toronto.

Annually, nitrate was responsible for 17% and 12% of the fine mass in the Vancouver area and Ontario, respectively. In contrast, at two rural locations in southern Quebec and Nova Scotia, only 6% of fine mass was associated with nitrate. Due to filter losses, nitrate concentrations determined through the NAPS dichot sampling were much lower than actual concentrations (0.44 μg m^-3 vs. 2.63 μg m^-3). As a result of these losses (attributed mostly to loss during laboratory storage), previous total carbon estimates for the Canadian NAPS sites were likely to have been overestimated on average by about 10%.     

Development of a Sample Equilibration System for the TEOM Continuous PM Monitor

ABSTRACT

In recent years, scientific discussion has included the influence of thermodynamic conditions (e.g., temperature, relative humidity, and filter face velocity) on PM retention efficiency of filter-based samplers and monitors. Method-associated thermodynamic conditions can, in some instances, dramatically influence the presence of particle-bound water and other light-molecular-weight chemical components such as particulate nitrates and certain organic compounds. The measurement of fine particle mass presents a new challenge for all PM measurement methods, since a relatively greater fraction of the mass is semi-volatile.

The tapered element oscillating microbalance (TEOM) continuous PM monitor is a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) PM₁₀ equivalent method (EQPM-1090-079). Several hundred of these monitors are deployed throughout the United States. The TEOM monitor has the unique characteristic of providing direct PM mass measurement without the calibration uncertainty inherent in mass surrogate methods. In addition, it provides high-precision, near-real-time continuous data automatically. Much attention has been given to semi-volatile species retention of the TEOM method.

While using this monitor, it is desirable to maintain as low an operating temperature as practical and to remove unwanted particle-bound water. A new sample equilibration system (SES) has been developed to allow conditioning of the PM sample stream to a lower humidity and temperature level. The SES incorporates a special low-particle-loss Nafion dryer. This paper discusses the configuration and theory of the SES. Performance results include high time-resolved PM_2.5 data comparison between a 30 °C sample stream TEOM monitor with SES and a standard 50 °C TEOM monitor. In addition, 24-hr integrated data are compared with data collected using an EPA PM_2.5 Federal Reference Method (FRM)-type sampler. The SES is a significant development because it can be applied easily to existing TEOM monitors.     

Biofiltration of Trichloroethylene-Contaminated Air: A Pilot Study

Abstract

This project demonstrated the biofiltration of a trichloroethylene (TCE)-contaminated airstream generated by air stripping groundwater obtained from several wells located at the Anniston Army Depot, Anniston, AL. The effects of several critical process variables were investigated to evaluate technical and economic feasibility, define operating limits and preferred operating conditions, and develop design information for a full-scale biofilter system. Long-term operation of the demonstration biofilter system was conducted to evaluate the performance and reliability of the system under variable weather conditions. Propane was used as the primary substrate necessary to induce the production of a nonspecific oxygenase. Results indicated that the process scheme used to introduce propane into the biofiltration system had a significant impact on the observed TCE removal efficiency. TCE degradation rates were dependent on the inlet contaminant concentration as well as on the loading rate. No microbial inhibition was observed at inlet TCE concentrations as high as 87 parts per million on a volume basis.     

The Steubenville Comprehensive Air Monitoring Program (SCAMP): Overview and Statistical Considerations

Abstract

Average concentrations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM_2.5) in Steubenville, OH, have decreased by more than 10 μg/m³ since the landmark Harvard Six Cities Study¹ associated the city’s elevated PM_2.5 concentrations with adverse health effects in the 1980s. Given the promulgation of a new National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for PM_2.5 in 1997, a current assessment of PM_2.5 in the Steubenville region is warranted. The Steubenville Comprehensive Air Monitoring Program (SCAMP) was conducted from 2000 through 2002 to provide such an assessment. The program included both an outdoor ambient air monitoring component and an indoor and personal air sampling component. This paper, which is the first in a series of four that will present results from the outdoor portion of SCAMP, provides an overview of the outdoor ambient air monitoring program and addresses statistical issues, most notably autocorrelation, that have been overlooked by many PM_2.5 data analyses. The average PM_2.5 concentration measured in Steubenville during SCAMP (18.4 μg/m³) was 3.4g/m³ above the annual PM_2.5 NAAQS. On average, sulfate and organic material accounted for ～31% and 25%, respectively, of the total PM_2.5 mass. Local sources contributed an estimated 4.6 μg/m³ to Steubenville’s mean PM_2.5 concentration. PM_2.5 and each of its major ionic components were significantly correlated in space across all pairs of monitoring sites in the region, suggesting the influence of meteorology and long-range transport on regional PM_2.5 concentrations. Statistically significant autocorrelation was observed among time series of PM_2.5 and component data collected at daily and 1-in-4-day frequencies during SCAMP. Results of spatial analyses that accounted for autocorrelation were generally consistent with findings from previous studies that did not consider autocorrelation; however, these analyses also indicated that failure to account for autocorrelation can lead to incorrect conclusions about statistical significance.     

Ozone and Other Air Quality-Related Variables Affecting Visibility in the Southeast United States

Abstract

An analysis of ozone (O₃) concentrations and several other air quality-related variables was performed to elucidate their relationship with visibility at five urban and semi-urban locations in the southeast United States during the summer seasons of 1980-1996. The role and impact of O₃ on aerosols was investigated to ascertain a relationship with visibility. Regional trend analysis over the 1980s reveals an increase in maximum O₃ concentration coupled with a decrease in visibility. However, a similar analysis for the 1990s shows a leveling-off of both O₃ and visibility; in both cases, the results were not statistically significant at the 5% level. A case study of site-specific trends at Nashville, TN, followed similar trends. To better understand the relationships between O₃ concentration and visibility, the analysis was varied from yearly through daily to hourly averaged values. This increased temporal resolution showed a statistically significant inverse relationship between visibility and O₃. Site-specific hourly r² values ranged from 0.02 to 0.43. Additionally, by performing back-trajectory analysis, it was found that the visibility degraded by air mass migration over polluted areas.     

Beryllium-7 Measurements in the Houston and Phoenix Urban Areas: An Estimation of Upper Atmospheric Ozone Contributions

Abstract

Natural radionuclides have been proposed as a means of assessing the transport of ozone (O₃) and aerosols in the troposphere. Beryllium-7 (⁷Be) is produced in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere by the interaction of cosmogenic particles with atmospheric nitrogen and oxygen. ⁷Be has a 53.29-day half-life (478 keV γ) and is known to attach to fine particles in the atmosphere once it is formed. It has been suggested that O₃ from aloft can be transported into rural and urban regions during stratospheric–tropospheric folding events leading to increased background levels of O₃ at the surface. ⁷Be can be used as a tracer of upper atmospheric air parcels and the O₃ associated with them. Aerosol samples with a 2.5-µm cutoff were collected during 12-hr cycles (day/night) for a 30-day period at Deer Park, TX, near Houston, in August– September of 2000, and at Waddell, AZ, near Phoenix, in June–July of 2001. A comparison of ⁷Be levels with 12-hr O₃ averages and maxima shows little correlation. Comparison of nighttime and daytime O₃ levels indicate that during the day, when mixing is anticipated to be higher, the correlation of ⁷Be with O₃ in Houston is approximately twice that observed at night. This is consistent with mixing and with the anticipated loss of O₃ by reaction with nitric oxide (NO) and dry deposition. At best, 30% of the O₃ variance can be explained by the correlation with ⁷Be for Houston, less than that for Phoenix where no significant correlation was seen. This result is consistent with the intercept values obtained for ⁷Be correlations with either O₃ 24-hr averages or O₃ 12-hr maxima and is also in the range of the low O₃ levels (25 ppb) observed at Deer Park during a tropical storm event where the O₃ is attributable primarily to background air masses. That is, maximum background O₃ level contributions from stratospheric sources aloft are estimated to be in the range of 15–30 ppb in the Houston, TX, and Phoenix, AZ, area, and levels above these are because of local tropospheric photochemical production.     

Characterization of summertime coarse particulate matter in the Desert Southwest—Arizona,USA

A year-long study was conducted in Pinal County, AZ, to characterize coarse (2.5 – 10 μm aerodynamic diameter, AD) and fine (< 2.5 μm AD) particulate matter (PMc and PMf, respectively) to further understand spatial and temporal variations in ambient PM concentrations and composition in rural, arid environments. Measurements of PMc and PMf mass, ions, elements, and carbon concentrations at one-in-six day resolution were obtained at three sites within the region. Results from the summer of 2009 and specifically the local monsoon period are presented.

The summer monsoon season (July – September) and associated rain and/or high wind events, has historically had the largest number of PM₁₀ NAAQS exceedances within a year. Rain events served to clean the atmosphere, decreasing PMc concentrations resulting in a more uniform spatial gradient among the sites. The monsoon period also is characterized by high wind events, increasing PMc mass concentrations, possibly due to increased local wind-driven soil erosion or transport. Two PM₁₀ NAAQS exceedances at the urban monitoring site were explained by high wind events and can likely be excluded from PM₁₀ compliance calculations as exceptional events. At the more rural Cowtown site, PM₁₀ NAAQS exceedances were more frequent, likely due to the impact from local dust sources.

PM mass concentrations at the Cowtown site were typically higher than at the Pinal County Housing and Casa Grande sites. Crustal material was equal to 52-63% of the PMc mass concentration on average. High concentrations of phosphate and organic carbon found at the rural Cowtown were associated with local cattle feeding operations. A relatively high correlation between PMc and PMf (R²?=?0.63) indicated that the lower tail of the coarse particle fraction often impacts the fine particle fraction, increasing the PMf concentrations. Therefore, reductions in PMc sources will likely also reduce PMf concentrations, which also are near the value of the 24-hr PM_2.5 NAAQS.

Implications: In the desert southwest, summer monsoons are often associated with above average PM₁₀ (<10 μm AD) mass concentrations. Competing influences of monsoon rain and wind events showed that rain suppresses ambient concentrations while high wind increase them. In this region, the PMc fraction dominates PM₁₀ and crustal sources contribute 52-63% to local PMc mass concentrations on average. Cattle feedlot emissions are also an important source and a unique chemical signature was identified for this source. Observations suggest monsoon wind events alone cannot explain PM₁₀ NAAQS exceedances, thus requiring these values to remain in compliance calculations rather than being removed as exceptional wind events.