RISK OF EXTREME EVENTS IN A MULTIOBJECTIVE FRAMEWORK1

ABSTRACT: This paper summarizes advances made in risk-based decisionmaking in water resources through use of the partitioned multiobjective risk method (PMRM). (Risk is a measure of the probability and severity of adverse effects.) In the PMRM, the risk of extreme events is differentiated from risk involving less extreme damage severity and is evaluated within a multiobjective framework. Study of the extreme-event risk function f₄(*) has addressed the following issues: methods for calculating f₄(*); the sensitivity of f₄(*) to various parameters, particularly to the partitioning point of the extreme-event range and the selection of probability density functions; insight provided by the statistics of extremes; and the impact of f₄(*) on risk management, for example, in the application of the PMRM to water resources problems. In particular, this paper shares with the reader recent research results on the PMRM, the relationship between the statistics of extremes and the conditional expected value, derived formulas for f₄(*), distribution-free estimates of f₄(*), documented case studies in dam safety, and future research directions.     

Roadside dusts and soils contamination in Cincinnati,Ohio, USA

Roadside dusts and soils were collected from various nonindustrial districts in Cincinnati, Ohio, USA, and analyzed for lead and copper contents. Results showed that the recent lead phase-down action has reduced the level of lead, but the concentrations of both metals are still higher than the background levels for normal soil. Elevated concentrations of copper in heavily traveled highways were noted, suggesting that much of the copper pollutants is probably of automotive origin. The concentration of lead was found to vary with housing age, and higher levels of contamination in the older neighborhoods were observed. This result is probably ascribable to the accumulation of residues from leaded gasoline and lead-based paint in the past and the use of coal fire for space heating in older houses.     

铁还原中和沉淀法处理TNT酸性废水的研究

研究了处理TNT酸性废水的铁还原中和方法。该法用铁将硝基苯类还原成苯胺类，然后通过石灰乳中和生成Fe(OH)2胶体，吸附苯胺类，达到去除硝基苯类的目的。在过量铁还原60min，中和沉淀pH8—9的最佳条件下，可将废水中的硝基苯类从82．0mg/L降到未检出程度(＜0．2mg/L)，CODcr从394．0mg/L降到94．8mg/L。处理后的废水中的苯胺类也未检出(＜0．03mg/L)。该法的物料消耗费用约为传统的活性碳吸附法的17．5％。     

鲤鱼对硝基苯的生物积累、消除与代谢研究

应用流动式摄取及释放装置，对鲤鱼进行了硝基苯的生物积累，代谢研究，结果表明，鲤鱼对硝基苯浓缩很快，全鱼，肌肉，其它组织中的生物积累曲线地均呈现快速增长至峰，后又快速下降至低浓度水平稳态的峰形曲线，释放呈双曲线形，对数作图可得到两条不同斜度的直线。     

现行城市机动车排放控制法律调整存在的不足与对策

针对目前中国城市机动车高速发展而带来了城市大气环境污染负面问题，分析了现阶段对城市机动车排放控制存在的法律责任界定不清、执法部门权责不明、市场机制运作不完善等缺陷，提出从法律视野进行调整，充分发挥法律的规制功能和权威力量，明确行政主管部门权责，健全机动车从生产-销售-回收以及与石油等部门的市场调节机制，最终促进城市机动车尾气排放得到有效的控制，营造良好的城市环境。