人群密度对人群拥挤事故的影响

为了研究公共场所的人群密度与拥挤事故的发生概率.基于连续人群流动模型,从人群密度角度探讨了人群拥挤事故发生的机理.由于不同民族个体生理尺寸的差异,人群最大忍受密度不同,以此作为判断人群拥挤事故的标准,并结合我国情况提出我国人群最大忍受密度为9人/m2.最后模拟了某个拥挤事故场景,用该模型对其进行拥挤事故分析.结果表明,连续人群流动模型可以用于预测拥挤事故的发生,对预防和控制人群拥挤事故具有一定的指导意义.     

Combined toxicity of imidacloprid,acetochlor, and tebuconazole to zebrafish ( Danio rerio ): acute toxicity and hepatotoxicity assessment

Compound pollution refers to two or more kinds of pollutants with different properties, a pollutant from different sources, or the simultaneous existence of two or more different types of pollutants in the same environment. In this study, we aimed to investigate the individual and combined toxicity of the insecticide imidacloprid (IMI), the herbicide acetochlor (ACT), and the fungicide tebuconazole (TBZ) to zebrafish. The acute toxicity test results showed that the 96-h LC50 values of IMI, ACT, and TBZ were 276.84 (259.62–294.35) mg active ingredient (a.i.) L−1, 1.52 (1.34–1.74) mg a.i. L−1, and 8.16 (7.7–8.6) mg a.i. L−1, respectively. The combinations of IMI, ACT, and TBZ with toxicity ratios of 1:2:2, 1:4:4, 2:4:1, and 4:1:4 displayed synergistic toxic effects on zebrafish, while the toxicity ratios of 1:1:1, 1:1:2, 2:1:2, 2:2:1, and 4:2:1 of IMI, ACT, and TBZ, respectively, exhibited antagonistic toxic effects on zebrafish. The following experiments were performed with a toxicity ratio of 1:4:4 (IMI:ACT:TBZ). The activities of four enzyme biomarkers related to oxidative stress in the liver, catalase (CAT), superoxide dismutase (SOD), glutathione S-transferase (GST), and malondialdehyde (MDA) content were evaluated in each exposure group on days 7, 14, 21, and 28. Compared with those of the control group, the activities of CAT, SOD, and GST and the MDA content were significantly altered at different time points in the individual and combined exposure groups. Additionally, the activities of CAT, SOD, and GST and the MDA content were significantly altered in the combined group compared with those of the individual group after 14 days or 21 days of exposure. Therefore, it was confirmed that combined toxicity studies are indispensable in risk assessment.     

瑞典环境税--政策效果及其对中国的启示

文章回顾了瑞典的环境税费,特别是与能源相关的环境税的发展沿革,从环境效益、财政效益、能源结构调整效应三个方面分析了瑞典能源-环境税的效果,并展望瑞典环境税的发展前景.最后指出了瑞典环境税制度对中国的借鉴意义.     

基于双指标多等级的土壤重金属生态风险评价

采用土壤中重金属的全量和有效态双重指标,建立基于多等级综合评估的土壤中重金属生态风险评价模型,将联合概率曲线法引入土壤评价模型,分析重金属暴露浓度与毒性数据的概率分布,考察重金属对土壤生物的毒害程度,从而确定土壤中重金属对于生态系统的风险。建立从简单到复杂的多等级综合评价方法,表征重金属的污染等级、浓度效应、多种重金属污染物的协同效应、不同重金属的毒性效应和土壤对不同重金属污染物的敏感性。选择典型地区采集有代表性的土壤样品,测定不同重金属的总量和有效态,验证评价模型的实用性和评价分级的合理性。旨在解决土壤重金属风险评价的方法学问题,为土壤环境质量管理提供支持。     

Control of NOx emissions by air staging in small- and medium-scale biomass pellet boilers

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - The effect of air staging strategies on NOx control was investigated on a 210-kW small-scale biomass boiler (SBB) and a 1.4-MW medium-scale biomass...     

Distribution,source, and environmental risk assessment of phthalate esters (PAEs) in water,suspended particulate matter,and sediment of a typical Yangtze River Delta City,China

Phthalates (PAEs) in drinking water sources such as the Yangtze River in developing countries had aroused widespread concern. Here, the water, suspended particulate matter (SPM), and sediment samples were collected from 15 sites in wet and dry seasons in Zhenjiang, for the determination of six PAEs (DMP, DEP, DIBP, DBP, DEHP, and DOP) using the solid-phase extraction (SPE) or ultrasonic extraction coupled with gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS). The total concentrations of six PAEs (Σ₆PAEs) spanned a range of 2.65–39.31 μg L^?1 in water, 1.97–34.10 μg g^?1 in SPM, and 0.93–34.70 μg g^?1 in sediment. The partition coefficients (K_d1) of PAEs in water and SPM phase ranged from 0.004 to 3.36 L g^?1 in the wet season and from 0.12 to 2.84 L g^?1 in the dry season. K_d2 of PAEs in water and sediment phase was 0.001–9.75 L g^?1 in the wet season and 0.006–8.05 L g^?1 in the dry season. The dominant PAEs were DIBP, DBP, and DEHP in water and SPM, DIBP, DEHP, and DOP in sediment. The concentration of DBP in water exceeded the China Surface Water Standard. The discharge of domestic sewage and industrial wastewater might be the main potential sources of PAEs. The risk quotient (RQ) method used for the risk assessment revealed that DBP (0.01 < RQ < 1) posed a medium risk, while DIBP and DEHP (RQ > 1) posed a high environmental risk in water, DIBP (RQ > 1) also showed a high risk in sediment.

     

城市燃气管线风险评估

城市燃气管线是城市的重大危险源,事故后果多为燃气泄漏后发生的火灾、爆炸造成人员伤亡及建筑物坍塌,其风险评估方法的研究对于燃气管线的风险管理非常重要.对管线发生断裂的事故概率及其热辐射伤害进行了分析.引入了管线的致死长度,并定义其为在此管线长度内的失效能对特定地点的人产生致死效应.在此基础上,进行了个人风险的定量计算,即管线失效率与致死长度的乘积,并基于个人风险的可接受水平确定了管线的危险距离,为抢险救援工作提供参考.     

多阶段优化规划模型在天津应急资源基站优化规划中的应用

利用多阶段优化选址规划模型对天津市进行应急资源基站的选址规划研究.首先,利用集合覆盖模型(LSCP)确定满足需求的最小应急物流基站数,然后利用最大覆盖模型(MCLP),在备选位置中,根据不同的应急时间标准确定满足需求的合适位置作为应急物流基站的选址.通过计算,分别得到在30 min、45 min和60 min的不同应急时间标准下覆盖天津市全境所需的应急资源基站数以及合理的选址规划方案.研究表明,多阶段选址规划模型将选址规划问题分步骤解决,使问题简化,可以应用于不同的城市安全规划过程,为城市应急管理提供了应急决策依据,有效提高了城市应急管理能力.     

广义最大覆盖模型在消防站优化选址中的应用

针对目前我国城市消防站建设存在的数量不足、责任区面积过大、选址缺乏科学性等问题,引入广义最大覆盖模型,探讨城市消防站的优化选址方法.广义最大覆盖模型很好地解决了传统最大覆盖模型中假设覆盖度为二元值的缺陷,通过分段递减函数,将覆盖度表示为0～1之间的连续值,实现了供应点对所有需求点的覆盖.同时,本研究还考虑不同区域的火灾风险等级并设定了相应响应时间限值,通过对最短响应时间和响应时间限值的比较,得出候选消防站点对各个需求点的覆盖度水平.通过实例对广义最大覆盖模型的有效性进行验证,并利用LINGO软件进行求解.研究表明,广义最大覆盖模型可实现供应点以不同程度覆盖所有需求点,更适用于消防站类应急设施的选址问题.     

液氨储罐泄漏中毒事故的个人风险分析

分析液氨储罐泄漏中毒事故的个人风险,为厂区的安全规划及防护措施方案的制订提供科学依据.以天津某化工厂液氨储罐为例,根据中毒事故个人风险计算方法计算液氨储罐周围区域的个人风险值,同时采用Surfer 8.0软件绘制该区域的个人风险等值线,实现风险分析结果在地图信息中的可视化.结果表明,液氨储罐泄漏可能会造成严重中毒事故;中毒事故个人风险值受该地区风向概率影响较大.首次将Surfer 8.0软件应用于绘制个人风险等值线,展示了该软件在表示个人风险方面很大的应用和推广价值.