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231.
Isavela Ν. Monioudi Regina Asariotis Austin Becker Cassandra Bhat Danielle Dowding-Gooden Miguel Esteban Luc Feyen Lorenzo Mentaschi Antigoni Nikolaou Leonard Nurse Willard Phillips David Α.Υ. Smith Mizushi Satoh Ulric O’Donnell Trotz Adonis F. Velegrakis Evangelos Voukouvalas Michalis I. Vousdoukas Robert Witkop 《Regional Environmental Change》2018,18(8):2211-2225
This contribution presents an assessment of the potential vulnerabilities to climate variability and change (CV & C) of the critical transportation infrastructure of Caribbean Small Island Developing States (SIDS). It focuses on potential operational disruptions and coastal inundation forced by CV & C on four coastal international airports and four seaports in Jamaica and Saint Lucia which are critical facilitators of international connectivity and socioeconomic development. Impact assessments have been carried out under climatic conditions forced by a 1.5 °C specific warming level (SWL) above pre-industrial levels, as well as for different emission scenarios and time periods in the twenty-first century. Disruptions and increasing costs due to, e.g., more frequent exceedance of high temperature thresholds that could impede transport operations are predicted, even under the 1.5 °C SWL, advocated by the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) and reflected as an aspirational goal in the Paris Climate Agreement. Dynamic modeling of the coastal inundation under different return periods of projected extreme sea levels (ESLs) indicates that the examined airports and seaports will face increasing coastal inundation during the century. Inundation is projected for the airport runways of some of the examined international airports and most of the seaports, even from the 100-year extreme sea level under 1.5 °C SWL. In the absence of effective technical adaptation measures, both operational disruptions and coastal inundation are projected to increasingly affect all examined assets over the course of the century. 相似文献
232.
Basmadjian E Perkins EM Phillips CR Heilprin DJ Watts SD Diener DR Myers MS Koerner KA Mengel MJ Robertson G Armstrong JL Lissner AL Frank VL 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2008,138(1-3):239-253
The prevalence of toxicopathic liver lesions in demersal fish on the San Pedro Shelf, California was determined for a 15-year
period (1988–2003). Fish livers were sampled at fixed locations as part of the Orange County Sanitation Districts (OCSD) ocean
monitoring program. Histopathological examination of selected fish liver tissues was studied to determine whether the wastewater
discharge had affected fish health. The prevalence of toxicopathic lesion classes neoplasms (NEO), preneoplastic foci of cellular
alteration (FCA), and hydropic vacuolation (HYDVAC) varied among species and locations. For all species sampled, severe lesions
occurred in 6.2% of the fish examined (n = 7,694). HYDVAC (4.1%) was the most common toxicopathic lesion type followed by FCA (1.4%) and NEO (0.7%). HYDVAC occurred
only in white croaker (Genyonemus lineatus), accounting for 84.8% of the toxicopathic lesions for this species. Prevalence of HYDVAC, NEO, and FCA in white croaker
was 15.2, 2.0, and 0.7%, respectively. The prevalence of HYDVAC and NEO in white croaker increased with age and size but there
was no sexual difference. A linear regression model was used for hypothesis testing to account for significant differences
in fish size (and age for croakers) at the different sampling locations. This analysis showed that for HYDVAC there was no
spatial or location effect for lesion rate or size/age of onset. For NEO, the model predicted that white croaker near the
wastewater outfall may acquire these lesions at a smaller size/younger age, and at a higher rate, than at other sites. However,
this result may be biased due to the unequal size frequency distributions and the low prevalence of NEO in white croaker at
the different sampling sites. Bigmouth sole (Hippoglossina stomata) had a prevalence of FCA and NEO of 1.3 and 0.35%, respectively, but the prevalence and distribution of lesions was too few
for statistical testing. There was no sexual difference for lesion prevalence in hornyhead turbot (Pleuronichthys verticalis) and the prevalence of FCA and NEO was 3.4 and 0.37%, respectively. FCA prevalence increased with size in hornyhead turbot
and there were no significant spatial differences for lesion rates and fish size at lesion onset. Overall, consistent spatial
differences for lesion prevalence were not demonstrated and highlight the analytical difficulties of detecting a possible
point source impact when the effect is rare, correlated with the size/age structure of the population, and may be caused by
exposure to unknown multiple sources. Thus, the usefulness of liver histopathology as a point-source monitoring tool is best
applied to where the spatial scale of impact generally exceeds the home range of the target species. 相似文献
233.
Defining Chlorophyll-a Reference Conditions in European Lakes 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Sandra Poikāne Maria Helena Alves Christine Argillier Marcel van den Berg Fabio Buzzi Eberhard Hoehn Caridad de Hoyos Ivan Karottki Christophe Laplace-Treyture Anne Lyche Solheim José Ortiz-Casas Ingmar Ott Geoff Phillips Ansa Pilke João Pádua Spela Remec-Rekar Ursula Riedmüller Jochen Schaumburg Maria Luisa Serrano Hanna Soszka Deirdre Tierney Gorazd Urbanič Georg Wolfram 《Environmental management》2010,45(6):1286-1298
The concept of “reference conditions” describes the benchmark against which current conditions are compared when assessing the status of water bodies. In this paper we focus on the establishment of reference conditions for European lakes according to a phytoplankton biomass indicator—the concentration of chlorophyll-a. A mostly spatial approach (selection of existing lakes with no or minor human impact) was used to set the reference conditions for chlorophyll-a values, supplemented by historical data, paleolimnological investigations and modelling. The work resulted in definition of reference conditions and the boundary between “high” and “good” status for 15 main lake types and five ecoregions of Europe: Alpine, Atlantic, Central/Baltic, Mediterranean, and Northern. Additionally, empirical models were developed for estimating site-specific reference chlorophyll-a concentrations from a set of potential predictor variables. The results were recently formulated into the EU legislation, marking the first attempt in international water policy to move from chemical quality standards to ecological quality targets. 相似文献
234.
Litao Wang Carey Jang Yang Zhang Kai Wang Qiang Zhang David Streets Joshua Fu Yu Lei Jeremy Schreifels Kebin He Jiming Hao Yun-Fat Lam Jerry Lin Nicholas Meskhidze Scott Voorhees Dale Evarts Sharon Phillips 《Atmospheric environment (Oxford, England : 1994)》2010,44(28):3449-3457
Following the meteorological evaluation in Part I, this Part II paper presents the statistical evaluation of air quality predictions by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA)’s Community Multi-Scale Air Quality (Models-3/CMAQ) model for the four simulated months in the base year 2005. The surface predictions were evaluated using the Air Pollution Index (API) data published by the China Ministry of Environmental Protection (MEP) for 31 capital cities and daily fine particulate matter (PM2.5, particles with aerodiameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm) observations of an individual site in Tsinghua University (THU). To overcome the shortage in surface observations, satellite data are used to assess the column predictions including tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) column abundance and aerosol optical depth (AOD). The result shows that CMAQ gives reasonably good predictions for the air quality.The air quality improvement that would result from the targeted sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emission controls in China were assessed for the objective year 2010. The results show that the emission controls can lead to significant air quality benefits. SO2 concentrations in highly polluted areas of East China in 2010 are estimated to be decreased by 30–60% compared to the levels in the 2010 Business-As-Usual (BAU) case. The annual PM2.5 can also decline by 3–15 μg m?3 (4–25%) due to the lower SO2 and sulfate concentrations. If similar controls are implemented for NOx emissions, NOx concentrations are estimated to decrease by 30–60% as compared with the 2010 BAU scenario. The annual mean PM2.5 concentrations will also decline by 2–14 μg m?3 (3–12%). In addition, the number of ozone (O3) non-attainment areas in the northern China is projected to be much lower, with the maximum 1-h average O3 concentrations in the summer reduced by 8–30 ppb. 相似文献
235.
Jason Phillips 《Sustainability Science》2010,5(1):127-142
Earth System Analysis was postulated as a theory by Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber in 1998 as a way to characterise the Earth System—the
coupled relationship between the environment and humans. Within this theory is the notion of Geocybernetics—management of
the Earth System in order to achieve strategies and mechanisms of co-evolution between the environment and humans. This is
regarded as the concept and application of sustainable development. However, whilst fundamental definitions in Earth System
Analysis are presented for the coupled relationship between the environment and humans, no such definitions exist for sustainable
development within the Earth System context. Consequently, this paper presents a mathematical model of sustainable development
that provides for the fundamental abstraction of the key concepts and parameters necessary for sustainable development to
occur. The model utilises basic mathematics to detail these concepts and parameters, as well as the conditions required for
sustainable development to occur. The model presented is, in some regards, a work in progress, and further refinements will
be made given the nature of the research performed to this point, i.e. the fundamental mathematical definition of sustainable
development and its application. However, the research conducted thus far has made it reasonable to communicate the findings
made up to the present point. The paper also provides a brief example of the application of the model to an environmental
impact assessment of a metro rail scheme in India, for the purpose of evaluating the level of sustainable development (if
appropriate) for the project under consideration. 相似文献
236.
Jade Phillips Joana Magos Brehm Bob van Oort Åsmund Asdal Morten Rasmussen Nigel Maxted 《Ambio》2017,46(6):630-643
Climate change is likely to be one of the most important factors affecting our future food security. To mitigate negative impacts, we will require our crops to be more genetically diverse. Such diversity is available in crop wild relatives (CWRs), the wild taxa relatively closely related to crops and from which diverse traits can be transferred to the crop. Conservation of such genetic resources resides within the nation where they are found; therefore, national-level conservation recommendations are fundamental to global food security. We investigate the potential impact of climate change on CWR richness in Norway. The consequences of a 1.5 and 3.0 °C temperature rise were studied for the years 2030, 2050, 2070, 2080 and then compared to the present climate. The results indicate a pattern of shifting CWR richness from the south to the north, with increases in taxa turnover and in the numbers of threatened taxa. Recommendations for in situ and ex situ conservation actions over the short and long term for the priority CWRs in Norway are presented. The methods and recommendations developed here can be applied within other nations and at regional and global levels to improve the effectiveness of conservation actions and help ensure global food security. 相似文献
237.
Predicting which species will be affected by an invasive taxon is critical to developing conservation priorities, but this is a difficult task. A previous study on the impact of invasive cane toads (Bufo marinus) on Australian snakes attempted to predict vulnerability a priori based on the assumptions that any snake species that eats frogs, and is vulnerable to toad toxins, may be at risk from the toad invasion. We used time-series analyses to evaluate the accuracy of that prediction, based on >3600 standardized nocturnal surveys over a 138-month period on 12 species of snakes and lizards on a floodplain in the Australian wet-dry tropics, bracketing the arrival of cane toads at this site. Contrary to prediction, encounter rates with most species were unaffected by toad arrival, and some taxa predicted to be vulnerable to toads increased rather than declined (e.g., death adder Acanthophis praelongus; Children's python Antaresia childreni). Indirect positive effects of toad invasion (perhaps mediated by toad-induced mortality of predatory varanid lizards) and stochastic weather events outweighed effects of toad invasion for most snake species. Our study casts doubt on the ability of a priori desktop studies, or short-term field surveys, to predict or document the ecological impact of invasive species. 相似文献
238.
Elizabeth K. Mackley Richard A. Phillips Janet R. D. Silk Ewan D. Wakefield Vsevolod Afanasyev Robert W. Furness 《Marine Biology》2011,158(2):429-438
Despite the recent burgeoning in predator tracking studies, few report on seabird activity patterns, despite the potential
to provide important insights into foraging ecology and distribution. In the first year-round study for any small petrel,
we examined the activity patterns of the white-chinned petrel Procellaria aequinoctialis based on data from combination geolocator-immersion loggers deployed on adults at South Georgia. The petrels were highly
nocturnal, flying for greater proportions of darkness than any large procellarid studied so far, except the light-mantled
albatross Phoebetria palpebrata. Flight bout durations were short compared with other species, suggesting a dominant foraging mode of small-scale searching
within large prey patches. When migrating, birds reduced the proportion of time on the water and increased flight bout duration.
Activity patterns changed seasonally: birds flew least during the nonbreeding period, and most frequently during chick-rearing
in order to meet higher energy demands associated with provisioning offspring. The degree of their response to moonlight was
also stage dependent (greatest in nonbreeding, and weakest in incubating birds), a trait potentially shared by other nocturnal
petrels which will have repercussions for feeding success and prey selection. For the white-chinned petrel, which is commonly
caught in longline fisheries, these results can be used to identify periods when birds are most susceptible to bycatch, and
therefore when use of mitigation and checking for compliance is critical. 相似文献
239.
Quantitative Ethnobotany and Amazonian Conservation 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
O. Phillips A.H. Gentry C. Reynel P. Wilkin C. Galvez-Durand B 《Conservation biology》1994,8(1):225-248
240.
Allison CC Denman AR Groves-Kirkby CJ Phillips PS Tornberg R 《Environment international》2008,34(7):1006-1015
Radon concentration levels in a two-storey detached single-family dwelling in Northamptonshire, UK, were monitored continuously throughout a 5-week period during which active sub-slab depressurisation remediation measures were installed. Remediation of the property was accomplished successfully, with both the mean radon levels and the diurnal variability greatly reduced both upstairs and downstairs. Following remediation, upstairs and downstairs radon concentrations were 33% and 18% of their pre-remediation values respectively: the mean downstairs radon concentration was lower than that upstairs, with pre- and post-remediation values of the upstairs/downstairs concentration ratio, R(U/D), of 0.81 and 1.51 respectively. Cross-correlation between upstairs and downstairs radon concentration time-series indicates a time-lag of the order of 1 h or less, suggesting that diffusion of soil-derived radon from downstairs to upstairs either occurs within that time frame or forms a relatively insignificant contribution to the upstairs radon level. Cross-correlation between radon concentration time-series and the corresponding time-series for local atmospheric parameters demonstrated correlation between radon concentrations and internal/external pressure difference prior to remediation; this correlation disappears following remediation. Overall, these observations provide further evidence that radon concentration levels within a dwelling are not necessarily wholly determined by the effects of soil-gas advection, and further support the suggestion that, depending on the precise content of the building materials, upstairs radon levels, in particular, may be dominated by radon exhalation from the walls of the dwelling, especially in areas of low soil-gas radon. 相似文献