基于非线性理论的太湖流域水环境决策支持模型

根据太湖流域水环境系统的特点,运用灰色系统理论和模糊数学理论建立水环境质量预测和评价的数学模型,并在系统开发中进一步实现了模型。通过对实测数据进行科学计算,得到较为满意的结果。     

Soil-atmosphere trace gas exchange in semiarid and arid zones

A review is presented on trace gas exchange of CH4, CO, N2O, and NOx arising from agriculture and natural sources in the world's semiarid and arid zones due to soil processes. These gases are important contributors to the radiative forcing and the chemistry of the atmosphere. Quantitative information is summarized from the available studies. Between 5 and 40% of the global soil-atmosphere exchange for these gases (CH4, CO, N2O, and NOx) may occur in semiarid and arid zones, but for each of these gases there are fewer than a dozen studies to support the individual estimates, and these are from a limited number of locations. Significant differences in the biophysical and chemical processes controlling these trace gas exchanges are identified through the comparison of semiarid and arid zones with the moist temperate or wet/dry savanna land regions. Therefore, there is a poorly quantified understanding of the contribution of these regions to the global trace gas cycles and atmospheric chemistry. More importantly, there is a poor understanding of the feedback between these exchanges, global change, and regional land use and air pollution issues. A set of research issues is presented.     

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in Dalian soils: distribution and toxicity assessment

Concentrations of 15 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were measured in surface soils collected from Dalian, China, for examination of distributions and composition profiles and their potential toxicity. The sum of 15 PAHs (SigmaPAHs) ranged from 190 to 8595 ng g(-1) dry weight, and showed an apparent urban-suburban-rural gradient in both SigmaPAHs and composition profiles. Using hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA), the sampling sites were grouped into four clusters corresponding to traffic area, park/residential area, suburban and rural areas. The ratios of naphthalene (Nap) and fluorene (Fl) versus fluoranthene (Flu), pyrene (Pyr) and indeno(1,2,3-cd)pyrene (InP) in the four clusters provided evidence of local distillation. The diagnostic ratios indicated the prevalent PAH sources were petroleum combustion and coal combustion in Dalian, and a cross plot of diagnostic ratios distinguished the urban samples from suburban and rural ones. Toxic potency assessment of soil PAHs presented a good relationship with benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) levels, toxic equivalent concentrations based on BaP (TEQ(BaP)) and dioxin-like toxic equivalent concentrations (TEQ(TCDD)). The study highlights that BaP is a good indicator for assessing the potential toxicity of PAHs, and presents a promising toxicity assessment method for soil PAHs.     

苯并(a)芘对大弹涂鱼(Boleophthalmus pectinirostris)卵巢还原型谷胱甘肽含量的影响

分析了大弹涂鱼肌肉、鳃、肝脏、内脏 (不含肝脏 )以及卵巢等的GSH含量 ;并以GSH含量最高的卵巢为研究对象 ,在实验条件下 ,经 0 (CK) ,0 .0 5 ,0 .2和 0 .5mg/L等不同浓度的BaP暴露 7d ,分析其卵巢GSH含量变化的时间 -效应和剂量 -效应特征 ,结果显示 :0 .5mg/L浓度组的大弹涂鱼卵巢GSH含量迅速升高 ,暴露 12h即显著高于CK(P≤ 0 .0 5 ) ,但随暴露时间的延长 ,其GSH含量显著降低 ,7d的样品显著低于CK(P≤ 0 .0 5 ) ;在暴露 3d ,GSH水平与BaP浓度的剂量 -效应关系表现为正相关 ,而在 7d ,则呈负相关 ,这可能表明大弹涂鱼卵巢对BaP暴露由适应性反应到产生毒性效应的过程 .以上研究结果表明 ,卵巢GSH可对BaP暴露作出快速灵敏的反应 ,GSH水平有可能作为具氧化 -还原循环活性的污染物暴露的一种敏感的生物标记 .图 2表 2参 9     

天津开发区供水系统地震反应分析

用天津开发区供水系统作为实例,研究了地震作用下该系统的震害,及震后供水功失效状态。实例研究表明,所采用的最新研制的供水系统地震反应分析软件（ＳＰＡＷＧＩＳ）是可靠的。同时还证明,该软件所基于的方法,包括震害预测专家系统及失效流分析等方法是正确的。     

洪水前兆的初步探讨

根据历史洪水和现有研究 ,比较系统地分析了各种洪水前兆 ,可以为洪水预报提供一定的理论依据 ,同时指出 ,为了提高预报精度 ,必须对洪水前兆进行综合分析 ,去伪存真 ,最终达到防洪减灾的目的     

基于信息扩散理论的地震风险评估

利用基于信息扩散理论的风险评估方法 ,对地震灾害进行了风险分析。该方法简单易行 ,分析结果意义清楚 ,对防灾抗灾具有一定的指导作用。     

南方土壤酸沉降敏感性研究Ⅷ.盐基离子淋溶的多因素分析

在模拟酸雨条件下土壤盐基离子淋溶特性研究的基础上,采用生成分分析及多元回归分析方法研究了土壤盐基淋溶的影响因子．结果表明,通过主成分分析方法可将选取的15个原始变量综合成为2个主成分,为进一步分析盐基释放量与土壤理化性质之间的关系提供了方便．影响盐基释放量的主要因子有土壤原始pH值、可交换性盐基含量、蒙脱石含量、活性氧化物、1.4nm矿物等,它们表现出效应,而高岭石和可交换性铝含量表现出负效应．利用主成分分析的结果进行多元回归分析,可得到土壤累积盐基释放量与2个主成分之间的回归方程．     

吸烟室内污染对家庭成员呼吸系统健康的影响

应用“家庭健康问卷调查”的方法,对中国兰州,重庆,武汉,广州４城市８所小学中的儿童家庭进行“吸烟室内污染对家庭成员呼吸系统健康的影响”调查,结果表明,吸烟的家庭比不吸烟的家庭室内污染严重,对人体健康有明显影响,其儿童患感冒咳嗽咳痰,支气管等病症的发生率,父亲吸烟的家庭比不吸烟的家庭要高出２倍６倍。     

过氧化氢生产装置爆炸——化学分解后的物理过程研究

过氧化氢的不稳定性使得其在生产过程中较容易发生爆炸事故.为了预防事故的发生,需要对其分解爆炸过程有个清晰的认识.本文首次利用典型事故爆炸机理分析结合事故定量计算的方法,揭示了事故案例中过氧化氢化学分解后引起爆炸的两个物理过程,计算了产生事故后果的容器失效压力,了解了其发生爆炸的后果严重度,并运用类比的方法,得到了过氧化氢生产装置或容器爆炸时的压力变化趋势.