融合Lamb-Jenkinson分型法和LSTM神经网络的PM2.5预测研究

文章采用NCEP/NCAR逐日海平面气压场资料,利用Lamb-Jenkinson环流分型法对张家口大气环流进行分型,分析环流型与PM_(2.5)质量浓度之间的关系,并针对PM_(2.5)浓度的预测,提出一种融合Lamb-Jenkinson环流分型和LSTM神经网络混合模型的方法,即以环流指数为预测因子基于LSTM方法搭建PM_(2.5)质量浓度的预测模型。结果表明:影响张家口地区的主要环流型有反气旋型、气旋型、偏北平直型、西南平直型、偏西平直型、东北平直型等、西北平直型、偏东平直型。PM_(2.5)污染日出现的主要环流型为南气旋平直型、东南平直型、偏南平直型、偏东气旋型、西南气旋平直型、偏东平直型、气旋型等,而反气旋型和反气旋式平直环流型不利于污染出现。张家口地区的PM_(2.5)污染与地面环流有着密切的联系,当存在PM_(2.5)污染时,张家口地区处于日本海高压后部的均压场区域,污染越严重,日本海高压中心强度越强。模型预测结果的均方根误差为9.88、平均绝对误差为5.84、拟合优度达0.80,表明该模型具有一定的预报能力。     

游离氯联合湿干比调控启动CRI系统短程硝化研究

短程硝化反硝化工艺为解决人工快渗(CRI)系统脱氮效率低的弊端提供了新思路,通过适宜的调控方法启动短程硝化是实现该工艺的关键。为此,考察了游离氯和湿干比对CRI系统内氮素污染物转化的影响,分析了不同阶段的菌群活性和结构特征,探究了游离氯联合湿干比调控启动CRI系统短程硝化的可行性。结果表明,连续添加3 mg/L游离氯23 d后NO2--N积累率稳定在70%左右,亚硝酸氧化菌(NOB)的活性将受到严重抑制且难以在短期内恢复。此时调节湿干比为1∶5,NH_4~+-N平均去除率、NO_2~--N平均积累率分别升高至97.41%、94.80%,成功启动短程硝化。16S rRNA高通量测序结果表明,CRI系统内氨氧化菌(AOB)的主要类型为Nitrosomonas、Nitrosovibrio,NOB的主要类型为Nitrospira。CRI系统短程硝化启动成功后,AOB的相对丰度由启动前的4.21%增加到6.69%,而NOB的相对丰度由4.34%降低到0.17%。因此,游离氯联合湿干比调控能选择性抑制NOB活性和促进AOB增殖,可为CRI系统启动短程硝化提供一种可行的新方法。     

Cr(Ⅵ)踪迹指标现场测定用于铬污染地下水源解析

根据研究区地下水样品测试结果,该文选定与Cr(Ⅵ)极强相关,且物理化学性质较稳定的钠离子作为研究地下水中Cr(Ⅵ)迁移规律的踪迹指标,并采用钠离子复合电极建立了踪迹指标现场检测方法。实验结果表明,钠离子浓度在5～500 mg/L线性范围内的电极响应斜率为-61.09 mV/pNa(103%),方法检出限为0.69 mg/L,加标回收率为92.8%～103.4%,现场测试结果与实验室测试结果一致。该研究根据踪迹指标钠离子与污染物现场检测数据,构建了钠离子与Cr(Ⅵ)浓度比值的对数函数,并有效识别出主污染源、次级污染源、污染物迁移主路径、潜在污染区、潜在影响区及背景区,为铬渣类污染场地土壤和地下水环境风险评价及污染修复提供了技术支撑和参考依据。     

Adjusting sowing date and cultivar shift improve maize adaption to climate change in China

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change - This study investigates the impact of climate change on spring and summer maize (Zea mays) yield and evaluates several adaptation measures...     

Well-to-wheels greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions from battery electric vehicles in China

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change - Electric vehicles (EVs) play a crucial role in addressing climate change and urban air quality concerns. China has emerged as the global...     

Optimal range of plug-in electric vehicles in Beijing and Shanghai

Both China’s national subsidy policies for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) purchasers and passenger cars corporate average fuel consumption and new vehicle credit regulation (dual-credit policy) favor long-range 300+ km battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and 80+ km plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). However, these electric vehicles tend to have lower energy efficiency and higher purchase and operation costs. Vehicle with larger batteries can also be less equitable because the subsidies are often provided to more expensive vehicles and wealthier owners. This study takes advantage of a novel dataset of daily driving data from 39,854 conventional gasoline vehicles in Beijing and 4999 PHEVs in Shanghai to determine the optimal range of BEVs and PHEVs within their respective cities. We simulate a model to explore ranges with which PEVs emit less GHGs than that of a baseline hybrid and conventional gasoline vehicle while ensuring that all daily travel demands are met. Our findings indicate that in both cities, the optimal ranges to balance cost and travel demand for BEVs are 350 km or less and for PHEVs are 60 km or less in Beijing and 80 km or less in Shanghai. We also find that to minimize carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions, the ranges are even lower 10 km in Beijing and 30 km in Shanghai. Our study suggests that instead of encouraging long-range PEVs, governments should subsidize PEV models with shorter ranges. Parallel efforts should also be made to both increase renewable energy over fossil fuels and expand charging facilities. Although individual mobility demand varies, the government could reduce occasional long-distance driving by subsidizing alternative transportation choices. Providing week-long driving trials to consumers before their purchases may help decrease the demand of very long range PEVs by alleviating the range anxiety through a learning process.

     

Green innovation efficiency across China’s 30 provinces: estimate,comparison, and convergence

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change - Considering government and market failure of environmental regulation to combat increasing GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions, green innovation...     

机载产品盐雾试验结果评定判据分析与探讨

针对当前机载产品盐雾试验标准中缺少明确、可量化评估指标,试验结果评定判据粗略笼统且以定性评价为主,已不能满足产品发展和使用环境扩展需求等现状,在总结国内外现行盐雾试验标准的结果评定要求基础上,分析当前机载产品盐雾结果评定判据存在的问题与不足,从管理和技术两个层面提出改进试验结果评定可操作性的建议,指导机载产品盐雾试验实施与评价。