基于Mogi-Coulomb强度准则的井壁稳定性力学分析新方法*

传统井壁坍塌失稳分析模型是基于M-C破坏准则而建立的,该方法忽略了中间主应力对岩石强度的影响,常使得预测的钻井液密度过于保守。为此,引入考虑中间主应力的Mg-C破坏准则建立任意井眼的井壁稳定性评价新模型,通过数值模拟法分析了不同地应力状态下的井斜角和方位角对井壁稳定性的影响。研究结果表明: Mg-C准则克服了M-C准则忽略中间主应力低估岩石强度的影响,其计算结果略低于M-C准则的计算结果,有助于提高钻速,降低钻井成本;正断层地应力状态时,沿最小水平主应力方向钻进时,井壁稳定性最好;走滑断层地应力状态时,沿最大与最小水平主应力之间的某一临界角钻进时井壁最稳定;逆断层地应力状态时,沿最大水平主应力方向钻进时井壁最稳定;该模型有助于指导现场钻井井眼轨迹的优化设计及安全施工。     

喷头间距对城市隧道细水雾灭火的影响研究

为合理设置城市交通隧道细水雾自动灭火系统喷头间距,在实体隧道中进行了4种不同喷头间距的细水雾灭火实验,利用FDS软件模拟了8种喷头间距下细水雾对火灾温度、烟气密度的影响情况。研究结果表明:实验数据与模拟数据基本吻合;细水雾对隧道火灾抑制效果明显;喷头间距对火灾影响规律可划分为2个区域,对于Ⅰ区（间距<2.5 m）,单位体积细水雾质量是影响细水雾灭火的最主要因素,对于Ⅱ区（间距≥2.5 m）,细水雾灭火效果受单位体积细水雾质量、动量综合影响,并分别给出了温度、烟气密度与喷头间距的函数关系式;就宽6 m、高5 m的城市隧道而言,细水雾喷头间距宜设置为2.5 m。     

Alcohol policy and fatal alcohol-related crashes in Finland 2000–2016

Objective: The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between annual alcohol consumption per capita/alcohol price index and the number of alcohol-related fatal motor vehicle accidents (AFMVAs). We were particularly interested in whether a tax reduction in 2004 increased the number of alcohol-related accidents.

Method: The data consisted of all fatal motor vehicle accidents (FMVAs) during the years 2000–2016 obtained from a database maintained by the Finnish Crash Data Institute (OTI). The data included all fatally injured drivers. We compared the OTI data to official statistics on annual alcohol consumption and the alcohol price index.

Results: There were 3,447 fatally injured drivers, of which 25% (n = 869) were intoxicated (blood alcohol concentration [BAC] ≥ 0.05%). After the reduction of the alcohol tax in 2004, the alcohol consumption rose 12.4% from 2003 to 2005 and AFMVAs rose 38%. There was a strong correlation (r = 0.7000, P < .018) between the recorded consumption of alcohol and the number of AFMVAs. There was a strong negative correlation between AFMVAs and the combined (retail + restaurant sales) alcohol price index (r = ?0.7863, P = .0005). A linear mixed-effects model showed that a 1-L increase in total alcohol consumption per capita per year increases AFMVAs by 10.6 and a one-unit increase in the price index decreases AFMVAs by 1.8 per year.

Conclusions: The correlation between alcohol consumption and alcohol-related crashes should be considered when making political decisions regarding alcohol price and availability. Any further liberalization of the alcohol policy would likely lead to an increase in alcohol-related fatal motor vehicle accidents. Similar consequences are likely to occur with drugs. Alcohol price policy is an effective way to improve road safety, but other measures taken to prevent FMVAs also seem to reduce the prevalence of AFMVAs.     

低负荷掺烟对燃煤锅炉NO_X生成及SCR脱硝控制的研究

以某2×330 MW亚临界燃煤锅炉为研究对象,应用数值模拟研究了低负荷下两种一次风掺烟烟气再循环方案对炉内煤粉燃烧以及NOX生成规律的影响,耦合锅炉热力计算研究了SCR入口烟温的变化规律。计算结果表明,合理掺烟方式以及掺烟比能有效降低炉膛出口NOX浓度,提高SCR入口烟温,但掺烟比例过大会影响炉内煤粉正常燃烧;较优的掺烟方案为一次风掺烟20%,同时维持空气量不变,此时炉膛出口NOX排放质量浓度降低了18.29 mg/m3,SCR入口烟温提高了15℃。采用一次风掺烟能有效控制低负荷下锅炉NO_x生成及烟气中的排放。     

基于行人占据区域的泰森多边形人员密度统计方法

行人动力学的研究一直是火灾下人员疏散研究的重要内容。研究者通过大量观测和可控实验,获得行人的运动行为特征,揭示人员运动规律,但是仍然缺乏足够的定量校准的实验数据。在总结了前人对于实验中全局密度与局部密度统计方法的基础上,基于泰森多边形方法,结合人际关系距离与视野的观念,提出了一种行人占据多边形的速度密度统计方法。通过对平均密度平均速度的比较发现,方法得到的结果比传统统计方法得到的结果波动更小且更接近于连续变化、在密度低时比泰森多边形方法的结果更符合实际情况;而对于个人的速度密度散点图,结果也比泰森多边形方法的结果更为集中,尤其是除去了密度小而速度低的不合理数据点。     

Recovery of copper from small grain size fractions of municipal solid waste incineration bottom ash by means of density separation

Small grain size fractions of municipal solid waste incineration (MSWI) bottom ash (BA) contain elemental and chemically bonded metals in appreciable amounts, especially copper. Investigations with a centrifugal concentrator were carried out using samples, which had been treated with different impact devices. Partly the impacts of single devices were visible in outlines, but mostly the surfaces of the metals were still covered with mineral residues. To generate copper rich fractions, parameters of the separation process should ensure mass yields <2%, best between 0.5 and 1%. The density of the concentrates is then generally >3.2 g/cm³. Best results were achieved with material from a special treatment train which is adapted to grain sizes <2 mm. Reliable copper contents between 20 and 40% (single runs >50%) could be realised. However, considering the required mass yields, referred to this subset only 150–170 g copper would be recovered from 1 Mg MSWI BA. Furthermore, this copper is only in parts present in elemental form. A dependable added value of such treatment step seems to be given only, if that enables a recycling of the mineral aggregates (tailings) in parallel to avoid landfill costs.     

Location wise comparison of mixture distributions for assessment of wind power potential: A parametric study

Scientific literature discussed various types of mixture models and models derived from maximum entropy principle using short-term wind speed data for their relative assessment. The literature on suitability of these mixture models for long-term data is rarely available. However, for correct assessment of wind power potential both wind speed and wind direction are equally important. Therefore, in this paper, both wind speed and wind direction are simultaneously analyzed using several types of mixture distribution and compared the same with conventional Weibull distribution. For wind speed and wind power density assessment, the mixture distributions such as Weibull--Weibull distribution, Gamma--Weibull distribution, Truncated Normal--Weibull distribution, Truncated Normal--Normal distribution, proposed Truncated Normal--Gamma distribution and Gamma--Gamma distribution along with MEP-distribution are compared with conventional 2-parameter Weibull distribution. Similarly, for wind direction analysis, the finite mixtures of von-Mises distribution are compared with conventional von-Mises distribution. Judgment criteria include R², RMSE, Kolmogorov--Smirnov test and relative percentage error in wind power density. The sites selected are the three onshore locations of India, viz., Calcutta, Trivandrum, and Ahmedabad. The results show that for wind speed assessment, mixture distribution performs better than the conventional Weibull distribution for analyzing wind power density. However, location wise comparison of all mixture distribution is of prime importance. For wind direction analysis, finite mixture of two von-Mises distributions proved to be a suitable candidate for Indian climatology.     

多环芳烃典型电子性质与其大型蚤光致毒性的构效关系研究

多环芳烃(PAHs)是环境中广泛分布的持久性有毒有机污染物,备受研究者关注。基于密度泛函理论(DFT)先期计算PAHs前线分子轨道能隙可能与其光致毒性诱发所需吸收光照辐射能有一致性,本研究选取非取代PAHs对大型蚤(Daphnia magna)光致毒性实验数据,通过DFT计算典型电子性质,由偏最小二乘(PLS)分析方法优化发展了定量构效关系模型,经与前人结果比较和验证其拟合优度、稳定性和内外部预测性能均有显著提升,可在应用域(AD)范围内准确预测PAHs光致毒性而满足风险评估需求。构效关系分析结果表明,PAHs光致毒性与分子前线轨道能隙紧密相关,除苯并[k]荧蒽和屈可能具有不同的光致毒性作用机制之外,多数PAHs若具有较低的前线轨道能隙、较小分子稳定性和较大分子变形性,均将有利于促进其光致毒性作用的发生;结合PAHs光致毒性与分子前线轨道能隙间的相关关系,可推测DFT计算前线轨道能隙宽度在2.740~4.208 e V之间和对应光照辐射波段约为295 nm~450 nm时,PAHs污染暴露将可能诱发较高的光致毒性效应。这为太阳光照射下PAHs光致毒性作用机制阐释和风险评价提供了数据支持与理论依据。     

0,0-二甲基-(2,2,2-三氯-1-羟基乙基)磷酸酯对4种藻类生长的影响

0,0-二甲基-(2,2,2-三氯~(-1)-羟基乙基)磷酸酯(敌百虫)为广谱杀虫剂,用途广泛,但对藻类的毒理学效应研究还有待完善。采用4种受试藻样,设置5个敌百虫浓度组(1、5、10、50和100 mg·L~(-1))和对照组,实验周期40 d,藻细胞的初始接种密度106cells·m L~(-1),光暗比12 h/12 h,24 h曝气,24 h磁力搅拌,实验温度25℃,p H 6.8,每隔24 h取样。结果表明:5 mg·L~(-1)、10 mg·L~(-1)、50 mg·L~(-1)浓度的敌百虫对铜绿微囊藻和小球藻的生长有促进作用,其中以50 mg·L~(-1)浓度组的促进作用最为显著,促进作用主要表现在生长峰值的延后以及生长对数期的延长,而高剂量(100 mg·L~(-1))的敌百虫则有抑制藻生长的作用。取50 mg·L~(-1)敌百虫浓度组以及铜绿微囊藻和小球藻作进一步深入研究,结果表明:50 mg·L~(-1)敌百虫浓度组的叶绿素a含量峰值比对照组高30%,细胞体内的SOD、ATP含量都高于对照组。敌百虫的使用浓度通常在0.1~1.0 mg·L~(-1),低于本实验最佳浓度。本实验中1 mg·L~(-1)敌百虫对藻生长影响效果不明显。     

上海郊区三类典型生境的两栖类分布特征

上海郊区农田,林地,湿地(池塘)三类典型生境是两栖类最主要的栖息地,生境的差异以及两栖类生态特征的不同造成了两栖类在分布上的差异。2014年和2016年5~8月对上海郊区三类典型生境的30个研究样点两栖类生物多样性进行调查,并运用单因素方差分析对三类生境的两栖类群落结构进行比较,通过层次聚类法分析不同生境的两栖类组成相似性。结果显示:(1)两年间共记录到上海郊区两栖类动物1目4科4属5种5 397只,其中泽陆蛙(Fejervarya multistriata),金线侧褶蛙(Pelophylax plancyi)为优势种。黑斑侧褶蛙(Pelophylax nigromaculata),中华蟾蜍(Bufo gargarizans),饰纹姬蛙(Microhyla fissipes)为常见种。这5种两栖类都为广型分布种。(2)三类生境的两栖类物种丰富度无显著性差异,而两栖类多度差异显著。(3)泽陆蛙,饰纹姬蛙的种群密度在三类生境中差异显著,且在农田生境中最高。黑斑侧褶蛙,金线侧褶蛙的种群密度在三类生境中差异显著且在池塘生境中最高。中华蟾蜍在三类生境中的种群密度无显著性差异。(4)聚类结果为30个研究样点中林地生境与池塘生境被聚为一类,农田生境被单独聚为一类。建议通过对不同生境的保护与恢复达到对上海郊区两栖类生物多样性保护的目的。