Measurement and assessment of carrying capacity of the environment in Ningbo, China

Carrying Capacity of the Environment (CCE) provides a useful measure of the sustainable development of a region. Approaches that use integrated assessment instead of measurement can lead to misinterpretation of sustainable development because of confusion between Environmental Stress (ES) indexes and CCE indexes, and the selection of over-simple linear plus models. The present paper proposes a comprehensive measurement system for CCE which comprises models of natural resources capacity, environmental assimilative capacity, ecosystem services capacity, and society supporting capacity. The corresponding measurable indexes are designed to assess CCE using a carrying capacity surplus ratio model and a vector of surplus ratio of carrying capacity model. The former aims at direct comparison of ES and CCE based on the values of basic indexes, and the latter uses a Euclidean vector to assess CCE states. The measurement and assessment approaches are applicable to Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) and environmental planning and management. A case study is presented for Ningbo, China, whereby all the basic indexes of ECC are measured and the CCE states assessed for 2005 and 2010.     

Calculating ecological carrying capacity of shellfish aquaculture using mass-balance modeling: Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island

Increasing growth in the aquaculture industry demands ecosystem-based techniques for management if that growth is to be ecologically sustainable and promote equity among users of the ecosystems in which it occurs. Models of carrying capacity can be used to responsibly limit the growth of aquaculture in increasingly crowded coastal areas. Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, USA is one such crowded coastal region experiencing a rapid increase in bivalve aquaculture. An ecosystem mass-balance model was used to calculate the ecological carrying capacity of bivalve aquaculture. Cultured oyster biomass is currently at 0.47 t km⁻² and could be increased 625 times without exceeding the ecological carrying capacity of 297 t km⁻². This translates to approximately 38,950 t of harvested cultured oysters annually which is 4 times the total estimated annual harvest of finfish. This potential for growth is due to the high primary productivity and large energy throughput to detritus of this ecosystem. Shellfish aquaculture has potential for continued growth and is unlikely to become food limited due, in part, to the large detritus pool.     

聚氯乙烯电缆料老化前后的火灾危险性研究

利用微型燃烧量热计（MCC）、热重分析（TGA）、实时红外光谱（RTFTIR）以及热重-红外联用技术（TG-FT-IR）研究了PVC电缆料老化前后火灾危险性的变化。MCC结果表明,老化后的PVC的最大热释放速率增加了56.3%,总热释放量从10.6kJ/g增加到16.8kJ/g,点燃温度也由302℃提前到282℃。TG-FTIR和RTFTIR的分析结果显示,PVC的主要降解产物有水、碳氢化合物、二氧化碳和一氧化碳。PVC达到最大降解速率的温度约为240℃,与MCC、TG的结果相符合。PVC的裂解气体中包含CO2和CO,还有剧毒气体HCl。这些实验数据说明PVC材料在使用过程中火灾危险性加大,为老城区电气线路和设备的改造提供了理论依据和实验基础。     

本溪市水环境承载力及指标体系

水环境承载力是近年提出的一个新概念，它是用以定量描述水资源和水污染及其有关参数的一个综合指标，其含义为：在一定的自然环境条件和特定的社会经济发展模式下，区域水环境（包括水资源和水污染）对其社会经济发展的支撑能力．水环境承载力是由水环境系统结构决定的，它体现了水环境与人类社会经济活动之间的联系．对一个城市而言，不同的社会经济发展速度规模及不同的水环境治理对策，其水环境承载力各不相同，水环境承载力是区域自然条件、区域经济发展模式（发展的方向和发展的速度）及相应的水资源与水污染防治对策的函数．水环境承载力具有客观性、变动性和可控性三个基本特点，利用水环境承载力可以评判城市水环境对其社会经济发展承载大小．为区域社会经济与水环境协调发展提供决策依据．     

济南泉域地下水补给区保护分级及核心保护区承载力分析

近年来由于地下水补给区的盲目开发和市区地下水超采，素以“泉城”闻名的济南市泉水持续断流，加强泉域地下水补给区的生态环境保护是解决这一问题的关键，在详细研究区域地质水文条件的基础上借助地理信息系统，将补给区划分为三级保护区，即核心保护区，直接补给区和间接补给区，并应用环境承载力分析的理论方法，确定出保护区23个汇水区的环境承载人口，本文对泉域地下水补给区总体发展战略和具体保护规划的制定具有重要的意义。     

高压线下袋装砂井的施工

在公路软基处理过程中，如公路上空有高压线穿越，则往往因高压线下净空不够使袋装砂井无法施工，采用其它处理方式时，往往导致处理费用大幅上升。本文介绍了套管接驳的方式施工装砂井的工艺，经济可行，可供同行借鉴。     

地铁隧道电缆阴燃时优化通风的数值模拟

地铁隧道电缆阴燃火灾相比明燃火灾,具有更高的隐蔽性和更大的危害性。根据地铁隧道电缆的阴燃特点,采用数值模拟方法,对阴燃电缆热解产物在不同通风模式下的毒害性分布进行研究。结果表明,隧道断面2 m/s的送风风速并不能最大程度地确保疏散人员的安全,而与列车驶入时刻满足三次多项式关系的最优送风风速,可以使列车内安全距离达到最大,且不会影响到人员的安全疏散。     

珠江片水环境承载力评价研究

以珠江片水域为研究对象,在梳理国内外相关文献的基础上,针对珠江片现有水资源环境与社会发展关系情况,构建了珠江片水环境承载力评价指标体系,而后采用变异系数法客观确定指标权重,再运用向量模法对珠江片水环境承载力进行评价,揭示并分析了近年珠江片水环境承载力的变化趋势。结果表明,2006~2014年间珠江片水环境承载力呈缓慢持续上升趋势,承载力水平值介于0.04~0.06之间,说明珠江片水环境承载力仍处于较低水平。     

基于环境承载力的适度人口规模研究——以北海市为例

以北海市为例,以环境承载力的几个主要分量作为人口规模的限制因子,分别计算各限制因子约束下的适度人口规模,根据木桶原理,取最小值作为环境承载力约束下的城市适度人口规模。结果表明,能源和大气环境、水资源和土地资源承载力均不会限制人口规模;在不排海情景下,水环境容量明显不足,在排海情景下,COD和NH_3~-N的环境容量对应的适度人口分别为133.05万人和153.72万人,仍无法满足北海市水环境功能要求。北海市的适度人口规模取决于水环境容量,具体在130~150万之间。     

两起钢丝绳芯输送带断裂事故的分析及对策

通过两起钢绳芯胶带断裂事故的分析,提出了具体和有效的对策措施。