高温高湿巷道内不稳定换热系数影响因素分析及模型建立*

为研究高温高湿巷道不稳定换热系数的变化规律,采用Fluent软件对高温高湿巷道内的热湿交换进行数值模拟,通过单因素和正交模拟实验探讨风流温度、风流速度、岩石导热系数、原岩温度以及巷道当量直径对高温高湿巷道不稳定换热系数的影响。研究结果表明:高温高湿巷道不稳定换热系数随时间的变化规律与普通巷道一致,均与通风时间呈负相关,但通风时间为1 a的高温高湿巷道不稳定换热系数较普通巷道增加了12.5%。通过单因素分析得到风流速度、岩石导热系数和当量直径与不稳定换热系数呈正相关。通过极差分析得到各因素对不稳定换热系数的影响程度为:岩石导热系数>当量直径>风流速度>风流温度>原岩温度。利用SPSS软件对正交实验数据进行拟合,建立不稳定换热系数的计算模型,拟为高温高湿巷道内热负荷计算及井下风温预测提供参考。     

松毛虫遗传多样性研究中AFLP反应体系的建立

以油松毛虫为材料,对T4 DNA连接酶不同用量、预扩增中的Mg~(2+)浓度、dNTP浓度、引物浓度以及选择性扩增巾的预扩增产物稀释倍数、Mg2~(2+) 浓度、dNTP浓度、引物浓度和Taq酶浓度进行了比较分析.最终建立了适合松毛虫的AFLP反应体系.用优化的AFLP反应体系,以油松毛虫、赤松毛虫和马尾松毛虫为材料筛选引物,从81对引物组合中筛选出10对多态性高的引物组合.图9参17     

区域环境中三氟乙酸富积多相传质模型研究

建立了描述挥发性有机物在大气、水、土壤和底泥等环境中动态分布的多相传质模型,并用于分析长江流域江苏段及太湖水系区域内三氟乙酸(TFA)在各环境相中的分布. 采集实测数据约300个,比较实测值与模拟值,对模型的可靠行进行验证. 建立了检测环境中微量TFA前处理及方法. 结果表明:多相传质模型能够正确描述研究区域内环境中的TFA分布. 在给定排放量变化规律的前提下,预测未来10年内研究区域环境水体中ρ(TFA)将接近100 ng/L,接近现阶段欧美发达国家主要水体中的ρ(TFA).      

填埋场产气规律的模型预测

垃圾填埋产气率预测对于评估填埋场能源气体产生潜力,确定填埋气体利用方式极为关键. 通过对南京水阁垃圾填埋场的现场取样、抽气试验及工程运行等数据的分析,讨论了对于填埋气体产生的两步一级反应耦合模型的求解方法;建立了基于有机物分解数据和现场抽气试验数据的2类求解途径,并对各自的适用范围进行了分析;给出了最大产气率、最大产气率发生时间和最大产气率发生时已产气量的解析解,其中最大产气率与反应速率常数(K)和总产气量(L0)有关,最大产气率发生时间仅与K有关,而最大产气率发生时的已产气量占总产气量的比率为常数,与反应介质、反应条件等均无关. 结果表明,填埋气体两步一级反应耦合模型的预测结果与实测结果较吻合.      

Proposing an information criterion for individual-based models developed in a pattern-oriented modelling framework

Individual-based models (IBMs) have been improved in quality and reliability in recent years with an approach called pattern-oriented modelling (POM). POM proposes guidelines to develop models reproducing multiple patterns observed on the field and to test systematically how well the IBMs reproduce them. POM studies used generally traditional methods of goodness of fit such as the sum of squares evaluation or ad hoc comparisons of fitting errors and variations. Model selection, however, can be a rigorous statistical approach based on information theory and information criteria such as the Akaike's information criterion (AIC) or the deviance information criterion (DIC). So far, it has not been tried to link POM to these rigorous techniques. The main problems to achieve that are: (a) the difficulty to have likelihood functions for IBMs’ parameters and (b) the possibility to obtain posterior distributions of IBMs’ parameters given the patterns to reproduce. In a first part, this paper answers problem (a) by proposing and explaining how to calculate a deviance measure (POMDEV) for models developed in a context of POM. And while answering the second problem, a second part of the paper proposes an information criterion for model selection in a POM context (the pattern-oriented modelling information criterion: POMIC). This criterion does not yet have the same theoretical foundation as, e.g., AIC, but uses formal analogies to the DIC. In a third part POMIC is tested with a modelling exercise. This exercise shows the potential of POMIC to use multiple patterns for selecting among multiple potential submodels and eventually select the most parsimonious and well fitting model version. We conclude that POMIC, although being a heuristically derived approach, can greatly improve the POM framework.     

反应失控型火灾爆炸事故预测

介绍了一种预测反庆失控灾害的方法,通过实验测定容器的时间常数,预测能够引起反应失控的最低环境温度,发生反应失控时的危险温度,以及达到最大反应速度反需的时间,预测结果与实际情况具有良好的一致性。     

Transport of volatile compounds in porous media in the presence of a trapped gas phase

The presence of an immobile gaseous phase in an otherwise-saturated porous medium affects the transport of volatile compounds. The linear theory of partitioning tracers suggests that a volatile tracer introduced into such a system should be retarded with a constant retardation factor. Using high concentrations, however, the saturation of the gaseous phase will change as an effect of the tracer test itself. Competitive gas transfer among all volatile compounds and the change of saturation may lead to tracer concentrations that are temporarily higher than those injected. We analyze the system in the framework of the coherence theory by Helfferich [Soc. Pet. Eng. J. 21 (1) (1981) 51]. The governing equations are formulated as functions of total concentration, i.e., the mass of solutes in all phases per pore volume. Neglecting dispersion and mass-transfer kinetics, we derive the characteristic form of the resulting system of hyperbolic equations. In a system with N volatile compounds, a variation of the concentrations splits up into N waves, each traveling with its own characteristic velocity. If the presence of a gaseous phase is sustained, one wave will be a standing one. We perform numerical model calculations for tracers with various Henry's law coefficients and show that the results agree with the semi-analytical solution obtained by coherence theory.     

建立和完善环保信托业模型的研究

根据我国环保资本市场建立和环保市场化发展的需求,论述了在环保产业中引入信托机制的重要性和必要性,并结合信托市场运营的特点和规律,从理论和实践的结合上,建立了具有可操作性的包括环保投资、融资、租赁、合营、交易、转让在内的六大环保信托模型,旨在建立和完善环保信托市场中发挥指导作用。     

A study of the atmospheric reaction of CH3S with O3 as a function of temperature

The atmospheric reaction of the methylthiyl radical (CH₃S) with O₃ was investigated as a function of temperature (259–381 K), in the pressure range of 25–300 Torr, using the technique of laser photolysis/laser-induced fluorescence. The resulting Arrhenius expression, with an uncertainty of ±2σ, was k₁(T=259–381 K)=(1.02±0.30)×10⁻¹² exp[(432±77) K/T] cm³ molecule⁻¹ s⁻¹. The obtained rate constant k₁ was independent of pressure over the limited range employed. Our results are compared with the previous studies carried out, at single temperature and as a function of temperature, by different techniques.     

酸性废水处理试验研究

精细化工厂生产过程中排放酸性废水,盐化工厂产生碱性盐泥,可用之中和酸性废水。用两种方案确定反应比例关系。经过讨论建议选用方案二为实际应用方案。