江苏省环境空气质量自动监测数采平台的集成方案

对江苏省环境空气质量自动监测的数采平台现状进行了分析，并就省控中心统一软件采集中心站数据平台，省控中心统一软件采集子站数据平台，以及省控中心统一子站数采软、硬件平台方案进行了比较，指出为实现对全省各子站数据的有效质量管理，省环境空气质量自动监测平台的集成必须实现从子站直接采集原始分析数据，而要实现真正意义上的空气监测子站广域网连接，应由目前的省控中心统一软件采集子站数据的平台向省控制中心统一子站数采软、硬件平台过渡。     

On the Design of Computer-Based Models for Integrated Environmental Science

The current research agenda in environmental science is dominated by calls to integrate science and policy to better understand and manage links between social (human) and natural (nonhuman) processes. Freshwater resource management is one area where such calls can be heard. Designing computer-based models for integrated environmental science poses special challenges to the research community. At present it is not clear whether such tools, or their outputs, receive much practical policy or planning application. It is argued that this is a result of (1) a lack of appreciation within the research modeling community of the characteristics of different decision-making processes including policy, planning, and (2) participation, (3) a lack of appreciation of the characteristics of different decision-making contexts, (4) the technical difficulties in implementing the necessary support tool functionality, and (5) the socio-technical demands of designing tools to be of practical use. This article presents a critical synthesis of ideas from each of these areas and interprets them in terms of design requirements for computer-based models being developed to provide scientific information support for policy and planning. Illustrative examples are given from the field of freshwater resources management. Although computer-based diagramming and modeling tools can facilitate processes of dialogue, they lack adequate simulation capabilities. Component-based models and modeling frameworks provide such functionality and may be suited to supporting problematic or messy decision contexts. However, significant technical (implementation) and socio-technical (use) challenges need to be addressed before such ambition can be realized.     

CULTURAL EVOLUTION AND WATER MANAGEMENT IN THE SALINAS RIVER VALLEY1

ABSTRACT: This article reports the findings of a case study of a major California water management district's effort to change its management approach. The following key findings and factors have influenced the Salinas basin management plan (BMP) and its progress: (1) the Salinas Valley is an economy dominated by highly sophisticated irrigated agriculture dependent on ground water; (2) a persistent pattern of agricultural overdraft of ground water has hurt growers primarily in the north end of the valley via induced saline intrusion of irrigation wells; (3) a complex set of water institutions, property and water rights, and land lease practices offer little incentive for good stewardship of land and water; and (4) the BMP approach initially may have intensified tension among growers and between growers and other water user groups. Water rules and practices in the Salinas Valley and Monterey County have evolved through a long historical process of adaptations. Therefore, any significant changes in local water use practices need to be understood in terms of cultural change, that is, changes in deeply held values, beliefs, and assumptions. We believe the BMP and the MCWRA are succeeding when evaluated from this evolutionary perspective. The fact that both still exist relatively intact testifies that they are working, albeit slowly.     

关于中国塔里木河流域若干问题的辨识

塔里木河流域的水量及水质变化 ,生态环境质量的优劣 ,生态需水量的估算、整治目标的确定等问题 ,一直是该流域资源环境和社会经济的核心问题。对其近 40年来水文观测资料的时间序列进行分析 ,三源流区的水资源量逐年递增 2× 1 0 7m3,但干流上游阿拉尔来水量每年递减 3× 1 0 7m3。水质的劣变特征亦较明显。通过构建生态脆弱性指数 ,定量评价流域生态环境质量表明 ,干流下游已属于生态环境严重受损区。用潜水蒸发和定额法的原理估算植被耗水 ,提出了维护干流区生态环境在不同目标年的生态需水量。认为应当在水资源承载力和环境容量的阈限内 ,合理确定科学的保护方案     

石化企业的消防安全评价

本以“石油化工企业设计防火规范”等消防规范和德尔菲专家调查法为基础，尝试进行石化企业内自然厂的消防安全评价。评价中，固定消防设施部分以各生产装置和储运设施为单元，各装置、设施的权重在道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数法的基础上确定；移动消防力量部分和消防管理部分以厂为单元，各指标的权重由层次分析法确定。对于各指标的评价打分，本暂不给出明确的分级标准，而是在各项指标下设置若干检查要点，专家根据实际情况与相关法规条的符合程度进行打分。最终采用线性加权模型得出评价结果，并根据各指标的整改效果排序确定整改的重点。     

道路交通安全知识提取方法及其递进式模型的研究

道路交通数据资源日益膨胀和复杂化 ,已经远远超出了人脑的记忆和分析能力。面对道路交通的海量数据 ,传统运用的DBMS和OLTP技术 ,已无法发现隐藏在数据背后的关系、规则和发展趋势等新的内容、知识和信息。因此 ,建立基于DMKD的智能道路交通安全决策支持系统是相关部门急需解决的重大课题。笔者重点介绍了数据挖掘、知识发现的概念 ,提出了基于DW +OLAP +DMKD的道路交通安全决策支持系统 ,通过道路交通系统的要素分析 ,介绍了一种面向属性的粗糙集方法提取规则 ,并阐述了一种递进式规则评价提炼过程。     

环境政策法律的经济分析和程序设计

本文对环境政策法律经济分析的对象、目的、作用机制进行了分析,对环境政策法律经济影响经济分析的角度、内容和方法进行了研究.其中包括供给-需求和产业结构角度的分析评价,以及环境政策法律经济影响的分析方法.给出了环境政策法律经济分析程序设计的基本思路.     

中国民航的安全文化建设(之一)

安全是民航永恒的主题 ,民航安全的重要基础是民航安全文化。首先 ,笔者论述了安全文化建设对民航安全的决定性作用 ;回顾了中国民航 5 0年安全思想的发展历程 ,揭示了中国民航安全形势的长期、中期和短期趋势与安全文化建设波动的对应关系。又从现代系统科学的角度 ,对中国民航安全文化建设的实践作了进一步的理论概括。最后 ,针对中国民航当前存在的认识问题 ,论述了东、西方文化特征在民航安全文化中的体现 ,并提出了大力弘扬东方文化传统 ,积极吸取西方安全科学技术成果 ,推进民航安全文化建设的原则建议。     

基于生态环境监测机构省级监督抽查工作的分析与思考

基于2019年度11个省级监督管理部门对704家生态环境监测机构开展的监督抽查工作情况,总结了此次监督抽查的概况、发现的问题、处罚情况,重点分析了存在的主要问题.提出了应持续强化监测质量控制和管理、积极借鉴和创新监管方式、注重监督抽查结果运用、加强社会监督和行业自律的工作建议.为生态环境监测机构提高监测质量和管理水平提...     

对新疆某铀伴生煤矿辐射环境影响分析及污染防治探讨

通过对新疆某煤矿辐射环境影响问题的调查与分析,阐明铀伴生煤矿对周围环境存在着不同程度的放射性影响,并在调查与分析的基础上,针对调查煤矿日前存在的问题提出了一些污染防治的对策和措施,以期为今后伴生放射性煤矿的环境管理决策提供有力依据。