旬东煤矿井下永久避难硐室构建研究

避难硐室的构建研究对硐室安全避险功能的实现具有重要意义。根据旬东井下人员分布及巷道布置情况,确定利用4-2采煤区现有巷道构建100人规模永久避难硐室;根据巷道尺寸、人均面积及设备体积等,计算得硐室有效宽度为4.6m,高度为3.5m,总长度为63.4m,人均面积为1.2m2;通过气密试验,测定0.135MPa避险区内外压差可达1980Pa;通过分析人员避险需求,确定旬东永久避难硐室生命保障系统由防火防爆系统、密闭缓冲系统、气幕隔绝系统、供氧系统、制冷除湿系统及附属系统组成。     

Considering the positive possibilities of leader political behavior

This Incubator presents an overview of a new construct, leader political support, which captures the positive possibilities of leaders' political behavior. A discussion of why leader political support may seem paradoxical is included, as well as a presentation of the need for its consideration and the research possibilities it provides. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

How does spouse career support relate to employee turnover? Work interfering with family and job satisfaction as mediators

Employee turnover is a major concern because of its cost to organizations. Although theory supports the influence of nonwork factors on turnover, our understanding of the degree to which nonwork factors relate to actual turnover behavior is not well developed. Using a sample of 5505 U.S. Army officers, we assessed the extent to which spouse career support related to reduced turnover four years later through work interfering with family (WIF) and job satisfaction as mechanisms. Results revealed that spouse career support decreased the odds of turnover, and WIF and job satisfaction sequentially mediated this relationship, with lower WIF and higher job satisfaction reducing the odds of turnover. Practical implications of using family support systems as retention interventions are discussed. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

城市地下交通联系隧道火灾人员安全疏散研究

城市地下交通联系隧道是一种新型城市地下公共交通系统,交通流量大、火灾危险性高、人员安全疏散相对困难,目前国内外尚无此类专业防火设计规范。以四川大源商业核心区地下交通联系隧道为研究对象,提出隧道主出入口、下沉庭院、防烟楼梯间及分车道、防火隔间相结合的人员安全疏散方式,出口共计61处;在此基础上运用Building Exodus数值模拟并予以对比分析,最终定量确定了火灾情况下人员安全疏散路径,进而为国内外相关工程的人员疏散设计及运营提供理论依据,并为UTLT相关防火规范的制定提供理论基础及建设性意见。     

Decision Support System for emergency scheduling of raw water supply systems with multiple sources

A hydraulic model-based emergency scheduling Decision Support System (DSS) is designed to eliminate the impact of sudden contamination incidents occurring upstream in raw water supply systems with multiple sources. The DSS consists of four functional modules, including water quality prediction, system safety assessment, emergency strategy inference and scheduling optimization. The work flow of the DSS is as follows. First, the water quality variations on specific cross-sections are calculated given the pollution information. Next, a comprehensive evaluation on the safety of the current system is conducted using the outputs in the first module. This will assist in the assessment of whether the system is in danger of failure, taking both the impact of pollution and system capacity into account. If there is a severe impact of contamination on the reliability of the system, a fuzzy logic based inference module is employed to generate reasonable strategies including technical measures. Otherwise, a Genetic Algorithm (GA)-based optimization model will be used to find the least-cost scheduling plan. The proposed DSS has been applied to a coastal city in South China during a saline tide period as validation. Through scenario analysis, it is demonstrated that this DSS tool is instrumental in emergency scheduling for the water company to quickly and effectively respond to sudden contamination incidents.     

Y2K—a humanitarian disaster? Why not?

Australian bushfire agencies have a position that people in the path of a fire should either prepare, stay and defend their properties, or leave the area well before the fire front arrives. The position is based largely on observations that evacuating at the last minute is often fatal and that, generally, a key factor in house survival during a wildfire is the presence of people in the building. In practice, full implementation of the position has been difficult for a range of reasons.

As part of the Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre (CRC) research effort <www.bushfirecrc.com>, our project is examining the evidence base for this position and aims to suggest ways of improving implementation.

We have found that the available evidence, which goes back some 60 yr, strongly supports the Australian position. The position is supported on the grounds of both improved safety and reduced property loss. The evidence also shows that the most dangerous option—and the cause of most fatalities—is last minute evacuation.     

大变形巷道弹性锚喷混凝土耦合支护技术研究及应用

为提高层理地质条件下大变形巷道的稳定性,延长巷道使用寿命,采用具有较大变形承载能力的喷钢纤维混凝土与弹性锚杆耦合支护技术加固围岩。首先研究层理状地质条件下高应力软岩巷道的破坏特点及规律,确立支护结构和时效耦合的关系,并通过钢纤维混凝土试样的动静荷载试验,研究混凝土强度与钢纤维掺量的关系,得到喷钢纤维混凝土合理的钢纤维掺量。此外,针对大变形巷道开挖初期变形量大、破坏速度快的特点,设计具有让压吸能作用的新型弹性锚杆,并将此弹性锚杆结合喷钢纤维混凝土技术进行工业试验,试验的位移监测结果表明:该方案位移量比原方案减小约50%,且支护10个月后未出现裂缝。     

高危岗位矿工工作倦怠影响因素的结构方程模型

为探索高危岗位矿工工作倦怠形成机制,寻求合理的干预对策,在文献研究和实地调研基础上,提出矿工工作倦怠假设模型。采用多阶段分层随机抽样法,对1 800名高危岗位矿工进行问卷调查,并借助结构方程模型(SEM)技术验证假设模型。研究表明:组织管理和角色压力均正向影响工作倦怠,工作特征仅正向影响生理疲乏;社会支持是工作压力源到工作倦怠的中介变量;消极应对是工作压力源到工作倦怠的部分中介变量,其中介效应较社会支持大很多;工作压力源通过影响社会支持再影响应对方式进而正向影响工作倦怠。通过有效干预组织管理和角色压力可减缓工作倦怠。     

基于QSPR方法的脂肪醇化合物闪点预测

为提高脂肪醇化合物闪点预测精度,提出基于定量结构-性质关系(QSPR)原理的脂肪醇化合物闪点预测方法。应用Dragon软件计算出91种脂肪醇的分子描述符,利用遗传函数算法(GFA)从1 481个描述符中筛选出3个与脂肪醇闪点关系最密切的分子描述符。分别用多元线性回归(MLR)方法和支持向量机(SVM)方法进行建模,并采用内部验证和外部检验的方式对模型的拟合度、预测性等性能进行验证。结果表明:预测集的MLR方法和SVM方法的平均绝对误差(AAE)分别为2.870 K和2.706 K;均方根误差(RMSE)为3.451 K和3.371 K。SVM模型在精度上略优于MLR模型,而MLR模型更为简单和方便。     

基于风险的化工园区布局优化决策支持系统

为加强化工园区风险辨识和布局优化,主要研究化工园区布局优化决策支持系统。在分析该系统主要功能的基础上,介绍基于风险的化工园区布局优化决策支持系统的理论模型:对化工园区重大危险源事故预测建模,包括重大危险源事故发生概率预测和事故后果预测;从个人风险、社会风险和财产风险3个模型评价化工园区区域动态风险,依据这3种风险值,计算区域综合风险;分别就功能区布局、消防布局和交通布局,对化工园区提出动态布局优化方法和建议措施。通过理论模型建立决策系统软件,结合实证分析,证明该决策支持系统的合理性。