林火灾变阈值

木火灾是失去人为控制,自由蔓延的森林燃烧,破坏了原有森林的结构与功能,并能在相当内难难复原有林的结构,带来的一定的经济损失。本文提出６个林火灾变的生态指标,３个火行为指标,并提出林火灾变的阈值。     

林火管理成本中几个基本要素的确定与相互关系

通过用经济学的观点分析了林火管理成本中基本要素的相互关系及这些要素的确定,研究了林火防治成本与森林火灾损失之间的关系,提出了林火管理经济学中防治可能性区域的判据。     

Worker discrimination among queens in newly founded colonies of the fire ant Solenopsis invicta

Although colonies of the fire ant Solenopsis invicta are often founded by small groups of queens, all but one of the queens are soon eliminated due to worker attacks and queen fighting. The elimination of supernumerary queens provides an important context for tests of discrimination by the workers, since the outcome of these interactions strongly affects the workers' inclusive fitness. To test whether workers in newly founded colonies discriminate among nestmate queens, paired cofoundresses were narrowly separated by metal screens that prevented direct fighting, but through which the workers could easily pass. Soon after the first workers completed development, they often attacked one of the queens; these attacks were strongly associated with queen mortality. When one queen's brood was discarded, so that the adult workers were all the daughters of just one queen, the workers were significantly less likely to bite their mother than the unrelated queen; however, this tendency was comparatively weak. Queens kept temporarily at a higher temperature to increase their rate of investment in brood-rearing lost weight more rapidly than paired queens and were subsequently more likely to be attacked and killed by workers. Workers were more likely to bite queens that had been temporarily isolated than queens that remained close to brood and workers. When queens were not separated by screens, the presence of workers stimulated queen fights. These results show that workers discriminate strongly among equally familiar queens and that discrimination is based more on the queens' condition and recent social environment than on kinship. Received: 9 June 1998 / Accepted after revision: 10 October 1998     

中国消防行业ODS淘汰中的招标体系设计

讨论在中国消防行业臭氧层损耗物质的淘汰行动中采用招标这种市场手段实现淘汰资助有效和合理分配的可能性,提出了设计ＯＤＳ淘汰招标该体系的原则,并按照中国消防行业的具体情况分析,该招标体系的核心内容。论述实施体系的不确定性及可能的对策。     

Establishment of Aqueous Film Forming Foam extinguishing agent minimum supply intensity model based on experimental method

In recent years, serious fire and explosion accident in petrochemical storage tanks have taken place frequently. Therefore, increasing the firefighting force in petrochemical parks is particularly important. The ambition of the paper is mainly studying the supply intensity of Aqueous Film Forming Foam (AFFF) extinguishing agent. Fire extinguishing agent demand calculation method that can be capable of matching fire scale is established by carrying out series of fire extinguishing experiments. 6% AFFF is chosen to carry out three groups of experiments respectively: fire extinguishing agent fluidity determination, series groups of small size simulation oil pool fire and 177 square meters of large oil pool fire extinguishing experiment. The situation of fire extinguishing on fuel surface of AFFF can be explored through experimental means under cold and hot conditions. The data obtained from experiments prove a higher conformity between covering process and covering model under the cold condition. The model can predict the cold coverage of AFFF effectively. After unifying the supply flow from each experiment, the statistics can be fitted and come to the minimum supply intensity algorithm of AFFF against the target storage tank specifications. The algorithm is used to estimate the minimum supply intensity when extinguishing full liquid surface fire. This model also can be used as reference for petrochemical fire protection.     

预应力连续梁桥火损后的应变监测及分析研究

以实际火损钢筋混凝土预应力连续铁路桥梁工程为依托背景,对该梁体发生火灾后45天内的应变进行了紧密监测。围绕其经火灾高温后的应变变化、力学性能变化等,对所测得的实际应变监测数据进行了详细分析,研究了该梁体火损后应变随时间的变化特性,得出了桥梁结构火损后应变随时间的变化规律以及力学性能的变化等结论。为后期进行桥梁检测评定与维修加固奠定了坚实的理论基础。     

火源位置对腔室火流动特性影响的实验研究

腔室火流动特性是影响腔室火灾蔓延与通风状况的重要因素。通过一系列小尺度腔室火实验,研究了火源位置变化对腔室火流动特性的影响。实验结果表明,随着火源沿腔室底部从壁面向开口方向移动,在开口中性面以上,同一高度处压差与流速增大,中性面高度和烟气层高度均降低,并导致开口质量流率增大。与火源强度相比,火源位置变化对烟气层高度的影响更为显著。火源位置对中性面高度及烟气层高度的影响在壁面处及开口处更为显著,腔室中部位置变化的影响相对较小。火源由壁面向开口移动,会造成火焰高度降低和水平伸长量增加。基于实验数据,给出了考虑耦合火源位置的腔室内火焰水平伸长量的表达式。研究结果可为相关场景下的腔室火灾理论模型提供实验结果支撑。     

基于对数模糊优先规划法的火灾风险评估

随着城市化进程的推进,每年都有大量的火灾事故发生,造成大量的人员伤亡和财产损失,为了避免事故发生或者减少伤亡损失,火灾风险评估是一种有效的方法之一。基于层次分析法,提出了对数模糊优先规划法进行火灾风险评估。首先以地下车库火灾风险评估为例,参考相关文献和专家意见,建立了地下车库火灾风险评价指标体系;然后利用对数模糊优先规划法计算各个评价指标的权重,然后根据专家打分获得评语集,结果所计算的权重集,可以得到地下车库的火灾风险评估结果为"良好"。最后,进行讨论了火灾风险评估的方法的有效性,并与层次分析法对比,对数模糊优先规划法可以使得决策者更加自信和舒适,并且决策结果更加合理。     

相对两面受火的方中空夹层钢管混凝土柱耐火极限

在已有设计与实践中,较多关注四面均匀受火的钢管混凝土柱耐火极限的研究。但是通常在实际火灾中,钢管混凝土柱常出现相对两面受火这种非均匀受火情况,且该受火情况下钢管混凝土柱的受力机理与抗火性能与均匀受火情况有所不同。因此以方中空夹层钢管混凝土短柱为研究对象,采用ABAQUS有限元软件建立了方中空夹层钢管混凝土短柱在相对两面受火情况下的抗火分析模型,利用试验验证后的模型对构件耐火极限的影响因素进行了分析,分析结果表明:荷载比是影响方中空夹层钢管混凝土柱耐火极限的主要影响参数,表现为荷载比越大,耐火极限越小。基于参数分析结果,回归了相对两面受火方式下的构件耐火极限简化计算公式,为以后对此类构件耐火极限的研究提供参考。     

Predicted effects of prescribed burning and harvesting on forest recovery and sustainability in southwest Georgia, USA

A model-based analysis of the effect of prescribed burning and forest thinning or clear-cutting on stand recovery and sustainability was conducted at Fort Benning, GA, in the southeastern USA. Two experiments were performed with the model. In the first experiment, forest recovery from degraded soils was predicted for 100 years with or without prescribed burning. In the second experiment simulations began with 100 years of predicted stand growth, then forest sustainability was predicted for an additional 100 years under different combinations of prescribed burning and forest harvesting. Three levels of fire intensity (low, medium, and high), that corresponded to 17%, 33%, and 50% consumption of the forest floor C stock by fire, were evaluated at 1-, 2-, and 3-year fire return intervals. Relative to the control (no fire), prescribed burning with a 2- or 3-year return interval caused only a small reduction in predicted steady state soil C stocks (< or =25%) and had no effect on steady state tree wood biomass, regardless of fire intensity. Annual high intensity burns did adversely impact forest recovery and sustainability (after harvesting) on less sandy soils, but not on more sandy soils that had greater N availability. Higher intensity and frequency of ground fires increased the chance that tree biomass would not return to pre-harvest levels. Soil N limitation was indicated as the cause of unsustainable forests when prescribed burns were too frequent or too intense to permit stand recovery.