障碍物遮挡条件下细水雾与油池火相互作用的实验研究

障碍物影响下细水雾灭火有效性的研究具有重要的意义。研究了障碍物与火焰的相对位置、细水雾工作压力、喷头距离火焰垂直距离及水平距离等因素对灭火有效性的影响,以及细水雾作用下火灾烟气中一氧化碳、二氧化碳及氧气浓度的变化规律等。结果表明:高压细水雾可以有效扑救部分有障碍物遮挡的油池火,同时喷头距离火焰的水平距离和垂直距离也显著影响着细水雾的灭火速度;高压细水雾在灭火过程中火场的氧气浓度明显升高,二氧化碳和一氧化碳浓度明显降低;细水雾工作压力较低时,一氧化碳浓度反而有所增加。     

相对两面受火的方钢管钢筋混凝土柱耐火极限

目前有关方钢管钢筋混凝土柱抗火性能的研究主要是针对四面均匀受火的情况,而在实际中,会出现相对两面受火这一情况。为此,利用ABAQUS分析软件建立了方钢管钢筋混凝土柱在相对两面受火作用下高温反应有限元模型,在验证模型正确性的基础上,对其耐火极限进行参数分析,包括荷载比、截面边长、长细比、荷载偏心率、钢材和混凝土强度及配筋率等,得到了相对两面火灾作用下方钢管钢筋混凝土柱耐火极限的主要影响参数和影响规律,并给出了该受火条件下方钢管钢筋混凝土柱耐火极限的简化计算方法。研究结果表明:荷载比、截面边长、长细比是相对两面火灾作用下方钢管钢筋混凝土柱耐火极限的主要影响参数,表现为截面边长越大,荷载比和长细比越小,构件的耐火极限越大。     

油池火作用下钢管混凝土柱温度分布研究

在开敞空间条件下利用油池火模拟不同的火灾场景,对火源燃烧阶段和燃烧结束后钢管混凝土柱的温度变化进行研究。测量了燃料质量变化和钢管混凝土柱的温度分布等参数,分析不同火灾场景下钢管混凝土柱轴向、横截面的温度变化,并以实验工况HS3为例进行深入分析,同时分析了火源的燃烧时间、热释放速率对钢管混凝土柱温度场分布的影响。研究结果表明,钢管混凝土柱纵向温度分布与横向温度分布一样都存在明显的温度梯度,其表面钢管温度变化受火场热释放速率影响较大,而内部混凝土的温度变化则主要受火场持续时间的影响。     

基于结构重要度的地铁人员疏散瓶颈识别方法

为了提出一种新的量化人员疏散瓶颈的识别方法。以某地铁站为例,运用EVACNET4模型软件,模拟该地铁站发生火灾等事故时,人群的疏散情况,采用网络结构效益与结构重要度结合的方法查找疏散过程中的瓶颈所在,通过计算疏散瓶颈的结构重要度,将各瓶颈按其对车站安全疏散的影响程度排序,找出瓶颈制约点。结果表明:地铁站内的自动扶梯的开闭状态对疏散时间的影响很大,在发生火灾等特殊事件时应将自动扶梯停止运行,当作楼梯使用。同时,闸机的开闭状态也会影响疏散时间,但只要保障疏散过程中闸机可用,人员均能在规定的时间内完成疏散。通过对比分析门扉式闸机和三杆门式闸机的优劣,在建设地铁时,主要应以门扉式闸机为检票通道。     

Decision‐making and evacuation planning for flood risk management in the Netherlands

A traditional view of decision‐making for evacuation planning is that, given an uncertain threat, there is a deterministic way of defining the best decision. In other words, there is a linear relation between threat, decision, and execution consequences. Alternatives and the impact of uncertainties are not taken into account. This study considers the ‘top strategic decision‐making’ for mass evacuation owing to flooding in the Netherlands. It reveals that the top strategic decision‐making process itself is probabilistic because of the decision‐makers involved and their crisis managers (as advisers). The paper concludes that deterministic planning is not sufficient, and it recommends probabilistic planning that considers uncertainties in the decision‐making process itself as well as other uncertainties, such as forecasts, citizens responses, and the capacity of infrastructure. This results in less optimistic, but more realistic, strategies and a need to pay attention to alternative strategies.     

API Standard 521 new alternative method to evaluate fire relief for pressure relief device sizing and depressuring system design

Since the 1950's, API Standards have provided guidance on determining relief loads for equipment exposed to pool fires. The API method is empirical based on tests performed in the 1940's. There is increasingly widespread interest in analytical methods based on heat transfer principles to model fire heat input. The API committee agreed to include an analytical method in the 6th edition of API Standard 521 to establish relief loads for pressure relief devices and to design depressuring systems for the fire scenario. The analytical method provides more flexibility than the empirical method but has limitations (e.g., too many permutations are possible leading to potential under-sizing of the pressure relief device).This paper discusses the basis for the empirical method in API Standard 521 and provides comparisons of the empirical and analytical method with two more recent large-scale pool fire tests. This pool fire test data indicates that the empirical method will provide a conservative estimate of pool fire heat input for most applications and is still the method of choice when designing pressure relief systems. However, these recent tests indicate the empirical method needs to be modified when a vessel or equipment is partially confined by adjacent embankments or walls equal or greater than the vessel height. In such cases, the wetted area exponent should be 1.0 instead of 0.82.The analytical method is useful in determining time-versus-temperature profiles for heating unwetted vessels of varying wall thicknesses and materials of construction. These profiles, which depend upon the type of fire (e.g., unconfined pool fire, jet fire, etc.), can be combined with tensile strength and stress-rupture data to specify a depressuring system's pressure-versus-time profile. This will minimize failure and/or mitigate the effects of failure due to overheating from fire exposure.     

潖江蓄滞洪区洪灾风险分析及避难转移安置研究

以潖江蓄滞洪区洪灾避难转移安置为研究对象,利用Mike21技术,建立潖江蓄滞洪区洪水演进数值模型,模拟北江遭遇300年一遇洪水时,在潖江口泄洪,潖江蓄滞洪区内洪水演进,分析潖江蓄滞洪区洪灾风险.通过实地调查,结合历史洪水情况,利用潖江蓄滞洪区DEM数据、Google地图及最快避难转移安置时间分析法,详细设计了潖江蓄滞洪区内各行政村落遭遇洪灾时避难转移与人员安置,为潖江蓄滞洪区启用预案科学编制及防洪减灾提供科学依据.     

重大毒气泄漏事故区域疏散分析系统设计与应用

为了对重大毒气泄漏事故的后果影响及相关疏散区域进行分析,构建基于GIS的重大毒气泄漏事故区域疏散分析系统,对区域疏散分析业务流程和数据流程进行分析,对系统总体结构和数据结构进行设计,并结合具体案例,进行扩散模拟,对事故影响区域以及区域疏散效果进行分析,研究结果表明:混合通知方式下的疏散效率最高,毒气泄漏事故发生后应尽早通知周边居民疏散。     

Evaluating the ecological benefits of wildfire by integrating fire and ecosystem simulation models

Fire managers are now realizing that wildfires can be beneficial because they can reduce hazardous fuels and restore fire-dominated ecosystems. A software tool that assesses potential beneficial and detrimental ecological effects from wildfire would be helpful to fire management. This paper presents a simulation platform called FLEAT (Fire and Landscape Ecology Assessment Tool) that integrates several existing landscape- and stand-level simulation models to compute an ecologically based measure that describes if a wildfire is moving the burning landscape towards or away from the historical range and variation of vegetation composition. FLEAT uses a fire effects model to simulate fire severity, which is then used to predict vegetation development for 1, 10, and 100 years into the future using a landscape simulation model. The landscape is then simulated for 5000 years using parameters derived from historical data to create an historical time series that is compared to the predicted landscape composition at year 1, 10, and 100 to compute a metric that describes their similarity to the simulated historical conditions. This tool is designed to be used in operational wildfire management using the LANDFIRE spatial database so that fire managers can decide how aggressively to suppress wildfires. Validation of fire severity predictions using field data from six wildfires revealed that while accuracy is moderate (30-60%), it is mostly dictated by the quality of GIS layers input to FLEAT. Predicted 1-year landscape compositions were only 8% accurate but this was because the LANDFIRE mapped pre-fire composition accuracy was low (21%). This platform can be integrated into current readily available software products to produce an operational tool for balancing benefits of wildfire with potential dangers.     

五店市历史传统街区建筑群防火间距研究

针对执行现行消防技术标准与保留传统建筑风貌的矛盾,以晋江五店市传统街区为对象,采用数值模拟方法研究不同楼间距对相邻建筑所受火灾辐射热流的影响规律,对街区内的典型建筑防火间距进行重新评估,使其既满足历史街区风貌保护要求,又能达到预防火灾的目的。