泰安市大气臭氧污染特征及敏感性分析

2018年5～7月对泰安市城区站点的臭氧及前体物进行在线监测,并基于特征比值法和光化学模型分析了臭氧及前体物的污染特征及臭氧生成对前体物的敏感性.结果表明,观测期间泰安市正遭受较为严重的臭氧(O_3)污染,臭氧浓度的日变化呈典型的单峰型变化,15:00左右出现最高值,氮氧化物(NO_x)和VOCs的日变化趋势整体呈现夜间高白天低的变化特征.由O_3生成效率(OPE)、VOCs/NO_x和H_2O_2/NO_z特征比值法及基于EKMA曲线的方法均得出观测期间泰安市大气O_3光化学生成偏向于NO_x敏感区及过渡区,削减NO_x和VOCs均对O_3生成具有控制作用.同时基于EKMA曲线的方法还得出在O_3前体物浓度减排时按照丙烯等效浓度(PE)与NO_x浓度比值为8∶3进行VOCs(PE)和NO_x削减可以达到O_3浓度控制的最佳效果.     

厦门市船舶控制区大气污染物排放清单与污染特征

以船舶自动识别系统(automatic identification system,AIS)数据,结合大量厦门港口实地调查信息,采用自下而上的动力法对在控制区内航行的船舶进行逐艘计算,得出2018年厦门市船舶控制区大气污染物排放清单,并详细分析了其污染物排放特征及时空分布.结果表明, 2018年厦门市船舶控制区内船舶污染物排放总量共16 413 t,其中进出港船舶污染物排放占82.2%,未进港船舶占17.8%,各污染物中以NO_x的排放量最大,占比达64.2%,不同航行状态下污染物排放量的顺序为停泊巡航低速巡航机动操控锚泊,控制区内船舶的主要污染来源于货船,并以集装箱船的污染物排放量为最大; 1 d中09:00～16:00处于船舶污染物排放高峰期,1 a中以2月的排放量为最低, 3月和5月出现排放峰值;空间特征上各污染物排放高值主要分布于主航道和港区海岸线.     

Development of methods for establishing nutrient criteria in lakes and reservoirs: A review

Nutrient criteria provide a scientific foundation for the comprehensive evaluation, prevention,control and management of water eutrophication. In this review, the literature was examined to systematically evaluate the benefits, drawbacks, and applications of statistical analysis,paleolimnological reconstruction, stressor-response model, and model inference approaches for nutrient criteria determination. The developments and challenges in the determination of nutrient criteria in lakes and reservoirs are presented. Reference lakes can reflect the original states of lakes, but reference sites are often unavailable. Using the paleolimnological reconstruction method, it is often difficult to reconstruct the historical nutrient conditions of shallow lakes in which the sediments are easily disturbed. The model inference approach requires sufficient data to identify the appropriate equations and characterize a waterbody or group of waterbodies, thereby increasing the difficulty of establishing nutrient criteria. The stressor-response model is a potential development direction for nutrient criteria determination, and the mechanisms of stressor-response models should be studied further. Based on studies of the relationships among water ecological criteria, eutrophication, nutrient criteria and plankton, methods for determining nutrient criteria should be closely integrated with water management requirements.     

基于CRITIC-有限区间云模型的边坡稳定性评价

针对岩质边坡危险性分级的不确定性,选取坡高、坡角岩体结构特征、岩石单轴抗压强度等12项定量评价指标构建评价体系。根据有限区间云模型的相关概念和计算模型,求出露天采场边坡实测数据的云模型特征参数,利用正向云发生器生成云滴图进行量性概念的转化,通过改进的CRITIC法确定指标权重,进而求出不同采场隶属于不同危险等级的综合隶属度,实现边坡稳定性等级的划分。研究结果表明:评价结果与实际相符,利用CRITIC算法求取的权重值,可以考虑各评价指标的综合信息量以及指标间的相关性系数,使评判结果更具有准确性;同时可以快速准确判断出边坡稳定性分级,进行安全预测,为评价边坡的稳定性提供了新思路。     

浮式LNG平台串靠卸载泄漏后果影响分析

浮式LNG生产储卸装置(FLNG)作为新兴的深海气田生产装置,集天然气生产、液化、储存和装卸功能于一身,其卸载方式主要有旁靠卸载和串靠卸载2种,其中串靠卸载因能适应恶劣海况而备受深海作业欢迎,但串靠卸载的泄漏后果和影响尚不明确,因此研究恶劣海况下LNG串靠卸载的泄漏风险及后果尤为迫切和重要。考虑海上极端气象条件,采用DNV公司的PHAST软件,定量计算FLNG串靠卸载方式在卸载臂发生小孔、中孔、大孔泄漏及全尺寸破裂时,LNG泄漏后产生的具有火灾爆炸危险性的蒸汽隔离区域,根据伤害阈值明确LNG导致人员低温冻伤和窒息的最小距离,并对可能发生的喷射火、池火和蒸汽云爆炸等恶劣事故造成的后果进行预测。     

基于云模型的SPA模型在石化装置危险性评价中的应用

针对现有石化装置危险性评价模型未能充分反映评价指标模糊性和随机性的不足,提出了一种基于云模型的SPA模型,用于石化装置的危险性评价。首先利用云模型中的逆向云发生器计算云权重Wcloud=(Ex,En,He)。然后将云权重应用于五元联系数的集对分析中,进行综合评判可以得到综合评价云模型。通过MATLAB编程将其与标准评语云模型进行比较,确定评价对象的危险等级。结果表明,该模型对石化生产装置的危险性评价能够充分体现评价指标的随机性与模糊性,评价结果更为符合实际。     

松花江干流PAHs的底泥-水交换行为及时空异质性

为了解松花江干流底泥和水体中PAHs(多环芳烃)的环境分布行为,应用逸度方法研究了松花江中PAHs的底泥-水交换行为及时空异质性特征. 结果表明:K_OW(辛醇-水分配系数)影响PAHs的底泥-水交换行为,并与底泥-水交换的f_f(逸度分数)呈显著负相关(R=-0.801,P=0.000),而f_f与PAHs的溶解度则呈正相关(R=0.499,P<0.05);高环PAHs的底泥-水交换行为受w(OC)变化的影响较为强烈,w(OC)每提高0.10%,2~6环PAHs的f_f降低0.7%~11.0%;春季PAHs的底泥-水交换的f_f大于夏季. 低环的Nap(萘)表现出明显的由底泥向水体的迁移行为,Phe(菲)和FlA(荧蒽)几乎接近于平衡状态,而高环的BaP(苯并芘)和BgP(苯并苝)则相反. 夏季PAHs的大气传输及本地排放源的沉降,可能为松花江干流PAHs的主要来源;汇入支流的输入可视为主干河流水体中污染物的另一来源. 水体中2~4环PAHs处于中等变异,5~6环PAHs则表现为强变异;底泥中3~4环PAHs处于中等变异,而其他环数PAHs则呈强变异. 从季节性变化来看,夏季底泥中PAHs的CV(变异系数)相对较大,而春季水体中PAHs的CV则略大于夏季. 研究显示,PAHs物理化学性质的差异,水体中悬浮颗粒物和底泥中w(OC),以及外源性PAHs的输入,均会使不同环数PAHs在水体和底泥中的CV产生较大差异.      

基于可拓云理论的泥炭质土场地沉降风险评价

为更好地研究泥炭质土场地地铁车站基坑周边沉降问题,预测和评估施工时及施工后的沉降风险,在分析了泥炭质土的特点后,选择土层厚度、有机质质量分数、重度、天然含水率、孔隙比、土层埋深和压缩模量7个指标,建立沉降风险评估指标体系,并根据改进层次分析法和改进熵权法求出主观权重与客观权重,最后用理想点法耦合主客观权重求出各评价指标的综合权重;根据沉降等级分类标准,生成每个评价指标的云滴图,计算得到各评价因子的可拓云矩阵,进而将综合权重向量与可拓云矩阵相乘得到综合确定度,根据综合确定度最大原则确定样本沉降风险等级。以昆明某地铁车站施工监测数据为例,用建立的可拓云模型对泥炭质土场地的沉降风险进行评价,最终评价结果与实际监测结果吻合较好,验证了分析方法的合理性及可行性。该评价方法充分考虑了多种因素影响,明确了沉降的风险等级,评价结果为泥炭土场地上建(构)筑物的设计施工及应急处理提供了理论依据。     

Temperature profile across the combustion zone propagating through an iron particle cloud

Knowledge of the mechanism of combustion zone propagation during dust explosion is of great importance to prevent damage caused by accidental dust explosions. In this study, the temperature profile across the combustion zone propagating through an iron particle cloud is measured experimentally by a thermocouple to elucidate the propagation mechanism. The measured temperature starts to increase slowly at a position about 5 mm ahead of the leading edge of the combustion zone, increases quickly at a position about 3 mm ahead of the leading edge, reaches a maximum value near the end of the combustion zone, and then decreases. As the iron particle concentration increases, the maximum temperature increases at lower concentration, takes a maximum value, and then decreases at higher concentration. The relation between the propagation velocity of the combustion zone and the maximum temperature is also examined. It is found that the propagation velocity has a linear relationship with the maximum temperature. This result suggests that the conductive heat transfer is dominant in the propagation process of the combustion zone through an iron particle cloud.     

Efficiency of stormwater control measures for combined sewer retrofitting under varying rain conditions: Quantifying the Three Points Approach (3PA)

We present a method to assess and communicate the efficiency of stormwater control measures for retrofitting existing urban areas. The tool extends the Three Points Approach to quantitatively distinguish three rainfall domains: (A) rainwater resource utilisation, (B) urban stormwater drainage pipe design, and (C) pluvial flood mitigation. Methods for calculating efficiencies are defined recognizing that rainfall is both a valuable resource and a potential problem. Efficiencies are quantified in relation to rainfall volume, supplied potable water volume and volume of wastewater treated. A case study from Denmark is used to illustrate how the efficiency varies between the rainfall domains. The method provides a means for communicating some important quantitative aspects of stormwater control measures among engineers, planners and decision makers working with management of water resources, stormwater drainage and flood risks.