铁路提速区段中间站行车安全评价的研究

分析了影响铁路提速区段中间站行车安全的主要因素;基于系统工程的理论原则,从人员安全保障、设备安全保障、环境安全保障、基础安全管理保障4个方面着手,确立了铁路提速区段中间站行车安全评价指标体系;运用模糊层次分析法,建立了评价模型;提出了铁路提速区段中间站行车安全保障模糊层次评价的一般方法;对我国铁路主干线某一提速区段中间站进行实例分析,其结果显示,基础安全管理占有十分重要的位置;最后,笔者建议,在我国铁路实现“客运高速、货运重载”的发展方向下,应当加强提速区段中间站的安全管理,认真进行行车安全评价,实现行车事故的预测与预防     

中国乡镇企业环境管理区划研究

研究了全国乡镇企业环境管理区划,选择了13个指标：（1）枯水年径流深,（2）降水量,（3）大气污染系数,（4）森林覆盖率,（5）人均耕地面积,（6）县级环境管理机构人数,（7）人口密度,（8）人均国民收入,（9）乡镇企业经济密度,（10）乡镇企业行业结构的环境效应,（11）污径比,（12）原煤消耗密度,（13）乡镇企业技术进步。以模糊聚类数学方法作数量区划,把全国分为4个区、7个亚区。所作区划结果能基本满足国家级分区环境管理的需要。     

潜在有毒化学品优先控制名单筛选方法研究

在收集了国内外共37个不同化学品名单基础上,研究了我国潜在有毒化学品的筛选程序和评分系统。根据环境的9项指标和毒性的7项指标共16个参数,运用模糊数学方法计算了化学品的综合危害分值,藉此按其危害程度予以排序,从而选定了52种优先控制的有毒化学品名单,旨在对化学品应采取的适宜管理对策提供有效的科学依据。      

A Fuzzy Logic Approach to Assess Groundwater Pollution Levels Below Agricultural Fields

A fuzzy logic approach has been developed to assess the groundwater pollution levels below agricultural fields. The data collected for Kumluca Plain of Turkey have been utilized to develop the approach. The plain is known with its intensive agricultural activities, which imply excessive application of fertilizers. The characteristics of the soils and underlying groundwater for this plain were monitored during the years 1999 and 2000. Additionally, an extensive field survey related to the types and yields of crops, fertilizer application and irrigation water was carried out. Both the soil and groundwater have exhibited high levels of nitrogen, phosphorus and salinity with considerable spatial and temporal variations. The pollution level of groundwater at several established stations within the plain were assessed using Fuzzy Logic. Water Pollution Index (WPI) values are calculated by Fuzzy Logic utilizing the most significant groundwater pollutants in the area namely nitrite, nitrate and orthophosphate together with the groundwater vulnerability to pollution. The results of the calculated WPI and the monitoring study have yielded good agreement. WPI indicated high to moderate water pollution levels at Kumluca plain depending on factors such as agricultural age, depth to groundwater, soil characteristics and vulnerability of groundwater to pollution. Fuzzy Logic approach has shown to be a practical, simple and useful tool to assess groundwater pollution levels.     

A hybrid approach using ISM and fuzzy TOPSIS for the selection of reverse logistics provider

Return of used products is becoming an important logistics activity due to government legislation and increasing awareness among the people to protect the environment and reduce waste. For industries, the management of return flow usually requires a specialized infrastructure with special information systems for tracking and dedicated equipment for the processing of returns. Therefore, industries are turning to third-party reverse logistics providers (3PRLPs). In this study, a multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) model in fuzzy environment is developed to guide the selection process of best 3PRLP. The interactions among the criteria are also analyzed before arriving at a decision for the selection of 3PRLP from among 15 alternatives. The analysis is done through Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) and fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). Finally the effectiveness of the model is illustrated using a case study on battery manufacturing industry in India.     

浅析低瓦斯煤矿瓦斯防治安全评价

笔者结合煤矿安全评价工作的经验,通过运用预先危险分析对低瓦斯煤矿瓦斯防治进行分析,得出瓦斯爆炸是最严重的瓦斯事故。进而通过对瓦斯爆炸的事故树分析,得出了导致瓦斯爆炸的27个基本事件。应用事故树分析中的最小割集、最小径集和结构重要度,对瓦斯爆炸进行了研究。结果表明,瓦斯爆炸不发生所必须的最低限度的基本事件集合即最小径集有6个,其中严格控制瓦斯浓度,杜绝一切火源,是预防煤矿瓦斯爆炸的最重要途径。从源头上防止瓦斯爆炸的发生,提高我国煤矿安全生产水平。     

Potential impact model to assess agricultural pressure to landscape ecological functions

Conservation and protection of soil and water resources and visual aspects of landscape, as well as the promotion of biodiversity, are some of the central tasks of environmental policy development and social politics in the future. One of the main questions is: ‘which agricultural systems are able to guarantee sustained resource-conserving land use?’ Based on the ecological risk concepts of the 1970s and 1980s, a potential impact model was developed using a universal assessment algorithm derived from fuzzy logic. The model estimated the potential impact of agricultural land use on ecosystem function using a few resource indicators. Intervention intensities of agricultural land-use are set in relation to site conditions and aggregated for each of several defined potential impact categories. The interpretation with respect to risk and the calculation of potential impact values are explained.     

Measurement Diagnostics by Analysis of Last Digits

Though measurement instruments and methods have their natural precision limits, long term monitoring, which is so importantfor environmental studies, requires to set up and maintaincertain standards regarding precision. The elementaryrequirement is to produce measurements with a prescribed numberof valid digits. If the technology further develops and allowsto increase the number of valid digits, the change should bedocumented. In this paper we discuss a simple procedure for validity assessment of the last digits of data in a data base.It may be useful for both calibration control of an instrumentas well as for preliminary data analysis in scientific studies.The procedure utilizes the assumption that, under normalconditions, the last digits of the observed data can usually beconsidered as uniformly distributed random numbers. Failures ordeliberate changes in the observation mechanism can be detectedif particular digits occur more frequently than the others. Thedecision about proper representations of the last digits is doneby means of the familiar chi-square statistics.     

黄浦江水环境污染风险的模糊数学综合评价

采用模糊综合评价模型对2005年黄浦江6个监测断面水质状况进行评价。结果表明：2005年间黄浦江6个监测断面水质均属于V（严重污染）类,其主要污染物为氮磷营养物。     

一种改进的模糊聚类方法在大气环境质量评价中的应用

一般的模糊聚类分析方法只能解决大气污染状况的顺序问题,或只能得出此地与彼地的大气质量状况的相似程度,而不能同时确定大气质量的具体等级。本文提出的一种改进的模糊聚类分析方法解决了这一问题、该方法的主要改进在于:①以各污染因子的污染程度的分级标准值为聚类中心,待分样本与聚类中心之间的相似系数或待分样本隶属于某一类的隶属函数作为聚类函数;②相似系数设计为几何平均最小型,隶属函数设计为正态分布型。实例计算和比较表明,该方法是大气环境质量评价中的一种较好的方法。